FY 2017 RESULTS. March 8 th, 2018

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Transcription:

FY 2017 RESULTS March 8 th, 2018

AGENDA Highlights 2017 performance 2018 outlook FY 2017 RESULTS 2

HIGHLIGHTS SUCCESSFUL STRATEGIC REPOSITIONING Our 3-year plan is now 90% completed after 2 years Strategic pivot is behind us ENGIE is ready for growth FY 2017 RESULTS 3

We help our clients improve their energy usage and we produce and distribute ever cleaner energy

HIGHLIGHTS STRATEGY PAYING OFF EBITDA % 2015 2017 EBITDA yoy organic growth (1) -9% +5% Faster growing Contracted / regulated 70% 89% Less risky 75% 91% Low CO2 Cleaner ROCEp (2) 6.5% 7.2% More profitable (1) Organic growth 2015 vs 2014 and 2017 vs 2016 (2) Based on productive capital employed end of period (excluding assets under construction for 5.1bn) FY 2017 RESULTS 5

HIGHLIGHTS 2017 TARGETS ACHIEVED, SOLID 2018 EXPECTED In bn Actual EBITDA 9.3 Indication/ Guidance Low end of 9.3-9.9 2017 NRIgs (1) without IFRS 5 D&A uplift 2.6 Mid of range 2.4-2.6 Net Debt (2) / EBITDA 2.2x 2.5x 2018 Strong organic growth expected Dividend increased to 0.75 (1) NRIgs excluding IFRS 5 accounting treatment for E&P (E&P classified as discontinued operations ), i.e. NRIgs excluding the D&A upside ( 0.1bn) but including E&P underlying contribution ( 0.2bn) (2) Net debt pro forma E&P interco debt FY 2017 RESULTS 6

HIGHLIGHTS PASSED THE TIPPING POINT EBITDA (1) In bn, % yoy Non-core ~ 13bn sold 2.3 0.6 0.4 0.0 +2% +5% +6% 1.9 1.9 2.3 +3% +18% Growth engines ~ 14bn growth Capex over 2016-18 3.7 3.8 3.8 +2% 3.0 3.0 3.1 +0% +0% +3% Merchant optimized 1.0 1.0 0.6 2015 2016 2017 = 2018 Client solutions Networks Generation - Renewable & thermal contracted Generation - Merchant Non-core sold (1) Unaudited figures, excluding unallocated corporate costs FY 2017 RESULTS 7

HIGHLIGHTS A PROFOUNDLY CHANGED COMPANY PORTFOLIO REFOCUSED Net recurring income group share In bn EBITDA back to organic growth In %, yoy organic change 2015-9% Growth 2.6 (0.4) 2.45-2.65 +0.3 (1) 2018e >+6% +0.1 Financial net debt reduced In bn 2015 27.7 2015 reported FX & Scope out Scope in Organic 2018e 2018e <21 (1) Main assumptions: no E&P and LNG contributions, average weather in France, full pass through of supply costs in French regulated gas tariffs, no significant accounting treatment changes except for IFRS 9 and IFRS 15, no major regulatory and macro-economic changes, market commodity prices as of 12/31/2017, average forex for 2018: /$: 1.22; /BRL: 3.89, no significant impacts from disposals not already announced. FY 2017 RESULTS 8

AGENDA Highlights 2017 performance 2018 outlook FY 2017 RESULTS 9

2017 PERFORMANCE STRATEGY TRANSLATING INTO FINANCIALS Disposals key to repositioning & net debt reduction Re-investment program starting to pay off, with increasing contribution in 2018-19 LEAN 2018 leading to improved competitiveness Growth offsetting dilution FY 2017 RESULTS 10

2017 PERFORMANCE 2017: STRONG NET INCOME GROWTH In bn, % yoy gross 2.7 NRIgs (0.1) E&P IFRS 5 D&A uplift 2.6 (1) NRIgs (0.2) E&P Underlying contribution 2.4 (2) NRIgs Reported March 2017 guidance EBITDA 2016 Continued operations +7% +3% -2% NRIgs reported IFRS 5 D&A uplift Point de passage E&P underlying NRIgs continued 2017 contribution 2016 operations Net Income Group share 1,4bn - 0,4bn (1) NRIgs excluding IFRS 5 accounting treatment for E&P (E&P classified as discontinued operations ), i.e. NRIgs excluding the D&A upside ( 0.1bn) but including E&P underlying contribution ( 0.2bn) (2) Excluding contribution from E&P classified as discontinued operations FY 2017 RESULTS 11

2017 PERFORMANCE INVESTMENTS FOCUSED ON GROWTH BUSINESSES Growth Capex 2016-18 In bn Capex plan by geographies Thermal contracted Thermal merchant 7.1bn 50% 1.8 0.7 2.2 B2B 4.6bn 32% France 36% Latam 33% RES 4.5 14.3bn (1) 1.8 B2T 1.2 Tuck-in acquisitions 0.5 Outside France 2.0 France 0.5 B2C Europe 15% Rest of the world 16% 2.6bn 18% (1) Net of DBSO proceeds; excl. E&P and LNG upstream/midstream Capex (including Touat and Cameron) for 0.3bn and corporate Capex for 0.2bn FY 2017 RESULTS 12

2017 PERFORMANCE STRONG FINANCIAL STRUCTURE Financial net debt & cost of gross debt In bn 4,4 27.5 27.7 3,9 3.14% 2.99% 24.8 2.78% 22.5 2.63% 20.9 3,4 2,9 Dec 14 Dec 15 Dec 16 Dec 17 Pro forma (1) 2,4 Financial net debt/ebitda 2.5x Economic net debt/ebitda 2.4 (1) 4.0 (1) 3.9 (1) 2.2 (1) Dec 16 Dec 17 Dec 16 Dec 17 (1) Net debt pro forma E&P interco debt FY 2017 RESULTS 13

AGENDA Highlights 2017 performance 2018 outlook FY 2017 RESULTS 14

+ + + + + 2018 OUTLOOK 2018 OUTLOOK BY BUSINESS Impacts on EBITDA CLIENT SOLUTIONS Backlog conversion & 2017 acquisitions Margin expansion NETWORKS Tariffs in Latam +Storengy regulation (France) GENERATION RES & THERMAL CONTRACTED Cemig hydro concessions (Brazil) Hydrology improvement (France, Brazil) Forex (BRL, USD) - GENERATION MERCHANT = Lean & contract renegotiations Outright achieved prices & thermal spreads - + FY 2017 RESULTS 15

2018 OUTLOOK 2018 GUIDANCE: SUSTAINED ORGANIC GROWTH Net recurring income group share In bn NRIgs 2.45-2.65bn without E&P and LNG contributions 2.66 0.10 D&A uplift (1) 2.45-2.65(3) 2.36 (2) +8% Dividend: Final dividend 2017 to be paid in May New policy in 2018 2017 reported 2017 excluding E&P and LNG 2018e Leverage & rating: A category rating Net debt / EBITDA 2.5x (1) Coming from IFRS 5 treatment of E&P (2) Without E&P and LNG contributions and without IFRS 9 and IFRS 15 treatments (3) Main assumptions: no E&P and LNG contributions, average weather in France, full pass through of supply costs in French regulated gas tariffs, no significant accounting treatment changes except for IFRS 9 and IFRS 15, no major regulatory and macro-economic changes, market commodity prices as of 12/31/2017, average forex for 2018: /$: 1.22; /BRL: 3.89, no significant impacts from disposals not already announced. FY 2017 RESULTS 16

2018 OUTLOOK STRONG CONFIDENCE LEADING TO HIGHER DIVIDEND Dividend Per Share (DPS) In per share Previous DPS policy Upgraded 2018 DPS 0.75 0.7 0.7 +7.1% 2017 2018 2018 new Indicative 71% 66% 70% pay out ratio (1) (1) Based on NRIgs from continued operations; calculated on mid range guidance for 2018 FY 2017 RESULTS 17

Q&A