January 8, Mellanox Technologies, Ltd. Beit Mellanox Yokneam, Israel Attn: Eyal Waldman, President and Chief Executive Officer

Similar documents
CEVA Inc. CEVA - $ NASDAQ Buy

Kayne Anderson. Midstream Market Update: Q April 2018

Market Volatility & SGA s Active Returns By Pat Holway, CFA, CAIA, CIC & Steve Skatrud, CFA Client Portfolio Managers

Sierra Wireless, Inc. SWIR - $ NASDAQ Buy

Summit Strategies Group 8182 Maryland Avenue, 6th Floor St. Louis, Missouri

Pentair plc NEUTRAL ZACKS CONSENSUS ESTIMATES (PNR-NYSE)

Revenue (TTM) 79.74M Revenue (Qtrly YoY Growth) EPS Diluted (Quarterly) EPS Diluted (Qtrly YoY Growth) N/A. Profitability. Revenue (Quarterly)

October 5, The Brink s Company 1801 Bayberry Court Richmond, VA Attn: Thomas Schievelbein, Chief Executive Officer

NL AIR France Analysis of 25-Jun-2016 Closing price of 24-Jun-2016 EUR Neutral. Risk Zone. Stars

Industry: Industrial Goods & Services Sector: Electronic Equipment. This report is just the appetizer! Free of charge, reports on :

Buy. Morning Call. Bank Al-Falah Limited (BAFL) IFC Capital Injection; EPS Accretive; Revised Earnings, BUY. November 10, 2014

4Q17 Global & International Equity GLOBAL EQUITY. 10+ Years of Providing High Income Through Global Dividends

Itron, Inc. UNDERPERFORM ZACKS CONSENSUS ESTIMATES (ITRI-NASDAQ) SUMMARY

2012 Review and Outlook: Plus ça change... BY JASON M. THOMAS

January 29, Mr. Chan W. Galbato Chairman of the Board Avon Products, Inc. Building 6, Chiswick Park London W4 5HR United Kingdom

NXP Semiconductors N.V. The UBS Valuation Report

AFC VIETNAM FUND UPDATE

A Columbine White Paper: The January Effect Revisited

Rockwell Automation Inc.

Analyst's Notes. Argus Recommendations

Looking at a Variety of Municipal Valuation Metrics

ASM International NV Apr il 2017

A Compelling Case for Leveraged Loans

PE: Where has it been? Where is it now? Where is it going?

15 Years of the Russell 2000 Buy Write

Last week's rating: C Marketperform Percentile Ranking: 53 Data as of 07/06/2018

DEBT CAPITAL MARKETS EXECUTIVE SUMMARY MIDDLE MARKET

The year to date is less than budget and prior year by 15.4 million and 11.6 million, respectively.

April The Value Reversion

A Study in Cyclicals: Energy Stocks and the Causeway Curve

MARKET VOLATILITY - NUMBER OF "BIG MOVE" TRADING DAYS

Summit Strategies Group 8182 Maryland Avenue, 6th Floor St. Louis, Missouri

HUDSON GLOBAL, INC. Q EARNINGS CALL. October 31, 2013

Maxim Integrated Business Model Update September 5, 2017

CS/Tremont Hedge Fund Index Performance Review

Dollarama Inc. Q4 F2017 Results. A straight-forward beat and other notable business updates HIGHLIGHTS. The NBF Daily Bulletin.

Investor Teleconference Presentation Fourth Quarter Fastenal Company January 17, 2018

Investing in Australian Small Cap Equities There s a better way

High Dividend Stocks In Rising Interest Rate Environments

CH NESN Switzerland Analysis of 25-Jun-2016 Closing price of 24-Jun-2016 CHF Risk Zone. Stars

State Street Corporation October 16, Trian Fund Management, L.P. All rights reserved.

Bupa Arabia for Cooperative Insurance Co. Insurance BUPA ARABIA 8210.SE

Why Active Now in U.S. Large-Cap Equity

GENERAL FUND REVENUE & ECONOMIC OUTLOOK. January 20, 2009 Fiscal Research Division Barry Boardman, Ph.D.

Invesco Ltd. NEUTRAL ZACKS CONSENSUS ESTIMATES (IVZ-NYSE)

Q1 FY14 Management Presentation

DIGGING DEEPER INTO THE VOLATILITY ASPECTS OF AGRICULTURAL OPTIONS

Fixed Income Update: June 2017

The Compelling Case for Value

We Distribute Products That Deliver Energy to the World. NOW Inc., Second Quarter 2016 Review & Key Takeaways

OSRAM holding its ground in a difficult market environment

athenahealth Inc. NEUTRAL ZACKS CONSENSUS ESTIMATES (ATHN-NASDAQ) SUMMARY

Trailing PE Forward PE 8.5. Buy 5 Analysts. 1-Year Return: -39.3% 5-Year Return: -91.2%

Key Features. (incorporating the Simplified Prospectus) and Terms & Conditions for Jupiter s Unit Trusts and Individual Savings Accounts

Quarterly Chartbook. June 30, What happened, where are we now, and what do we expect?

Financial & Business Highlights For the Year Ended June 30, 2017

ALSK vs. IWM Feb. 2, Sept. 28, 2018

Weekly Market Commentary

Aberdeen Asset Management

The Case for Growth. Investment Research

Federated Investors, Inc.

Hudson Global Q Earnings Call

Fourth Quarter & Full Year 2016 Earnings Call

Financials Sector 2019 Outlook

KeyBanc Capital Markets Basic Materials and Packaging Conference. September 2017

Respondent name: Sample Health Care Company name: Info-Tech Respondant Executive Summary

Monograph. Competitive Intelligence An Insurance Policy for Pricing Kathryn A. Walker, FCAS, MAAA, CPCU ABOUT THE AUTHOR KEY POINT

FEATURING A NEW METHOD FOR MEASURING LENDER PERFORMANCE Strategic Mortgage Finance Group, LLC. All Rights Reserved.

Stock Performance of Socially Responsible Companies

Nothing bright over the horizon

Golden Entertainment, Inc. Global Gaming Operators GDEN NASDAQ $28.72 Company Update

Nowhere to Go But Up? How Increasing Mortgage Rates Could Affect Housing

SPX Earnings Aligning Expectations With Economic Reality

Stock Market Report. January 26, 2005

FOURTH QUARTER AND FISCAL YEAR 2018 Earnings Conference Call & Presentation. December 6, 2018 at 9:00 a.m. CT (10:00 a.m. ET)

Investor Presentation

Capital Markets: Observations and Insights Searching for Yield and Asking for Trouble? As of June 30, 2016

Low Correlation Strategy Investment update to 31 March 2018

Equity Research. Bank of the Ozarks, Inc. (OZRK-NSDQ) OUTLOOK SUMMARY DATA ZACKS ESTIMATES. Hold Prior Recommendation. Current Recommendation

saudi banking sector Highlights Valuation

Quarterly Update on Valuation Metrics in Emerging Debt

The Market Watch Monthly Housing Report

THIRD QUARTER FISCAL YEAR 2018 Earnings Conference Call & Presentation. August 7, 2018 at 9:00 a.m. CT (10:00 a.m. ET)

Small-Cap Research (SILC-NASDAQ) SILC: Growth Eludes Silicom for the Next Few Quarters- Downgrading to Hold OUTLOOK SUMMARY DATA ZACKS ESTIMATES

moving mortgages talk to clients about the merits of variable-rate home loans.

Foxtons Interim results presentation For the period ended 30 June 2018

TEC Sector Recommendation Report (Fall 2012)

Roger Nord, CIMC Banking Trends Strong

SECTOR. Semiconductors. Analysis and Synthesis - World. May 2, 2017

Indian Economy. Industrial output grew highest in four months in June 2015 but volatility continued

Commercial Banking Performance 1st Quarter 2017

U.S. ECONOMIC UPDATE. MACRO February 5, 2014

Capital Markets: Observations and Insights Earnings Resurgence Spring 2017

SVB Financial Group NEUTRAL ZACKS CONSENSUS ESTIMATES (SIVB-NASDAQ) SUMMARY

DENTSPLY International Inc.

China Economic Update Q1 2015

Trian Partners Makes Public Its Action Plan for State Street Shareholder Value Creation

Florida Economic Outlook State Gross Domestic Product

User Guide for Schwab Equity Ratings Report

China Economic Outlook 2013

Transcription:

January 8, 2017 Mellanox Technologies, Ltd. Beit Mellanox Yokneam, Israel 20692 Attn: Eyal Waldman, President and Chief Executive Officer cc: Board of Directors Dear Eyal, As you know, Starboard Value LP (together with its affiliates, Starboard ) currently has a beneficial ownership interest of approximately 10.7% of the outstanding common stock of Mellanox Technologies, Ltd. ( Mellanox or the Company ), making us the Company s largest shareholder. We appreciate the ongoing dialogue we have had over the last two months with you and certain members of the Board of Directors (the Board ) and hope to continue to have constructive discussions. At this time, and in light of the Company s recently announced financial guidance for 2018, we felt it would be helpful and important for us to outline for you and the Board, as well as all other shareholders, our current views on Mellanox and the significant opportunities for value creation we see in 2018 and beyond. Starboard has a long and successful history of investing in underperforming companies in the semiconductor industry and helping these companies to drive significant operational, financial, and strategic improvements. As we have discussed with you, we have tremendous respect for the business you have built at Mellanox. We invested in Mellanox because we believe the Company is deeply undervalued and there are significant opportunities to create value based on actions within the control of management and the Board. Mellanox has a highly differentiated product set and a leading market position in a number of key verticals. The Company s technology leadership position is apparent and clearly demonstrated through its industry-leading gross margins. Unfortunately, despite an extremely strong product and technology portfolio, Mellanox has been one of the worst performing semiconductor companies for an extended period of time. As shown below, prior to our involvement, the Company dramatically underperformed the peer group and the broader semiconductor industry over the past 1, 3, and 5 years. In fact, in the 5 years prior to Starboard s Schedule 13D filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on November 20, 2017, disclosing our substantial ownership position, Mellanox underperformed the peer group and the Philadelphia Stock Exchange Semiconductor (SOX) Index by 470% and 300%, respectively. Since Starboard filed its Schedule 13D, Mellanox has outperformed its peers and the SOX index by almost 30%, which we believe is largely a reflection of investor enthusiasm for potential changes as a result of our involvement.

Five Year Stock Price Performance 500.0% Starboard files 13D 400.0% 300.0% 200.0% 470% Underperformance 100.0% 0.0% Since Starboard s 13D: +30% (100.0%) Nov-12 Jul-13 Feb-14 Oct-14 Jun-15 Jan-16 Sep-16 May-17 Jan-18 MLNX SOX Index Direct Peer Group Source: Capital IQ. Market data as of January 4, 2018. Prices adjusted for dividends. (1) Direct Peer Group includes IPHI, CAVM, MSCC, AVGO, IDTI, MRVL, MCHP, MTSI, SWKS. This consistent underperformance is troubling and puzzling, given both the strong performance of Mellanox s peers and the tailwinds provided by the Company s favorable exposure to many of the most attractive end markets in the industry: high-performance computing, cloud computing, hyperscale data centers, and artificial intelligence. This underperformance has led to a crisis of confidence among investors and has contributed to Mellanox trading at a meaningful discount to its peers. We believe that this poor stock price performance has been driven by a pattern of weak execution that has included both excessive spending and missed growth opportunities. Looking at margins, Mellanox is one of the few fabless semiconductor companies that has been able to achieve gross margins in excess of 70%. Despite this enviable position, Mellanox has one of the lowest operating margins of any fabless semiconductor company of reasonable scale. (1) 2017E Gross Margin 71.0% 70.6% 65.9% 64.0% 63.2% 61.6% 60.7% 60.1% Median: 62.4% 58.0% 51.0% IPHI MLNX CAVM MSCC AVGO IDTI MRVL MCHP MTSI SWKS Source: Capital IQ, Bloomberg. Market data as of January 4, 2018. Estimates reflect consensus estimates, which are typically based on non-gaap metrics. 2

2017E Operating Margin 47.2% 37.9% 37.7% 32.4% 26.0% 25.7% 24.0% 22.7% Median: 25.8% 21.1% 13.8% AVGO SWKS MCHP MSCC IDTI MRVL CAVM MTSI IPHI MLNX Source: Capital IQ, Bloomberg. Market data as of January 4, 2018. Estimates reflect consensus estimates, which are typically based on non-gaap metrics. In fact, the gap between gross margin and operating margin is among the highest we have ever seen for a semiconductor company. This is driven by what appears to be excessive spending in both R&D and SG&A. As detailed in the accompanying slides, over the last twelve months Mellanox s R&D expenditures as a percentage of revenue were 42%, compared to the peer median of 22%. On SG&A, Mellanox spent 24% of revenue versus the peer median of 17%. It is critical to appreciate that Mellanox is not just slightly worse than peers on these key metrics, it is completely out of line with the peer group. While Mellanox s level of R&D spending would be hard to justify under any circumstances, shareholders would expect that level of expense over a multi-year period to at least generate aboveaverage revenue growth. However, as shown in the charts below, despite spending among the highest percentage of revenue on R&D in the peer group for a number of years now, Mellanox s organic growth rate for 2017 will be the absolute worst of its direct peers. Even after accounting for the Company s recently committed expectation of growth for 2018, Mellanox s multi-year organic growth rate will remain at the low end of the peer group. 31.1% 2017E Revenue Growth (1) 17.0% 15.6% 14.7% 12.7% 11.6% 10.4% Median: 12.2% 3.5% 2.1% (0.7%) IPHI MCHP SWKS MTSI AVGO CAVM IDTI MRVL MSCC MLNX Source: Capital IQ, Bloomberg. Market data as of January 4, 2018. (1) CY2017E revenue estimates based on analyst consensus estimates per Bloomberg. Adjusted to account for effects of acquisitions and divestitures during 2016-2017 to measure organic growth. 3

2016 2018E Revenue CAGR (1) 23.7% 12.4% 12.0% 11.6% 10.1% 9.6% 6.4% 5.7% Median: 9.8% 3.6% 3.6% IPHI SWKS CAVM MCHP IDTI MTSI AVGO MLNX MRVL MSCC Source: Capital IQ, Bloomberg. Market data as of January 4, 2018. (1) CY2018E revenue estimates based on analyst consensus estimates per Bloomberg. Adjusted to account for effects of acquisitions and divestitures during 2016-2017 to measure organic growth. Despite these glaring and obvious issues, it seems that until the disclosure of our involvement in Mellanox, there was no intent to change strategy or shift focus towards a better balance of investing for growth while delivering reasonable profitability. It now appears that due to our involvement and other external pressures, you and the Board recognize there is a problem. However, while the new targets for 2018 that were disclosed in December represent a modest improvement, we remain concerned that these commitments are merely reactionary, and, even if these new goals are achieved, do not come close to addressing the magnitude of the problem. Moreover, given Mellanox s extended history of underperformance and missed expectations, we believe that the Company lacks sufficient credibility to convince shareholders that it will hit even these modest targets. As shown on slides 8 and 9 of the accompanying presentation, Mellanox has unfortunately stood out among its peers by missing consensus expectations on revenue and/or EPS in each of the previous four quarters while also repeatedly taking down its revenue guidance and pushing out expectations for new product launches. Even more concerning, this pattern of missing expectations has come during a time when almost every other semiconductor company has repeatedly beaten expectations and raised guidance. When combined with years of poor stock price and operational performance, how can shareholders have confidence that this time is different? How can shareholders have confidence that Mellanox will suddenly go from missing expectations to beating them? We are also concerned that the targets outlined for 2018 are solely reliant on revenue growth to drive operating margin expansion, adding additional risk to the plan. As shown in the table below, when analyzing the Company s new margin targets in the context of the new growth expectations you provided, it appears that the margin targets for 2018 do not actually imply any reduction in operating expenses. For example, if Mellanox grows 2018 revenue 14.5% year-over-year, per the Company s low-to-mid-teens guidance, and achieves the targeted 68-69% gross margin, the Company should achieve an almost 19% operating margin simply by keeping expenses flat. Thus, it appears that the 2018 operating margin target of high teens for 2018 actually implies that operating expenses will be flat or increase, albeit at a slower rate than expected revenue growth. Given the Company s historical failures to achieve stated revenue growth objectives, we believe 4

there is material risk to this plan given its heavy reliance on revenue growth as the primary lever to drive operating margin improvements. 2017E to 2018E Operating Margin Bridge Assuming Flat OpEx ($ in millions) 2017E Consensus Revenue $861.5 Operating Income $118.6 Operating Margin 13.8% ($ in millions) 2018E Revenue $986.4 Growth - Mgmt Guidance 14.5% Incremental Revenue $124.9 Gross Margin - Mgmt Guidance 68.5% Incremental Gross Profit $85.6 2017E Operating Income $118.6 Plus: Incremental Gross Profit $85.6 Less: GM Compression on 2017 Revenue ($18.0) Implied 2018 Operating Income Assuming Flat OpEx $186.1 Implied 2018 Operating Margin 18.9% Mellanox's 2018 Target "High Teens" Source: Bloomberg, Capital IQ. 2018 Management Guidance reflects targets presented in Investor Presentation released on December 7, 2017. Further, we are concerned that Mellanox has set the bar far too low. For example, even if the 2018 targets are achieved, Mellanox would still be expected to come in dead last among the peer group in terms of operating margins. 47.4% 2018E Operating Margin 39.5% 39.0% 33.2% 29.6% 27.5% 27.4% 23.8% 23.6% Median: 28.6% "High teens" AVGO MCHP SWKS MSCC IDTI MRVL CAVM IPHI MTSI MLNX Source: Capital IQ, Bloomberg. Market data as of January 4, 2018. Estimates reflect consensus estimates, which are typically based on non-gaap metrics. 5

Looking forward, we have severe concerns regarding the Company s recently announced plan we do not believe that it goes nearly far enough to address the magnitude of the problem and there remains significant skepticism about whether the Company can hit even these modest targets. Our goal is for Mellanox to create substantial value for the benefit of all shareholders. However, the time for fringe changes and marginal improvements has long passed. Given the significant and continuing underperformance at Mellanox, and the high level of frustration among the shareholder base, the Company s recently announced targets are not nearly enough to offset years of poor performance and missed expectations. As we have discussed, we remain open to working with you to help drive significant improvements in operating and financial performance at Mellanox. Starboard has a long and successful history of working with companies in the semiconductor industry to drive significant value creation for the benefit of all shareholders. We believe there is a tremendous opportunity at Mellanox, but it will require substantial change, well beyond just the Company s recently announced 2018 targets. Our focus is on ensuring that the best interests of all shareholders are being represented. We remain available to speak with you and members of the Board to discuss these topics further. Best Regards, Peter A. Feld Managing Member Starboard Value LP 6