Global shipping. One Market. No Barrier for the Open Competition. International Governance under Global Regimes/Conventions

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B. S. Park,

Global shipping One Market No Barrier for the Open Competition International Governance under Global Regimes/Conventions Cycle Business : Highs and Lows, 90% Global Trade by Shipping Serious Decision on the Investment 2

Cycles of shipping Bubble Highs & Lows Source : KMI, Joins.com 3

Recent Development on the Shipping Anti-Shipping Trend is Growing : More Liabilities onto the shipping. Up Sizing of the Ship Complexity of Shipping Chain-Chartering and FFA Pressure on Green Management on Ship s Operation & Design. The Shift in the Global Shipping/Shipbuilding base from the West to the East 4

Risk & Insurance for Marine Adventure Vessel - Hull & Machinery ---H&M -War & Strike ------W&S Insured Value-Insurance Terms & Conditions Terms & Conditions( Policy) Insured Value Trading Limit War & Strikes Insurance Cargo Cargo Insurance--- CARGO INSURANCE Liabilities --- P & I Insurance (Marine Mutual) Crew-Cargo- FIFO- ¼ RDC- Passenger and others- Oil Pollution-Wreck Removal * Protection & Indemnity( P & I ) CIF Value x 110% ( Insured Value) Terms and Conditions Assured/Co-Assured Terms & Conditions ( P&I Rules) Mutual or Fixed Unlimited or Limited Liabilities 5

Global Marine Insurance Premium by line of Business Source : IUMI, report2010 Total estimated including not reported : 23.6 USD billion 6

The Shipowners Liabilities Covered by P&I Insurance P&I (Protection & Indemnity Insurance) provided liability cover 95% of the world s ocean going tonnage entered with P&I Clubs. Providing liability cover for the owners, charterers, incidental to owning, use and operating of the ships. Each club controlled by each club members. + 13 Group P&I Clubs Cartel-IGA 7

Role of P&I Clubs Liability Cover and Financial G tee For the entered tankers : CLC, OPA 1990 (Cert. of Financial Responsibility) For entered non-tankers : Bunker Convention, For the entered Ships - HNS For the entered Ships Wreck Removal Convention 2001, Ship Recycling Convention, Ballast Water Convention. Rotterdam Rules 8

Surge of Shipowners Liabilities A B C D E F by the Convention-driven by the Technology- advances: wharf/wreck recovery from the deeper seas by the Increase of the costs/expenses relating to the liabilities by the Upsizing of ships by Human elements by the legal Precedents against the Shipping G Curtail/deprive an exemption clause from liabilities. 9

Limitation of Liabilities & Int l Legal Regimes for the Maritime Claims Property/Personal Injury/death Oil Pollution *Environment and Safety Passenger Shipping/Sea Transportation LLMC1976 Protocol 1996 Wreck Removal Convention 2007 CLC1992 FC1992, Suppl. Fund Protocol, 2003 Bunker Convention 2001 HNS Convention 1996 Ship Recycling Convention, 2009 Ballast Water Convention, 2004 Athens Convention 1974, Protocol 1996 Hague Visby Rule 1968 Hamburg Rule1978 Rotterdam Rule 2009 10

Compulsory Insurance for the Liabilities in the Int l conventions Maintain compulsory insurance or financial security. Allow the claimant to bring direct action against the insurers for compensation. the Convention provides for a ship owner to be strictly liable for damage caused by. CLC,1969)+1971 IOPC(Fund) LLMC 1976, 1996 Bunker Convention,2001 NHS (Convention On Hazardous and Noxious Substances) Convention,1996 Wreck Removal Convention,2007 11

Conventions creek LLMC Protocol, 1999 CLC 1992 + Supplementary FC, 2003 Wreck Removal Convention 2007 Rotterdam Rules 2009 Bunker Convention 2001 ( Nov. 21, 2008) 12

LLMC 1976, 1996 Protocol 13 May 2004 in force ( Limitation of Liability for Maritime Claims) GRT Non-Passenger Property Damage Passenger 76LLMC 96LLMC 76LLMC 96LLMC 76LLMC 96LLMC Less 333,000 501~2000 2,001~3,000 3,001~30,000 +500/ton (1,583,000SDR) +333/ton (10,574,000SDR) 2,000,000 (SDR) +800/ton (24,400,000SDR) 167,000(SDR) +167/ton (5,093,500SDR) 1,000,000(SDR) +400/ton (12,200,000SDR) *46,666SDR or 25,000,000 SDR whichever the less *1,000 Passenger 25mill SDR *250,000SDR ~ 400,000SDR Whichever the less 175mill SDR 30,001~70,000 +250/ton (20,574,000SDR) +600/ton (48,400,000SDR) +125/ton (10,093,500SDR) +300/ton (24,200,000SDR) OVER 70,000 +167/ton (SDR) +400/ton(SDR) +83/ton(SDR) +200/ton(SDR) 13

Liability on Oil Pollution : CLC & IOPC(FC) THIRD TIER Oil receivers after sea transport 2003 Supplementary Fund Protocol Supplementary Fund SECOND TIER Oil receivers after sea transport 1992 Fund Convention 1992 Fund: IOPC Fund FIRST TIER Shipowners 1992 Civil Liability Convention Insurers/P&I Clubs 14

Max. Amounts of Compensation under the Convention US$ Million, as at Feb. 2009 / Source: ITOPF TANKER S GROSS TONNAGE 1969 CLC 1992 CLC (Post-Nov 2003) 1992 FUND (Post-Nov 2003) Supplementary FUND 5,000 1 6.7 302.7 1118 25,000 5 25.5 302.7 1118 50,000 9.9 49 302.7 1118 100,000 19.8 96 302.7 1118 140,000 20.9 133.9 302.7 1118 15

Wreck Removal Convention, 2007 Permits state party to take measures on the wreck within EEZ. Limit Liability pursuant to any applicable regime. ( No specific Reference) Liabilities in conflict with other IMO conventions, such as CLC, HNS and Bunker Oil Pollution LLMC 1976, exclude rights of limit on wreck removal. Compulsory Insurance over 300 grt SCOPIC( Special Compensation of P&I Club) 16

4,419teu MSC Napoli( 62,000dwt), 18 Jan. 2007, off the U.K. coast. How much costs for the wreck removal/ Salvage operation?? 30 months, $149 mill?? Towed-Beached-Oil Spilt-Oil Removal- Salvage & Clean up Operation-Break up of the Wreck-Disposal. 17

P&I Costs of wreck Removal PY Vessel Name Type Build G/T Location Date Loss Amount (USD) 2006 Rokia Delmas Container Ro-Ro Cargo Ship 1985 32924 France La Palilice 46-08N,01-25W 2006.10.24 75m 2006 MSC Napoli 4,419 ton F. Container 1991 53409 English Channel 2007.01.18 149m 2007 New Flame Bulk carrier 1994 26824 1km south of Europa Point, Gibraltar 2007.08.12 135m 2008 Fedra Bulk Carrier 1984 35886 Europa Point, Gibraltar 2008.10.10 30m 18

Rotterdam Rule, 2009 The Convention on Contracts for the International Carrying of Goods Wholly or Partly by Sea. 1924 Hague Rule 1968 Hague Visby Rule 1978 Hamburg Rule Final Draft adopted by the U.N. (2008. 12.11 ) UNCITRAL : The Convention on Contracts for the International Carrying of Goods Wholly or Partly by Sea.) Signing Ceremony was held in Sept., 2009 in Rotterdam 85 YEARS PRACTICES since 1924 Hot debating is still on going : Whether the International Leading Ship owners /Advanced Shipping Nations would support. The devil we know is better than the devil we don t know/20 countries signed/ Yet rectified? 19

Hague Visby Rules vs the Rotterdam Rule, 2009 Requirement of Due Diligence for Seaworthiness during the voyage.(from--before and at the commencement of the voyage) Significant Increase of the Package Limitation (875SDR per Package or, 3 SDR/Kg, whichever the greater). ( from--- 666.67 SDR/2 SDR/Kg) Nautical Error/Negligence Exception. Time Bar to two years.( ---from One Year) 20

Potential Loss/Liability of 14,500TEU?? Worst case scenario (based on Emma Maersk /Munich Re figures) Cargo (14,500 TEU X USD100,000) USD 1,450,000,000 Containers (14,500 TEU X USD4,000) USD 58,000,000 Hull USD 145,000,000 P&I (eg. Life/pollution/salvage) USD 500,000,000 21

Impact on P&I Costs? Claims Pressure--- Unstable Financial Position More Free Reserve required Competition on the new building ships ratings to avert Churn effect Strong Cartel - Restrict on the free move of the membership : Release calls 22

What impact on the P&I Management? Non-profit mutual operation O/s and paid claims+ reinsurance costs+ Pool claims+ management expenses= P&I Calls+ Free Reserves + Investment income 13 Clubs Pooling and Reinsurance Scheme Increase of Claims Payment: Increased crew wage & Cargo Value Liability Claims generated from the New Conventions/Legal case. 23

13 Clubs Average GI per each PY P&I CLUB 2000 American Britannia Steamship Gard Japan London North of England Shipowners' Protection Skuld Standard Steamship Mutual Swedish Club UK Club West of England Group Average KP&I 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 26.0 2 17.5 2 29.0 4.2 60 40 70 20 50 0 0 0 20 0 35 0 30 0 25 20 25 1.2600 1.2500 1.1750 1.2000 1.2900 1.0417 28.8 1 8.5 7.5-2.5 23.8 12.5 1.2880 1.1500 1.0850 1.0750 0.9750 1.2384 1.1250 2 1.2500 27.5 1.2750 2 1 1.1500 19.2 1.1917 2 1.2500 2 7.5 1.0750 1 1.1500 17.5 12.5 1.1250 12.5 7.5 1.0750 12.5 1.1250 7.5 7.5 1.0750 7.5 2 1.2000 17.5 1.1750 17.5 1 1.1500 21.2 1.2115 1 1.1500 17.5 12.5 1.1250 1.2500 1.2500 1.1750 1.1250 1.0750 1.0750 1.1750 1.1750 2 1 2 1.2500 1.1500 1.2000 7.5 1.0750 3 1.3000 2 1.2500 2 2 1.2500 2 1.2500 2 1 1.1500 2 1.2000 2 7.5 1.0750 12.5 1.1250 12.5 2.5 1.0250 9.0 7.5 1.0750 1 1.1500 1 1 1.1500 1 1.1500 17.5 3.0 1.0300 1.2500 1.2500 1.2000 1.1250 1.0900 1.1500 1.1750 7.5 1.0750 7.5 1.0750 2 1.2500 2 1.2000 2 2 1.2500 2 1.2500 2 1 1.1500 17.5 1.1750 1 12.5 1.1250 12.5 12.5 1.1250 12.5 7.5 1.0750 7.5 1.0750 1 1.1500 17.5 1.1750 1 1 1.1500 12.5 1.1250 19.2 2.5 2.1500 1.2500 1.2500 1.1500 1.1250 1.1250 1.1500 1.1917 25 115 25 2.3 1.0231 8.7 1.0865 23.6 1.2364 1 1.1500 22.2 1.2224 18.5 1.1850 13.0 1.1296 12.5 1.1250 8.8 1.0885 6.5 1.0654 6.7 1.0665 3.5 1.0350 16.4 1.1645 16.5 1.1649 4.8 1.0478 Club Average Acc. 15.2 4.588 10.3 2.846 9.5 2.676 8.4 2.358 13.9 4.086 13.6 3.996 7.3 2.092 11.1 3.087 12.1 3.405 13.5 3.956 12.0 7.144 12.5 3.578 13.6 3.969 11.8 3.336 7.2 2.117 24

General Increase ( a mandatory Increase in P&I Ratings ) 2000-2010(11 years) : 333.6% of accumulated increase of the P&I Ratings : av. Increase per a year : 21% 2005-2009(5 years) : 168%(accumulative increase) : av. Increase per a year:33.6% 25

Unlimited First Reinstatements General Excess Coinsurance 25% Reinsured by Hydra Unlimited First Reinstatements General Excess Coinsurance 25% Reinsured by Hydra Coinsurance 25% Reinsured by Hydra IG Group P&I Clubs Reinsurance/Pooling Scheme US$ 3,050m Protection and Indemnity US$ 2,050m US$ 1,000m US$ 1,000m Collective Overspill Protection One Reinstatement Third General Excess Unlimited Reinstatements Oil Pollution International Group of P and I Associations General Excess of Loss Reinsurance Contract Structure Owned and Chartered Entries (including Overspill Protection, Hydra Participation, Pooling and Individual Club Retentions) 12 months at Noon GMT 20th February, 2010 US$ 1,050m US$ 550m US$ 500m Second General Excess Unlimited Reinstatements Second General Excess Unlimited Reinstatements Protection and Indemnity and Oil Pollution US$ 50 m US$ 30 m US$ 8m US$ 500m US$ 20m US$ 22m US$ 8m First General Excess Unlimited Reinstatements First General Excess Unlimited Reinstatements Upper Pool Reinsured by by Hydra Lower Lower Pool Pool Individual Club Retention Owned Entries First General Excess Unlimited Reinstatements Primary Charterers RI Lower Pool Pool Individual Club Retention Chartered Entries US$ 300m US$ 35m US$ 7m US$ 8m US$ 350m US$ 50m US$ 15m US$ 8m 26

Pooling Agreement by the 13 IG P&I Clubs - Share Claims : Excess USD 8 mill upto USD30mill( max cover 22mill) US$ 50 m - Group Reinsurance: excess USD50mill upto USD2.05 biil. - Contribution Formula by the 13 Clubs : - 1/3 GRT, - 1/3 Call, - 1/3 Pool Loss Records US$ 30 m US$ 8m US$ 20m US$ 22m US$ 8m Upper Pool Reinsured by Hydra Pool Reinsured by Hydra Lower Lower Pool Pool Pool Individual Club Retention Owned Entries - -Contributory Rtes: 4~14% by each club 27

IG Clubs Pooling Losses(2004-2009) Valued at 20 Feb. 2009 data: Elysian Insurance Pooling Retention:$ 50 million, February 2004 to date Policy Year Number Retention as below Lower Pool Higher Pool* $20 xs 30m Total $50m 2009-10 12 $ 7m 2008-09 6 $ 7m 72.6 1 129.6 2007-08 20 $ 7m 256.3 92.0 488.3 2006-07 33 $ 7m 356.1 10 692.1 2005-06 24 $ 6m 200.5 46.3 390.8 2004-05 29 $ 5m 2008.5 8 433.5 * Reinsured by Hydra since 2005-6 28

(Data : www.elysian.com) Korea P&I (Unit : USD mil) 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Growth(%) Premium Income 2,225 2,352 2,594 2,763 2,943 132 Reinsurance 384 394 444 490 497 129 Claims 1,814 1,788 2,189 2,190 2,158 119 Expenses 296 311 252 305 316 107 Underwriting Result -268-141 -292-249 -28 (-978 mill) Investment Income 214 233 340 225-336 - Overall Result -53 91 48-24 -364 (-302 mill) G/T 586 622 669 717 766 131 F.R 2,022 2,186 2,468 2,513 2,360 117 G/I % 8.8 86.5 6.7 16.4 16.5 29

< USD mil.> < USD mil. > < USD mil. > Korea P&I 800 U/W Result 800 Invest. Income 800 Overall Result 600 600 600 400 400 400 200 200 200 0-200 2006 2007 2008 2009 0-200 2006 2007 2008 2009 0-200 2006 2007 2008 2009-400 -400-400 -600-600 -600-800 -800-800 < USD mil. > Free Reserves 2009 2008 2007 2006 $1,000 $1,500 $2,000 $2,500 $3,000 30 30

13 IG P&I Clubs-U/W results 2005-2009 source: Elysian-insurance (Unit: US $.million) Growth of Call Income : + 718 mill(+132%) 143.6 mill/a year, av.+26.4% per a year U/W Results : -978 mill, av.-195 mill/year Overall Results :-302 mill, av.-60mill/year Claims: +113 mill, (+129%) av.22.6 mill/year.+25%/year General Increase : 2005-2009 : av. 33.6% per year or accumulated +168% Increase av. 21%/year 2000-2010 : av.21% per year or accumulated +336% Increase(av.30.5%/year) 31

Impact on the Liability (P&I) Insurance Continued U/W Losses PY 2008: Six Clubs Un-forecasted Cash Call : more than abt.us$700 mill. Continued Increase of Premium (Call) Burden of Reinsurance Costs : Cruise $250,000~350,000/year/ship, VLCC $250,000, Aframax $150,000 ( US Poll. Surchage $100,000 extra) 32

Prospects On the Liability( P&I )insurance Much More New Convention to emerge Less Exemption / Immunity to be granted for the Shipowners. Harsh Claims handling by the P&I Clubs. More retention/deductibles demanded by the Club/Pool More Burden on the Shipowners Liability. Increase of P&I Costs (General Increase Supplementary Call) 33

Solutions for the less exposure On the Maritime Liabilities A B C D F G H No patent Solutions to Stop the Maritime Liability Claims. Be alert on the Evolution of the Int l Regimes, Keeping up Precedents and Change of Regulations. Enhance the integrity of the internal Risk Management Lobbying on the adverse legislation against the ship owners interests( by the Clubs ) Learn how to wisely deal such Liability Matters via P & I Clubs and other measures. Improve your Terms & Conditions of the Insurance. 34

Q&A Many thanks for your attention!! 35