HIGHLIGHTS. Normalised earnings* $96m, up $70m. Net cash position of $1.1bn. Gearing stable at 46.0% ATW Airline of the Year

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Transcription:

1

HIGHLIGHTS Normalised earnings* $96m, up $70m Net cash position of $1.1bn Gearing stable at 46.0% ATW Airline of the Year Unveiling of new long haul product Airpoints developments 2 * Normalised earnings before taxation after excluding the net impact of derivatives that hedge exposures in other financial periods

MORE STABLE OPERATING ENVIRONMENT Air travel demand bottoming out Lower spot fuel prices, long term upward trend continues More stable foreign exchange rates Competition remains intense NZ$ / US$ 0.80 US$ FOREIGN EXCHANGE FY10 FY9 US$ / BBL 190 JET FUEL SPOT PRICE FY10 FY9 0.75 170 0.70 150 0.65 130 110 0.60 90 0.55 70 0.50 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb 3 50 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb

KEY INFLUENCES ON PROFITABILITY $NZ (m) 300 200 100 26 335 28 29 29 (65) (1) 96 (12) 84 0 (100) (200) (300) (251) (40) (9) 15 (400) Dec 2008 Normalised Yield Traffic Cargo, Contract Labour Fuel P rice Aircraft and Volume Op erations Sales and Marketing Net Finance Costs Net imp act of FX Other Dec 2009 Normalised Hedge Timing Dec 2009 Rep orted Earnings Before Taxation Services & Other Revenue and P assenger Services (Including Hedging) Earnings Before Taxation Adjustment P rofit Before Taxation 4

REVENUE MANAGEMENT 0% (2%) YTD RASK* Change YTD Yield Change JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC JAN (4%) (6%) (8%) (10%) (12%) (14%) (16%) *Revenue per Available Seat Kilometre 5

LONG HAUL PERFORMANCE Passenger demand down 7.3% Capacity reduced by 8.7% Load factor improved 1.2 percentage points to 83.3% Yield down 12.5% Demand remained weak on Asian routes US routes showed signs of recovery 6

LONG HAUL REVENUE MANAGEMENT 0% (2%) YTD RASK* Change Long Haul YTD Yield Change JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC JAN (4%) (6%) (8%) (10%) (12%) (14%) (16%) (18%) (20%) *Revenue per Available Seat Kilometre 7

DOMESTIC PERFORMANCE Demand up 4.8% Capacity relatively unchanged Load factor improved 3.8 percentage points to 77.2% Changing competitive dynamics OTP improved to 87.6%* on time A320s on order in move to a single narrow body fleet grabaseat an effective sales tool for low cost seats 8 * Air New Zealand adheres to a more disciplined 10 min standard than the rest of the market

TASMAN & PACIFIC ISLAND PERFORMANCE Demand down 2.9% Reduced capacity by 10.5% Load factor improved 6.3 percentage points Rotorua/Sydney service launched Sydney to Rarotonga trial service announced Unstable market dynamics persist 9

SHORT HAUL REVENUE MANAGEMENT SHORT Haul YTD RASK* Change YTD Yield Change 0% (2%) JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC JAN (4%) (6%) (8%) (10%) (12%) (14%) *Revenue per Available Seat Kilometre 10

OTHER BUSINESSES Cargo Revenue down on lower volumes and yields Cessation of Freighter lease in March 2009 Engineering businesses continue to increase revenue Marine & Industrial Gas Turbines 11

COST INITIATIVES Network optimised for demand levels Fuel efficiency initiatives continue Employee numbers reduced by 5% since December 2008 Continuous cost management 11,200 Employee Numbers 12 Full time equivalent employees 11,000 10,800 10,600 10,400 10,200 10,000 Jun 2007 Dec 2007 Jun 2008 Dec 2008 Jun 2009 Dec 2009

THE TRAVEL EVOLUTION CONTINUES Worldfirst Long Haul product from November Continue to evolve Tasman/Pacific operations More capacity and everyday low fares for Domestic operation with A320 arrival 13

STRATEGIC PRIORITIES Making the most of any demand upside Promotion and delivery of new long haul product Managing fleet replacement programmes Maintaining our environmental leadership position Further development of Airpoints programme 14

FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT 15 $1.1bn cash, down $0.5bn on June 2009 debt hedge roll over debt payments progress payments fixed asset additions Gearing 46.0%, 1.0% increase on June 2009 Average fleet age of 7.9 years Interim dividend of 3.0 cents per share

AIRCRAFT CAPEX COMMITMENTS $NZm 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 2010 2011 2012 2013 1. Includes progress payments on aircraft and is net of sale and lease back agreements 2. Assumes NZD/USD = 0.7 3. Excludes capitalised maintenance of approximately $50m per annum and non aircraft capex 16

FUEL HEDGING* The second half of FY10 is approx. 90% hedged with the average effective ceiling at US$76 per barrel of WTI crude oil At current prices, the average Singapore Jet fuel price after hedging would be US$85 per barrel for the second half of FY10 compared with US$75 in the first half The first half of FY11 is approx 53% hedged with the average ceiling of US$82 and average floor of US$70 per barrel of WTI crude oil *Fuel hedge position as at 19 February 2010 17

CURRENCY HEDGING Operating cash flow exposure for the second half of FY10 is 91% hedged at an average NZ$/US$ rate of 0.66 The FY11 operating cash flow exposure is 69% hedged at an average NZ$/US$ rate of 0.64 US$466m of future capex commitments are hedged at NZ$/US$ rate of 0.73 spot 18

OUTLOOK Stabilisation and recovery of the trading environment Challenge remains to improve passenger numbers and yields We expect a more normal seasonal balance this year with the second half weaker than the first foreign exchange hedging loss of around $20 million* in the second half compared to a gain of $24 million in the first half We expect the business to remain profitable in the second half 19 *Based on current exchange rates continuing

SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION 20

FINANCIAL OVERVIEW Dollar Percentage INTERIM 2010 INTERIM 2009 movement movement Operating revenue $2,054m $2,419m $(365)m (15%) Normalised earnings* $96m $26m $70m 269% Net profit after tax $56m $24m $32m 133% Adjusted operating cash flow $165m $113m $52m 46% Net cash $1,095m $1,417m $(322)m (23%) Gearing 46.0% 51.9% N/A 5.9 pts Interim Dividend 3.0 cps 3.0 cps * Normalised earnings before taxation after excluding the net impact of derivatives that hedge exposures in other financial periods 21

NORMALISED EARNINGS Earnings before Taxation INTERIM 2010 $84m INTERIM 2009 $14m Reverse net (gains) / losses on derivatives that hedge exposures in other financial periods: Fuel derivatives Foreign exchange derivatives Interest rate derivatives Normalised Earnings before Taxation $1m $11m $96m $101m $(88)m $(1)m $26m 22

AIRCRAFT DELIVERY SCHEDULE Aircraft Type FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 Boeing 777300ER 3 2 Airbus A320 2 2 1 3 4 Boeing 7879 5 23

QUESTIONS 24