Year End Directory Introduction 1 Portfolio Review 1 Large Cap Review 3 Small Cap Review 4 Focus Review 6 Focus Plus Review 7 Closing 9

Similar documents
First Quarter Portfolio Review

Third Quarter Portfolio Review

Small Cap Composite (Gross) 16.2% 16.2% 11.7% Top 0.0%

Inception Date QTD 1 Year

First Quarter Directory

Fourth Quarter Portfolio Review General

Fourth Quarter Portfolio Review

Second Quarter Portfolio Review General

Second Quarter Portfolio Review General

Third Quarter Portfolio Review. General

Inception Date QTD 1 Year. Vulcan Value Partners Fund (VVPLX) 12/31/ % 19.08% 26.68% 16.39%

Third Quarter Portfolio Review General. Directory Introduction 1 Portfolio Review 1 Large Cap Review 4 Small Cap Review 7 Focus Review 10

January 13, th Quarter and Full-Year 2013 Portfolio Commentary

Fourth Quarter Portfolio Review General

Fourth Quarter Portfolio Review General. Directory Introduction 1 Portfolio Review 1 Large Cap Review 4 Small Cap Review 6 Focus Review 8

Investor Presentation April 2018

Market Volatility & SGA s Active Returns By Pat Holway, CFA, CAIA, CIC & Steve Skatrud, CFA Client Portfolio Managers

Second Quarter Directory

Focus on Funds As of December 31, 2009

Second Quarter Portfolio Review General

Aggressive Growth Strategy

Pioneer Fund. Performance Analysis & Commentary December Fourth Quarter Review. amundipioneer.com

2 nd Quarter 2014 Portfolio Commentary

Client Letter --- Second Quarter 2013

Stamper Capital & Investments, Inc.

Electronic Arts Inc. EA NASDAQ Neutral-2 Good 2Q Results; Neutral Rating Based on Stock Valuation

Invesco Diversified Dividend Fund. Building a solid foundation

Haverford College Office of Investments 370 Lancaster Avenue Haverford, PA November 15, 2014

Goldman Sachs Presentation to Bernstein Strategic Decisions Conference

Perspectives On 2004 and Beyond Ron Surz, President, PPCA, Inc.

Commentary to Morgan Stanley Wealth Management Clients

FrontLine Research Paper

Quarterly Investment Letter fourth QUARTER 2014

Cedar Fair, L.P. (Nasdaq: FUN)

The Value of Dividends. Searching for Income in a Low-Rate Environment. The Value of Dividends. Highlights. Long-Term Total Return Driver

EMERGING MARKETS MAY MAKE A GOOD DRAFT PICK TO ADD TO PORTFOLIOS

Our Interview with Mason Hawkins of Southeastern Asset Management April 1, 2008

The Outlook For Emerging Markets Stocks

Evaluating Your Investment Options

Prospectus. RMB Mendon Financial Services Fund RMBKX (Class A) RMBNX (Class C) RMBLX (Class I)

Active vs. Passive: An Update

Oppenheimer Rising Dividends Fund

to my fellow shareholders,

Southeastern Global Equities Portfolio

RiverPark Focused Value Fund

POLEN U.S. SMALL COMPANY GROWTH STRATEGY

Investors Look to the Long Term

Why Quality Matters in Mid Cap Investing

Global developed market banks: unloved and equally undervalued

DIVIDEND BUBBLE? Burt White Chief Investment Officer, LPL Financial Jeffrey Buchbinder, CFA Market Strategist, LPL Financial

Skyline Asset Management, L.P. Executive Summary Skyline Small Cap Value Composite June 30, 2018

RiverPark Focused Value Fund (RFVIX / RFVFX)

Matter. Investment Research Series. why dividends. & Matthew Page, CFA

Quarterly Investment Letter FIRST QUARTER 2017

Leith Wheeler U.S. Dividend Fund

Scotia Private U.S. Large Cap Growth Pool

Clarify and define the actual versus perceived role and function of rating organizations as they currently exist;

SQN was launched in 2014 and currently manages over $1 billion of capital on behalf of institutions and individual investors.

Lyons Tactical Allocation Portfolio. A Different Approach to Tactical

Insurance Industry 2011 Employment Outlook and Hiring Survey

Polen Focus Growth Portfolio First Quarter 2017 Commentary

RiverPark Focused Value Fund

S&C MESSINA CAPITAL INVESTMENTS, L.P. 915 S WOLFE STREET 122 BALTIMORE, MARYLAND

Does greater risk equal greater reward?

Resilience of Convertibles in Economic Recessions

Franklin Select U.S. Equity Fund. Advisor Class

Revisiting MLP Performance as Interest Rates Rise

F.N.B. CORPORATION FOURTH QUARTER 2007 EARNINGS CONFERENCE CALL. January 18, 2008

Investment. Insights. Emerging Markets. Invesco Global Equity. A 2012 outlook

At American General, it s about promises the promises your clients make to their families, the promises you make to your clients, and the promises we

Goldman Sachs Presentation to Sanford C. Bernstein Strategic Decisions Conference Comments by Gary Cohn, President & COO May 28, 2014.

Annuities: The Unknown Retirement Solution

Quarterly Commentary

RiverPark Focused Value Fund

Differentiating the American Funds Insurance Series. Invest in Funds Designed for Retirement

Southeastern Global Equities Portfolio Issue date: 9 May 2017

Quarterly Commentary

The Power of Mid-Caps: Investing in a Sweet Spot of the Market

Differentiating the American Funds Insurance Series. Invest in Funds Designed for Retirement

South Atlantic Capital Management Group, Inc.

LUTHER KING CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LKCM SMID CAP EQUITY COMPOSITE First Quarter, 2016 Update

Equity Market Review and Outlook

KP Retirement Path 2050 Fund: KPRHX. KP Retirement Path 2055 Fund: KPRIX. KP Retirement Path 2060 Fund: KPRJX. KP Large Cap Equity Fund: KPLCX

Kensington Analytics LLC. Convertible Income Strategy

5 reasons to consider U.S. equity funds

Groupon Announces First Quarter 2015 Results

Ivy Through the Cycles

Diversified Multi-Asset Strategies in a Defined Contribution Plan

INVESTMENT HAMPTON ROADS REAL ESTATE MARKET REVIEW. Author. Financial Support. Disclosure. J. Scott Adams, CCIM Regional President, CB Richard Ellis

We believe skilled active management, underpinned by in-depth research, can create value for clients over the longer term.

Passive Opportunities for Master Limited Partnerships (MLP) Investors: The Morningstar MLP Index Family

Charter Communications Inc.

Managed Accounts Available at Charles Schwab & Co., Inc. Investment Strategy: U.S. Trust Focused Large Cap Growth Investment Style: Large Cap Growth

Activision Blizzard, Inc. ATVI NASDAQ Underperform-2

I will now turn the call over to Vince Delie, President and Chief Executive Officer.

Davis Research Methodology

1607 GROUP AT MORGAN STANLEY

Invesco Comstock Fund. Finding opportunity

September 30, These government programs have helped stabilize the economy over the last year.

INVESTMENT UPDATE. August 2018 PERFORMANCE UPDATE

Transcription:

Year End Portfolio Review General We are pleased to report that our strong results continued in the second half of. Each of Vulcan Value Partners four investment strategies turned in exceptional absolute and relative returns during the last six months of. The same is true for all of. All four portfolios delivered high double digit gains during both during the second half of and for the entire year. Since we began operations nearly three years ago we have preserved capital in down markets and compounded capital in up markets. Overall, we have made positive returns during a period of time when indices and most of our peers suffered double digit declines. Performance details and information about portfolio holdings are detailed below but a summary is as follows: Directory Introduction 1 Portfolio Review 1 Large Cap Review 3 Small Cap Review 4 Focus Review 6 Focus Plus Review 7 Closing 9 For more information about Vulcan Value Partners, visit www.vulcanvaluepartners.com or call 205.803.1582 Date Full Year Annualized Since Peer Rank Through 12/31/ Large Cap Composite 3/31/2007 60.2% 1.6% Top 0.43% S&P 500 Index 26.4% -6.3% Russell 1000 Value Index 19.7% -10.1% Focus Composite 11/30/2007 66.4% 1.5% Top 0.00% S&P 500 Index 26.4% -10.6% Russell 1000 Value Index 19.7% -13.0% Focus Plus Composite 3/31/2007 59.4% 0.0% Top 2.69% S&P 500 Index 26.4% -6.3% Russell 1000 Value Index 19.7% -10.1% Small Cap Composite 3/31/2007 42.1% -1.1% Top 7.23% Russell 2000 Index 27.2% -7.2% Russell 2000 Value Index 20.6% -9.4% Peer ranking information sourced from Zephyr StyleADVISOR versus Zephyr Large Cap Value and Zephyr Small Cap Value for periods ending December 31,. What is more gratifying to us than the returns generated in is that the underlying value of our portfolios increased during a severe economic downturn. On average, across all of our portfolios we estimate that the underlying value of the businesses we own increased at a low double digit rate in. This number is extremely pleasing to us, more so than the stock price appreciation we enjoyed. Why? It confirms the strong competitive position of the companies we own. Most businesses saw their value decline during the recession, some precipitously. Our

Year End Portfolio Review (Cont.) prospects for future value growth are outstanding as the economy begins to recover. Critically, the value growth we enjoyed also confirms our estimates of intrinsic value, which, in turn, means that our margin of safety is sound. In addition to value growth we also benefitted from stock price volatility which enabled us to execute on the portfolio management side of our investment process. We were able to sell businesses that had risen to fair value and re-allocate capital to more discounted companies. The combination of capital allocation and underlying business value growth means that our portfolios are well positioned to meet our goal of 15% absolute returns over our five year time horizon. Despite the substantial returns we enjoyed in we still enjoy a substantial margin of safety in terms of value over price and we own an extraordinary collection of competitively entrenched businesses that have demonstrated the value of their franchises during the economic downturn. They have gotten stronger and their competitors have gotten weaker. As a result, we are enthusiastic about their ability to grow business value both as the economy appears poised to recover and also over our five year time horizon. We want to thank you for embracing our investment philosophy which was laid out in our first letter. You have done what you said you would do and that is to provide stable capital. Your stable capital and ours allows us to take a long term view with every investment decision. Because of you we are able to execute our disciplined investment philosophy and take advantage of market volatility instead of it taking advantage of us. This letter will be our last to you, our family investors, before we open Vulcan Value Partners to outside investors. We hope to attract the same caliber of serious, long term investors that we currently enjoy. Thank you for being a part of Vulcan Value Partners early success. We are just getting started. 2

Large Cap Vulcan Value Partners Large Cap Review Vulcan Value Partners Large Cap s absolute and relative returns were quite good for the second half and full year in. Performance in the second half of was well above our long term goal of 15%. Absolute and relative returns for the year were even better. Our performance was meaningfully better than the S&P 500 and also exceeded value benchmarks. Vulcan Value Partners Large Cap s absolute performance since inception at March, 2007 was well below our long term goal of 15% but was positive during a period of time when the S&P 500, value benchmarks, and more important, other value based peers who we admire and respect delivered large negative returns. We are pleased with the high returns generated in. We are even more pleased that we were able to preserve capital during the 2008 bear market. Investment Strategy Date Second Half Full Year Annualized Since VVP Large Cap 03/31/2007 29.4% 60.2% 1.6% S&P 500 Index 22.6% 26.4% -6.3% Russell 1000 Value Index 23.2% 19.7% -10.1% 3 We know we are preaching to the choir but to state the obvious: the time period covered by this letter is too short to provide any meaningful information regarding performance. Based upon the discounted prices we have paid and the steady compounding of value at the businesses we own we feel confident that we will meet our long term absolute return goal of 15% and that, if we do so, the relative numbers will take care of themselves. Our top three contributors to performance during the second half of were Google, MasterCard, and Disney. Our top three contributors for all of were Liberty Media Entertainment Group, Google, and Starbucks with 107%, 102% and 132% gains respectively. We discussed Liberty Media Entertainment Group in some detail in our mid-year report, which we encourage you to re-read. Google proved the value of its business franchise as its overwhelming dominance in search enabled it to grow its bottom line at double digit rates and produce significant free cash flow during a severe advertising downturn. Google continues to benefit from the migration of advertising dollars from print to online. It is gratifying to see our companies not only delivering but exceeding our expectations. We are more concerned with value growth at the companies we own than share price performance. Starbucks, which is a fine company, did not grow its value significantly in so that it reached our estimate of intrinsic worth after its 132% gain and we exited our position at our estimate of intrinsic worth. The proceeds from Starbucks were used to buy more discounted companies with higher margins of safety. Only two companies had negative returns in. Liberty Media Corp Starz, is a very small stub company that was created during the merger of Liberty Media Entertainment Group into DIRECTV. It was spun out very close to our estimate of fair value so we sold it immediately while retaining our discounted stake in DIRECTV. Waste Management, a fine company, in which we had a small position, was sold to buy more discounted names with larger margins of safety.

Small Cap Vulcan Value Partners Small Cap Review Vulcan Value Partners Small Cap s absolute and relative returns were quite good for the second half and full year in. Performance in the second half of was well above our long term goal of 15%. Absolute and relative returns for the year were even better. Our performance was meaningfully better than the Russell 2000 Index of small cap stocks and also exceeded small cap value benchmarks. Vulcan Value Partners Small Cap s absolute performance since inception at March, 2007 was well below our long term goal of 15% but close to breakeven (-1.1% compounded) during a period of time when the Russell 2000, small cap value benchmarks, and more important, other value based peers who we admire and respect delivered large negative returns. We are pleased with the high returns generated in. We are even more pleased that we were able to preserve capital during the 2008 bear market. Investment Strategy Date Second Half Full Year Annualized Since VVP Small Cap 03/31/2007 28.9% 42.1% -1.1% Russell 2000 Index 23.9% 27.2% -7.2% Russell 2000 Value Index 27.2% 20.6% -9.4% We know we are preaching to the choir but to state the obvious: the time period covered by this letter is too short to provide any meaningful information regarding performance. Based upon the discounted prices we have paid and the steady compounding of value at the businesses we own we feel confident that we will meet our long term absolute return goal of 15% and that, if we do so, the relative numbers will take care of themselves. Our top three contributors to performance during the second half of were RCN, Harley Davidson, and Heartland Payment Systems. Our top three contributors for all of were RCN Corp., Discovery Communications, and Whole Foods Market with 84%, 117% and 223% gains respectively. RCN owns a fiber optic network primarily serving densely populated metropolitan areas along the Atlantic seaboard and in Chicago. It offers cable programming, voice, and high speed data services to consumers and businesses. RCN grew its value at double digits in. Its value per share growth was aided by share repurchases at a rock bottom prices. Discovery Communications, which owns a number of highly rated cable networks providing high quality family entertainment, generated substantial free cash flow and double digit bottom line results. It, like Google which we also own, is one of the few companies to enjoy higher advertising revenues in. Consequently, Discovery Communications grew its value at very high double digit rates during one of the worst recessions in memory. Unlike Discovery Communications, Whole Foods extraordinary gain far exceeded its value growth in and we exited our position at our estimate of intrinsic worth. The proceeds from Whole Foods were used to buy more discounted companies with higher margins of safety. Only two companies had negative returns in the second half of. They were NASDAQ OMX Group and Brown and Brown. Our worst three contributors for all of were NASDAQ OMX 4

Small Cap Vulcan Value Partners Small Cap Review (cont.) Group, Heartland Payment Systems, and Brown and Brown with -20%, -24%, and -13% declines respectively. NASDAQ OMX Group s results suffered due to lower trading volumes and market share losses in certain product lines. NASDAQ OMX Group has a strong business franchise and we expect that it will benefit from pending regulatory reforms being proposed as a result of the financial crisis. Heartland Payment Systems, who processes credit card transactions for merchants, was the victim of a sophisticated security breach. This breach resulted in a liability to the company that reduced our value. Whenever the value of one of companies declines all of our alarm bells go off and we re-evaluate the investment. Note that we do not re-evaluate our investments due to stock price declines but view them as buying opportunities so long as our value is intact. In Heartland s case we determined that the breach was an unfortunate, discrete event and that the company s business franchise remained sound. With the help of Hampton McFadden and Allen Cox we conservatively quantified the legal liability resulting from the data breach. The stock price was significantly discounted from our new, lower value, because the price drop was greater than the decline in value. As a result, we added to our position in Heartland Payment Systems. Even though we suffered a loss on the position we made substantial gains on the incremental stock that we bought. At this point it looks like our data breach liability is conservative and that our value for Heartland is low as well. Brown and Brown is a high quality insurance broker producing substantial free cash flow and low single digit earning declines in a soft underwriting market. Despite the moderate decline in profitability its value is growing from the production of free cash flow. 5

Focus Vulcan Value Partners Focus Review Vulcan Value Partners Focus s absolute and relative returns were quite good for the second half and full year in. Performance in the second half of was well above our long term goal of 15%. Absolute and relative returns for the year were even better. Our performance was meaningfully better than the S&P 500 and also exceeded value benchmarks. Vulcan Value Partners Focus s absolute performance since inception at March, 2007 was well below our long term goal of 15% but was positive during a period of time when the S&P 500, value benchmarks, and more important, other value based peers who we admire and respect delivered large negative returns. We are pleased with the high returns generated in. We are even more pleased that we were able to preserve capital during the 2008 bear market. Investment Strategy Date Second Half Full Year Annualized Since VVP Focus 11/30/2007 30.4% 66.4% 1.5% S&P 500 Index 22.6% 26.4% -10.6% Russell 1000 Value Index 23.2% 19.7% -13.0% We know we are preaching to the choir but to state the obvious: the time period covered by this letter is too short to provide any meaningful information regarding performance. Based upon the discounted prices we have paid and the steady compounding of value at the businesses we own we feel confident that we will meet our long term absolute return goal of 15% and that, if we do so, the relative numbers will take care of themselves. Our top three contributors to performance during the second half of were MasterCard, Google, and Time Warner Cable. Our top three contributors for all of were Google, MasterCard, and Liberty Media Entertainment Group with 102%, 80% and 76% gains respectively. You have probably observed that the percentage returns on the same companies are different for different portfolios. The reason is that, in some cases, we purchased the same companies at different times in different portfolios depending on the competing price to value ratios of other companies within the portfolio. We discussed Liberty Media Entertainment Group in some detail in our mid-year report, which we encourage you to re-read. Google proved the value of its business franchise as its overwhelming dominance in search enabled it to grow its bottom line at double digit rates and produce significant free cash flow during a severe advertising downturn. Google continues to benefit from the migration of advertising dollars from print to online. MasterCard, which enjoys a virtual duopoly with Visa, also enjoyed doubled digit gains in its bottom line and produced robust free cash flow at a time when consumers were cutting spending across the globe. Unlike banks, who issue its cards, MasterCard has no credit risk. MasterCard is benefitting from the worldwide shift from cash and check transactions to credit and debit. In our 2008 letter to you we wrote the following when explaining the purchase of MasterCard: We estimate that MasterCard s value will compound at solid double digit rates, even in the current recession. It is gratifying to see our companies not only delivering but exceeding our expectations. We are more concerned with value growth at the companies we own than share price performance. 6 No companies had negative returns in.

Focus Plus Vulcan Value Partners Focus Plus Review Vulcan Value Partners Focus Plus s absolute and relative returns were quite good for the second half and full year in. Performance in the second half of was well above our long term goal of 15%. Absolute and relative returns for the year were even better. Our performance was meaningfully better than the S&P 500 and also exceeded value benchmarks. Vulcan Value Partners Focus Plus s absolute performance since inception at March, 2007 was well below our long term goal of 15% but we did not lose money during a period of time when the S&P 500, value benchmarks, and more important, other value based peers who we admire and respect delivered large negative returns. We are pleased with the high returns generated in. We are even more pleased that we were able to preserve capital during the 2008 bear market. Investment Strategy Date Second Half Full Year Annualized Since VVP Focus Plus 03/31/2007 29.2% 59.4% 0.0% S&P 500 Index 22.6% 26.4% -6.3% Russell 1000 Value Index 23.2% 19.7% -10.1% We know we are preaching to the choir but to state the obvious: the time period covered by this letter is too short to provide any meaningful information regarding performance. Based upon the discounted prices we have paid and the steady compounding of value at the businesses we own we feel confident that we will meet our long term absolute return goal of 15% and that, if we do so, the relative numbers will take care of themselves. We were able to end the year 88% invested in equities due to exercise of puts written and outright purchases of shares. At year end our 12% cash position was earning more than 25% annualized returns from option investments which give us the right to purchase companies at prices we would choose to pay anyway. We are being paid to exercise options at strike prices equal to limit orders we would place to buy the same stocks in our other portfolios. This cash earns interest in addition to the yield we receive from the option premium we have sold. In effect, we still have dry powder available to us to purchase companies at advantageous prices and our dry powder earns more than 25% annually while we wait. Vulcan Value Partners Focus Plus generally mirrors Vulcan Value Partners Focus but uses options instead of limit orders to purchase stocks. When stocks are sufficiently discounted at current market prices and options premiums are not as attractive we will purchase the shares directly. Our top three contributors to performance during the second half of were MasterCard, Google, and Starbucks. Our top three contributors for all of were Liberty Media Entertainment Group, Google, and Starbucks with 107%, 102% and 132% gains respectively. We discussed Liberty Media Entertainment Group in some detail in our mid-year report, which we encourage you to re-read. Google proved the value of its business franchise as its overwhelming dominance in search enabled it to grow its bottom line at double digit rates and produce significant free cash flow during a severe advertising downturn. Google continues to benefit from the migration of 7

Focus Plus Vulcan Value Partners Focus Plus Review (cont.) advertising dollars from print to online. It is gratifying to see our companies not only delivering but exceeding our expectations. We are more concerned with value growth at the companies we own than share price performance. Starbucks, which is a fine company, did not grow its value significantly in so that it reached our estimate of intrinsic worth after its 132% gain. As Starbucks approached fair value we wrote calls, giving us the option to sell our position at a price we would sell anyway. We were paid a 22% annualized yield to do so. Our largest detractor to performance was Waste Management, Inc. in which we had a small position. Waste Management is a fine company. It was sold to buy more discounted names with larger margins of safety. 8

Year End Closing As we enter the New Year and new decade we have assembled an extremely talented team of hard working, highly motivated individuals at Vulcan Value Partners who are allowing us to execute our investment philosophy. We used the bear market to assemble a world class collection of superior business enterprises at ridiculous prices. Our research team is finding qualifying investments to replace those that have risen to fair value. Our portfolios remain deeply discounted, fully invested, and our values are growing nicely, even in a poor economy. While we cannot predict short term market fluctuations we are well positioned to take advantage of opportunities and to benefit from long term compounding over our five year time horizon. We end this letter, as we began it, with a big thank you for being our investment partners. Sincerely, C.T. Fitzpatrick 9

Year End 10