Colleen McNally-Murphy Nanis Sakti Ningrum Rabindra Surya Sarah Smith. 06 August 2015

Similar documents
Identifying Demand for Improved Cookstoves (ICS) in West Timor

PRELIMINARY IMPACT OF GLOBAL CRISIS IN INDONESIA

APPENDIX: A SNAPSHOT OF INDONESIAN ECONOMIC INDICATORS

1Q of FY ending December 31, (0.2) (1.9) 11.3 (0.2) (0.2) (0.2) (0.2) (1.2) (89.2) 0.1

Analyze the Market for a Seasonal Bias. It is recommended never to buck the seasonal nature of a market. What is a Seasonal Trend?

Figure 1. Nepal: Recent Fiscal Developments

Rural and Small Farmer Finance - Africa and South Africa

Macroeconomic Outlook: Implications for Agriculture. It has been 26 years since we have experienced a significant recession

Table 1. Components of a basic household basket

SUMMARY OF SELECTED ECONOMIC INDICATORS

Monthly Labour Force Survey Statistics December 2018

Monthly Labour Force Survey Statistics November 2018

Development of Economy and Financial Markets of Kazakhstan

FY ended December 31, 2015 Restated basis *1. Year-on-year change. FY ended December 31, 2016 Forecast *2. Difference (forecast/ actual)

Implementation Status & Results Indonesia FOURTH NATIONAL PROGRAM FOR COMMUNITY EMPOWERMENT IN RURAL AREA (PNPM IV) (P122810)

Six months of FY ending December 31, (0.4) (1.9) 22.5 (0.4) (0.3) (0.4) (0.1) (0.4) (0.7) (2.0) 0.9 (1.

Executive Summary. July 17, 2015

Leading Economic Indicator Nebraska

Income inequality and mobility in Australia over the last decade

41% of Palauan women are engaged in paid employment

Figure 1: Change in LEI-N August 2018

REPORT ON WOMEN S ACCESS TO FINANCIAL SERVICES IN ZAMBIA

LOAN MARKET DATA AND ANALYTICS BY THOMSON REUTERS LPC

Global Economic Prospects: Navigating strong currents

MONTHLY ECONOMIC UPDATE

Evaluation of Latvia s Public Works Program (WWS)

Leading Economic Indicator Nebraska

Cost Estimation of a Manufacturing Company

South Central Alabama Comprehensive Economic Development Strategy

XML Publisher Balance Sheet Vision Operations (USA) Feb-02

Financial Results. for the year ended December 31, Masato Yoshikawa

Weather targets fertilizer market too Heavy rains stall shipments, delay fall applications By Bryce Knorr, grain market analyst

The Electoral System in New Zealand

Leading Economic Indicator Nebraska

interview taken by: Saiful Islam and S K Sinha date: 2 December 2000

December 8, Minimum Wage Review Committee Report

2018 Financial Management Classes

Fall 2017 Crop Outlook Webinar

White Pine County. Economic and Demographic Profile, 1999

STEP 7. Before starting Step 7, you will have

Budget Dato Charon Mokhzani. 2 November 2017 Sesi Forum Pasca Bajet Negara 2018 INTAN

CPA Australia Plan Your Own Enterprise Competition

FY ended March 31, 2015 Restated *1. Year-on year change. Difference (forecast/ actual) FY ended December 31, December 31, 2015 Forecast *2

Financial Results for the First Quarter Fiscal Year Ending December 2015 Investor Relations Presentation Materials

Financing Overview & 2017 GO Bond Capacity Update. Department of Finance April 2017

PRESS RELEASE. LABOUR FORCE SURVEY: October 2018 HELLENIC REPUBLIC HELLENIC STATISTICAL AUTHORITY. Piraeus, 10 January 2019

ACE 427 Spring Lecture 6. by Professor Scott H. Irwin

Hüsnü M. Özyeğin Foundation Rural Development Program

Economic Activity Index

Constructing a Cash Flow Forecast

Interim results presentation 2017

PRESS RELEASE. LABOUR FORCE SURVEY: November 2016 HELLENIC REPUBLIC HELLENIC STATISTICAL AUTHORITY. Piraeus, February 9, 2017

The Moldovan experience in the measurement of inequalities

PRESS RELEASE. LABOUR FORCE SURVEY: January 2018 HELLENIC REPUBLIC HELLENIC STATISTICAL AUTHORITY. Piraeus, 12 April 2018

Measuring Unemployment Some Key Terms

CONTENTS COMMENTARY CHARTS TABLES GLOSSARY. Section 1: Headline Inflation Section 2: Core Inflation

PRESS RELEASE. LABOUR FORCE SURVEY: October 2017 HELLENIC REPUBLIC HELLENIC STATISTICAL AUTHORITY. Piraeus, 11 January 2018

2Q of FY ended December 31, 2015 Restated basis *1. Year-on year change (Restated basis) 2Q of FY ending December 31, 2016 Forecast

Spheria Australian Smaller Companies Fund

PRESS RELEASE. LABOUR FORCE SURVEY: August 2017 HELLENIC REPUBLIC HELLENIC STATISTICAL AUTHORITY. Piraeus, 9 November 2017

Leading Economic Indicator Nebraska

Improving Your Crop Marketing Skills: Basis, Cost of Ownership, and Market Carry

FY ending. 3Q of FY ended December 31, 2015 Restated basis *1. Year-on-year change (Restated basis) 3Q of FY ending

Financial & Business Highlights For the Year Ended June 30, 2017

Broad Money and Its Affecting Factors

Poland s Economic Prospects

PRESS RELEASE. The Hellenic Statistical Authority announces the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate for August 2015.

Global Economic Prospects and the Developing Countries William Shaw December 1999

Economic Activity Index ( GDB-EAI ) For the month of May 2013 G O V E R N M E N T D E V E L O P M E N T B A N K F O R P U E R T O R I C O

Fourth Quarter 2014 Earnings Conference Call. 26 November 2014

Historical Pricing PJM COMED, Around the Clock. Cal '15 Cal '16 Cal '17 Cal '18 Cal '19 Cal '20 Cal '21 Cal '22

Leading Economic Indicator Nebraska

Midwest Perspectives. Bill Testa Vice President Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago

SHARETHIS FINANCE STUDY

Crop Risk Management

INDONESIA DEVELOPMENT UP DATE DECENTRALIZATION THAT DELIVERS. Frederico Gil Sander, Lead Economist December 14, 2017

The Health of Jefferson County: 2010 Demographic Update

WFP Ukraine. Food Security Update June Fighting Hunger Worldwide

UPDATE ON THE ECONOMIC IMPACT OF THE 2014 EBOLA EPIDEMIC ON LIBERIA, SIERRA LEONE, AND GUINEA

newstats 2016 NWT Annual Labour Force Activity NWT Bureau of Statistics Overview

List of NSSO Data CDs Available in Data Bank

Robert D. Cruz, PhD, Chief Economist

Isle Of Wight half year business confidence report

LAO POVERTY REDUCTION FUND II IMPACT EVALUATION

P4P Trader Survey Baseline and Follow-Up Survey [impact & non impact countries]

Pricing Considerations Cattle Pricing and Risk Management

How to Fix The Canadian Recession

Historical Pricing PJM PSEG, Around the Clock. Cal '15 Cal '16 Cal '17 Cal '18 Cal '19 Cal '20 Cal '21 Cal '22

Asia Pacific Weekly Price Monitor Regional Office for Asia and the Pacific. 8 February 2013

TAMPA AREA ECONOMIC SUMMARY

1.0 BANK OF TANZANIA MONTHLY ECONOMIC REVIEW

NCPI. March Namibia Consumer Price index. Namibia Consumer Price index - March

Financial Results for the Second Quarter Fiscal Year Ending March 2015 Investor Relations Presentation Materials ISEKI & CO., LTD.

Leading Economic Indicator Nebraska

Multidimensional Futures Rolls

26 Febuary Macro Overview. Landsbankinn Economic Research

SmallBizU WORKSHEET 1: REQUIRED START-UP FUNDS. Online elearning Classroom. Item Required Amount ($) Fixed Assets. 1 -Buildings $ 2 -Land $

Key West Cruise Ship Data - Passenger Counts Number of Passenger Arrivals

Myanmar Economic Monitor May 2018 Growth Amidst Uncertainty. Hans Anand Beck Lead Economist, Myanmar

Introduction to the UK Economy

Transcription:

Colleen McNally-Murphy Nanis Sakti Ningrum Rabindra Surya Sarah Smith 06 August 2015 WEBSITE kopernik.ngo TWITTER @thekopernik FACEBOOK facebook.com/thekopernik 1

TABLE OF CONTENTS 1. Executive Summary 2. Methodology and Demographics 3. Resource Access 4. Income sources 5. Market Analysis (Existing Technology and Financing) 6. Opportunities 2

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY In the months of June, July and August 2015, four research fellows conducted primary and secondary research on livelihood mapping on three islands in East Nusa Tenggara province: East Flores, Adonara and Lembata. Research Topics INCOME SOURCES AND CYCLES Key Findings Population heavily relies on farming and agriculture as main income sources. Incomes is typically variable, not-fixed and comes from multiple sources. Inflows are linked to harvest season; outflows are linked to traditional obligations. Cultural and traditional obligations place a significant financial burden on households. EXISTING TECH MARKET Over 30% own technologies with value above $100 such as TV, fridge or washing machine. Brand and price are key consideration factors in purchasing household technologies. PURCHASE FINANCING Majority of respondents preferred paying in cash, which could reflect variable/unstable economic situation. Vendors are reluctant to use installments due to difficulty in recovering debt. Cash up front and lay-by is preferred. NEW TECH OPPORTUNITIES (New technology opportunities are not included in the abridged version of the report. There will be a separate report with technology recommendations for unmet needs. Stay tuned!) 3

TABLE OF CONTENTS 1. Executive Summary 2. Methodology and Demographics 3. Resource Access 4. Income sources 5. Market Analysis (Existing Technology and Financing) 6. Opportunities 4

SURVEY LOCATION: NUSA TENGGARA TIMUR (NTT) Survey Location Adonara Island Lembata Island Flores Island Eastern Part 3 islands 11 districts 17 villages 6 3 8 URBAN PERI- URBAN RURAL

DATA COLLECTION METHODOLOGY Key Informant Interview (KII) Gov t officials, local authority figures, vendors Focus Group Discussion (FGD) (between 4-8 participants) Household Survey (HHS) (32 East Flores; 15 Adonara; 15 Lembata) 10 4 62 56% women; 44% men 84% married 58% below 50 y.o. 44% primary school 17% junior high school 23% high school 6

DEMOGRAPHICS Research Area Nusa Tenggara Timur (NTT) is one of the poorest and least developed provinces in Indonesia, with economic, health and social conditions below the Indonesian average. NTT includes East Flores, Lembata, Kubang, South Timor Tengah and North Timor Tengah. Regency Geography Size (ha) Pop. # of Households Male: Female Ratio # of Districts # of Villages East Flores Eastern part of Flores Island Adonara Island Solor Island 181,285 241,590 51,402 0.92 19 250 Lembata Lembata Island only 126,638 126,704 26,958 0.88 9 151 NTT 4.683.827 1,060,850 0.98 306 3,252 7

DEMOGRAPHICS Economic Context 20.24% of people in NTT live below the poverty line, compared to national rate of 11.5% (2013). NTT East Flores Lembata GDP (in million) IDR 31,218,753 IDR 1,568,991 IDR 468,509 Income per Capita (yearly) Poverty Line (monthly) People Below Poverty Line Unemployment Rate IDR 6,073,871 IDR 6,279,282 IDR 3,671,132 IDR 251,080 IDR 214,010 IDR 267,510 1,006,900 people 19,600 people 29,600 people 3.25% Data not available 3.56% 8Source: NTT in Figures 2014- BPS

TABLE OF CONTENTS 1. Executive Summary 2. Methodology And Demographics 3. Resource Access 4. Income Sources 5. Market Analysis (Existing Technology) 6. Opportunities 9

RESOURCE ACCESS PLN Electricity Majority of HH respondents (45/62) were connected* to PLN electricity system. In some areas PLN was noted as unreliable in rainy season. In areas not connected to PLN power grid, access to generators was common. Households Connected* to PLN Percentage n = 62 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Rural & Peri-Urban Urban No Yes Total *Connected to PLN means 24hr access to electricity, except when there is a blackout 10

RESOURCE ACCESS Water Household Water Sources Multiple Answers, n = 62 Well (private & public) 12% Gallon Jug 7% Neighbors 2% Natural Spring 39% Tea-strainer style water filter Private Refill drum & tank 13% Piped (PDAM) 12% Seawater 3% River 3% Rainwater Harvest 9% 11

RESOURCE ACCESS Stove Use Household Stove Ownership Percentage, n = 62 44% of respondents used multiple stove types 3-Stone: Used for slow cooking, rice, boiling water Kerosene: Prevalent in urban settings Used for quick cooking, frying or baking Quick to light and heat up 12 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Peri-urban Rural Urban 3-Stone Kerosene Biostove

TABLE OF CONTENTS 1. Executive Summary 2. Methodology and Demographics 3. Resource Access 4. Income sources 5. Market Analysis (Existing Technology and Financing) 6. Opportunities 13 Research Objectives: Key economic activities and trade in the area Annual cash flow cycle of the household

OBJECTIVE #1: INCOME SOURCES Livelihoods & Trade The key economic activities in the area are: Plantation Farming Home Industries Services Top three commodity plantations are coconut, cashew nut and cocoa. Top three staples crops yields are corn, cassava and rice. Fishing was not a main source of income in these survey responses (consistent with secondary research) but the sea is still an important resource to the area. Trade between islands is heavily reliant on marine transportation. 14 Sources : (1) National bureau statistic. NTT in figures. 2014 (2) National bureau statistic. East Flores in figures. 2014 (3) National bureau statistic. Lembata in figures. 2014

INCOME SOURCES Primary Income Sources Household Sources of Income Percentage, n = 62 Labour 6% Kiosk owner 6% Driver 5% Pension 5% Livestock 2% Remittance 2% Farmer 31% Primary Occupations: Farmer Gov t officer Small vendor Fisherman 8% Salary worker 8% Govt. Officer 16% Three quarters of people have multiple source of income. 15 Sell prepared foods & ikat 11%

INCOME SOURCES Income Distribution 50% of households reported an income below 1 million IDR Household Income Percentage, n = 62 Median 0.84 Mean 1.49 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 million IDR 16

Major Outflow Major inflow INCOME SOURCES Seasonal Cash Flow Calendar Cashew nut Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Coconut Cacao Candle nut Rice Fisherman Ramadhan* Sambut baru Marriage Funeral School start 17 *Ramadhan timing changes slightly every year

TABLE OF CONTENTS 1. Executive Summary 2. Methodology and Demographics 3. Resource Access 4. Income sources 5. Market Analysis (Existing Technology and Financing) 6. Opportunities 18 Research Objectives: Technologies available and actively sold People s decision making process in prioritizing the purchase of technologies Access to financing Common financing techniques utilized by the more successful vendors

MARKET Available Technologies Most common household technologies already owned (HHS): Range Household techs Number Percentage (62 HHS) $20-$40 $100+* Rice cooker 13 21% Fan 12 19.4% Water dispenser 9 14.5% Iron 8 13% TV 19 30.6% Fridge 5 8% Washing machine 3 4.9% *Many of the larger technology purchases were made while working overseas. 19

MARKET Purchasing Decision Making Purchasing Decision Percentage, n = 30 Recommendation 3% Necessity 3% Maintenance/ Spare parts 10% Price 20% Brand 44% Brand and Price were the key considerations in purchasing technologies Word of mouth was an important way that brand-knowledge or desirability was spread. Efficiency 3% Durability 17% 20

OBJECTIVE #2: MARKET Saving & Spending Household Reasons for Saving Percentage, n = 31 Emergencies 23%. Health 10% In preparation for funerals 6% Education 48% Education was the single most common area to which they allocated their savings. 55% of respondents were unable to save any of their income. Family 13% 45% response rate 21

MARKET Household Purchase Financing Preferred Payment Method Percentage, n = 27 Installment 26% Cash was the preferred payment method by households. 4 respondents reported different method for different price points. Grant 4% Price point=installment Price point=cash Cash 70% 22 HH survey respondents (44% response rate).

# of Households w/ Outstanding Debt MARKET Borrowing & Debt Household Outstanding Debt by Lender Percentage, n = 52 20 53% of respondents have outstanding debts 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 Reasons for borrowing: Education Business start-up (i.e. kiosk) Funeral or other cultural ceremony Repayment of previous debts Challenges to borrowing: Hard to get credit without fixed income or capital Reluctant to borrow without knowing that would be able to make payments Many people wary of borrowing after recent scam 23