MEASURING NATIONAL OUTPUT AND NATIONAL INCOME. Chapter 18

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1 MEASURING NATIONAL OUTPUT AND NATIONAL INCOME Chapter 18

national income and product accounts Data collected and published by the government describing the various components of national income and output in the economy 2

3 GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT gross domestic product (GDP) The total market value of all final goods and services produced within a given period by factors of production located within a country GDP is the total market value of a country s output

4 GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT final goods and services Goods and services produced for final use intermediate goods Goods that are produced by one firm for use in further processing by another firm value added The difference between the value of goods as they leave a stage of production and the cost of the goods as they entered that stage

5 GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT TABLE 6.1 Value Added in the Production of a Gallon of Gasoline (Hypothetical Numbers) STAGE OF PRODUCTION VALUE OF SALES VALUE ADDED (1) Oil drilling $ 1.00 $1.00 (2) Refining 1.30 0.30 (3) Shipping 1.60 0.30 (4) Retail sale 2.00 0.40 Total value added $2.00

6 GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT In calculating GDP OR We can either sum up the value added at each stage of production We can take the value of final sales We do not use the value of total sales in an economy to measure how much output has been produced

7 GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT EXCLUSION OF USED GOODS AND TRANSACTIONS GDP is concerned only with new, or current, production GDP ignores all transactions in which money or goods change hands but in which no new goods and services are produced EXCLUSION OF OUTPUT PRODUCED ABROAD BY DOMESTICALLY OWNED FACTORS OF PRODUCTION GDP is the value of output produced by factors of production located within a country

8 GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT gross national product (GNP) The total market value of all final goods and services produced within a given period by factors of production owned by a country s citizens, regardless of where the output is produced

9 expenditure approach A method of computing GDP that measures the amount spent on all final goods during a given period income approach A method of computing GDP that measures the income wages, rents, interest, and profits received by all factors of production in producing final goods

10 THE EXPENDITURE APPROACH Expenditure Categories: Personal consumption expenditures (C): household spending on consumer goods Gross private domestic investment (I): spending by firms and households on new capital, i.e., plant, equipment, inventory, and new residential structures Government consumption and gross investment (G) Net exports (EX - IM): net spending by the rest of the world, or exports (EX) minus imports (IM) GDP = C + I + G + (EX - IM)

11 TABLE 6.2 Components of U.S. GDP, 2004: The Expenditure Approach BILLIONS OF DOLLARS PERCENTAGE OF GDP Personal consumption expenditures (C) 8,214.3 70.0 Durable goods 987.8 8.4 Nondurable goods 2,368.3 20.2 Services 4,858.2 41.4 Gross private domestic investment (l) 1,928.1 16.4 Nonresidential 1,198.8 10.2 Residential 673.8 5.7 Change in business inventories 55.4 0.5 Government consumption and gross investment (G) 2,215.9 18.9 Federal 827.6 7.1 State and local 1,388.3 11.8 Net exports (EX œim) 624.0 5.3 Exports (EX) 1,173.8 10.0 Imports (IM) 1,797.8 15.3 Gross domestic product (GDP) 11,734.3 100.0

12 Personal Consumption Expenditures (C) personal consumption expenditures (C) A major component of GDP: expenditures by consumers on goods and services There are three main categories of consumer expenditures: durable goods, nondurable goods, and services

13 durable goods Goods that last a relatively long time, such as cars and household appliances nondurable goods Goods that are used up fairly quickly, such as food and clothing services The things we buy that do not involve the production of physical things, such as legal and medical services and education

14 Gross Private Domestic Investment (I) gross private domestic investment (I) Total investment in capital that is, the purchase of new housing, plants, equipment, and inventory by the private (or non-government) sector nonresidential investment Expenditures by firms for machines, tools, plants, and so on residential investment Expenditures by households and firms on new houses and apartment buildings

15 change in business inventories The amount by which firms inventories change during a period Inventories are the goods that firms produce now but intend to sell later GDP is not the market value of total final sales during a period it is the market value of total production GDP = final sales + change in business inventories

16 Gross Investment versus Net Investment depreciation The amount by which an asset s value falls in a given period gross investment The total value of all newly produced capital goods (plant, equipment, housing, and inventory) produced in a given period net investment Gross investment minus depreciation capital end of period = capital beginning of period + net investment

17 Government Consumption and Gross Investment (G) government consumption and gross investment (G) Expenditures by governments for final goods and services (school buildings, military salaries)

18 Net Exports (EX - IM) net exports (EX - IM) The difference between exports (sales to foreigners of domestically- produced goods and services) and imports (domestic purchases of goods and services from abroad) The figure can be positive or negative

19 THE INCOME APPROACH Calculate GDP in terms of who receives it as income rather than as who purchases it national income The total income earned by the factors of production owned by a country s citizens

20 TABLE 6.3 National Income, 2004 National Income Compensation of employees Proprietors income Corporate profits Net interest Rental income Indirect taxes minus subsidies Net business transfer payments Surplus of government enterprises BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 10,275.9 6,687.6 889.6 134.2 1,161.5 505.5 809.3 91.1 3.0 PERCENTAGE OF NATIONAL INCOME 100.0 65.1 8.7 1.3 11.3 4.9 7.9 0.9 0.0

21 compensation of employees Includes wages, salaries, and various supplements employer contributions to social insurance and pension funds, for example paid to households by firms and by the government proprietors income The income of unincorporated businesses rental income The income received by property owners in the form of rent

22 corporate profits The income of corporate businesses net interest The interest paid by business indirect taxes minus subsidies Taxes such as sales taxes, customs duties, and license fees, less subsidies that the government pays for which it receives no goods or services in return net business transfer payments Net transfer payments by businesses to others surplus of government enterprises Income of government enterprises

23 Relation between GDP and National Income TABLE 6.4 GDP, GNP, NNP and National Income, 2004 GDP Plus: Receipts of factor income from the rest of the world Less: Payments of factor income to the rest of the world Equals: GNP Less: Depreciation Equals: Net national product (NNP) Less: Statistical discrepancy Equals: National income DOLLARS (BILLIONS) 11,734.3 + 415.4 361.7 11,788.0 1,435.3 10,352.8 76.9 10,275.9

24 net national product (NNP) Gross national product minus depreciation; a nation s total product minus what is required to maintain the value of its capital stock statistical discrepancy Data measurement error

Consider how much of national income goes to households personal income The total income of households before paying personal income taxes disposable personal income or after-tax income Personal income minus personal income taxes (The amount that households have to spend or save) personal saving The amount of disposable income that is left after total personal spending in a given period 25

26 E 6.5 National Income, Personal Income, Disposable Personal Income, and Personal Saving, 2004 l income Amount of national income not going to households Personal income Personal income taxes Disposable personal income Personal consumption expenditures Personal interest payments Transfer payments made by households Personal saving D (B

27 NOMINAL VERSUS REAL GDP nominal GDP Gross domestic product measured in current prices If we use nominal GDP to measure growth, we can be misled into thinking production has grown when all that has really happened is a rise in the price level

28 CALCULATING REAL GDP TABLE 6.6 A Three-Good Economy (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) PRODUCTION YEAR 1 YEAR 2 PRICE PER UNIT YEAR 1 YEAR 2 GDP IN YEAR 1 IN YEAR 1 PRICES GDP IN YEAR 2 IN YEAR 1 PRICES GDP IN YEAR 1 IN YEAR 2 PRICES GDP IN YEAR 2 IN YEAR 2 PRICES Q 1 Q 2 P 1 P 2 P 1 x Q 1 P 1 x Q 2 P 2 x Q 1 P 2 X Q 2 Good A 6 11 $.50 $.40 $3.00 $5.50 $2.40 $4.40 Good B 7 4.30 1.00 2.10 1.20 7.00 4.00 Good C 10 12.70.90 7.00 8.40 9.00 10.80 Total $12.10 $15.10 $18.40 $19.20 Nominal GDP in year 1 Nominal GDP in year 2

29 The (Implicit) GDP Deflator Comparing what has happened to nominal and to real GDP over the same period implies the existence of a price index measuring the change in prices over that period GDP Deflator =[GDP current /GDP base ]*100