OTE in Focus OTE. OTE Group: The largest telecoms player in Europe s fastest-growing region. European TMT Conference London, 5 th -6 th June 2007

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Transcription:

OTE in Focus OTE Group: The largest telecoms player in Europe s fastest-growing region European TMT Conference London, 5 th -6 th June 2007

Forward-Looking Statement Any statements contained in this document that are not historical facts are forwardlooking statements as defined in the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. All forward-looking statements are subject to various risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from expectations. The factors that could affect the Company's future financial results are discussed more fully in the Company's filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (the "SEC"), including the Company's Annual Report on Form 20-F for 2005 filed with the SEC on June 30, 2006. OTE assumes no obligation to update information in this presentation. Note: In this presentation, the caption EBITDA is used to signify Operating income before depreciation and amortization and the caption EBITDA margin to signify Operating income before depreciation and amortization as a percentage of Operating Revenues 2

Corporate Profile Financial and Operational Highlights Outlook 3

Corporate Profile

Voice, Mobile and Data Leader in Southeast Europe BULGARIA Challenger Mobile market share: 39% Customers (000 s): 3,402 GREECE Incumbent/ Leader Total Lines (000 s): 6,144 Romania ROMANIA Incumbent/ Leader Total Lines (000 s): 3,222 ADSL Subscribers (000 s): 593 Mobile market share: 37% Customers (000 s): 5,429 Albania Serbia FYROM Bulgaria ADSL Subscribers (000 s): 137 Mobile market share: 10% Customers (000 s): 1,859 Greece FYROM Challenger Mobile market share: 34% Customers (000 s): 498 Note: Data as of 31 March 2007 ALBANIA Leader Mobile market share: 52% Customers (000 s): 1,024 Cyprus In 2006 the OTE Group acquired Germanos, the largest retailer of technology products in Southeast Europe OTE also owns 20% of Telecom Serbia, the incumbent operator in Serbia 5

OTE Group profile OTE Overview Shareholder Structure ( March 31, 2007) Leading integrated telecommunications operator Listed on Athens (HTO GA), London (OTES LI), and New York Stock Exchanges (OTE) Market capitalization (May 2007): above 11 billion Group Q1 07 key figures: Revenues 1,509 mn EBITDA* 562 mn FCF (EBITDA less CAPEX) 339 mn Net Debt 2,347 mn Greek Institutional Investors 9.5% Hellenic State 38.7% Other 6.8% International Institutional Investors 45.0% * Excluding provisions related to OTE s new employee exit program 6

OTE Group Key 2007 events Greek broadband market exceeds 500K lines Greek broadband market exceeds 600K lines Greek broadband market exceeds 700K lines OTE announces new exit program for up to 450 employees OTE appoints new RomTelecom CEO, OTE Chief Technology Officer and OTEnet CEO OTE launches higher ADSL speeds (4 and 8 Mbps) and lower tariffs European Commission approves Greek State aid to OTE s VRP OTE creates position of Chief Operating Officer 2007 Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun WiMAX network development launched by OTE Germanos delisting from Athens Stock Exchange OTE launches OTE on the Broadband 18-city roadshow OTE considers sale of directories business, Infote OTE s EGM revises certain Articles of Association relative to Greek State's participation, establishment of stock option plan 7

Q1 2007 Results 8

OTE Group 9

OTE Group Financial Highlights IFRS ( mn) FY 05 FY 06 % Diff Q1 06 Q1 07 % Diff Revenues 5,475.1 5,891.3 7.6% 1,386.7 1,508.6 8.8% Operating Income 24.0 1,088.3-228.2 260.3 14.1% Pro Forma EBITDA 1,971.5 2,167.0 9.9% 512.5 561.7 9.6% Pro Forma EBITDA margin 36.0% 36.8% 0.8pp 37.0 37.2% 0.2pp Net Income/(loss) (216.8) 574.6-109.7 140.9 28.4% Basic EPS/(loss)( /share) Cashflow from Operations (0.4424) 1,532.8 1.1723 1,786.2-16.5% 0.2238 372.8 0.2875 320.6 28.4% -14.0% CAPEX as % of Revenues 12.4% 16.3% 3.9pp 12.2% 14.8% 2.6pp Dec 06 Mar 07 Net Debt 2,548 2,346.5-7.9% Note: Pro Forma EBITDA excluding Greek VRP impact, provisions related to OTE s new employee exit program and other non-recurring gains related to CosmoRom in Romania 10

OTE Group Revenue Trends Gross Revenue Mix by Region (Q1 07) Group Revenues Albania Bulgaria 2% 6% FYROM 1% 2,000 1,500 OTE Cosmote RomTelecom Other 1,508.6 1,386.7 8.8% Romania 16% 1,000 Greece 75% 500 0 ( mn) Q1 06 Q1 07 Q1 Group Revenues up 8.8% reflecting consolidation of Germanos and disposal of Armentel Comparable Group Revenues up 3.7% mainly driven by ADSL and international mobile telephony 11

OTE Group EBITDA Trends EBITDA Trends (Q1 07) EBITDA Margin Trends ( mn) 215.2 90.7 16.1% 29.9 5.3% 561.7* EBITDA ( mn) EBITDA margin % 228.3 38.1% 100% 512.5 9.6% 561.7 40.5% 37.0% 37.2% OTE CosmoteRomTelecom Other OTE Group Q1 06 Q1 07 Sharply higher profitability in Greek Fixed Line margin pressure in mobile operations from international expansion and Germanos acquisition EBITDA margin up, despite acquisition of lower-margin Germanos business and ArmenTel disposal as well as lower RomTelecom margin have changed the earnings mix by segment Note: EBITDA in the above graphs does not include provisions related to OTE s new employee exit program * Incl. 2.4 mn intercompany eliminations 12

OTE Group Cash Flow Trends Cash Flow 1,971.5 2,167.0 Group Capital Expenditure in Q1 07 up 32% from Q1 06 reflecting: 1,291.3 1,204.6 Investments at RomTelecom ( mn) 561.7 338.5 Investments in international mobile telephony (223.2) Maintaining strong FCF (Gross) despite CAPEX increase (680.2) (962.4) 2005 2006 Q1 07 EBITDA CAPEX FCF Notes: EBITDA excluding VRP impact and other non-recurring gains. FCF defined as EBITDA less CAPEX 13

Greek fixed-line 14

Greek fixed-line Financial Highlights IFRS ( mn) FY 05 FY 06 % Diff Q1 06 Q1 07 % Diff Revenues 2,707.0 2,714.5 0.3% 684.7 660.9-3.5% Operating Income/ (loss) (822.4) 312.1-48.9 76.1 55.6% Pro Forma EBITDA 659.8 790.3 19.8% 183.6 228.3 24.3% Pro Forma EBITDA margin 24.4% 29.1% 4.7pp 26.8% 34.5% 7.7pp CAPEX as % of Revenues 7.7% 8.3% 0.6pp 8.9% 6.3% -2.6pp Note: EBITDA excluding VRP impact & provisions related to OTE s new employee exit program 15

Greek fixed-line Revenues & EBITDA Revenues EBITDA 1,000 EBITDA margin % EBITDA ( mn) ( mn) 750 500 250 684.7-3.5% 660.9 183.6 26.8% 24.3% 228.3 34.5% 0 Q1 06 Q1 07 Q1 06 Q1 07 Domestic telephony Other International telephony ADSL Revenues stable excluding one-off contract in Q1 06 Rentals, ADSL & leased lines offset drop in voice Note: EBITDA excluding provisions related to OTE s new employee exit program EBITDA growth driven by sharp reduction in payroll EBITDA margin up 6.7pp excluding one-off contract in Q1 06 16

Greek fixed-line Operating Expenses Decline in Payroll & Employee benefits largely reflecting positive impact of VRS Higher Other OPEX due to: increased Services & Fees paid out to OTE Group units (OTE Globe), and ( mn) 635.8 OPEX -11.5% 562.7 higher advertising and promotion costs Q1 06 Q1 07 Payroll & employee benefits Payments to domestic operators Cost of tel.equipment Payments to international operators D&A Other Note: Q1 07 OPEX excluding provisions related to OTE s new employee exit program 17

Greek fixed-line Broadband Penetration Extensive marketing campaign boosting demand Broadband take-up rate maintains strong momentum Sharp increase in ADSL availability to over 920,000 installed ports in mid-may 2007 Broadband market expected to reach 1.7 million subscribers by end 2009 Weekly ADSL subscriber additions Greek Greek ADSL ADSL Market Market Trend Trend & Penetration Penetration 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 2,000 1,750 1,500 1,250 1,000 750 500 250 0 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% Jan-05 Mar-05 May-05 Jul-05 Sep-05 Nov-05 Jan-06 Mar-06 May-06 Jul-06 Sep-06 Nov-06 Jan-07 Mar-07 May-07 2003 2004 2005 2006 2009E Broadband market Population penetration 18

Cosmote 19

Cosmote profile Cosmote Overview Revenues Started operations in 1998 as third mobile operator in Greece Leading mobile operator in Greece in terms of total and contract subscribers with market share of over 37% Continued strong growth supported by higher usage and strong subscriber take up, despite the effective 27% termination rate cut International operations account for approx. 31% of Group revenues, excluding Germanos Strong positions throughout S.E. Europe ( mn) 687.6 Total customer base more than doubled from 4.5 million in 2003 to approx. 12 million in Q1 07 496.4 38.5% Germanos COSMOTE currently owns 90% of Germanos, the leading mobile retailer in S.E. Europe Listed on Athens (COSMO GA) and London (CMBD LI) Stock Exchanges 66.8% owned by OTE Q1 06 Q1 07 Greece AMC GloBul Cosmofon Romania Germanos 20

Cosmote Group Financial Highlights IFRS ( mn) FY 05 FY 06 % Diff Q1 06 Q1 07 % Diff Revenues EBITDA EBITDA margin Net Income Net Income margin 1,797.6 754.5 42.0% 339.9 18.9% 2,382.3 876.2 36.8% 360.5 15.1% 32.5% 16.1% -5.2pp 6.1% -3.8pp 496.4 190.9 38.5% 75.2 15.2% 687.6 215.2 31.3% 74.7 10.9% 38.5% 12.7% -7.2pp -0.7% -4.3pp CAPEX as % of Revenues 14.4% 18.6% 4.2pp 13.1% 15.7% 2.6pp Dec 06 Mar 07 Net Debt 2,432 2,360-3.0% 21

RomTelecom 22

RomTelecom profile RomTelecom Overview RomTelecom Revenue & EBITDA trends 54% owned by OTE 222.9-0.4% 222.1 Strong competition has emerged in 2006, in a market where fixed-line penetration is ~16 % vs.>75% for mobile & ~16% for cable Investments in NGN & automation to retain lead and profitability Development of non-traditional contents and solutions business 42.6% 40.8% Dolce satellite TV offer launched in late 06 Q1 06 Q1 07 Gradual transition to IPTV EBITDA margin Revenues ( mn) 23

RomTelecom Financial Highlights IFRS ( mn) FY 05 FY 06 % Diff. Q1 06 Q1 07 % Diff. Revenues 929.7 894.8-3.8% 222.9 222.1-0.4% Operating Income 67.1 84.4 25.8% 26.4 26.6 0.8% EBITDA 341.5 338.3-0.9% 95.0 90.7-4.5% EBITDA margin 36.7% 37.8% 1.1pp 42.6% 40.8% -1.8pp CAPEX as % of Revenues 9.9% 23.3% 13.4pp 12.4% 31.1% 18.7pp Dec 06 Mar 07 Net Cash Position 50.5 63.6 25.9% Note: EBITDA does not include non-recurring 2005 gains 24

Outlook 25

OTE Group Strategic Guidelines OTE Group Revenues Payroll & benefits Total OPEX EBITDA 06-09 CAGR +6% to 7% -0.5% to -1.5% +4.5% to 5.5% +8% to 9% Capitalize on leading positions in Greek telecommunications market fixed, mobile, broadband Move towards Groupwide offerings through bundling of Broadband, Mobile, Fixed (BMF) products and services Greek Fixed-line 06-09 CAGR Revenues -4% to -5% Payroll & benefits -4.5% to -5.5% Total OPEX -6% to -7% EBITDA +0.5% to 1.5% Optimize distribution channels Maintain momentum of mobile operations Confront rising competition in Romania and minimize churn Increase returns to shareholders Note: EBITDA excluding Greek 2006 VRP impact 26

Q&A For more information please contact OTE Investor Relations Dimitris Tzelepis, Head of IR Tel: +30 210 611 1574 Fax: +30 210 611 1030 or visit: www.ote.gr/english/investorrelations 27