Global Economic Indicators: Global Purchasing Managers NM-PMIs

Similar documents
Global Economic Indicators: Markit Flash PMIs

Global Economic Indicators: European PMIs

Global Economic Indicators: Global Purchasing Managers Indexes

Global Economic Briefing: Comparative GDP Growth Rates

US Economic Indicators: Individual Tax Receipts Per Worker

Money & Credit: Monetary Aggregates in Eurozone

Global Economic Indicators: Exports & Imports In Real GDP

Money & Credit: Private Sector Lending by Eurozone MFIs

Global Economic Indicators: United Kingdom Wages

US Demography: Median Age & Life Expectancy

Market Briefing: US Corporate Bond Yields

Money & Credit: Central Bank Holdings Of US Securities

US Flow of Funds: Nonfinancial Corporate Debt Burden

US Flow of Funds: US Household Wealth

Global Economic Indicators: China Trade

Stock Market Indicators: Margin Debt

US Economic Indicators: Balance of Payments

Market Briefing: US Interest Rates

US Demography: Median Age, Longevity, & Deaths

US Flow of Funds: Mutual Funds & ETFs By Investment Objective

Global Economic Indicators: Implied International Capital Flows

US Flow of Funds: Treasury International Capital System (TICS)

US Flow of Funds: Treasury International Capital System (TICS)

Market Briefing: Global Interest Rates

US Economic Indicators: Consumer Credit

US Economic Indicators: Yield Curve

US Government Finance: Federal GDP Outlays & Income Redistribution

Money & Credit: China Social Financing

US Economic Indicators: Mortgage Applications & Mortgage Rates

Market Briefing: US Bond Yields

Performance 2017: Global Stock Markets

US Mutual Funds: Weekly New Cash Flows

US Mutual Funds: Weekly New Cash Flows

Global Demography: Japan

Market Briefing: MSCI Correlations

Stock Market Briefing: S&P 500 Interest Expense

Money & Credit: US Quarterly Banking Profile (FDIC)

US Economic Indicators: Personal Income & Consumption

US Economic Indicators: Productivity in Manufacturing

US Economic Indicators: Prices Paid & Received Surveys

US Demography: Retirement

US Economic Indicators: YRI Earned Income Proxy

US Economic Indicators: Citigroup Economic Surprise Index

Performance 2018: S&P 500/400/600 Sectors

Performance 2017: Global Stock Markets

Performance 2018: Global Stock Markets

Performance 2018: Global Stock Markets

Performance 2016: Global Stock Markets

US Flow of Funds: Rest of World Holdings of US Public & Private Debt

Global Economic Indicators: Eurozone Manufacturing Orders

Mutual Funds. Yardeni Research, Inc. November 30, Dr. Edward Yardeni

Mutual Funds. Yardeni Research, Inc. June 28, Dr. Edward Yardeni

US Economic Indicators: Corporate Taxes

Chart Collection for Morning Briefing

US Economic Indicators: Productivity Proxy

Market Briefing: European Interest Rates

Market Briefing: European Interest Rates

US Monetary Policy: Taylor Rule & Output Gap

Economic Indictors: Real Hourly Wages & Compensation Per Worker

Stock Market Indicators: Liquid Assets

Stock Market Indicators S&P 500 Yields: Earnings, Dividends, & Buybacks

Money & Credit: US Short-Term Business Credit

US Monetary Policy: Winding & Unwinding QE

Global Index Briefing: Major MSCI Stock Markets Revenues & Earnings

US Mutual Funds Monthly Statistics (Including ETFs)

US Mutual Funds Monthly Statistics (Including ETFs)

Stock Market Indicators S&P 500 Yields: Earnings, Dividends, & Buybacks

Market Briefing: S&P 500 Sectors & MSCI Indexes During Bull Market

US Economic Indicators: Productivity & Real Hourly Compensation

Market Briefing: Oil Prices

US Economic Indicators: NFIB Small Business Survey

Market Briefing: Nominal & Real Yields & Inflationary Expectations

Stock Market Metrics: Global MSCI Comparisons of Forward Earnings

Chart Collection for Morning Briefing

US Economic Indicators: Personal Saving

Stock Market Indicators: 200-Day Moving Averages

Stock Market Indicators: 200-Day Moving Averages

Country Briefing: India

US Social Welfare: Social Security For Disability

Stock Market Briefing: S&P 500 Shares Outstanding By Sectors Since 2006

Global Index Briefing: Major MSCI Stock Markets Revenues & Earnings

Global Economic Briefing: China International Reserves & Capital Flows

Market Briefing: European Interest Rates

US Flow of Funds: Equities

US Economic Indicators: Productivity Cycles

Chart Collection for Morning Briefing

US Economic Indicators: Resource Utilization

US Demography: Age Wave

Stock Market Briefing: S&P 500 Financial Ratios

US Economic Briefing: Income Measures

Stock Market Indicators: S&P 500/400/600 Metrics Ratios

US Economic Indicators: Prices Paid & Received Surveys

Stock Market Briefing: S&P 500 Blue Angels

US Economic Indicators: New Home Sales & Housing Market Index

US Economic Indicators: Median Usual Weekly Earnings

Global Economic Briefing: Global Inflation

US Economic Indicators: PCE Budget Shares

Market Briefing: MSCI Currency Indexes

US Flow of Funds: Real Estate Finance

US Stock Market Briefing: Trump & Stocks

Transcription:

Global Economic Indicators: Global Purchasing Managers NM-PMIs April 5, 2018 Dr. Edward Yardeni 6-972-7683 eyardeni@ Debbie Johnson 0-664-1333 djohnson@ Mali Quintana 0-664-1333 aquintana@ Please visit our sites at www. blog. thinking outside the box

Table Of Contents Table Of Contents Global NM-PMIs 1 Major Economies 2 BRICs 3 Flash Estimates 4 April 5, 2018 / Global Purchasing Managers Indexes www.

Figure 1. J.P. MORGAN GLOBAL NM-PMI (sa) Global NM-PMIs Source: kit and Haver Analytics. 59 Figure 2. MARKIT GLOBAL NM-PMIs (sa) 59 57 Developed kets (=.4) Emerging kets (=.5) 57 Source: kit and Haver Analytics. Page 1 / April 5, 2018 / Global Purchasing Managers Indexes www.

Figure 3. Major Economies NONMANUFACTURING PURCHASING MANAGERS INDEXES US (=.8) UK (=.7) Eurozone (=.9) Japan (=.9) * An index above indicates an increase in manufacturing activity. An index below indicates a decrease in manufacturing activity. Source: Institute for Supply Management, CIPS, kit, and Haver Analytics. Figure 4. EUROZONE NONMANUFACTURING PURCHASING MANAGERS INDEXES Eurozone ( (=.9) Germany (=.9) France (=.9) Italy (=.6) Spain (=.2) Ireland (=.5) * An index above indicates an increase in manufacturing activity. An index below indicates a decrease in manufacturing activity. Source: HSBC, kit, and Haver Analytics. Page 2 / April 5, 2018 / Global Purchasing Managers Indexes www.

Figure 5. BRICs BRICS NONMANUFACTURING PURCHASING MANAGERS INDEXES* China (=.3) India (=.3) Brazil (=.4) Russia (=.7) * An index above indicates an increase in manufacturing activity. An index below indicates a decrease in manufacturing activity. Source: HSBC, kit, and Haver Analytics. Page 3 / April 5, 2018 / Global Purchasing Managers Indexes www.

62 Figure 6. Flash Estimates US NONMANUFACTURING PURCHASING MANAGERS INDEXES kit NM-PMI Final & Flash (.0) Official NM-PMI (.8) 62 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Source: kit and Institute for Supply Management. Figure 7. EUROZONE NON-MANUFACTURING PURCHASING MANAGERS FINAL & FLASH ESTIMATES* Eurozone (=.9) Germany (=.9) France (=.9) Italy** (=.6) Spain** (=.2) Ireland** (=.5) * An index above indicates an increase in manufacturing activity. An index below indicates a decrease in manufacturing activity. ** Flash estimates not available for Italy, Spain, and Ireland. Source: kit and Haver Analytics. Page 4 / April 5, 2018 / Global Purchasing Managers Indexes www.

Copyright (c) 2018. All rights reserved. The information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but is not necessarily complete and its accuracy cannot be guaranteed. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to the fairness, accuracy, completeness, or correctness of the information and opinions contained herein. The views and the other information provided are subject to change without notice. All reports posted on www., blog., http://blog. and YRI s Apps for ipads and iphones are issued without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any specific recipient and are not to be construed as a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any securities or related financial instruments. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future results. Company fundamentals and earnings may be mentioned occasionally, but should not be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold the company s stock. Predictions, forecasts, and estimates for any and all markets should not be construed as recommendations to buy, sell, or hold any security--including mutual funds, futures contracts, and exchange traded funds, or any similar instruments. The text, images, and other materials contained or displayed on any product, service, report, email or website are proprietary to and constitute valuable intellectual property. No material from any part of www., blog., http://blog. and YRI s Apps for ipads and iphones may be downloaded, transmitted, broadcast, transferred, assigned, reproduced or in any other way used or otherwise disseminated in any form to any person or entity, without the explicit written consent of All unauthorized reproduction or other use of material from Yardeni Research, Inc. shall be deemed willful infringement(s) of this copyright and other proprietary and intellectual property rights, including but not limited to, rights of privacy. Yardeni Research, Inc. expressly reserves all rights in connection with its intellectual property, including without limitation the right to block the transfer of its products and services and/or to track usage thereof, through electronic tracking technology, and all other lawful means, now known or hereafter devised. reserves the right, without further notice, to pursue to the fullest extent allowed by the law any and all criminal and civil remedies for the violation of its rights. The recipient should check any email and any attachments for the presence of viruses. accepts no liability for any damage caused by any virus transmitted by this company s emails, website, blog and Apps. Additional information available on request. requests@