BV 2020 Financial. Roadmap

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Transcription:

BV 2020 Financial Roadmap

Improving trends YTD 2017 Nine months organic revenue +1.6% trending higher in Q3 Strong organic growth momentum of Growth Initiatives +7.1% y/y External growth +2.7% with 9 acquisitions YTD supporting Building & Infrastructure / Agri-Food / SmartWorld / Automotive Initiatives Currency impact -0.3%, turning negative in Q3 First half 2017 adjusted operating margin at a solid 15.2% despite some continuing cyclical headwinds First half Free Cash Flow improvement y/y adjusted from one-off tax items and cash impact of restructuring 32

Confirmed 2017 outlook Full-year organic revenue growth expected to be slightly positive, with acceleration in the second half confirmed Full-year adjusted operating margin of around 16% Full-year cash flow generation to improve from FY 2016 33

Reaffirmed 2020 ambition Add 1.5bn of incremental revenue 1 Half organic Half acquisition led 5-7% organic growth by 2020 Above 17% adjusted operating margin Continuous high Free Cash Flow generation (1) At initial plan exchange rates (as presented during October 2015 Investor Days) 34

Growth: two engines Focused organic growth Initiative driven Resilience enhanced, less cyclicality Balanced portfolio Targeted acquisitions All supporting our 5 Growth Initiatives and priority countries (USA and China) Geographic footprint balancing Primarily bolt-ons Stringent financial criteria Strong internal M&A execution BV ambition for the two growth engines 5-7% organic revenue growth by 2020 c 750m incremental revenue added through acquisitons over 2015-2020 35

Growth: BV 2020 Revenue Ambition (in millions) M&A Organic c.400-500 1 c.600-700 1,500 3 c.150 1 4,635 c.85 2-0,6% 130 1-29 Ramp-up with cyclical headwinds Acceleration towards 5-7% organic growth by 2020 2015 2016 2017e 2020e (1) Estimated annualized revenue from acquisitions of the year(s) (2) Applying consensus estimate of 1.8% organic revenue growth for FY 2017 (3) At initial plan exchange rates (as presented during October 2015 Investor Days) 36

Growth: Combine Base Business & Growth Initiatives potential 1% 0% -1% -2% -3% -4% Stabilizing Base Business 0.0% -1.1% -2.2% -3.7% H1 16 H2 16 H1 17 Q3 17 Accelerating Growth Initiatives Two-thirds % of Group revenue Perspective Returning to TIC market growth (c.3%) Stabilizing Oil & Gas Capex markets Recovering Metals & Minerals markets Upcoming stabilized Shipping market 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 7.8% 3.3% 7.1% 7.2% One-third Maintaining strong growth Mid-single-digit organic growth YTD 17 for B&I, Opex & Agri-Food High double-digit organic growth YTD 17 for SmartWorld & Auto 3% 2% H1 16 H2 16 H1 17 Q3 17 37

Profit: towards >17% adjusted operating margin in 2020 + - + Excellence @BV Restructuring payback Digital c16% Lean Procurement Shared service center >17% 2017e Operating Leverage Margin Initiatives Competitive / Price Pressure & Cost Inflation 2020 BV ambition 38

High Free Cash Flow generation TIC activities have a favorable cash model High profitability Low capex requirements, even more for BV (more inspection than testing) High cash conversion rate over the cycle New Challenges Longer payment cycle for O&G, M&M and Marine customers Actions taken Specific programme initiative on working capital management: launch of Move 4 Cash Capex discipline Stabilising Base Business High Free Cash Flow generation Low capex 1 3.0-3.5% Working capital reduction High cash conversion (1) As percentage of Group revenue, on average over 2010-16 39

Move For Cash A Group-wide working capital reduction program All locations and all operations covered with a tailored approach Dedicated KPIs and incentives Adapted tools and reporting Catalyze resources and expertise on a large scale Project Manager to oversee the project and share best practices Cash Champion Network to mobilize teams across the Group Training kit to share expertise rapidly Revenue Operating profit Working capital requirement Tangible assets Reducing working capital to improve cash flow generation EBITDA Reduce capital employed Free Cash Flow 40

Cash: self-financed plan BV 2020 plan fully financed with: Unchanged solid investment grade credit profile Net Debt/EBITDA ratio well below 3.25x covenants Financing bridge over 2016-2020 ( m) Capex Maintained dividend distribution policy Operating Cash Flow M&A Debt Dividend Source of cash Use of cash 41

Inflexion point crossed Q3 2017 organic growth at +2.2%, the best quarter since Q2 2015 4 out of 6 businesses posting organic growth above +3% in Q3 2017 5.5% 5,5% 4.5% 4,5% 3.5% 3,5% Group quarterly organic revenue growth 4.4% Organic Growth 1-year Moving average c100% 2 businesses still declining but on improving or stabilized trends 2.5% 2,5% 3.0% 1.9% 2.2% All 5 Growth Initiatives maintaining strong momentum, up organically +7.2% y/y 1.5% 1,5% 0.5% 0,5% 0.9% 0.8% -0.5% -0,5% 0.0% -0.6% -0.3% -1.5% -1,5% Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015-0.7% Q1 2016 Q2 2016-1.0% Q3 2016 Q4 2016 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 42