Strong DUV demand drives solid Q1 results and confirms positive outlook for 2018

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Transcription:

Strong DUV demand drives solid Q1 results and confirms positive outlook for 2018 Multiple EUV orders, including High-NA, demonstrate further adoption of EUV technology ASML 2018 First-Quarter Results Veldhoven, the Netherlands

Slide 2 Agenda Investor key messages Business highlights Outlook Product highlights Financial statements

Slide 3 Investor key messages

Investor key messages Slide 4 Shrink is a key industry driver supporting innovation and providing long term industry growth Lithography enables affordable shrink and therefore delivers compelling value for our customers EUV will enable continuation of Moore s Law and will drive long term value for ASML beyond the next decade DUV, Holistic Litho and EUV are highly differentiated products providing unique value drivers for our customers and ASML ASML models a 2020 annual revenue opportunity of 11 billion with an EPS > 9*, with significant further growth potential into the next decade HMI provides market leading e-beam metrology capability which expands our integrated Holistic Lithography solutions to include a new class of pattern fidelity control We expect to continue to return excess cash to our shareholders through stable or growing dividends and regularly timed share buybacks in line with our policy We will host an Investor Day on November 8 th, 2018 at our headquarters in The Netherlands * based on model details and assumptions as presented in our 2016 Investor Day (October 31, 2016)

Slide 5 Business highlights

Q1 results summary Slide 6 Net sales of 2,285 million, net systems sales valued at 1,668 million, Installed Base Management sales at 617 million Gross margin of 48.7% Operating margin of 28.1% Net income as a percentage of net sales of 23.6% Net bookings of 2,442 million, excluding High-NA EUV orders - Installed Base Management equals our service and field option sales - Net bookings are calculated based upon the new Revenue Recognition Standard (ASC 606) and Lease Standard (ASC 842) which ASML has adopted as of January 1, 2018

Net system sales breakdown in value Slide 7 Q1 18 total value 1,668 million Q4 17 total value 1,955 million - Lithography systems do not include metrology and inspection systems - Logic equals our Foundry and IDM sales - As of January 1, 2018, ASML has adopted the new Revenue Recognition Standard (ASC 606) and Lease Standard (ASC 842). The quarterly comparative numbers have not been adjusted to reflect these changes in accounting policy

Total net sales million by End-use Slide 8 Installed Base Management Logic Memory - Installed Base Management equals our service and field option sales - Logic equals our Foundry and IDM sales - As of January 1, 2018, ASML has adopted the new Revenue Recognition Standard (ASC 606) and Lease Standard (ASC 842). The comparative numbers have not been adjusted to reflect these changes in accounting policy

Bookings activity by End-use Slide 9 Q1 18 total value 2,442 million Lithography systems New Used Units 55 7 Q4 17 total value 2,935 million Lithography systems New Used Units 68 7 - Lithography systems do not include metrology and inspection systems - Logic equals our Foundry and IDM sales - As of January 1, 2018, ASML has adopted the new Revenue Recognition Standard (ASC 606) and Lease Standard (ASC 842). The quarterly comparative numbers have not been adjusted to reflect these changes in accounting policy - Bookings do not include High-NA EUV orders

Capital return to shareholders Slide 10 Proposal submitted to 2018 Annual General Meeting of Shareholders to pay a dividend of 1.40 per ordinary share, for a total of around 600 million, in respect of fiscal year 2017 170 million worth of shares has been repurchased in Q1 2,330 million of the 2018/2019 share buyback program remaining Dividend Share buyback proposed The dividend for a year is paid in the subsequent year 2009 YTD Capital return is cumulative share buyback + dividend

Slide 11 Outlook

Q2 Outlook Slide 12 Q2 2018 net sales between 2.5 billion and 2.6 billion Including EUV revenue around 600 million Gross margin around 43% R&D costs of about 375 million SG&A costs of about 115 million Effective annualized tax rate around 14%

Slide 13 Product highlights

EUV commitment to volume manufacturing continues Slide 14 Customers commitment to insert EUV in volume manufacturing by ordering systems 3 EUV systems shipped in Q1, 1 shipment in progress, 1 revenue recognized Received 9 EUV orders in Q1 In addition, received 4 High-NA orders for R&D systems from 3 customers and sold options for 8 early volume systems Planned shipments of 20 systems in 2018, production capacity of at least 30 systems in 2019 ASML commitment to securing system performance, shipments and support required for volume manufacturing For volume manufacturing of logic and memory, ASML remains committed to deliver: Throughput of >125 wafers per hour Availability of >90% on average Shipments on time in sufficient volume Ability to support a growing installed base

Continuing progress on our EUV productivity roadmap Slide 15 NXE:3400B Acceptance Test Procedures (ATP) test: 26x33mm2, 96 fields, 20mJ/cm2

High-NA commitment secures lithography roadmap beyond the next decade Slide 16 Extension of EUV with High-NA lithography enables the IC industry to continue to drive down cost per function by improving imaging, overlay and productivity NA (numerical aperture) of the new optical system will increase from 0.33 on current EUV systems, to 0.55 on High-NA systems Throughput targeted at 185 wafers per hour With the addition of High-NA, the ASML product portfolio will include 0.33 NA and 0.55 NA EUV, dry and immersion DUV, as well as Holistic products, all designed to work seamlessly together in production Last year s investment in Carl Zeiss SMT solidifies our development timeline and reduces our execution risk Received four orders for High-NA R&D systems from three leading semiconductor manufacturers targeted to start shipping by end of 2021 Sold options for eight High-NA early volume systems targeted to start shipping in 2024

Applications Product Highlights Slide 17 Initial epfm5 customer evaluation data shows significant measurement cycle time reductions Shipped our first YS:1375 for In Device Measurement First 3x3 multi-beam images captured on proof of concept system YieldStar metrology system growth further accelerates with memory adoption

Multi-beam enables further throughput scaling First 3x3 multi-beam image captured, ~9x increase in throughput capability Slide 18 1 2 3 1 9x 4 5 6 7 8 9 Surface inspected by 1 beam Surface inspected by 9 beams beam number Demonstrated 9 uniform images

YieldStar metrology system growth further accelerates with memory adoption Slide 19 2017 shipments 2013 shipments

Slide 20 Financial statements

Consolidated statements of operations M Q1 2017 1 Q2 2017 1 Q3 2017 1 Q4 2017 1 Q1 2018 Net sales 1,944 2,101 2,447 2,561 2,285 Gross profit 925 946 1,050 1,156 1,113 Gross margin % 47.6 45.0 42.9 45.2 48.7 Other income 2 24 24 24 24 R&D costs (315) (313) (315) (317) (357) SG&A costs (99) (102) (103) (113) (114) Income from operations 535 555 656 750 642 Operating income as a % of net sales 27.5 26.4 26.8 29.3 28.1 Net income 452 466 557 644 540 Net income as a % of net sales 23.3 22.2 22.8 25.1 23.6 Earnings per share (basic) 1.05 1.08 1.30 1.50 1.26 Earnings per share (diluted) 1.05 1.08 1.29 1.49 1.26 Lithography systems sold (units) 3 44 42 55 57 49 Net booking value 4 1,894 2,375 2,154 2,935 2,442 Slide 21 1 As of January 1, 2018, ASML has adopted the new Revenue Recognition Standard (ASC 606) and Lease Standard (ASC 842). The quarterly comparative numbers have not been adjusted to reflect these changes in accounting policy. 2 Customer Co-Investment Program (CCIP). 3 Lithography systems do not include metrology and inspection systems. 4 Our systems net bookings include all system sales orders for which written authorizations have been accepted (for EUV starting with the NXE:3350B and excluding the High-NA systems). These numbers have been prepared in accordance with US GAAP

Consolidated statements of Cash flows M Slide 22 Q1 2017 1 Q2 2017 1 Q3 2017 1 Q4 2017 1 Q1 2018 Net income 452 466 557 644 540 Net cash provided by (used in) operating activities (168) 530 400 1,037 191 Net cash provided by (used in) investing activities 150 (754) (72) (533) 182 Net cash provided by (used in) financing activities 12 (744) (154) (323) (160) Net increase (decrease) in cash & cash equivalents 4 (996) 163 181 206 Free cash flow* (212) 469 302 882 56 Cash and cash equivalents and short-term investments 3,836 2,514 2,678 3,288 3,194 * Free cash flow is defined as net cash provided by (used in) operating activities minus investments in Capex (Purchase of Property, plant and equipment and intangibles), see US GAAP Consolidated Financial Statements. 1 As of January 1, 2018, ASML has adopted the new Revenue Recognition Standard (ASC 606) and Lease Standard (ASC 842). The quarterly comparative numbers have not been adjusted to reflect these changes in accounting policy. These numbers have been prepared in accordance with US GAAP

Consolidated Balance sheets M Assets Q1 2017 1 Q2 2017 1 Q3 2017 1 Q4 2017 1 Q1 2018 Cash & cash equivalents and short-term investments 3,836 2,514 2,678 3,288 3,194 Net accounts receivable and finance receivables 1,426 1,758 2,066 2,096 2,025 Contract assets 12 Inventories, net 2,996 3,137 2,998 2,958 3,231 Other assets 1,211 1,354 1,339 1,470 1,437 Tax assets 171 63 99 94 403 Equity method investments 1,002 1,008 982 971 Goodwill 4,784 4,646 4,565 4,541 4,541 Other intangible assets 1,279 1,231 1,191 1,166 1,146 Property, plant and equipment 1,622 1,567 1,552 1,601 1,560 Right-of-use assets 124 Total assets 17,325 17,272 17,496 18,196 18,644 Liabilities and shareholders' equity Current liabilities 2,876 3,125 2,974 3,342 3,132 Non-current liabilities 4,206 4,114 4,175 4,178 4,450 Shareholders' equity 10,243 10,033 10,347 10,676 11,062 Total liabilities and shareholders' equity 17,325 17,272 17,496 18,196 18,644 Slide 23 1 As of January 1, 2018, ASML has adopted the new Revenue Recognition Standard (ASC 606) and Lease Standard (ASC 842). The quarterly comparative numbers have not been adjusted to reflect these changes in accounting policy. These numbers have been prepared in accordance with US GAAP

Forward looking statements Slide 24 This document contains statements relating to certain projections, business trends and other matters that are forward-looking, including statements with respect to expected trends and outlook, bookings, expected financial results and trends, including expected sales, EUV revenue, gross margin, R&D and SG&A expenses, and annualized effective tax rate for the first quarter of 2018, and expected financial results and trends for the full year 2018, including the expectation for continued solid growth in sales and profitability in 2018, annual revenue opportunity for ASML and EPS potential by 2020 with significant further growth potential into the next decade, expected industry trends and expected trends in the business environment, statements with respect to the intent of customers to insert EUV into volume manufacturing, ASML s commitment to secure system performance, shipments, and support for volume manufacturing, including availability, productivity, throughput, shipments and the ability to support a growing installed base, including timing of shipments (including planned EUV shipments in 2018 and production capacity in 2019), statements with respect to orders, including High-NA system orders and options, the expected benefits (and performance commitments) of High-NA, including securing ASML s lithography roadmap beyond the next decade, lower costs per function by improving imaging, overlay and productivity, increased numerical aperture of the new optical system on High-NA systems, targeted throughput and the new product portfolio resulting from the addition of High-NA, statements with respect to the DUV productivity milestone, the benefits of HMI s e-beam metrology capabilities, including the introduction of a new class of pattern fidelity control, the reduction of measurement time, the benefits of combining ASML s e-beam metrology with computational lithography software and the potential introduction of multiple e-beams in one system and multi-beam enabling further throughput scaling, shrink being a key driver supporting innovation and providing long-term industry growth, lithography enabling affordable shrink and delivering value to customers, the expected continuation of Moore's law and that EUV will continue to enable Moore s law and drive long term value for ASML beyond the next decade, intention to return excess cash to shareholders through stable or growing dividends and regularly timed share buybacks in line with our policy, statements about our proposed dividend, dividend policy and intention to repurchase shares and statements with respect to the share repurchase plan for 2018-2019, including the intention to use certain shares to cover employee share plans and cancel the rest of the shares upon repurchase. You can generally identify these statements by the use of words like "may", "will", "could", "should", "project", "believe", "anticipate", "expect", "plan", "estimate", "forecast", "potential", "intend", "continue", "targets", "commits to secure" and variations of these words or comparable words. These statements are not historical facts, but rather are based on current expectations, estimates, assumptions and projections about the business and our future financial results and readers should not place undue reliance on them. Forward-looking statements do not guarantee future performance and involve risks and uncertainties. These risks and uncertainties include, without limitation, economic conditions, product demand and semiconductor equipment industry capacity, worldwide demand and manufacturing capacity utilization for semiconductors, including the impact of general economic conditions on consumer confidence and demand for our customers' products, competitive products and pricing, the impact of any manufacturing efficiencies and capacity constraints, conditions included in system orders and the risks that systems are not shipped pursuant to orders or as expected because conditions are not met or for any other reason, performance of our systems, the continuing success of technology advances and the related pace of new product development and customer acceptance of new products including EUV, the number and timing of EUV systems expected to be shipped and recognized in revenue, actual EUV production capacity, delays in EUV systems production and development and volume production by customers, including meeting development requirements for volume production, demand for EUV systems being sufficient to result in utilization of EUV facilities in which ASML has made significant investments, our ability to enforce patents and protect intellectual property rights, the outcome of intellectual property litigation, availability of raw materials, critical manufacturing equipment and qualified employees, trade environment, changes in exchange rates, changes in tax rates, available cash and liquidity, our ability to refinance our indebtedness, distributable reserves for dividend payments and share repurchases, results of the share repurchase plan and other risks indicated in the risk factors included in ASML's Annual Report on Form 20-F and other filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission. These forward-looking statements are made only as of the date of this document. We do not undertake to update or revise the forwardlooking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.