Merrill Lynch Lima, May 24, Walter Bayly Chief Financial Officer

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Transcription:

Merrill Lynch Lima, May 24, 2005 Walter Bayly Chief Financial Officer 1

AGENDA 1. CREDICORP LTD. Financial Highlights 2. CREDICORP S S MAIN SUBSIDIARIES Peruvian Banking System Banco de Crédito BCP Consolidated Business Units Ratios and Figures Banco de Crédito de Bolivia Atlantic Security Holding Corp. Pacífico Peruano Suiza 3. CREDICORP S S EARNINGS CONTRIBUTIONS 4. OVERVIEW 2

3

Financial Highlights US$ Millions 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005-I Profitability Net income 54.5* 42.4 80.6 130.7 43.6 Return on average equity 6.9% 5.3% 9.4% 13.5% 16.5% Balance Sheet Total Assets 7,582 8,630 8,314 9,121 9,361 Net Loans 3,720 4,394 4,155 4,335 4,314 Deposits 5,543 6,381 6,305 6,391 6,526 Net Equity 797 824 911 1,065 1,048 Operations Operating costs / total income 52.9% 52.1% 50.6% 49.4% 45.1% Operating costs / average assets 5.0% 4.6% 4.6% 4.9% 4.1% Capital Adequacy (N of times) Total Assets / Net Equity 9.5 10.5 9.1 8.6 8.9 Loan Portfolio Quality Past due loans / total loans 8.50% 8.30% 5.60% 3.50% 3.33% Reserves / past due loans 98.20% 104.40% 127.50% 158.01% 161.62% Other Information Total number of shares, net 79.5 79.8 79.8 79.8 79.8 Cash dividend per share (US$) 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.8 N/A Total dividend paid (US$Mn) 31.9 23.9 31.9 63.8 N/A * Includes US$19Mn of extraordinary income from sale of B&J shares. Net US$35.5Mn

2. CREDICORP S MAIN SUBSIDIARIES Peruvian Banking System Banco de Crédito BCP Consolidated Business Units Ratios and Figures Banco de Crédito de Bolivia Atlantic Security Holding Corp. Pacífico Peruano Suiza 5

PERUVIAN BANKING SYSTEM 6

PERUVIAN BANKING SYSTEM HIGHLIGHTS I 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005- Loans in dollars (%) 80.3 79.6 77.9 75.6 75.1 Deposits in dollars (%) 72.1 71.5 69.5 67.1 63.4 PDL / Loans (%) 9.0 7.6 5.8 3.7 3.6 Reserves / PDLs (%) 118.9 133.2 141.1 176.4 176.5 ROE (%) 4.5 8.4 10.9 11.3 12.4 Bank Deposits (US$Bn Bn) 13.1 13.5 13.2 14.3 14.6 Bank Loans (US$Bn Bn) 10.7 10.6 10.3 10.8 10.9 7

PERUVIAN FINANCIAL SYSTEM - LOAN STRUCTURE Dec 01 Dec 02 Dec 03 US$ Millions Dec 04 Mar-05 CAGR(%) M 05/D 01 BANKS + LEASING+ FINANCE COS. Credit Cards/Consumer/Finan. Cos. 1,173 1,305 1,516 1,754 1,830 14.69 Mortgages 1,032 1,150 1,322 1,563 1,622 14.94 Micro-Businesses 269 246 298 469 491 20.33 Comercial Loans (Incl. leasing) 9,235 9,013 7,960 7,960 7,943-4.54 Total 11,709 11,714 11,096 11,746 11,886 0.46 REGIONAL S&Ls (Caja Muni+Rur+Edpym) 359 499 681 916 958 35.30 TOTAL 12,068 12,213 11,777 12,662 12,844 1.94 MIVIVIENDA (1) 34 104 232 411 456 121.88 Corporate Bonds outstanding 1,044 1,182 1,751 2,293 2,116 24.31 Source: ASBANC, Superintendencia de Banca y Seguros and BCR s weekly report (1) Includes: Loans from banks, Financial Inst. and Regional S&Ls 8

PERUVIAN FINANCIAL SYSTEM MARKET SHARE LOANS 2002 2003 2004 2005-I BCP 34.6% 32.8% 31.3% 32.7% BBVA 14.9% 16.2% 18.0% 18.4% BWS 17.1% 14.3% 12.4% 12.4% Interbank 7.5% 8.2% 8.7% 8.6% Citibank 4.7% 4.0% 3.3% 3.8% Others 21.2% 24.4% 26.3% 24.1% DEPOSITS 2002 2003 2004 2005-I BCP 38.3% 36.0% 34.3% 35.7% BBVA 21.5% 21.8% 23.6% 23.5% BWS 15.1% 14.9% 14.5% 14.3% Interbank 7.2% 8.1% 8.3% 8.2% Citibank 2.8% 2.5% 2.5% 2.4% Others 15.1% 16.7% 16.7% 15.9% Source: Superintendencia de Banca y Seguros( SBS) BCP: Includes BCP Peru+SE 9

10

STRATEGIC APPROACH Banking made simple Transactional Businesses and Services Market penetration in segments C and D Highly efficient and profitable distribution network Excellence in quality service: Leadership Cost Control, high level of efficiency 11

BCP BUSINESS UNITS 12

WHOLESALE BANKING (I) Other Data Corporate Middle Market Institutional Total N of clients Aprox. 1,000 companies Aprox. 4,200 companies Aprox. 600 non profit organizations Segmentation Provides loans and banking services to companies with annual income over US$15MM Organizations with annual income between US$1Mn and US$15Mn through 7 regional managers located nationwide Serves state and local government entities, international organizations, non-governmental organizations and educational institutions Additional comments Limited growth prospect with (i) high market penetration and (ii) competition from Capital Market in loans Expected growth is to match growth of GDP Serves clients with financial needs mostly in the form of deposits and investments of transactional products in general and to a lower degree with loans Core business units Corporate Middle Market Institutional Total Net income (US$Mn) 9.9 10.5 0.5 20.9 Share / Wholesale Bank.(%) 47% 50% 2% 100% Loans (US$Mn) 1,515 936 33 2,484.0 Share. Wholesale Bank. (%) 61% 38% 1% 100% Deposits (US$Mn) 1,449 500 581 2,530.0 Share. Wholesale Bank. (%) 57% 20% 23% 100% Support units Corporate Finance Intl. Business Leasing Business Service Service / Segmentation Financial Advisory services to corporate clients and middle market business Mantains commercial relations with foreign financial institutions. As of Dec. 2004, BCP financed 31% and 43% of total peruvian imports and exports, respectively Offers and manages financial leasing operations. BCP is the leader in the system with a market share of 41.0% of total leasing Develops transactional services that handles the exchange of information and money transfers to corporations, midsize companies, institutions and micro-business companies Figures as of March 2005

WHOLESALE BANKING (II) Market Share System Loans (US$Mn) 6000 5500 5000 4500 4000 3500 3000 2500 50% 49% 48% 47% 46% 45% 44% 43% 42% 41% Market Share 2000 Mar-03 Jun-03 Set-03 Dec-03 Mar-04 Jun-04 Sep-04 Dic-04 System Loans (US$Mn) Market share 40% Wholesale Banking Mar-03 Jun-03 Sep-03 Dec-03 Jun-04 Sep-04 Dec-04 Market Share 43.3% 43.6% 43.2% 43.5% 43.1% 43.4% 42.4% System Loans 5,414 5,380 5,274 5,246 5,515 5,322 5,350 BCP Loans 2,345 2,346 2,276 2,280 2,378 2,312 2,269 14

RETAIL BANKING (I) Other Data N of clients Cross Sale Service / Segmentation Financial Information Consumer Exclusive Commercial Small Business 1,653,481 households 54,132 households 8,149 clients 139,004 clients Offers traditional products to the mass consumer segment 1.37 3.69 3.52 1.62 Profitable segment. Generates high volume of business. Segment: US$10 thousand in loans and US$20 thousand in deposits Serves small and middle market business with annual sales less than US$1Mn Serves small and microbusinesses, mostly personal and family businesses, wahich are offered standard and simple products Consumer Exclusive Commercial Small Business Total Net Income (US$MM) 6.3 6.3 1.8 3.7 18.1 Share / Ret. Bank. (%) 35% 35% 10% 20% 100% Loans (US$MM) 200.8 633.0 170.9 202.8 1,207.5 Share / Ret. Bank. (%) 17% 52% 14% 17% 100% Deposits (US$MM) 1,239.1 1,050.2 299.2 216.9 2,805.4 Share / Ret. Bank. (%) 44% 37% 11% 8% 100% Figures as of March 2005

Market Share by product Dec 02 Dec 03 Dec 04 Mar-05 Credit Cards 25.1% 21.2% 27.0% 26.5% Total Mortgages 38.8% 37.3% 36.8% 39.6% Mortgages 40.5% 40.5% 40.4% 44.1% Mivivienda 15.4% 19.4% 24.5% 25.6% RETAIL BANKING (II) BCP s makert share in Credit Cards increase in March-04 due to the incorporation of Solución s card. BCP s loans increased from US$126Mn in Dec- 02 to US$248Mn in March 05, reaching 26.5% market share. Main competitors in Credit Cards are CMR with 15.7% (US$147Mn), Interbank with 13.9% (US$131Mn) and Fincor with 10.8% (US$102Mn) as of March 2005. BCP s market share in Mortgages increase in January 05 due to the incorporation of Bank Boston loan portfolio. BCP is leader with 44.1%, followed by BBVA with 29.1% and BWS with 8.9%. BCP s loans grew from US$454Mn in Dec-03 to US$542Mn in March 05. In Mi Vivienda, BCP is leader with 25.6%, followed by BBVA with 18.8% and BWS with 14.2%. BCP s loans increased from US$12Mn in Dec-02 to US$100Mn in March 05. Source: Superintendencia de Banca y Seguros 600 550 500 450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 Dic-02 Feb-03 Total loans by products in US$ Milliion Abr-03 Jun-03 Ago-03 Oct-03 Dic-03 Feb-04 Abr-04 Jun-04 Ago-04 Oct-04 Dec-04 Feb-05 Credit Cards Mortgages MiVivienda March 05 16

RETAIL BANKING (III) Market Share in micro-businesses ( PYME ) 180 Market Share- PYME Loans 160 140 120 Dec 02 Dec 03 Dec 04 Mar-05 100 Pyme loans 19.5% 19.9% 18.0% 17.7% 80 * Includes loans from BCP, BSCH Perú and Solución 60 Dec- 02 Mar- 03 Jun- 03 Set- 03 Dec- 03 Mar- 04 Jun- 04 Sep- 04 Dec- 04 Mar- 05 * Includes loans from BCP, BSCHPeru and Solucion BCP s market share in Pyme Loans decreased after the merger with Solución Financiera in March 04 from 18.7% to 17.6%. BCP s current loans increased from US$102Bn in Dec-02 to US$164Bn in March-05. Main competitors in Pyme Loans are Banco del Trabajo with 12.4% and Mi Banco with 9.8%. From Dec 2003, we see a decrease in total banks market share and an increase in Regional Cajas market share (from 48.4% in Dec 03 to 50.4% in March 05). Source: Superintendencia de Banca y Seguros 17

DISTRIBUTION NETWORK (I) Use of electronic channels reduce operating costs. It creates alternatives for client services The total number of ATMs in the system as of March-05 is 1,600. BCP is leader with 531 ATMs, reaching 33.2% market share, folllowed by Interbank with 432 ATMs (27.0%) and BBVA with 304 ATMs (19.0%). From Dec-02 to March-05, Interbank increased its number of ATMs by 264 By March 05, BCP has 208 offices followed by BBVA with 185, BWS with 106 and Interbank with 102 offices Market Share by Offices March 2005 N of ATMs and daily Averg. Oper. by ATMs 500 400 300 200 100 379 195 385 228 397 223 466 230 517 191 531 175 Number of ATMs Daily Aver. N of oper. by ATMs Others 27.8% BCP 25.0% 00 01 02 03 04 March 05 45% 35% ATM's market share Interbank 12.3% BWS 12.7% BBVA 22.2% 25% 15% 5% Ene- 03 Abr- 03 Jul- 03 Oct- 03 Ene- 04 Abr- 04 Jul- 04 Oct- 04 Ene- 05 Credito Interbank BBVA-Continental BWS Mar05 18

DISTRIBUTION NETWORK (II) NUMBER OF TRANSACTIONS Monthly Average 2002 (1) Monthly Average 2003 (2) Monthly Average 2005 (3) (In thousands) Monthly CAGR (%) Average 2004 Mar05/Dic02 Teller 6,167 6,730 6,790 6,598 3.0 A.T.M 2,621 2,955 2,942 2,759 2.3 Internet Banking 1,313 2,140 2,675 2,912 42.4 Telecrédito 882 1,314 1,704 1,676 33.0 P.O.S. 1,019 1,265 1,308 1,383 14.5 Telephone Banking 554 603 680 700 11.0 Saldos Via BCP 1,620 1,837 1,919 1,741 3.2 Direct Debit 215 211 227 205-2.1 ATM - Other banks' networks 101 117 118 136 14.1 TOTAL 14,492 17,172 18,364 18,110 10.4 (1) Does not include BSCH Peru transactions (2) Does not include BSCH Peru transactions during the first 2 months of the year (3) January - March period 2005 100% 80% USE OF ELECTRONIC CHANNELS 97% 51% 46% 43% 41% 60% 40% 49% 54% 57% 59% 20% 0% 3% 1993 2001 2002 2003 2004 Electronic Channels Teller and Phone Banking 19

BCP S RATIOS and FIGURES 20

65% 60% 61.7% EFFICIENCY 59.1% 61.6% BCP CONSOLIDATED Financial Highlights 56.8% 120 100 94.3 NET INCOME (US$ MN) 98.7 97.3 55% 50% 45% 80 60 40 20 59.6 30.6 20.3 52.2 67.2 42.1 40% 2002 2003 2004 2005-I 0 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005-I Figures are in Peruvian GAAPs 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 9.7 24.1 45.7 NET INCOME (US$ MN) 59.8 91.3 111.4 43.7 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005-I PROFITABILITY 20% 10% 0% 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005-I ROAE 10.2% 12.0% 14.9% 13.9% 23.7% ROAA 0.9% 1.0% 1.3% 1.3% 2.4% 2.5% 2.0% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0% Figures are in IFRS ROAE ROAA 21

9.1 9.5 8.8 8.1 8.6 7.6 BCP CONSOLIDATED Loan portfolio quality Past due Ratio (%) Coverage Ratio (%) 179 177 205 6.1 4.9 3.7 3.2 3.4 2.7 BCP consolidated BCP w/o Bolivia 94 98 115 105 119 109 125 152 160 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005-I 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005-I 18% 15% 12% 9% 6% 3% 0% Past due loans + Refinance Ratio (%) 14.2% 15.7% 15.1% 12.7% 9.5% 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 Mar-05 8.5% Past due loans+refinanced loans as percentage of total loans 21% 18% 15% 12% 9% 6% 3% 0% Substandard loans (C+D+E) /Total Risk Ratio (%) 18.9% 17.3% 15.3% 13.6% 10.0% 8.3% 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 Mar-05 Substandard loans(c+d+e) / Total Risk 22

BCP CONSOLIDATED Deposits and Loans structure Deposits US$ 6,029 Mn Demand 32% CTS 9% Time 33% Savings 26% Figures as of March 2005 Loans US$ 4,367 Mn Middle Mkt 25% Corporate 41% Retail 34% Mortgages 18% PYME 9% Consumer 4% Credit cards 4% 23

BCP PERU Loans by Segments BCP Perú * Dec 01 Dec 02 Dec 03 Dec. 04 Mar.05 US$ Million CAGR(%) M 05/ D 01 Commercial 2,400 2,570 2,689 2,594 2,778 4.6 Credit cards/consumer 211 194 243 271 275 8.5 Mortgages 240 347 494 575 643 35.4 Micro-Businesses 71 103 141 170 174 31.8 Total 2,922 3,214 3,567 3,609 3,870 6.7 Dec 01 Dec 02 Dec 03 Dec.04 Mar.05 Charge offs 93 117 141 85 11 Recoveries 114 102 111 97 26 Total 207 219 252 182 37 * Includes Financiera Solución 24

US$Millions BCP CONSOLIDATED Interest, Fees and Non-interest Income 600 500 400 300 507 59 120 26% 524 537 53 50 135 155 534 59 162 599 593 78 66 187 33% 198 CAGR:10.5% 9% 200 100 0 328 336 332 313 334 329 130 142 11 10 49 45 75 91 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2004-I 2005-I Financ. Margin Fees Other non int. Inc. 25

BCB has improved its results by following an aggresive provision requirements. Its loan portfolio has been cleaned-up BCB is overcapitalized and in a unique position to growth taking advantage of the market opportunities. (US$MM) 2002 2003 2004 2005-I Total Assets 475 446 457 454 Net Equity 57 56 60 60 Deposits 383 338 333 350 Mkt. Shr. (%) 12.7 12.3 12.4 12.9 Loans 313 310 320 319 Mkt. Shr. (%) 11.7 12.2 13.1 12.4 PDLs / Loans (%) 21.6 20.7 11.0 10.4 Avrg. Bolivian Bank. Syst. (%) 17.6 16.7 14.0 15.5 Reserves / PDLs (%) 62.5 76.7 100.6 102.1 Avrg. Bolivian Banking Syst. (%) 63.7 74.0 84.3 73.6 Net Income 0.0 1.5 4.8 0.9 26

CREDICORP S OTHER SUBSIDIARIES 27

ATLANTIC SECURITY HOLDING Increased the contribution of fee income (Fund administration and brokerage services). Managed funds increased from US$664Mn in Dec. 2003 to US$774Mn in March 2005. Re-balance investment portfolio to lower market risk. Lower profitability but more stable results and support of net equity (US$MM) 2002 2003 2004 2005-I Net equity 100 85 89 102 -Unrealized Gain/losses on invest. -7.4 10.9 9.9 8.1 -Dividends paid to Credicorp -25.0-26.7 - - Deposits 544 629 686 720 Net loans 160 152 149 153 Investments 314 430 519 514 Managed Funds 521 664 747 774 ROE (%) 1.6 9.2 14.9 13.3 Net Income* 1.6 7.8 13.3 3.4 28

(US$MM) 2002 2003 2004 2005-I Net Equity 95 109 143 170 Total premiums 244 289 362 84 General Insurance 124 166 169 39 Health Insurance* 53 24 79 20 Life Insurance 67 99 114 25 Technical Reserves 254 338 443 487 Net Income 10 11 27 2.9 Net claims/net prem. Earned (%) 73 67 68 74 Combined ratio** (%) 103 100 97 99 *Includes insurance for health claims and EPS ** Net claims + Gral. Expenses and commissions / Net premiums. Does not include the life insurance subsidiary Pacifico Vida 29

Growth is limited, it will be following the performance of the economy. Pacifico s property and casualty business have been negatively affected by higher net claims during the quarter Reduction in commercial margins as a result of increased competition Life insurance business will continue growing and increasing its contribution to Pacifico s profitability Increased profitability and attractive growth opportunities in this segment. Higher net claims in the health insurance line due to increase in business volumes including Novasalud Consolidation in this segment as a result of acquisition of Novasalud, with opportunities to increase cross selling and improve operational efficiencies 30

3. CREDICORP EARNINGS CONTRIBUTION (US$MM) 2002 2003 2004 2005-I Banco de Crédito 59.8 91.3 111.4 43.7 Atlantic Security Bank 1.6 7.8 13.3 3.4 Pacífico Peruano Suiza 7.0 3.3 9.6 2.2 Tequendama (1) -4.4 0.1 1.9 0.0 Credicorp and Others (2) -21.6-21.9-5.5-5.7 Net Income 42.4 80.6 130.7 43.6 (1) Does not Include provisions on Tequendama s investment and provisions for loan portfolio transferred to Credicorp and Others line (2) Includes Inversiones Credito and Credicorp, other provisions for contingencies and expenses, and Goodwill Amortization from year 2002 to 2004. 31

4. CREDICORP OVERVIEW Credicorp s results are ahead of management expectations: Positive trends in most of the subsidiaries: The outlook for this year is highly satisfactory. Lower provisioning requirements for BCP s loan portfolio, higher net interest income and growth of fee income. Bank Boston loan portfolio is starting to pay off Rigid operating cost control in BCP Lower provisioning requirements for ASB s investment portfolio. ASH s focus has concentrated on increasing its fee income related to wealth management business and lower risk profile in its proprietary investments. BCB required lower levels of provisioning. Loan portfolio clean-up concluded. PDL and Coverage are better than the average of the system. Its contribution was positive during the quarter. PPS results were affected mainly by higher net claims in P&C businesses and in the health insurance line due to increase in business volumes after incorporation of Novasalud. Management expects that Prima AFP will generate US$10 million loss during the year. Break even after 2 or 3 years of operations. 32

Safe Harbor for forward-looking statements This material includes forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. All statement other than statements of historical information provided herein are forward-looking and may contain information about financial results, economic conditions, trends and known uncertainties. The Company cautions readers that actual results could differ materially from those expected by the Company, depending on the outcome of certain factors, including, without limitation: (1) adverse changes in the Peruvian economy with respect to the rates of inflation, economic growth, currency devaluation, and other factors, (2) adverse changes in the Peruvian political situation, including, without limitation, the reversal of market-oriented reforms and economic recovery measures, or the failure of such measures and reforms to achieve their goals, and (3) adverse changes in the markets in which the Company operates, including increased competition, decreased demand for financial services, and other factors. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forwardlooking statements, which speak only as of the date hereof. The Company undertakes no obligation to release publicly the result of any revisions to these forward-looking statements which may be made to reflect events or circumstances after the date hereof, including, without limitation, changes in the Company s business strategy or planned capital expenditures, or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events. 33

Merrill Lynch Lima, May 24, 2005 Walter Bayly Chief Financial Officer 34