Thank you For Reading Welcome to the 7th issue of the TradingFibz, LLC weekly supplemental newsletter. Templates now available for purchase and added video each week. At some point in the near future, this publication will be fee based at a nominal price of $10/month. It will remain complimentary to current members of the TradingFibz, LLC trading room.
Index Chart Key Big Picture Key Indices Total Stock Market Index Jason Kelly Holdings Industry Leaders Index Futures Commodity Futures ETF Futures Oil momentum Market Cap leaders FX Pairs Connect with TradingFibz
Markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent. John Maynard Keynes
Disclaimer Trading Stock, Futures, options on stocks/ futures and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. The lower the day trade margin, the higher the leverage and riskier the trade. Leverage can work for you as well as against you; it magnifies gains as well as losses. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
CFTC HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN; IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION, HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK OF ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR TO ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT TRADING RESULTS.
Jesse Livermore said it best (modified gender neutral) The average person doesn t wish to be told that it is a bull or a bear market. What they desire is to be told specifically which particular stock to buy or sell. They want to get something for nothing. They do not wish to work. They do not even wish to have to think..take my charts/comments for the value that it all may go in either direction and always be prepared regardless of where you think it should be.
Is there really a Crystal Ball? While there are a plethora of weekend forecasts of where the market may be headed in the next week, in the end, only a margin of those who claim to know where we are going get it right. The other half get it wrong. Truth is I have no clue and this is the core of my belief to simply trade the charts in front of me. My outlook is simply based on a where we are currently in technical momentum and what you should know may lie ahead or behind whether you are an intraday, short or long term trader.
4hr/Daily/Weekly Chart Key Tutorial walk through HERE on implementation of the charts above
Sierra Charts HACOLT study not available at the current time
3 Studies T3 Tim Tillson s Moving Averages HACOLT Heiken Ashi Candles Long Term Oscillator
Tim Tillson Moving Averages The Triple Exponential Moving Average attempts to offers a moving average with better smoothing then traditional exponential moving average.
HACOLT Rising from 0 or 50 to 100 suggests a Long Entry and Short exit; Falling from 100 to 50 or zero suggests a Long Exit; Falling from 100 or 50 to zero indicates a Short Entry.
So How Do I Time My Entries? You are not a day trader, but you want to have a timely entry intraday into a market that is in TREND and now in a pullback. Utilizing the combination of the 4hr/Daily/Weekly charts with the Intraday charts, the probability of price action to remain in TREND, exponentially increases and decreases an already inherent risk.
Intraday with 4hr/Daily/Weekly Intraday Charts 4hr/Daily/Weekly Charts
Example (FB) 6.17.16. Trend on FB on a 4 hour time frame is upward pullback. Daily in a pullback in an upwards trend. Intraday opportunity presents itself to go short as seen on the charts above on the left. Big picture remains up. Looking to get long on FB? Wait for the intraday setup to change trend upside and the 4 hour chart to cross back upside.
BIG PICTURE
Technical Momentum Outlook Market Indices CLICK HERE
SPX (4hr) Technical Momentum: Remains BULLISH T3 Moving Average: Bullish with a pullback to the 144ema
VIX (4r) Technical Momentum: BULLISH T3 Moving Average: Bullish trend above 50/14ema Low Range: 9.3
Big Picture Technical Momentum Short term BREXIT Aftermath. Long term traders seeking areas of value to buy Investors moving $$$ into US markets Rate hike - Question of when after BREXIT 4 hour index charts in down trend. VIX in the GREEN. Long Term Minor corrections/pullbacks for now. Open Gaps will eventually be closed below signifying market will return to 2015 lows probability increasing but may not happen till 2017. election year? 2017 minor recession?
KEY INDICES
Key Indices T3 Momentum
SPX(SP500) Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
$DXY (Dollar) Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
XAU (Gold/Silver) Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
XOI (Oil Index) Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
NYA (Composite Index) Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
ETF TOTAL STOCK MARKET INDEX
Total Stock Index T3 Momentum
IYY (Dow Jones) Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
VTI (Vanguard) Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
SCHB (Schwab) Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
Jason Kelly Strategy/ETF WATCHLIST/HOLDINGS
Jason Kelly Strategy T3 Momentum
IJR (small cap) Jason Kelly Quarter Signal: BUY to achieve 3% growth Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
MVV (mid cap) Jason Kelly Quarter Signal: BUY to achieve 3% growth Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
ETF s INDUSTRY LEADERS
Industry Leaders T3 Momentum
IYJ (industrials) Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
IYT (transportation) Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
XLB (materials) Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
XLE (energy) Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
XLF (financial) Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
XLK (technology) Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
XLP (consumer staples) Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
XLU (utilities) Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
XLV (health care) Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
Indices FUTURES
Index Futures Daily Stats/Blog/Daily Video CLICK HERE
Index Futures T3 Momentum
ES Watch VIDEO RECAP for upside and downside areas for support and resistance. Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
ES Daily Open Gaps (RTH)
NQ Watch VIDEO RECAP for upside and downside areas for support and resistance. Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
NQ Daily Open Gaps (RTH)
TF Watch VIDEO RECAP for upside and downside areas for support and resistance. Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
TF Daily Open Gaps (RTH)
YM Watch VIDEO RECAP for upside and downside areas for support and resistance. Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
YM Daily - Open Gaps (RTH)
6E Watch VIDEO RECAP for upside and downside areas for support and resistance. Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
Commodities FUTURES
CL Watch VIDEO RECAP for upside and downside areas for support and resistance. Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
CL Daily Open Gaps (RTH)
GC Watch VIDEO RECAP for upside and downside areas for support and resistance. Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
ETF s FUTURES
ETF Futures T3 Momentum
Technical Momentum Outlook ETF s/market Cap Leaders/FX Pairs CLICK HERE
DIA Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
FXE Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
IWM Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
QQQ Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
SPY Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
GLD Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
USO Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
VXX(VIX ETF) Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
OIL Momentum Leveraged, ETFs Coming Soon
EEM (emerging markets) Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
TLT (20yr Bond) Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
Stocks MARKET CAP LEADERS
Market Cap Leaders T3 Momentum
AAPL Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
AMZN Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
FB Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
GOOG Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
NFLX Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
SBUX Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
FX PAIRS
FX Pairs T3 Momentum
AUD/USD Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
EUR/USD Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
GBP/USD Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
USD/CAD Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
USD/CHF Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
USD/JPY Intraday 50/144ema trend will be leading momentum on the 4hr chart to continue trend or counter to key moving averages.
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Where to find me online
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