1st Half 2010 Results. July 29, 2010

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Transcription:

Results July 29, 2010 1

Disclaimer This presentation contains forward-looking statements. The use of the words "aim(s)," "expect(s)," "feel(s)," "will," "may," "believe(s)," "anticipate(s)" and similar expressions in this presentation are intended to identify those statements as forward looking. Forwardlooking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those projected. You should not place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date of this presentation release. Other than in connection with applicable securities laws, Publicis Groupe undertakes no obligation to publish revised forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date of this press release or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events. Publicis Groupe urges you to review and consider the various disclosures it made concerning the factors that may affect its business carefully, including the disclosures made to the French financial markets authority (AMF). 2

Publicis Groupe Stronger After the Crisis 3

Q2 2010 Publicis Groupe: confirmed growth Revenue (EUR million) Revenue Growth (as published) Organic Growth 1,376 +21.3% +7.1% 4

Key Figures H1 2010 H1 2009 Var. 2010 vs 2009 Revenue (EUR million) 2,538 2,209 +14.9% Organic Growth +5.3% -6.6% - Operating Margin (EUR million) 369 287 +28.6% as % of revenue 14.5% 13.0% +150 bp Group Net Income (EUR million) 213 167 +27.5% Net Debt (EUR million) 618 899-31.2% Net Debt / Shareholders Equity 0.20 0.37-5

Highlights 6

Penetration of Growth Sectors: Digital H1 2009* H1 2010 Digital (% Groupe revenue) 20.7% 28.1% Worldwide Digital Spendings Forecasts ** 2010: + 13.0% 2011: + 16.0% 2012: + 16.3% * 2009 at 2010 exchange rate ** ZO July 2010 forecast 7

Revenue by Geography (%) 49% 32% Further Progress in Fast Growing Economies from 21.9% to 23.3%* 11% 5% 3% * 22.1% including Razorfish 8

New Business (including digital) USD 2.1 billion 9

New Business wins 10

1st Half Results 11

Growth is back! +7.1% +3.1% -4.4% -5.4% -7.4% -8.6% Q1 2009 Q2 2009 Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010 Q2 2010 12

Revenue by Geography (EUR million) H1 2010 H1 2009 Organic Growth H1 2010 Var. 2010 vs 2009 Europe 805 738 +3.1% +9.2% North America 1,258 1,061 +6.6% +18.5% Asia Pacific 286 238 +6.0% +20.2% Latin America 126 109 +10.8% +16.0% Middle East & Africa 63 63-3.3% -0.7% Total 2,538 2,209 +5.3% +14.9% 13

Organic Growth - Key Countries Above 10% India, Korea, Mexico, Russia, Spain, Turkey 5 to 10% Brazil, Canada, France, UK, USA 0 to 5% Australia, Greater China, Italy, Japan 0 to -5% Netherlands, Poland, Switzerland Below -5% Belgium, Germany, United Arab Emirates 14

Consolidated Income Statement (EUR million) H1 2010 H1 2009 Revenue 2,538 2,209 Operating margin 369 287 as % of revenue 14.5% 13.0% Amortization of intangibles arising on acquisitions (17) (15) Impairment 0 (20) Non-current income (expense) 1 5 Operating income 353 257 Net financial costs (42) (27) Income taxes (89) (59) Associates 0 1 Minority interests 9 5 Group net income 213 167 Var. 10 vs 09 14.9% 28.6% 37.4% 27.5% 15

Operating Margin (EUR million) H1 2010 H1 2009 Revenue 2,538 2,209 Personnel costs (1,613) (1,423) Other operating expenses (503) (453) Depreciation (53) (46) Var. 10 vs 09 14.9% 13.4% 11.0% 15.2% Operating Margin 369 287 14.5% 13.0% 28.6% 16

Operating Costs (EUR million) H1 2010 H1 2010 excl. acquisitions* H1 2009** Var. 10* vs 09** Personnel costs (1,613) (1,491) (1,458) Other operating expenses (503) (477) (464) Depreciation (53) (48) (47) Total Operating Costs (2,169) (2,016) (1,969) +2.3% +2.8% +2.1% +2.4% Total operating costs increase +47 m Variation vs 09** costs +2.4% vs Organic Growth of +5.3% * After elimination of the effect of acquisitions since July 2009 ** 2009 at 2010 exchange rate 17

Net Financial Costs (EUR million) H1 2010 H1 2009 Eurobond 2012 and 2015 (1) (6) (12) OCEANE 2014 (issued in June 2009) (19) (1) OCEANE 2018 (2) (2) Oranes 2022 (1) (1) Interests on Finance lease (4) (4) Other interest expense (8) (11) Interest income 6 6 Cost of net financial debt (34) (25) Other financial income (expense) (2) (8) (2) Net financial costs (42) (27) Var. 10 vs 09 6 (18) - - - 3 - (9) (6) (15) (1) Average interest rate resulting from the fixed rate / variable rate Eurobond swap: 1.6% in H1 2010 vs 3.2% in H1 2009 (2) The increase in other financial income (expense) is due to foreign exchange losses incurred in H1 2010 (vs FX gains in H1 2009), partially offset by the decrease of interest on discounted long term provisions 18

Effective Tax Rate H1 2010 H1 2009 (m ) % (m ) % Income taxes (as published) 89 28.7% 59 24.7% Impact of income tax credit linked to Oceane 2014 deferred tax liability - - 11 4.5% Income tax charge * 89 28.7% 70 29.2% -50 bp * excluding the income tax credit linked to the Oceane 2014 deferred tax liability 19

Earnings per Share (EUR) +16% +12% 1.00 0.82 0.95 0.89 H1 2009 H1 2010 H1 2009 H1 2010 Diluted EPS (1) Headline (2) diluted EPS (1) (1) Diluted & Headline diluted EPS average number of shares: 237.1 million shares for H1 2010 & 206.3 million shares for H1 2009 (2) After elimination of impairment charge, amortization on intangible arising on acquisition and income tax credit linked to the Oceane 2014 Deferred Tax Liability 20

Balance Sheet (EUR million) June 30, 2010 June 30, 2009 December 31st, 2009 Goodwill and intangibles 5,353 4,489 4,763 Other assets 635 607 601 Current and deferred tax (123) (134) (125) Working capital (1,532) (1,051) (1,459) Total 4,333 3,911 3,780 Group equity 3,090 2,418 2,813 Minority interests 21 25 25 Equity 3,111 2,443 2,838 Provisions for risk & charges 604 569 549 Net debt 618 899 393 Total 4,333 3,911 3,780 Net Debt/EquityRatio 0.20 0.37 0.14 21

Net Debt (EUR million) 899 929 1 002 618 673 393 Dec. 31, 2009 June 30, 2009 June 30, 2010 FY 2009 H1 2009 H1 2010 Net Debt Average Net Debt 22

Dentsu Share Buyback 7.5 million of shares owned by Dentsu ( SEP Badinter/Dentsu) were purchased by Publicis Groupe on May 10, 2010 at a price of 29 Euros for a total of 218 million Euros The shares were cancelled immediately Diluted EPS will grow by 2.9% on a full-year basis No impact on the credit ratings 23

Gross Debt at June 30, 2010 - Split by maturity (EUR million) Total July 2010 - June 2011 July 2011 - June 2012 July 2012 June 2013 July 2013 June 2014 July 2014 onwards Oceane 2018* 120 120 Oceane 2014 651 651 Eurobond 2012** 523 523 Eurobond 2015** 259 259 Oranes 2022 22 3 3 3 2 11 Earn-out / Buy-out 242 123 69 31 15 4 Other debt** 219 123 8 88 Total gross debt 2,036 249 603 34 137 1,013 * Put Option in 2014 ** including fair value of associated derivatives No Covenants 24

Liquidity at June 30, 2010 (EUR million) Total Amount Drawn Available Committed Facilities: 364-day revolving credit facilities 205 0 205 5-year revolving credit facility 450 0 450 5-year syndicated facility (Club Deal) 1,500 0 1,500 Total Committed Facilities 2,155 0 2,155 Cash and Cash Equivalent - 1,418 Total Liquidity 3,573 Groupe other uncommitted Facilities 241 28 213 25

Financial ratios Past 12 months ending 30 June 2010 Past 12 months ending 30 June 2009 Optimum ratio Average Net Debt / EBITDA* 0.9 1.3 < 1.50 Net Debt / Shareholders Equity 0.20 0.37 < 0.50 Interest Cover (EBITDA* / Cost of Net Financial Debt) 12 13 > 7 * EBITDA: Earnings (operating margin) before depreciation and amortization 26

Free Cash Flow before Change in Working Capital Requirements (EUR million) H1 2010 H1 2009 Var. 10 vs 09 EBITDA 422 333 Interests paid (28) (41) Tax paid (103) (86) Other items 20 22 Cash flows from operations before change in WCR 311 228 +36.4% Investments (Capex), net of proceeds* (34) (33) Free Cash Flow before change in WCR 277 195 +42.1% Excluding exchange rate impact** 272 195 +39.5% * Acquisition of tangible and intangible fixed assets net excluding the purchase of investments and other financial assets net ** 2010 at 2009 exchange rate 27

Use of Free Cash Flow (EUR million) H1 2010 H1 2009 Free Cash Flow excluding change in WCR 277 195 Change in WCR (266) (495) Acquisitions (1) (18) (1) Earn-outs impact (30) (65) Buy-outs impact (4) (1) Dividends paid to minorities (14) (15) Share buy-back (net of disposals) (2) (249) 1 Non-cash impact on Net Debt (3) 79 158 Change in Net Debt (225) (223) (1) including the purchase of investments and other financial assets (2) Of which in H1 2010: 218 m share buy-back from Dentsu Inc. and 31 m purchases / sales of treasury shares (3) Of which in H1 2009: 74 m of equity component of the Oceane 2014, and 45 m of non-cash change in Earn-outs and Buy-outs and in H1 2010: 96 m of FX effect and (8) m of non cash change in Earn-outs and Buy-outs 28

Razorfish Update 29

Operational Capabilities Razorfish capabilities: E-commerce Advertising & Branding Analytics Email Marketing & ecrm Emerging Media Technology Architecture & Integration Search Marketing Strategy & Planning Social Influence Marketing Interaction design Key Clients: 30

Razorfish Integration Integration proceeding as planned Strong performance in 1st Half 2010: Revenue H1 2010: 147 M Growth rate Q2 2010: +11.6% Growth rate H1 2010: +10.2% Improvement in margin in line with our plans 31

A Winning Strategy 32

A Winning Strategy Digital: Changes, Changes, Changes Media Landscape Media expense share of internet* 2009 12.7% 2010 13.9% 2011 15.4% 2012 17.0% Contact and Targeting Power Change in Society Consumer s Behavior Social Networks Communications Interactions e-commerce Change in Ad Industry * ZenithOptimedia July 2010 forecast 33

A Winning Strategy Roadmap The Human, Digital Agency Publicis Groupe reinvention 06/06 Digitas acquisition 12/06 Phone Valley acquisition 09/07 SMG Global Search 12/07 VivaKi Launch 06/08 Microsoft agreement 06/09 2006 2007 2008 2009 LEADER IN THE DIGITAL SPACE Pole Nord acquisition 09/06 ZED Global 12/06 Business Interactif acquisition 07/07 Digitas expands: UK, France, China, India, Singapore, Brazil 2007/08 Google partnership 01/08 Performics acquisition 08/08 Razorfish acquisition 10/09 34

A Winning Strategy "The Human Digital Agency" Digital Stand alone VIVAKI NERVE CENTER Digital Integrated Combine Scale and Digital Knowledge 35

A Winning Strategy The Global VivaKi Community Tools Talent Exchanges Futures Purposeful Interaction and Innovation 36

A Winning Strategy The Nerve Center provides the tools, technology and strategic partners to connect Brands to People Audiences Campaigns Insights 37

A Winning Strategy AOD (Audience on Demand) What is it? Access open ad exchanges that provide access to scaled, brand-safe inventory, with full AOD targeting & optimization capabilities Benefits & Features Access to over 36,000 websites in one buy 100% brand safe & fully transparent Market-place driven variable CPMs AOD Targeting solutions Results reported at the site & publisher level Full Suite of AOD Targeting Options AOD Platform Full Suite of AOD Campaign Accessories Market-driven Bidded CPM Pricing VivaKi Terms, Protections & Services 38

A Winning Strategy Challenge Identify ad engagement models of the future Solution Pool industry resources, talent, expertise and research to test and explore optimal ad models with consumers Outcome 230,000 hours with over 25 million consumers to land on the most optimal online video ad model: Ad Selector Lane 2 is underway and The Pool is expanding internationally Collaboration is key 39

A Winning Strategy The Pool in China Strategic Partnerships 40

Outlook 41

The Context Market Context Consolidated global recovery and increased growth momentum (GDP +4.5% in 2010 according to IMF) Higher assumptions for global ad spending markets (+3.5% in 2010*) Good momentum, cautious optimism due to: European Sovereign debt crisis Troubled financial sector, lack of investor confidence and high market volatility Source: ZenithOptimedia-July 2010 42

The Context ZenithOptimedia Major Media Ad Forecasts, current prices (%) Key Markets December 2009 Forecast for FY 2010 April 2010 Forecast for FY 2010 July 2010 Forecast for FY 2010 July 2010 Forecast for FY 2011 July 2010 Forecast for FY 2012 Worldwide +0.9% +2.2% +3.5% +4.5% +5.3% United States -2.6% -2.0% +1.1% +2.7% +3.0% Japan -3.2% -0.7% -0.7% +0.4% +1.6% United Kingdom -2.0% +1.3% +2.9% +0.9% +2.1% Germany -1.5% -1.4% +2.0% +2.7% +3.1% China +10.5% +12.1% +12.1% +14.8% +17.5% France +1.6% +1.1% +3.0% +2.0% +2.2% Italy +0.2% +0.2% +2.7% +3.2% +2.8% Spain -0.6% +0.4% -1.7% +3.6% +7.8% Brazil +11.8% +11.8% +5.0% +5.9% +8.6% Source: ZenithOptimedia 43

2010 : Ambitions Acceleration of profitable and sustainable growth Innovative digital leadership Value creation creativity Market Share Gain SURPERFOMER OUTPERFORM THE LE MARCHÉ MARKET CROISSANCE GROWTH + ET MARGINS MARGE 44

Appendix 45

Revenue and Organic Growth Calculation (EUR million) H1 Q1 Q2 2009 Revenue 2,209 1,075 1,134 Currency impact 55 (18) 73 2009 Revenue at 2010 exchange Rate (a) 2010 Revenue before impact of acquisitions (1) (b) 2,264 1,057 1,207 2,383 1,090 1,293 Currency impact (EUR million) H1 Q1 Q2 GBP 4 2 2 USD 5 (30) 35 Others 44 10 34 Total 55 (18) 73 Revenue from acquisitions (1) 155 72 83 2010 Revenue 2,538 1,162 1,376 Organic Growth (b/a) +5.3% +3.1% +7.1% (1) Acquisitions (Publicis Bulgaria; Publicis Nemos; Chesteroc; SiChuan Yong Yang; Women s Forum; Pour Tout Vous Dire; Razorfish; Elevator; In-Sync; Resolute; Intelligent Communication Health; Purple Hat Communications) net of disposals Exchange rate H1 2010 : 1 USD = 0.755 EUR 1 GBP = 1.150 EUR 46

Revenue by Geography in USD (USD million) H1 2010 H1 2009 Var. 10 vs 09 Europe 1,067 982 +8.7% North America 1,666 1,413 +17.9% Asia Pacific 378 316 +19.6% Latin America 167 145 +15.2% Middle East & Africa 84 85-1.2% Total 3,362 2,941 +14.3% All entities translated into US dollar using the following exchange rates: H1 2009: 1 USD = 0.75115 EUR H1 2010: 1 USD = 0.75485 EUR 47

Revenue by Activity Media 20% vs 21% in 2009 SAMS* 47% vs 42% in 2009 Advertising 33% vs 37% in 2009 * SAMS (Specialized Agencies & Marketing Services) including 100% Digital 48

Total Revenue by Sector Growth H1 2010 vs 2009 Revenue Breakdown H1 2010 24% 23% TMT 14% Others Retail 4% 5% 3% Leisure 10% 10% 9% 7% 6% Healthcare 13% 10% Finance 13% 38% FMCG Retail Financial TMT Automotive Leisure Healthcare FMCG Auto Growth in all sectors 49

Part of Analog and Digital Revenues by Sector H1 2010 (Analog & Digital) TMT 14% Others Retail 4% 5% 3% Leisure 17% % of digital % of analog Healthcare 13% 38% FMCG 83% Finance 10% 13% Auto FMCG 41% 59% 39% 61% 30% 70% 49% 51% 24% 76% 42% 58% TMT Healthcare Auto Financial Retail Leisure Digital : Large Growth Potential Ahead 50

Digital activity Reporting definition Interactive activity covers the digital strategy, the development and placement of any creative elements via the internet, including media buying, email marketing, mobile marketing, social media campaign development and search engine marketing (paid and natural). Such interactive development consists of: Digital Media - Display & Classified: refers to direct paid-for advertising that appears under various forms : banners, skyscrapers overlays, text links, video, audio, Search Engine Marketing: encompasses both paid-search advertising, i.e. sponsored links that appear next to the natural results of a query on a search engine, and search engine optimization, ie natural ranking indexation. Digital - Marketing Services Interactive: refers to different digital marketing investments which includes websites design Digital - CRM Interactive: refers to e-crm initiatives including Email marketing Digital - Healthcare interactive services: refers primarily to Healthcare business with Digital content/process (ex: interactive products online training, virtual reps 3D booth displays) Digital - PR/Corporate Interactive: refers primarily to PR business with Digital content/process (ex: online financial report, Web TV) Digital - Advertising: refers to creative work performed for Web or Cell Phone usage 51

Net Debt - Split by currency (EUR million) Total EURO USD GBP Others Oceane 2018 120 120 Oceane 2014 651 651 Eurobond 2012* 523 523 Eurobond 2015* 259 259 Oranes 2022 22 22 Earn-out / Buy-out 242 60 58 47 77 Other debt* 219 68 94 0 57 Total gross debt 2,036 1,703 152 47 134 Cash and Cash equivalent (1,418) (1,428) 698 (87) (601) Net debt 618 275 850 (40) (467) * Including fair values of associated derivatives 52

Net Debt - Split by rate (after interest rate swap) (EUR million) Total Earn-out / Buy-out Fixed rate Oceane 2018 120 120 Oceane 2014 651 651 Variable rate Eurobond 2012* 523 523 Eurobond 2015* 259 259 Oranes 2022 22 22 Other debt* 219 88 131 Total gross debt excluding Earn-out / Buy-out 1,794 881 49% Earn-out / Buy-out 242 242 913 51% Cash and Cash equivalent (1,418) (1,418) Net debt 618 242 881 (505) * Including fair values of associated derivatives 53