Development of the Client-Focused, Capital-Efficient Business Model

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Transcription:

Development of the Client-Focused, Capital-Efficient Business Model David Mathers, Chief Operating Officer, Investment Bank at the UBS Financial Services Conference, New York, May 12, 2010

Cautionary statement Cautionary statement regarding forward-looking and non-gaap information This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements involve inherent risks and uncertainties, and we might not be able to achieve the predictions, forecasts, projections and other outcomes we describe or imply in forward-looking statements. A number of important factors could cause results to differ materially from the plans, objectives, expectations, estimates and intentions we express in these forward-looking statements, including those we identify in "Risk Factors" in our Annual Report on Form 20-F for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2009 filed with the US Securities and Exchange Commission, and in other public filings and press releases. We do not intend to update these forward-looking statements except as may be required by applicable laws. This presentation contains non-gaap financial information. Information needed to reconcile such non-gaap financial information to the most directly comparable measures under GAAP can be found in Credit Suisse Group's first quarter report 2010. Slide 2

Key themes Client-focused, capital-efficient strategy delivers results Opportunities remain to grow high-return businesses Market and regulatory environment Slide 3

Credit Suisse Group: Industry leading return on equity with lower risks Core results in CHF bn 1Q10 4Q09 3Q09 2Q09 1Q09 Net revenues 9.0 6.5 8.9 8.6 9.6 Pre-tax income 2.9 1.3 2.6 1.6 3.1 Net income attributable to shareholders 2.1 0.8 2.4 1.6 2.0 Diluted earnings per share in CHF 1.63 0.56 1.81 1.18 1.59 Cost / income ratio 1) 68% 77% 69% 69% 71% Return on equity 22% 8% 25% 18% 23% Net new assets in CHF bn 26.0 12.5 16.7 6.2 8.8 Underlying results Net revenues 8.9 6.8 9.0 9.8 8.9 Pre-tax income 2.8 2.1 3.0 3.1 2.4 Net income 2.0 1.4 2.3 2.5 1.5 Return on equity 22% 15% 24% 27% 17% 1. Excludes the impact of movements in spreads on own debt Slide 4

Investment Banking with stable income and high returns Investment Banking (CHF bn) 1Q10 4Q09 3Q09 2Q09 1Q09 Net revenues 5.3 3.3 5.3 6.3 6.1 Pre-tax income 1.9 1.3 2.0 1.9 2.0 Pre-tax income margin 35% 39% 38% 31% 34% Pre-tax return on economic capital 38% 27% 40% 37% 38% Risk weighted assets (USD bn) 144 140 137 139 154 Average 1-day VaR (USD m) 99 93 84 133 180 Note: Results exclude the impact of movements in spreads on own debt Slide 5

The client-focused, capital-efficient Investment Bank Strategy implementation Delivering sustainable high returns with lower risk Responding proactively to a changing environment (clients, markets and regulation) Complement and support our Private Banking and Asset Management divisions delivering results Consistent average quarterly results since 1Q09 Revenues of CHF 5.2 bn and pre-tax income of CHF 1.8 bn Return on capital of 36% Realignment of capital, people and technology towards client flow businesses Substantial reduction in risk Strategy supports our reputation as a stable and conservatively managed counterparty Continued focus on collaboration and crossbank revenue generation Note: Results exclude the impact of movements in spreads on own debt Slide 6

Reallocation of capital to high-return, growth businesses combined with aggressive risk reduction Average economic risk capital (ERC) CHF bn Key Client Repositioned 37 10 15 12 4Q07 (47)% Risk-weighted assets (RWA) USD bn Exit Key Client 236 100 (39)% 20 9 7 3 1Q10 144 Aggressive reduction of risk and allocated capital ERC reduced by 47% RWAs reduced by 39% Value-at-Risk reduced by 54% Significant reallocation of resources to high-returning, client-focused businesses Proportion of ERC allocated to key client businesses increased from 26% to 47% Repositioned Exit 95 40 4Q07 80 47 17 1Q10 Release remaining capital in exit portfolio for reinvestment into client businesses Note: Numbers in the charts may not add up to the total due to rounding Slide 7

Key client businesses with revenue growth and improved returns Total sales & trading and underwriting revenues CHF bn 10.6 13.8 17.8 17.1 4.0 2007 2008 2009 1Q10 Total sales & trading and underwriting pre-tax return on economic risk capital 28% 49% 122% 115% 103% Key client businesses include those that have been historically strong and core to our strategy Client-focused, capital-efficient Less volatile, less complex, more liquid Revenue growth and improved market share across most of these businesses Improved returns driven by our disciplined approach to capital allocation 2007 2008 2009 1Q10 annualized = Market rebound revenues, resulting from normalized market conditions from 4Q08 Note: Results exclude the impact of movements in spreads on own debt Slide 8

Repositioned businesses delivering turnaround Total sales & trading and underwriting revenues CHF bn 4.6 (4.5) 5.4 4.8 1.2 2007 2008 2009 1Q10 Total sales & trading and underwriting pre-tax return on economic risk capital 41% 4% 34% 40% (64%) 2007 2008 2009 1Q10 annualized = Market rebound revenues, resulting from normalized market conditions from 4Q08 Repositioned businesses include historically strong franchises, where fundamental changes were required Lower risk profile, more client-focused, more liquid Greater focus on risk-adjusted profitability Includes leveraged finance and emerging markets trading, among others Turnaround in both revenues and returns in these businesses, but still scope for further growth Note: Results exclude the impact of movements in spreads on own debt Slide 9

Consistent, high returns validate the strength of our strategy Pre-tax return on economic capital in Investment Banking 38% 37% 40% 27% 38% Client-focused, capital-efficient strategy, combined with significant risk reduction and reallocation of capital, has resulted in strong and stable returns Meaningful market share gains achieved in key businesses Opportunities remain to grow highreturn businesses without significant risk increase 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 Maintain superior return on capital Note: Excluding impact of movements in spreads on own debt Slide 10

Key themes Client-focused, capital-efficient strategy delivers results Opportunities remain to grow high-return businesses Market and regulatory environment Slide 11

Looking ahead: Sustaining and extending our client-focused, capital-efficient business model Expand our flow businesses in fixed income Extend our strong position in equities Further strengthen advisory and underwriting businesses; building our leading position in leveraged finance Sustain and extend a stable, highreturn, client-focused franchise Potential regulatory developments confirm appropriateness of low risk business model Leading position in emerging markets Slide 12

Significant opportunity to expand flow businesses in FID Business Current Share / Rank Action Objective Credit 19% / #2 1) (US lev loan trading) Headcount expansion across sales and research Build out ecommerce platform 20 planned flow sales hires (+29%); hiring completed Top 2/3 in Americas Top 5 in EMEA 5) Rates 9% - 10% #5 - #6 2) (US Rates) Grow client flows and expand distribution coverage Build out ecommerce platform 40 planned flow sales hires (+34%); 70% completed Top 3 in Americas Top 5 in EMEA and Asia Foreign Exchange #8 3) Broaden client footprint Significant investment in technology; build out ecommerce platform 30 new planned flow sales hires (+39%), hiring completed Top 5 in all regions Emerging Markets #6/#7 among global banks 4) Expand flow sales business and drive client connectivity across regions and with Private Banking 40 planned flow sales hires (+45% of total EMG sales force); 55% completed Top 5 in all regions in flow sales 1. Source: Greenwich Associates 2. Based on Credit Suisse estimates 3. Source: Euromoney 4. Based on an external benchmarking study 5. Americas: Top 2 Loan Trading, Top 3 Lev Fin; EMEA: Top 5 Lev Fin Slide 13

Opportunity to extend our strong position in Equities Business Current Share / Rank Action Objective Prime Services >10% Top 3 1) #1 Prime Broker in Europe 2) Selectively increase client base; continue our differentiated approach to adding new clients Growth plans in listed derivatives, Delta One, fund administration and prime brokerage Continued investment in technology Consolidate our Top 3 market share Cash Equities 12% / #1 3) (Global Cash Secondary) Grow market share and maintain margins Areas of focus include small cap and corporate access Maintain #1 rank with 15% market share Equity Derivatives 8% / #4 4) Equity Derivatives House 5) Expand flow and corporate footprint Build scale in APAC Re-orient product suite, in line with new demands from clients Continue to monitor regulatory changes Top 3 across regions and products Emerging Markets Top 3 6) Capitalize on high-growth potential in targeted regions, particularly intermediating flows between emerging market economies Continue to leverage local market expertise Maintain top 3 ranking 1. Based on Credit Suisse estimates 2. Per EuroHedge s 2009 Prime Brokerage Survey 3. Per leading market share analysis provider 4. Per leading benchmarking firm 5. Per International Financing Review (2009) 6. Based on Credit Suisse estimates Slide 14

Further strengthen Investment Banking Department Current Region Share / Rank Strategic Initiatives Objective Americas 6% / #5 Large cap strategy with differentiated mid cap approach Focus on Latin America and Canada Top 3/5 wallet share EMEA 6% / #4 Develop business in France, Germany, Nordics Consistent top 3 wallet share APAC 4% / #7 Focus on China, Australia Expand M&A capability Consistent top 3 wallet share Emerging Markets 8% / #1 Leverage local market expertise Capitalize on high-growth potential in targeted regions Maintain top position in IBD Note: Current share / rank represents share of wallet YTD as of April 30, 2010; based on fees from products / markets in which CS operates from an IBD perspective Slide 15

Significant revenue growth opportunities remain from improving market share and/or market environment Relative revenue contribution from major business lines Strong Credit Suisse client market share Upside potential Prime services M&A Equity capital markets FX Cash equities Rates Equity deriv. Emerging markets Leveraged finance Commodities RMBS trading Investment grade Relative revenue contribution in 1Q10 Business outlook Worse than historic levels Market environment Better than historic levels Note: Excludes exit businesses Slide 16

Key themes Client-focused, capital-efficient strategy delivers results Opportunities remain to grow high-return businesses Market and regulatory environment Slide 17

Client-focused, capital-efficient business model remains appropriate for an evolving industry and regulatory landscape Credit Suisse position Capital Capital generative model; 16.4% Tier 1 capital ratio Well positioned to accommodate capital charges resulting from regulatory changes OTC Derivatives CS has a more limited presence in many OTC derivative markets and client-focused, capital-efficient strategy has already emphasized flow derivatives Proven expertise in developing electronic trading systems; should be able to benefit from increased volumes in a more transparent exchange-based pricing environment Leverage Reduced balance sheet by 21% from 4Q07 Already well in excess of 2013 Swiss minimum leverage ratio Liquidity Long-standing conservative approach to liquidity has been developed further in recent years; strong and stable deposit base has been augmented with additional term unsecured debt Long term debt duration lengthened to 6.5 years (vs. 4.9 years at end 2006) Incremental costs of our liquidity approach already substantially reflected in current financial results Slide 18

Significant potential to further develop client-focused, capitalefficient business model Business model adjusted early Realignment of capital, people and technology with substantial reduction in risk Strategy delivers results Significant improvements in returns on capital from historic levels Continued commitment Grow high return, client-focused businesses Well positioned Market and regulatory developments support the appropriateness of strategy Generate superior returns, continue to expand market position and adapt to regulatory changes Slide 19

Slide 20