British American Tobacco Debt Investor Update. London, 7 March 2013

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Transcription:

British American Tobacco Debt Investor Update London, 7 March 2013 1

Disclaimer The information contained in this presentation has not been independently verified and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the information or opinions contained herein. The information set out herein may be subject to revision and may change materially before any issue of securities. British American Tobacco is under no obligation to keep current the information contained in this presentation. Prospective investors are solely responsible for making their own independent appraisal of, and investigations into, the products, investments and transactions referred to in this presentation and should not rely on any information in this presentation as constituting investment advice. Neither British American Tobacco nor any of its affiliates are responsible for providing prospective investors with legal, tax or other specialist advice and prospective investors should make their own arrangements in this respect accordingly. This presentation does not constitute or form part of and should not be construed as an offer to sell or issue or the solicitation of an offer to buy or acquire securities in any jurisdiction or an inducement to enter into investment activity and prospective investors should not rely upon this presentation in making any investment decision. Nothing contained herein shall form the basis of any contract or commitment whatsoever, and except in the case of fraudulent misrepresentation, none of British American Tobacco or any of its affiliates, advisers or representatives shall have any liability whatsoever for any loss whatsoever arising from any use of this presentation or its contents, or otherwise arising in connection with this presentation (whether direct, indirect, consequential or other). Unauthorised distribution of the information contained in this presentation may constitute an offence (and, in particular, such unauthorised distribution in the UK may constitute an offence under the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 ( FSMA )). The content of this presentation has not been approved by the UK Financial Services Authority ( FSA ) or any person authorised under the FSMA. Accordingly, this presentation is directed only at : (i) in the case of recipients in the EEA, qualified investors within the meaning of the Prospectus Directive (Directive 2003/71/EC, as amended); (ii) in addition, in the case of recipients in the UK, persons whom British American Tobacco reasonably believes to be: (a) persons who have professional experience in matters relating to investments falling within Article 19(5) of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2005 (the Order ); or (b) persons falling within Article 49(2)(a) to (d) of the Order or to those persons to whom it can otherwise lawfully be distributed; and (iii) qualified institutional buyers as defined in Rule 144A under the United States Securities Act of 133, as amended (the Securities Act ) (all such persons in (i), (ii) and (iii) together being referred to as relevant persons ). This presentation also is not intended for distribution to, or use by, any person or entity in any jurisdiction or country where such distribution or use is or would be contrary to law or regulation. In particular, this presentation and the information contained herein do not constitute an offer of securities for sale in the United States and are not for publication or distribution to persons in the United States (within the meaning of Regulation S under the Securities Act). Neither this presentation nor any copy of it may be taken or transmitted into the United States, its territories or possessions, or distributed, directly or indirectly, in the United States, its territories or possessions. The distribution of this presentation in other jurisdictions may be restricted by law and persons into whose possession this presentation comes should inform themselves about, and observe, any such restrictions. Reproduction of this presentation, or any information contained in this presentation, in whole or in part, or disclosure of any of its contents is prohibited. This presentation remains the property of British American Tobacco and on request must be returned and any copies destroyed. This presentation is for information and convenient reference and is not intended as an offer for sale or subscription of, or solicitation of any offer to buy or subscribe for, any securities of British American Tobacco in any jurisdiction nor should it or any part of it form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or commitment whatsoever. By receiving this presentation you will be taken to have represented, warranted and undertaken that: (i) you are a relevant person (as defined above); (ii) you have read and agree to comply with the contents of this notice; and (iii) you will not at any time have any discussion, correspondence or contact concerning the information contained in this presentation or the transaction with any of the directors or employees of British American Tobacco nor with any of their suppliers, customers, subcontractors or any governmental or regulatory body without the prior written consent of British American Tobacco. By receiving this presentation or attending the presentation you agree to be bound by the foregoing terms, and to keep this presentation and the information contained herein confidential. NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION INTO THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA 2

BAT overview Second largest listed company by global market share One of the largest consumer brand companies globally Market cap of 67.1bn as of 1 March 2013 Clear and consistent business strategy Excellent geographic diversification Leader in innovations Strong cash flow and credit metrics Powerful portfolio of leading brands 3

A proven strategy which continues to deliver! 4

Operating in a highly consolidated market World Market Share 2012 % Cumulative PMI 16.0 16.0 BAT Subs JT Imperial 12.0 8.6 5.1 28.0 36.6 41.7 74% of the world market excluding China CNTC 42.5 84.2 Others 15.8 100.0 Note: BAT s figures exclude associates volumes. Others include Altria, KT&G, Eastern, Gudang Garam and Djarum, amongst others. Source: Internal company analysis and public company disclosure filings duty paid market only. 5

Our strengths A powerful brand portfolio World leading innovations GDBs Source: Internal company analysis. VFM = Value for money 6

Growth Global Drive Brands Global drive brands Volume: 49 billion, up 2% Share +0.1 ppt in T40 Strong growth in Indonesia, South Africa, Malaysia Innovations account for 73% 250 200 150 100 50 0 GDB volumes 2002-2012 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Volume: 67 billion, up 1% Share is flat Strong performance in Russia, Ukraine and Azerbaijan Innovations driving growth GDB volume: 232 billion +3% Total international brands: 377 billion +2% Organic premium volume -1% Organic below-premium volume -2% 7

Growth Global Drive Brands Global drive brands Volume: 33 billion, up 11% Share +0.2 ppt in T40 Growth in Western Europe and Americas Capsule markets driving growth 250 200 150 100 50 0 GDB volumes 2002-2012 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Volume: 83 billion, up 3% Share +0.1 ppt in T40 Strong performance in Pakistan Southern Europe impacting volume GDB volume: 232 billion +3% Total international brands: 377 billion +2% Organic premium volume -1% Organic below-premium volume -2% 8

Our strengths A powerful brand portfolio World leading innovations Geographic diversity 25% Fully integrated supply chain - Leaf sourcing - Distribution Science-based R&D Source: Internal company analysis 9

Improving operating margin Significant driver of profit growth Savings from supply chain, overheads & indirects Targeting 50 to 100 basis points improvement a year Margin improvements across all regions Source: BAT 10

External landscape: Regulation WHO s Framework Convention on Tobacco Control (FCTC) in force, ratified by over 170 governments Further tobacco control and tobacco-related regulation has happened, driven by the FCTC and domestic regulation, such as: - Product e.g. product design, ingredients & reporting requirements - Packaging larger warnings, plain packaging & restrictions on pack design - Promotion consumer communication restrictions - Purchase product display restrictions - Place indoor and outdoor public place smoking bans - Price excise increases May impact overall legal sales volume and the cost of doing business May impact our ability to compete with both legitimate and illicit competitors 11

External landscape: Strategic Litigation Litigation threat originated in USA - Minority shareholding in Reynolds American - Indemnification provided in respect of B&W cases Limited litigation outside USA Today most active jurisdiction is Canada Types of cases: - Healthcare recoupment cases - Class actions - Individual cases - Other 12

Financial Highlights mn FY2012 FY2011 % Change Volume (bns) 694 705-2 GDB volume (bns) 232 226 +3 External NTO 15,190 15,399-1 External NTO (constant rates) 15,999 15,399 +4 Adjusted Operating Profit 5,681 5,519 +3 Adjusted Operating Profit Margin 37.4% 35.8% Adjusted Operating Profit (constant rates) 5,970 5,519 +8 EBITDA* 6,066 5,966 +2 EBITDA Margin 39.9% 38.7% Net Debt 8,473 7,928 +7 Net Debt/EBITDA* 1.4x 1.3x Source: BAT 2012 Preliminary Announcement. * EBITDA is on an adjusted basis 13

Profit from Operations Region 2012 2011 mn mn % Change Asia-Pacific 1,666 1,539 +8 Americas 1,415 1,441-2 Western Europe 1,186 1,228-3 Eastern Europe, Middle East and Africa 1,414 1,311 +8 Adjusted profit from operations 5,681 5,519 +3 Adjusting Items -269-798 Profit from operations 5,412 4,721 +15 Source: BAT 2012 Preliminary Announcement. 14

Cash Flow mn FY2012 FY2012 Adjusted profit from operations 5,681 5,519 Non cash items 430 515 Increase in working capital -282-141 Net capital expenditure -742-566 Operating cash flow 5,087 5,327 Pension funds shortfall funding -164-140 Net interest paid -429-469 Tax paid -1,496-1,447 Dividends paid to non-controlling interests -259-275 Restructuring costs -228-217 Dividends from associates 748 547 Free cash flow 3,259 3,326 Dividends paid to shareholders -2,538-2,358 Share buy-back -1,258-755 Net investment activities -43-311 Other net flows -57-93 Net cash flow -637-191 Source: BAT 2012 Preliminary Announcement. 15

Ratings Update & Financial Policies Ratings strategy: Target Net Debt/Adj. EBITDA of 1.5x-2.5x S&P Moody s Fitch LT Rating A- A3* A- ST Rating A-2 P-2 F-2 Outlook Stable Stable Stable Financing principles: - Strong centre liquidity - Average debt maturity of at least 5 years - 20% of total debt maturing on a rolling 12-month basis - Distribute 65% of long term sustainable earnings Share buyback programme of 1.5bn for 2013 * Upgraded from Baa1 on 12 th March 2013 16

Maturity profile As at 1 March 2013 Source: Internal company analysis Access to undrawn 2bn Group RCF matures Dec-15 17

Q&A Thank you! 18