Chapter 3 - Lecture 4 Moments and Moment Generating Funct

Similar documents
Chapter 3 - Lecture 3 Expected Values of Discrete Random Va

Chapter 3 - Lecture 5 The Binomial Probability Distribution

Version A. Problem 1. Let X be the continuous random variable defined by the following pdf: 1 x/2 when 0 x 2, f(x) = 0 otherwise.

STAT/MATH 395 PROBABILITY II

STOR Lecture 7. Random Variables - I

Probability Theory. Mohamed I. Riffi. Islamic University of Gaza

Review of the Topics for Midterm I

Probability Theory and Simulation Methods. April 9th, Lecture 20: Special distributions

The Binomial Distribution

Normal Distribution. Notes. Normal Distribution. Standard Normal. Sums of Normal Random Variables. Normal. approximation of Binomial.

Chapter 2. Random variables. 2.3 Expectation

Chapter 2: Random Variables (Cont d)

Math489/889 Stochastic Processes and Advanced Mathematical Finance Homework 5

Lecture 23. STAT 225 Introduction to Probability Models April 4, Whitney Huang Purdue University. Normal approximation to Binomial

Lecture 37 Sections 11.1, 11.2, Mon, Mar 31, Hampden-Sydney College. Independent Samples: Comparing Means. Robb T. Koether.

Chapter 8: Sampling distributions of estimators Sections

Bernoulli and Binomial Distributions

5. In fact, any function of a random variable is also a random variable

Lecture Notes 6. Assume F belongs to a family of distributions, (e.g. F is Normal), indexed by some parameter θ.

ECE 295: Lecture 03 Estimation and Confidence Interval

Discrete Random Variables

Elementary Statistics Lecture 5

The Central Limit Theorem. Sec. 8.2: The Random Variable. it s Distribution. it s Distribution

Introduction to Statistics I

Standard Normal, Inverse Normal and Sampling Distributions

Chapter 5. Statistical inference for Parametric Models

Sampling Distribution

VI. Continuous Probability Distributions

Simulation Wrap-up, Statistics COS 323

Universal Portfolios

Lecture 8. The Binomial Distribution. Binomial Distribution. Binomial Distribution. Probability Distributions: Normal and Binomial

Theoretical Statistics. Lecture 3. Peter Bartlett

Business Statistics 41000: Probability 4

Statistics for Business and Economics

Chapter 5. Continuous Random Variables and Probability Distributions. 5.1 Continuous Random Variables

SOME MOST POPULAR DISTRIBUTIONS OF RANDOM VARIABLES

Activity #17b: Central Limit Theorem #2. 1) Explain the Central Limit Theorem in your own words.

Outline Brownian Process Continuity of Sample Paths Differentiability of Sample Paths Simulating Sample Paths Hitting times and Maximum

MATH 10 INTRODUCTORY STATISTICS

Engineering Statistics ECIV 2305

Chapter 3 Common Families of Distributions. Definition 3.4.1: A family of pmfs or pdfs is called exponential family if it can be expressed as

Mean of a Discrete Random variable. Suppose that X is a discrete random variable whose distribution is : :

Linear Regression with One Regressor

INDIAN INSTITUTE OF SCIENCE STOCHASTIC HYDROLOGY. Lecture -5 Course Instructor : Prof. P. P. MUJUMDAR Department of Civil Engg., IISc.

Binomial Random Variables. Binomial Random Variables

Lecture 10: Point Estimation

Expectations. Definition Let X be a discrete rv with set of possible values D and pmf p(x). The expected value or mean value of X, denoted by E(X ) or

Math 489/Math 889 Stochastic Processes and Advanced Mathematical Finance Dunbar, Fall 2007

I. Time Series and Stochastic Processes

4.2 Bernoulli Trials and Binomial Distributions

Econ 6900: Statistical Problems. Instructor: Yogesh Uppal

STA215 Confidence Intervals for Proportions

4 Random Variables and Distributions

The Bernoulli distribution

Point Estimators. STATISTICS Lecture no. 10. Department of Econometrics FEM UO Brno office 69a, tel

A random variable (r. v.) is a variable whose value is a numerical outcome of a random phenomenon.

Central limit theorems

Statistical analysis and bootstrapping

Random Variables Handout. Xavier Vilà

MTH6154 Financial Mathematics I Stochastic Interest Rates

Figure 1: 2πσ is said to have a normal distribution with mean µ and standard deviation σ. This is also denoted

Shifting our focus. We were studying statistics (data, displays, sampling...) The next few lectures focus on probability (randomness) Why?

MA 490. Senior Project

MLLunsford 1. Activity: Central Limit Theorem Theory and Computations

CS145: Probability & Computing

Expected Value and Variance

Welcome to Stat 410!

Chapter 7: Point Estimation and Sampling Distributions

STATS 200: Introduction to Statistical Inference. Lecture 4: Asymptotics and simulation

IEOR 165 Lecture 1 Probability Review

NORMAL APPROXIMATION. In the last chapter we discovered that, when sampling from almost any distribution, e r2 2 rdrdϕ = 2π e u du =2π.

MA : Introductory Probability

Review for Final Exam Spring 2014 Jeremy Orloff and Jonathan Bloom

STAT Chapter 7: Central Limit Theorem

1. If four dice are rolled, what is the probability of obtaining two identical odd numbers and two identical even numbers?

Data Analysis and Statistical Methods Statistics 651

Central Limit Thm, Normal Approximations

Model Paper Statistics Objective. Paper Code Time Allowed: 20 minutes

Central Limit Theorem (cont d) 7/28/2006

Probability and Random Variables A FINANCIAL TIMES COMPANY

Definition 9.1 A point estimate is any function T (X 1,..., X n ) of a random sample. We often write an estimator of the parameter θ as ˆθ.

Engineering Mathematics III. Moments

ECON 214 Elements of Statistics for Economists 2016/2017

Discrete Random Variables

MS-E2114 Investment Science Lecture 5: Mean-variance portfolio theory

Two hours. To be supplied by the Examinations Office: Mathematical Formula Tables and Statistical Tables THE UNIVERSITY OF MANCHESTER

Chapter 6 Continuous Probability Distributions. Learning objectives

Math Week in Review #10. Experiments with two outcomes ( success and failure ) are called Bernoulli or binomial trials.

Discrete Random Variables and Probability Distributions. Stat 4570/5570 Based on Devore s book (Ed 8)

Test 7A AP Statistics Name: Directions: Work on these sheets.

STA258H5. Al Nosedal and Alison Weir. Winter Al Nosedal and Alison Weir STA258H5 Winter / 41

Covariance and Correlation. Def: If X and Y are JDRVs with finite means and variances, then. Example Sampling

A continuous random variable is one that can theoretically take on any value on some line interval. We use f ( x)

St. Xavier s College Autonomous Mumbai T.Y.B.A. Syllabus For 5 th Semester Courses in Statistics (June 2016 onwards)

ECON 214 Elements of Statistics for Economists

Probability Models.S2 Discrete Random Variables

Sampling Distribution of and Simulation Methods. Ontario Public Sector Salaries. Strange Sample? Lecture 11. Reading: Sections

Binomal and Geometric Distributions

Week 7. Texas A& M University. Department of Mathematics Texas A& M University, College Station Section 3.2, 3.3 and 3.4

Reliability and Risk Analysis. Survival and Reliability Function

Transcription:

Chapter 3 - Lecture 4 and s October 7th, 2009 Chapter 3 - Lecture 4 and Moment Generating Funct

Central Skewness Chapter 3 - Lecture 4 and Moment Generating Funct

Central Skewness The expected value of a power of a random variable is called moment (or moment around 0). First moment or Expected value E(X ) Second moment E(X 2 ) Third moment E(X 3 ) and so on... Chapter 3 - Lecture 4 and Moment Generating Funct

Central Skewness Central Central moments are the expected value of the difference of a random variable and its expected value (or mean) to a power. It is also called moment about the mean. ((X E(X )) 2) Second central moment or variance E Third central moment E ( (X E(X )) 3) and so on... Chapter 3 - Lecture 4 and Moment Generating Funct

Central Skewness Introduction and central moments are useful because they give us useful information regarding the distribution of a random variable. Until now we know how to find the mean and the variance using moments and central moments. Another useful measure is skewness (see Chapter 1). Chapter 3 - Lecture 4 and Moment Generating Funct

Central Skewness Skewness measures the departure from symmetry Using the third and second central moments we can calculate skewness: E ((X E(X )) 3) σ 3 Chapter 3 - Lecture 4 and Moment Generating Funct

Central Skewness In State College there are 10000 families. I asked them how many kids they have and I get the following answers: 0 kids: 900 families 1 kid: 1700 families 2 kids: 4000 families 3 kids: 2100 families 4 kids: 700 families 5 kids: 400 families 6 kids: 200 families Find the skewness of X = number of kids in a family in SC. Chapter 3 - Lecture 4 and Moment Generating Funct

Moment generating Functions Is not always easy to calculate moments and central moments. Thats why we use moment generating functions. The moment generating function (mgf) of a discrete random variable X is defined to be ( ) M X (t) = E e tx = e tx p(x) x D Chapter 3 - Lecture 4 and Moment Generating Funct

Bernoulli random variable Find the moment generating function of a Bernoulli random variable Chapter 3 - Lecture 4 and Moment Generating Funct

Outline If the mgf exists and is the same for two distributions, then the two distributions are the same. In other words, the moment generating function uniquely specifies the probability distribution Chapter 3 - Lecture 4 and Moment Generating Funct

Outline In State College there are 10000 families. I asked them how many kids they have and I get the following answers: 0 kids: 900 families 1 kid: 1700 families 2 kids: 4000 families 3 kids: 2100 families 4 kids: 700 families 5 kids: 400 families 6 kids: 200 families Find the mgf of X = number of kids in a family in SC. Chapter 3 - Lecture 4 and Moment Generating Funct

If a variable Y has mgf the following find its distribution function: M Y (t) = 0.09 + 0.17e t +0.4e 2t + 0.21e 3t + 0.07e 4t + 0.04e 5t + 0.02e 6t Chapter 3 - Lecture 4 and Moment Generating Funct

Theorem Outline If the mgf exists then E(X r ) = M (r) X (0) Proof? Chapter 3 - Lecture 4 and Moment Generating Funct

Outline Lets go back to the example with the kids per family in State College. Use the Theorem in the previous page to find E(X ), E(X 2 ), E(X 3 ) and var(x ). Chapter 3 - Lecture 4 and Moment Generating Funct

If X has mgf M X (t) and Y = ax + b then M Y (t) = e bt M X (at) Proof? Chapter 3 - Lecture 4 and Moment Generating Funct

Section 3.4 page 124 44, 45, 46, 47, 48, 49, 50, 51, 52, 53, 54, 56, 57 Chapter 3 - Lecture 4 and Moment Generating Funct