RBC Capital Markets 2009 Technology, Media & Communications Conference

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Transcription:

RBC Capital Markets 2009 Technology, Media & Communications Conference San Francisco, CA Brent Whittington, Executive Vice President and CFO June 10, 2009

Safe Harbor Statement Safe Harbor Statement Windstream claims the protection of the safe-harbor for forward-looking statements contained in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements, including statements regarding Windstream's financial guidance for 2009, are subject to uncertainties that could cause actual future events and results to differ materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are based on estimates, projections, beliefs and assumptions that Windstream believes are reasonable but are not guarantees of future events and results. Actual future events and results of Windstream may differ materially from those expressed in these forward-looking statements as a result of a number of important factors. Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contemplated above include, among others: further adverse changes in economic conditions in the markets served by Windstream; the extent, timing and overall effects of competition in the communications business; continued access line loss; the impact of new, emerging or competing technologies; the adoption of inter-carrier compensation and/or universal service reforms by the Federal Communications Commission or Congress that results in a significant loss of revenue to Windstream; the risks associated with the integration of acquired businesses or the ability to realize anticipated synergies, cost savings and growth opportunities; the availability and cost of financing in the corporate debt markets; the potential for adverse changes in the ratings given to Windstream s debt securities by nationally accredited ratings organizations; the effects of federal and state legislation, rules and regulations governing the communications industry; material changes in the communications industry generally that could adversely affect vendor relationships with equipment and network suppliers and customer relationships with wholesale customers; unexpected results of litigation; unexpected rulings by state public service commissions in proceedings regarding universal service funds, intercarrier compensation or other matters that could reduce revenues or increase expenses; the effects of work stoppages; the impact of equipment failure, natural disasters or terrorist t acts; earnings on pension plan investments t significantly ifi below our expected long term rate of return for plan assets; and those additional factors under the caption Risk Factors in Windstream s Form 10-K for the quarter ended March 31, 2009. In addition to these factors, actual future performance, outcomes and results may differ materially because of more general factors including, among others, general industry and market conditions and growth rates, economic conditions, and governmental and public policy changes. Windstream undertakes no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. The foregoing review of factors that could cause Windstream's actual results to differ materially from those contemplated in the forward-looking statements should be considered in connection with information regarding risks and uncertainties that may affect Windstream'ss future results included in Windstream's s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission at www.sec.gov. Regulation G Disclaimer This presentation includes certain non-gaap financial measures. On the Windstream investor relations web site, the company has posted additional information regarding these non-gaap financial measures, including a reconciliation of each of such measure to the most directly comparable GAAP measure. The Investor Relations Web site is located at www.windstream.com/investors. 2

Windstream is. A COMMUNICATIONS AND ENTERTAINMENT PROVIDER with Significant Scale and Profitability Windstream Business Overview Favorable Rural Markets As of 3/31/09 Geographically Diverse Serving 16 States Access Lines: 3M 1M Business (1) Customers Residential Customers 2M Long-distance customers: 2M High-speed Internet customers: 1M Digital TV customers: 295K Notes: (1) Includes wholesale and special circuits (2) Operating Income Before Depreciation and Amortization (3) Free cash flow is defined as net cash from operations less capital expenditures Pro Forma Financial Data (LTM 3/31/09) Revenue: $3.1B OIBDA (2) : $1.6B Free Cash Flow (3) : $756M 3

Markets with Favorable Rural Characteristics Rural Markets Less Competitive Than Urban Fragmented Competitive Environment 120 Access Lines per Square Mile 111 Cable Overlap (% of access lines) 100 80 Other 30% Time Warner 29% 60 45 54 40 20 0 11 16 19 (1) 31 CTL FTR WIN FRP EQ CNSL Non-Rural Carrier Average Following the upcoming CTL/EQ and FTR/VZ transactions, WIN will have the fewest access lines per square mile Cox 3% Mediacom 3% Insight 4% Charter 9% ~60% of lines have voice competition Comcast 12% ~75-80% of lines have broadband competition Notes: (1) Windstream access lines excludes CATV and CLEC lines Source: Public filings and investor presentations 4

Windstream Business Model Focus on Sustaining Free Cash Flow Strategic Objectives Focus on free cash flow accretive activities Transform business to broadband model Operating Objectives Increase competitiveness with sales and marketing initiatives Drive 3 core products (broadband, digital TV and voice) Financial Objectives Aggressively manage expenses and capex Sustain free cash flow 5

Focus on Free Cash Flow Accretive Activities Executing an Opportunistic Growth Strategy July 2006 August 2007 November 2007 February 2008 August 2008 May 2009 Alltel Spin-off Acquired Valor Communications Acquired CT Communications Split-off Publishing Business in a $525M tax free transaction Authorized $400M Share Repurchase Plan Repurchased $233M to date Completed the Sale of Former CT Wireless Business for ~$60M in Cash Announced acquisition of D&E Communications Improving Windstream s Financial Profile While Positioning the Company to Focus Entirely on Core Products 6

Acquisition of D&E Communications Increases Windstream Scale and Operating Efficiency Overview of D&E Communications Provides voice, long distance, high-speed Internet, and video services to customers in Pennsylvania Total access lines: 165,000, of which ~47,000 are CLEC Total broadband customers: ~44,000 - BB 100% availability to ILEC lines - ~ 50% of BB footprint can get up to10mb speeds Financial Data (LTM 3/31/09) - Revenue: $148M - EBITDA: $64M Strategic Rationale Transaction improves Windstream s position: -Free cash flow accretive in first full year -Lowers dividend payout ratio and leverage ratio -Maintains Windstream s strong balance sheet Provides opportunity to generate approximately $25m annual synergies as well as reductions in capital expenditures Nearly doubles WIN s operating presence in PA Favorable competitive position Pro Forma Coverage Transaction Overview Total transaction value of ~$330M D&E shareholders will receive 0.650 of Windstream stock and $5 cash for each D&E share Windstream will assume estimated net debt of ~$171M Windstream intends to finance the acquisition with existing cash and current capacity on its revolver Expect the transaction to close in 2H09 7

Transforming Business to a Broadband Model Network Positioned to Drive Incremental Revenue Leveraging Existing Infrastructure to Increase Sales Opportunities Upgraded our core network to increase capacity, speed and reliability Selling add-on services to drive incremental revenue - Security suite - Home networking - Video on demand Essentially doubled Internet speeds with deployment of ADSL2+ in 2008 Increasing Broadband ARPU with Faster Internet Speeds Over 72% of 1Q09 gross adds subscribed to 3Mb or faster Internet speeds vs 42% in 1Q08 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% Internet Speed Availability (% of Total Addressable Lines) 1.5 Mbps 3.0 Mbps 6.0 Mbps 10-12 Mbps 8

Increasing Competitiveness with Sales and Marketing Initiatives Improve Gross Adds with Increased Distribution Channels: Marketing at the local level Door-to-door sales strategy Partnering relationships Focusing on multi-dwelling units -Targeted Greenstreak (1) offering Improve Customer Retention Increasing penetration of bundled products Trained Save Desk Win-back campaigns Improving provisioning and servicing processes Targeted Greenstreak (1) offering Result: Reduced Churn Increased Customer Awareness Improved ARPU (1) Our Greenstreak service offering packages Internet service with a metered voice line 9

Marketing Activities are Leading to Industry Leading Operational Results HSI Penetration of Total Access Lines Video Penetration of Total Access Lines 36% 34% 34% 33% 31% 10% 9% 29% 27% 26% 26% 25% 22% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6% 6% CNSL WIN CTL IWA CBB T FTR EQ Q VZ FRP Year-over-Year Change in Access Lines WIN CTL CBB FTR CNSL VZ Q EQ T FRP -5.3% -6.7% -6.7% -7.1% -8.1% -9.8% -10.2% -10.3% -10.6% WIN IWA Q CNSL FTR T VZ EQ Operational Highlights Added 31k Internet subscribers in 1Q09, bringing our total to over 1M customers At 3/31/09, Internet penetration was ~52% of primary residential lines During 1Q09, we added 21k digital TV subscribers, growing 40.4% YOY Data as of 3/31/09-10.9% 10 Source: Public filings and Analyst Reports

Delivering Solid Financial Results 1Q09 Revenue 1Q09 Expenses (1) 1Q09 OIBDA $755 $800 $370 $380 $385 $413M excluding pension and ice storm $420 M M M 1Q09 1Q08 1Q09 1Q08 1Q09 1Q08 Revenue declined due primarily to fewer access lines, usage declines and lower product sales Growth in HSI and data services offset some of the revenue declines Despite an incremental $29M in pension / ice storm expenses, 1Q09 expenses declined d $10M Expense reductions driven by aggressive expense management and lower usage related expenses (1) Expenses exclude depreciation and amortization. Note: Windstream financial information is presented on a pro forma basis which excludes the wireless business. All dollars in millions 1Q09 OIBDA declined 8%, which included $23M in incremental non-cash pension expense and $6M related to ice storms Normalized for the above, OIBDA decline was only 1% and our OIBDA margin was ~55% 11

Generating Strong and Sustainable Cash Flows Net Cash from Ops Capital Expenditures Free Cash Flow $215 $215 $63 $56 $152 $159 M M M M 1Q09 1Q08 1Q09 1Q08 1Q09 1Q08 Despite top line pressure, net cash from operations was flat YOY at $215M ~ a direct result of aggressive expense management Capital expenditures were $63M, or ~8% of total revenue in 1Q09 Expect 2009 payout ratio of 57% - 63% Driven by lower capex, lower taxes and share repurchases Note: Windstream financial information is presented on a pro forma basis which excludes the wireless business 12

Solid Balance Sheet and Liquidity Position Total Cash of $312M at 3/31/09 Net debt of $5.1B at 3/31/09 - Net Leverage ratio of 3.2x - Windstream will likely maintain leverage around current levels should strategic opportunities arise Manageable debt maturity profile with no significant maturities until 2013 Debt Maturity Schedule (in millions) $2,756 $2,500 $2,000 $2,140 $1,500 $1,000 $500 $0 $457 $24 $24 $21 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Thereafter 13

Why Invest in Windstream? Windstream is: Well-positioned to succeed going forward - Significant scale and profitability ty - Favorable rural markets - Sound capital structure - Strategic flexibility Delivering best in class operational results Delivering solid financial results Named #4 in Business Week s The Best 50 Performers Generating strong sustainable free cash flow Providing an attractive dividend yield 14 14

Reconciliations of Non-GAAP Financial Measures Windstream Corporation Reconciliations of Non-GAAP Financial Measures Net Debt to OIBDA (net leverage ratio) as of March 31, 2009 (Dollars in millions) 2009 Long-term debt, including current maturities $ 5,379.3 Cash and cash equivalents (312.2) 2) Net debt (A) $ 5,067.1 Operating Income for the twelve months ended March 31, 2009 (Dollars in millions) Operating income under GAAP $ 1,088.7 Pro forma adjustments: Impairment loss on assets held for sale 6.5 Merger and integration costs 4.6 Depreciation and amortization 503.1 Pro forma OIBDA from current businesses (B) $ 1,602.9 Net debt to OIBDA from current businesses (A)/(B) 3.2 Three Three for the three months ended March 31, 2009 and 2008 Months Ended Months Ended (Dollars in millions) March 31, 2009 March 31, 2008 Change % Operating income under GAAP $ 252.6 $ 296.3 Pro forma adjustments: Merger and integration costs - 1.6 Depreciation and amortization 132.0 121.6 Pro forma OIBDA from current businesses $ 384.6 $ 419.5 $ (34.9) (8) Free Cash Flow Three (Dollars in millions) Months Ended for the three months ended March 31, 2009 March 31, 2009 Net cash provided from operations $ 215.0 Additions to property, plant and equipment (62.8) Free cash flow $ 152.2 16

Reconciliations of Non-GAAP Financial Measures Windstream Corporation Reconciliations of Non-GAAP Financial Measures Expected Dividend Payout Ratio (Dollars in millions) 2009 Guidance Range Consolidated operating income under GAAP $ 991 - $ 1,056 Depreciation and amortization 494-494 Pro forma OIBDA from current businesses $ 1,485 - $ 1,550 Add: Expected stock based compensation 18 18 Incremental non-cash pension expense 90 90 Pro forma OIBDAf from current tbusinesses adjusted d for non-cash pension expense and expected restricted stock compensation $ 1,593 - $ 1,658 Subtract: Expected cash paid for interest expense 393-393 Expected cash taxes 175-200 Expected capital expenditures 320-290 Expected free cash flow (C) $ 705 - $ 775 Expected dividends paid on common shares (D) 441 441 Expected dividend payout ratio (D)/(C) 63% - 57% Notes: OIBDA is operating income before depreciation and amortization. 17