Credit Value Adjustment (CVA) Introduction

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Transcription:

Credit Value Adjustment (CVA) Introduction Alex Yang FinPricing http://www.finpricing.com

Summary CVA History CVA Definition Risk Free Valuation Risky Valuation

CVA History Current market practice Discounting using the LIBOR or risk-free curves Using risk-free value for pricing, hedging, P&L Real counterparty reality Having different credit qualities from LIBOR Having risk of default ISA 39 (International Accounting Standard) Requiring CVA in 2000 (mandatory) Finance and Accounting owning CVA Receiving a little attention in the beginning Becoming significant risk after financial crises

Definition CVA Definition CVA = Risk free value True (risky) value Benefits Quantifying counterparty risk as a single P&L number Dynamically managing, pricing, and hedging counterparty risk Notes CVA is a topic of valuation and requires accurate pricing and riskneutral measure Risk-free valuation is what we use every day. Risky valuation is less explored and less transparent

Risk-Free Valuation The risk-free valuation is what brokers quote or what trading systems or models normally report. A simple example to illustrate A zero coupon bond paying X at T The risk-free value V F (0) X exp( rt ) D(T )X where r is risk-free interest rate and is risk-free discount factor

Risky Valuation Default Modeling Structural models Studying default based on capital structure of a firm Reduced form models Characterizing default as a jump (Poisson) process Market practitioners prefer the reduced form models due to Mathematical tractability Consistency with market observations as risk-neutral default probabilities can be backed out from bond prices and CDS spreads

Risky Valuation (Continuously Defaultable) The same simple example: a zero coupon bond paying X at T The risk value where r is risk-free interest rate and s is credit spread is risk adjusted discounting factor CVA by defintion

Risky Valuation (Discrete Defaultable) Assumption default may happen only at the payment date At time T, the bond either survives with payoff X or defaults with payoff where φ is the recovery rate Risk value where p is default probability and q=1-p is the survival probability CVA

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