1H 2010 Strategy & Results Presentation. August 31 st, 2010

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Transcription:

1H 2010 Strategy & Results Presentation August 31 st, 2010 1

Disclaimer This document has been prepared by ILIAD S.A. (the "Company ) and is being furnished to you personally solely for your information. This presentation includes only summary information and does not purport to be comprehensive. The information contained in this presentation has not been subject to independent verification. No representation, warranty or undertaking, express or implied, is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information or opinions contained herein. None of ILIAD S.A., its affiliates or its advisors, nor any representatives of such persons, shall have any liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise) for any loss arising from any use of this document or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with this document or any other information or material discussed. This presentation contains forward-looking statements relating to the business, financial performance and results of ILIAD S.A. These statements are based on current beliefs, expectations or assumptions and involve unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those described in such statements. Factors that could cause such differences in actual results, performance or events include changes in demand and technology, as well as the ability of ILIAD S.A. to effectively implement its strategy. Any forward-looking statements contained in this presentation speak only as of the date of this presentation. ILIAD S.A. expressly disclaims any obligation or undertaking to update or revise any forwardlooking statements contained in this presentation to reflect any change in events, conditions, assumptions or circumstances on which any such statements are based unless so required by applicable law. 2

Key Take-Aways A strong & growing core business Continued organic growth: 125,000 net adds on Free over 1H 2010 Double-digit growth on historical scope (+11%) Sharp rise in results: Group EBITDA up by +27% ADSL FCF up by +33% Alice is a done deal Financial recovery achieved ahead of target Improved churn Investing in growth Mobile: 3G licence acquired in January 2010 FTTH: Launch subscribers acquisition in dense areas Extensive horizontal roll-out Vertical roll-out: sharing with competitors has started P2P network will make the difference Gaming: 2 licenses granted by ARJEL: Poker & Sports betting 3

Group KPIs June 2009 Dec. 2009 June 2010 Broadband Subs. 4,371,000 4,456,000 4,514,000-3,589,000 3,778,000 3,903,000-782,000 678,000 611,000 Unbundling ratio 81.2% 85.4% 87.5% ARPU (end of period) 36.3 36.5 36.3 Free: A continuous market share gains 20.4% 20.3% 19.8% 19.5% 17.9% 18.2% 1H 2005 1H 2006 1H 2007 1H 2008 1H 2009 1H 2010 4

Keep Growing Our Core Business Unbundling: still room for growth Improving the unbundling footprint 300/400 new Central Offices equipped per year in 2010 & 2011 200 COs opened over 1H 2010 Midterm unbundling ratio of ~90% Improve subscriber-experience and attract new subscribers Focus on subscriber support and loyalty 4,000 people dedicated to subscriber support (95% in house) A free-of-charge on-site technical support (ATP) Available in 150 cities / more than 500 dedicated technical staff Call centres certified NF Service by AFNOR (France s standard-setting agency) Differentiating through innovation Today: Free proposes the most advanced IPTV platform: catch-up, HD Tomorrow: A major innovation will be launched before the end of 2010 In dense areas: Upgradability to the only P2P FTTH network 5

Leading IPTV Platform The largest IPTV base in the world Million subscribers TV Replay makes TV viewers Free Catch-up of 33 channels offered Source: TeleGeography -July 7,2010 The upmost TV offer FIFA World cup broadcasted in 3D The Most Innovative IPTV Largest French HD offer 25 HD channels available 6

FTTH: From Regulation to Subscribers Dense Areas ~5m subs Horizontal roll-out is going full steam Full horizontal coverage of Paris within a year 160 Central Offices acquired and being equipped 70 cities and 3.6 million plugs deployed or in the process of being rolled out Vertical roll-out picking up by end 2010 Multiple fibre through sharing agreement started: Agreements for Free to be the in-building operator for 380k homes Access to FT & SFR s existing vertical infrastructure ~700k homes Significant subscriber migration starting in 2011 Non Dense Areas Framework being defined Infrastructure sharing and co-investment endorsed Roll-out will benefit from Government s financial support ( Grand Emprunt ) 4 million homes covered by end-2012 Several tens of thousand FTTH subscribers connected by end 2010 7

Broadband s Roadmap Targeting a long-term market share of ~24% / 25% From gaining subscribers to increasing value ARPU secured by innovation and FTTH Improve subscriber support & satisfaction A highway to innovation & growth 2010: New ADSL deal 2011: FTTH commercial take-up the only P2P network in France 2012: Launch of wireless activities: ability to respond to 4-Play offers 8

Free Mobile: Project Well on Track Work in progress (more than 1,500 people) An experienced and skilled team Focusing on network rollout Network & radio engineers and project managers Strong partnerships (more than 30 suppliers) Equipment suppliers (NSN) Deployment companies and sites providers (tower companies, landlords ) Commitments will be fulfilled 3G License granted 27% pop. covered Commercial launch 75% pop. covered 90% pop. covered 2010 2012 2015 2018 Maximize network coverage before commercial launch Roaming agreement Compulsory on 2G Requirements of a minimum coverage of 25% of the population Question mark on 3G Try to strike a commercial deal (3G already granted to MVNOs) Full coverage of France at commercial launch 9

Free Mobile: Success Ahead Uncompetitive market: A real opportunity for a newcomer 25/month 33 hours (anytime, any network) 5,000 texts 1GB internet 28.90-37.90/month 2 hours (anytime, any network) 10-30 texts Confirmed business plan Deployment costs confirmed by deals signed with suppliers Capex budget: Total network Capex plan of 1bn 2010-2011 Cumulative Capex need of c. 200m Drop of the MTR to 3c. in July 2010 and converging to less than 1c. (in line with Belgium & UK) EBITDA > 0 reached with a market share << 10% New Frequencies: Disciplined investment strategy New batch of frequencies will soon be available: Digital dividend (800Mhz) and 2.6Ghz awarded in 2011 (process under consultation) Refarming of the 1.8Ghz at a second stage Allocation process should be based on several criteria: coverage, increase in competition and price 10

Strong Financial KPIs ( millions) June 2009 Incl. Alice June 2010 Incl. Alice % change Revenues 969.9 1,015.0 +4.6% EBITDA 307.8 391.6 +27.2% +27.3% EBITDA Margin 31.7% 38.6% EBIT 157.0 234.8 +49.6% Net profit 72.0 171.4 (1) x2.4 ADSL FCF 164.1 218.2 +33.0% +33.4% (1) Incl. exceptional 11

Double-Digit Growth on Historical Scope ( millions) Historical Scope 788 +11% 874 Revenues up by 11%: + Increased subscriber base + Increased usage of Video products - Drop of 22% of the Fixed Termination Rate - Opening of new free destinations (Morocco ) 1H 2008 2009 1H 2009 2010 Consolidated Scope Group revenues increased by 5%: 970 +5% 1,015 (1) +11% for Free -23% for Alice - Termination of Wholesale operations - Erosion of the subscriber base ARPU stabilized close to historic high at 36.3 1H 2008 2009 1H 2009 2010 (1) Excluding inter-segments 12

Group EBITDA Margin Increased by 690 bps ( millions) Historical Scope 302 +17% 354 40.4% EBITDA margin hitting historic high: 40.4% + Unbundling footprint increased + Scale effect on cost structure 38.4% + Decrease in regulated tariff - Decrease of fixed termination rate (-22% yoy) 1H 2008 2009 1H 2009 2010 Consolidated Scope 392 Group EBITDA up by 27%: + Excellent results on Historic Perimeter 308 31.7% +27% 38.6% + Alice: Positive contribution of 38m: Network and cost synergies delivered Eligible subscribers unbundled 1H 2008 2009 1H 2009 2010 EBITDA guidance of 90m / year reached as early as May ( 7.5m) EBITDA Margin 13

Very Strong Rise in EBIT & Net Profit ( millions) Group EBIT 235 A spectacular increase in Group s adjusted EBIT (excl. non-recurring items) 157 16.2% +50% 23.1% + Increase in EBITDA margin + Alice restructuring costs are over 1H 2008 2009 1H 2009 2010 Group Net Profit Sharp rise in net profit 72 x2.4 171 40 Non-recurring income of 40m after tax ( 61m pre tax) 1H 2008 2009 1H 2009 2010 EBIT Margin 14

CAPEX: Investing in Future Growth ( millions) 1H 2009 1H 2009 1H 2010 Network 28 22 Boxes & Cabling Fees 133 114 ADSL 161 136 FTTH 55 94 Increased horizontal roll-out Wireless - 249 3G License acquisition for 243m Total CAPEX 216 478 Investments in future growth: FTTH & Mobile 15

ADSL FCF up by +33% ( millions) 383 (29) (136) ADSL FCF above expectation at 218m Alice: positive FCF contribution of 10m 218 (94) 208 (249) 10 103 (22) Cash from Ops prior to Tax & WCR WCR ADSL CAPEX ADSL FCF FTTH CAPEX Mobile CAPEX Others (Interest, except. & tax) 1H 2010 FCF 16

Strengthened Financial Position in Spite of Massive Investments ( millions) Dec. 2008 June 2009 Dec. 2009 June 2010 Total Assets 2,257 2,395 2,455 2,457 Equity 598 652 764 921 Reinforced Balance Sheet Net debt 882 712 665 717 Leverage 1.68x 1.24x 1.01x 0.96x Gearing 1.47x 1.09x 0.87x 0.78x Strong Financial Power Strong ADSL FCF generation 405m of cash end June 2010 900m of undrawn credit facilities 1.4bn bank facility 150m long term facility signed with EIB Leasing facilities 17

Confirmed Operational and Financial Outlook Major innovation before end 2010 Operational Ramp-up of FTTH subs in 2011 ~5 million broadband subscribers by end 2011 Mobile: commercial launch in 2012 Mid-term unbundling ratio of ~90% A double-digit EBITDA growth in 2010 Financial 2010: Another year of strong increase in net profit A cumulative ADSL FCF > 1.1bn 2010-2012 18

1H 2010 Strategy & Results Presentation August 31 st, 2010 19