US Demography: Age Wave

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Transcription:

US Demography: Age Wave April, Dr. Edward Yardeni 5-97-73 eyardeni@ Mali Quintana --333 aquintana@ Please visit our sites at blog. thinking outside the box

Table Of Contents Table Of Contents 3- April, / US Demography: Age Wave

7 5 Figure. AGE COMPOSITION OF LABOR FORCE* (percent) Percent of Labor Force -5 Years & Older (.) -3 Year Olds (.) 7 5 55 55 5 5 5 9 5 9 3 5 5 5 5 7 7 7 7 7 9 9 9 9 9 3 * Oldest and youngest Baby Boomers turned in 9 and 9, respectively. Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics. 5 5 Figure. THE AGE WAVE 5 5 Percent by Age: Labor Force -3 Population -3 9 9 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 95 957 9 97 97 977 9 97 99 997 7 7 3 Note: Oldest and youngest Baby Boomers turned in 9 and 9, respectively. Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics. Page 3 / April, / US Demography: Age Wave

5 5 Figure 3. US POPULATION BY AGE (millions) 5 5 3 5 5 5 3 5 5 5 3 5 5 5 3 5 5 5 5 3 5 5 5-3 - 5-5 55-5 & Over 3 9 7 75 7 7 9 93 9 99 5 Source: US Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census. 3 5 5 5 3 5 5 5 3 5 5 5 3 5 5 5 5 3 5 5 Page / April, / US Demography: Age Wave

..5 Figure. US POPULATION BY AGE (annual change, millions)..5..5. -.5 -. 5-3..5. -.5 -. - -.5 -.5.5 5-5.5.5.5 -.5 55- -.5 - - 5 & Over - 7 7 7 7 7 9 9 9 9 9 Source: US Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census. - Page 5 / April, / US Demography: Age Wave

Figure 5. US POPULATION BY AGE (yearly percent change) - - - - - - - - - - 5-3 - 5-5 55-5 & Over 3 9 7 75 7 7 9 93 9 99 5 Source: US Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census. - - - - - - - - - - Page / April, / US Demography: Age Wave

5 Figure. AGE WAVE & INFLATION 5 9 7 5 3 3 Age Wave* 3 Inflation Trend** 3 7 7 7 7 7 9 9 9 9 9 * Percent of labor force -3 years old. ** Five-year moving average of yearly percent change in CPI. Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics. 55 Figure 7. AGE WAVE & BOND YIELD 3 5 5 9 7 Age Wave* Ten-Year Treasury Yield** 5 3 3 7 7 7 7 7 9 9 9 9 9 * Percent of labor force -3 years old. ** Five-year moving average of ten-year government bond yield. Source: US Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics and Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. Page 7 / April, / US Demography: Age Wave

5 5 Figure. AGE WAVE, INFLATION, & BOND YIELD IN THE US 3 -Year Treasury Bond Yield*** 9 7 5 3 Age Wave* 3 3 3 Inflation Trend** 7 7 7 7 7 9 9 9 9 9 * Percent of labor force -3 years old. ** Five-year moving average of yearly percent change in CPI. *** Five-year moving average of ten-year government bond yield. Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics and Federal Reserve Board. Page / April, / US Demography: Age Wave

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