Evercore ISI Utility CEO Retreat

Similar documents
Investor Meeting November 5, 2014

Investor Meeting May 21, 2015

Second Quarter 2014 Results & Outlook

UBS Natural Gas & Electric Utilities Conference March 2, 2016

EEI Financial Conference November 11-13, 2014

Third Quarter 2014 Results and Outlook October 23, 2014

Beaver Creek Mini-Conference December 14-16, 2015

Investor Meeting December 6, 2017 CMS MODEL: CONSISTENT PAST WITH A SUSTAINABLE FUTURE

Investor Call January 27, Among lowest acquisition cost ever #1 LDC in gas storage #2 in renewable sales in the Great Lakes area

Europe Investor Meetings March 14-18, 2016

Investor Meetings June 27, 2016

Deutsche Bank s Clean Tech, Utilities & Power Conference May 9, 2016

UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION Washington, D.C FORM 8-K

Investor Meetings November 2018 FOCUSED ON WORLD CLASS PERFORMANCE

Investor Meeting July 11, 2017

Investor Meetings June 26, 2017

Investor Meetings January 2019 FOCUSED ON WORLD CLASS PERFORMANCE

Investor Meeting Grand Rapids, Michigan October 24, 2013

Environmental, Social & Governance

Business Update. April 10-11, 2018

CMS ENERGY ANNOUNCES FIRST QUARTER EARNINGS OF $0.86 PER SHARE; REAFFIRMS 2018 GUIDANCE

EEI Financial Conference

New York Investor Meetings

EVERCORE ISI UTILITY CEO RETREAT. January 12 & 13, 2017

Investor Update. March 2019

Edison Electric Institute 45 th Financial Conference

DEUTSCHE 2017 CLEAN TECH, UTILITIES & POWER CONFERENCE

CMS ENERGY DELIVERS ITS 15 th YEAR OF STRONG OPERATIONAL AND FINANCIAL RESULTS; RAISES 2018 GUIDANCE

Xcel Energy Fixed Income Meetings

Investor Update. October 2018

UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION FORM 10-Q

1 st Quarter 2018 Earnings Conference Call. April 25, 2018

4TH QUARTER AND FULL-YEAR 2013 RESULTS. February 21, 2014

Earnings Conference Call. Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2014

4th Quarter 2011 Earnings & 2012 Guidance Call February 16, 2012

AGA Financial Forum Business Update. May 15-17, 2016

SEPTEMBER 2017 INVESTOR MEETINGS SEPTEMBER 14, 2017

CMS ENERGY CORPORATION Earnings Per Share By Year GAAP Reconciliation (Unaudited)

1st Quarter Earnings Call May 5, 2011

NISOURCE INVESTOR DAY MARCH 8, NiSource NYSE: NI nisource.com

Lehman Brothers CEO Energy/Power Conference September 5, 2007

Earnings Conference Call

Purpose-Driven Performance

Phoenix, Ariz. January 7-8, Evercore ISI Utility CEO Conference

CMS ENERGY CORPORATION Reconciliation of Non-GAAP FFO to Average Debt Ratio (Unaudited)

Great Plains Energy. First Quarter 2011 Earnings Presentation. May 6, First Quarter 2011 Earnings

Palm Beach, Fla. January 12-13, Evercore ISI Utility CEO Conference

Phoenix January 11-12, Evercore ISI Utility CEO Conference

3 rd Quarter Earnings Call Thursday, November 1, 2018

Second Quarter 2018 Earnings Call. August 9, 2018

Portland General Electric

Q Earnings Review August 9, 2016

CMS ENERGY CORPORATION Earnings Per Share By Year GAAP Reconciliation (Unaudited)

Purpose-Driven Performance

Morgan Stanley Utilities, Clean Tech and Midstream Energy Conference New York, Tuesday, February 27, Delivering today for a brighter tomorrow

Investor Fact Book. March 2018

CMS ENERGY CORPORATION Earnings Per Share By Year GAAP Reconciliation (Unaudited)

SECOND QUARTER 2017 RESULTS. August 3, 2017

Actual neighborhood of Sunrun customer homes

OUR FUTURE FOCUS GREAT PLAINS ENERGY EEI INVESTOR PRESENTATION

New York City March 3, Morgan Stanley MLP/Diversified Natural Gas, Utilities & Clean Tech Conference

FOURTH QUARTER AND FULL-YEAR 2017 RESULTS. February 23, 2018

PUBLIC SERVICE ENTERPRISE GROUP INCORPORATED Consolidating Statements of Operations (Unaudited, $ millions, except per share data)

Public Service Enterprise Group

BRIGHT FIRST QUARTER 2017 BUSINESS UPDATE AND EARNINGS REVIEW. May 4, 2017 OUR ENERGY FUTURE

FIRST QUARTER 2016 RESULTS. April 29, 2016

FOURTH QUARTER AND FULL-YEAR 2016 RESULTS. February 24, 2017

Public Service Enterprise Group

PG&E Corporation: Strong Core Growth and Future Demand-Side Earnings

Portland General Electric Reports 2017 Financial Results and Initiates 2018 Earnings Guidance

2011 THIRD QUARTER FIXED INCOME PRESENTATION OCTOBER 26, 2011 (PRELIMINARY RESULTS)

Edison Electric Institute Annual Finance Meeting May 2007

PPL Corporation 3 rd Quarter Earnings. November 4, 2014

FOURTH QUARTER AND FULL-YEAR 2018 RESULTS. February 22, 2019

PUBLIC SERVICE ENTERPRISE GROUP INCORPORATED Consolidating Statements of Operations (Unaudited, $ millions, except per share data)

Citi Global Energy & Utilities Conference

[Please refer to Appendix. CMS Energy (CMS) EPS Up 43% Y/Y, Highlighting Successful Growth Strategy ESTIMATE CHANGE

Boston & New York City February 26-28, Investor Meetings

3rd Quarter 2018 Earnings Release and Clean Energy Businesses Update Presentation. November 1, 2018

CMS ENERGY CORPORATION Earnings Per Share By Year GAAP Reconciliation (Unaudited)

Portland General Electric

614/ / FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

3Q 2018 Earnings Conference Call. October 24, 2018

Update. Third Quarter Kevin Marsh, CEO Jimmy Addison, CFO

PG&E Corporation. Christopher P. Johns Senior Vice President and CFO. Lehman Brothers CEO Energy/Power Conference September 2-4, 2008 New York City

Portland General Electric

New York City March 2, Morgan Stanley MLP/Diversified Natural Gas, Utilities & Clean Tech Conference

DTE Energy reports third quarter 2008 earnings

FIRST QUARTER 2018 BUSINESS AND FINANCIAL UPDATE

2011 FIRST QUARTER FIXED INCOME PRESENTATION APRIL 26, 2011 (PRELIMINARY RESULTS)

Lead Today. Transform Tomorrow.

H I G H L I G H T S. Financial Strength: Strong Asset Base Strong Capital Structure. High Credit Quality

Supplemental Slides Third Quarter 2018 Earnings. November 1, 2018

The following table provides a reconciliation of ongoing earnings per share to GAAP earnings per share:

September Investor Meetings aep.com. 4th Quarter 2018 EARNINGS RELEASE PRESENTATION January 24, 2019

2 nd Quarter Earnings Call Tuesday, August 7, 2018

Board Meeting. May 10, 2018 Muscle Shoals, Alabama

ENTERGY STATISTICAL REPORT AND INVESTOR GUIDE

DTE ENERGY CO FORM 8-K. (Current report filing) Filed 04/08/13 for the Period Ending 04/08/13

2012 FIRST QUARTER FIXED INCOME PRESENTATION APRIL 27, 2012 (PRELIMINARY RESULTS)

Transcription:

Top of Mind Why Invest? Investment Upsides Partners Regulatory Passion to Improve Evercore ISI Utility CEO Retreat January 8-9, 2015 Ludington Pumped Storage Jackson Ray Compressor Gas Plant Station Cross Winds Energy Park Fourth largest in the world #1 LDC in gas storage #2 in renewable sales in the Great Lakes area

This presentation is made as of the date hereof and contains forward-looking statements as defined in Rule 3b-6 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, Rule 175 of the Securities Act of 1933, and relevant legal decisions. The forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties. All forward-looking statements should be considered in the context of the risk and other factors detailed from time to time in CMS Energy s and Consumers Energy s Securities and Exchange Commission filings. Forward-looking statements should be read in conjunction with FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS AND INFORMATION and RISK FACTORS sections of CMS Energy s and Consumers Energy s Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2013 and as updated in subsequent 10-Qs. CMS Energy s and Consumers Energy s FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS AND INFORMATION and RISK FACTORS sections are incorporated herein by reference and discuss important factors that could cause CMS Energy s and Consumers Energy s results to differ materially from those anticipated in such statements. CMS Energy and Consumers Energy undertake no obligation to update any of the information presented herein to reflect facts, events or circumstances after the date hereof. The presentation also includes non-gaap measures when describing CMS Energy s results of operations and financial performance. A reconciliation of each of these measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measure is included in the appendix and posted on our website at www.cmsenergy.com. CMS Energy provides historical financial results on both a reported (Generally Accepted Accounting Principles) and adjusted (non-gaap) basis and provides forward-looking guidance on an adjusted basis. Management views adjusted earnings as a key measure of the company s present operating financial performance, unaffected by discontinued operations, asset sales, impairments, regulatory items from prior years, or other items. These items have the potential to impact, favorably or unfavorably, the company's reported earnings in future periods. Investors and others should note that CMS Energy and Consumers Energy post important financial information using the investor relations section of the CMS Energy website, www.cmsenergy.com and Securities and Exchange Commission filings. 1

End of Year Observations.... Status Financial Results January 29 Customer Satisfaction Up (Gas First Quartile) More Progress Cross Winds - $255 mil; SW 36 Pipeline - $88 mil Gas Rate Case (Pending MPSC order) Cost down 7% since 2006 Safety First Quartile Politics -- Favorable Elections 2015 Energy Law Operational Settled Unequalled Among Best Builds Moving Forward Credit Rating Employee ENGAGEMENT Continues Top Decile Raised 7 Years Running!.... among the best, with SUBSTANTIAL room to grow! 2

Why Invest?.... Our Growth Engine (2015-2024 Capex) Supported By UPSIDES create headroom (Investment, Sales, Cost, & DIG) $15.5 Billion PARTNERS in progress (Customers, Regulators, & Policy Makers) 5% - 7% EPS growth More upside $5 bil NOT yet in Plan! PASSION to improve for customers AND owners (Value, Reliability, & Environment).... next 10 years even brighter than last. 3

INVESTMENT -- Catch-Up.... Amount (billions) $1.8 Peers > $1.5 per year Peer Performance a CMS Consumers Energy Peer Average Capex Liquidity Cash Flow (oper) 20% 16% 15% 14% 15% 12% 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 _ a Based on December 31, 2014 information percent of market cap Source: 10K; actual amounts through 2013 smoothed for illustration.... creating an opportunity for the next ten years. 4

INVESTMENT -- Ten-Year Capex Plan Can Expand.... 2015-2024 10-Year Plan Opportunity Level $15.5 Billion Amount (bils) Generation capacity PPA replacement $3.0 ROA return Higher renewables Gas conversions & expansion 1.0 Grid modernization 1.0 Total Opportunities $5.0 $20+ Billion Rate Base up 5% to 7% Customer base rates <2 >4 Upside?.... driving long-term, organic growth, while keeping base rates well below inflation. X 5

UPSIDES -- Capacity Opportunities.... MW 11,000 Not in plan Capacity Growth Over Next Ten Years Further Upside 10,000 ~8,600 MW PPA s Expire 1,240 MW PPA 580 1,200 MW 7,500 PPA 2,600 capacity ~30% ~800 MW 780 MW Owned 8,820 5,000 Owned 6,000 Today 410 MW Shortfall 540 MW Jackson Plant Replaces Classic Seven ROA Eliminated? Lower customer bills Palisades PPA Expires 2022 MCV PPA Expires 2025 Future MISO Zone 7 Shortage 3,000 MW 2015 201X 2022 2025 2016.... emerging incrementally with replacements not yet in plan! 6

UPSIDES -- Capacity Price Increases.... Today (mils) Future Scenarios (mils) +$50 $55 Recent Contracts Nine-year 250 MW energy contract at $4.06 +$30 $35 Capacity to Consumers 25 MW/2015 at $2.32 50 MW/2016 at $4.36 $5 Upside: Capacity and energy contracts layered in over time Capacity price < $0.50 $4.50 $7.50 ($ kw per month) (CONE).... could add value to the 700 MW DIG plant. 7

UPSIDES -- Reinvestment Model Helps Customers.... Adjusted EPS (non-gaap) 2014 +18 +15 October 23 rd Status Third Quarter Weather (Electric) Reinvestment Total Change EPS (6) (5) (11) +9 First Nine Months EPS Weather (Gas) 16 Cost savings 4 Reinvest & other (16) Total Change + 4 Guidance January March 31 June 30 September 30 December +4 Plan Good Choices +7%- +6%.... AND provides top-end, sustainable growth for investors. 8

UPSIDES -- Trend of Cost Savings.... 50% 0 0 0 0 0 00 0 0 0 0-250 Actual 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Lines smoothed for illustrative purposes O&M Cost Trend Peers CMS ~6% per year -7% Inflation ~2% per year -25% -7% -10% -17% Plan 2014 2018 Future Savings 2018 vs 2013 (mils) Fuel mix $ - 25 Benefits - 75 Less Expensive New Hires & Lower Headcount - 75 Smart Meters - 25 Inflation +100 2018 below 2013 $-100 Savings -10%.... accelerated; funding investment and reducing risk. 9

PARTNERS -- Michigan Energy Law Update.... Historical test year 12-18 months regulatory lag No cap on ROA 10% renewables by 2015 Energy efficiency standards File-and-implement 10% ROA cap Adaptability Reliability Affordability Environmental protection Update Governor Snyder announced energy a top priority in 2015 Before 2008 TODAY 2015 Improvements.... builds on visionary 2008 Law! 10

Partnering with Policy Makers.... Governor Rick Snyder Regulation Commission Commission remains strong John Quackenbush (R), Chairman Term Ends: July 2, 2017 Powering Michigan s Comeback Energy Committee Chairs Sally Talberg (I) Term Ends: July 2, 2019 Senator Mike Nofs To Be Announced Greg White (I) Term Ends: July 2, 2015 Representative.... for visionary Energy legislation in 2015. 11

REGULATORY -- Rate Case Summary.... Rate Base (bils) ROE Equity - Regulatory Equity - Financial Electric Rate Case Amount (mils) Capital Investment $ 185 Cost & Other - 57 Core Request $ 128 Jackson Gas Plant 35 Total Request $ 163 2001 Securitization Offset $ - 80 Memo: Net Annual Increase 1% 2017-2018 Capex Recovery Revenue Decoupling Existing $8.10 10.3% 41.2 51.4 Request (2013) (2015) XX $9.33 XX 10.7% XX 41.9 XX 52.1 Gas Rate Case Settled at $45 million (Pending MPSC order) Six months early! 10.3% ROE Revenue decoupling mechanism approved Net Annual Increase: 1%.... primarily for investment recovery with O&M offsets. 12

REGULATORY -- Gas and Electric Rate Cases.... Filed $88 M 7/01 2014 Settled $45 M a 2015 GAS 2016 Our View A) Settled $45 million a B) Six months early C) 10.3% ROE D) Revenue decoupling mechanism Filed $163 M 12/05 2014 _ a Pending MPSC order Selfimplement Securitization Surcharge Ends $80 M ELECTRIC 2015 A) Jackson Plant Classic 7 Decommissioned B) C) Final Order New Rate Design 2016 Jackson Plant in rate base Investment recovery and cost reductions C) New Rate Design Our View.... primarily for investment recovery with large O&M offsets. A) B) 13

PASSION TO IMPROVE -- CMS Energy.... $3.50 Future Shines Bright EPS a Dividend +7% +5% to +7% Sustainable Future Growth Investment (bils) (2009-2014) Past Performance $6.3 Next 5 Years $7.5 Capacity Op! O&M Reductions (2006-2013) (7)% (10)% Conservative Sales Growth (2010-2013) +1% +½ % Conservative Last 11 Years 2014 _ a Adjusted EPS (non-gaap) excluding MTM in 2004-2006 Next 10 Years Regulatory Visionary Law Among Best Improved Law.... building on past performance for even brighter future. 14

Appendix

Credit Ratings.... S&P / Fitch Scale Moody s A+ A1 A A2 A- A3 BBB+ Baa1 BBB BBB- BB+ BBB BBB- BB+ BB BB- Baa2 Baa3 Ba1 Baa2 Baa3 Ba1 Ba2 Ba3 S&P (Dec.) Moody s (January) Fitch (February) Consumers Secured CMS Unsecured Present Prior Reflects Consistent Performance Less Risk Customer Focus Constructive Regulation Good Energy Policy B+ B1 2002 B B2 B- B3 Outlook Stable Stable Stable.... show continuous improvement. 16

Consumers Appears.... Million Tons of CO 2 25 23 Carbon Tonnage Reduction (Preliminary) 2005 Baseline 21 19 17 15 Clean Power Plan Consumers Energy Implied EPA Target Projected emission level 13 2014 2020 2025 2029 2030.... to be in a good carbon position. 17

Zeeland Cross Winds Big 5 Palisades Generation Strategy: New Supply Sources.... Levelized cost of new build ( /kwh) 25 20 New Build Consumers Energy Sources 22 15 10 5 5 6 5 7 6 8 Back -up 6 6 11 Back -up 9 10 7 12 5.5 15 0 Combined Cycle Gas Plant Gas price= $3.00 $4.50 $6.00 W/ tax credit Wind W/o tax credit Coal W/ emission controls Nuclear Residential Solar Today Future $3.00 per $2.00 per watt watt?.... combined cycle gas is the most attractive new source of supply. 18

GAAP Reconciliation

Earnings Per Share By Year GAAP Reconciliation (Unaudited) 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Reported earnings (loss) per share - GAAP ($0.30) $0.64 ($0.44) ($0.41) ($1.02) $1.20 $0.91 $1.28 $1.58 $1.42 $1.66 After-tax items: Electric and gas utility 0.21 (0.39) - - (0.07) 0.05 0.33 0.03-0.17 - Enterprises 0.74 0.62 0.04 (0.02) 1.25 (0.02) 0.09 (0.03) (0.11) (0.01) * Corporate interest and other 0.16 (0.03) 0.04 0.27 (0.32) (0.02) 0.01 * (0.01) * * Discontinued operations (income) loss (0.16) 0.02 (0.07) (0.03) 0.40 (*) (0.08) 0.08 (0.01) (0.03) * Asset impairment charges, net - - 1.82 0.76 0.60 - - - - - - Cumulative accounting changes 0.16 0.01 - - - - - - - - - Adjusted earnings per share, including MTM - non-gaap $0.81 $0.87 $1.39 $0.57 $0.84 $1.21 (a) $1.26 $1.36 $1.45 $1.55 $1.66 Mark-to-market impacts 0.03 (0.43) 0.51 Adjusted earnings per share, excluding MTM - non-gaap NA $0.90 $0.96 $1.08 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA * Less than $500 thousand or $0.01 per share. (a) $1.25 excluding discontinued Exeter operations and accounting changes related to convertible debt and restricted stock. 20