Composite Plans: A Better Approach to Variability

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Composite Plans: A Better Approach to Variability Josh Shapiro Groom Law Group, Chartered NCCMP 2017 Annual Conference

Current Multiemployer Pension Benefits Plans typically provide fixed-dollar benefits Trustees set benefit levels Increases may apply to both past benefits and future benefits Decreases typically limited to future benefits Once earned, benefits not expected to change ERISA rules generally prevent discretionary cuts Limited exceptions for underfunded plans Dramatic cuts to all benefits when plan assets are exhausted 2

Contribution Levels Contribution amounts depend on: Bargained contribution rates Level of covered employment ERISA funding standards apply Contributions expected to fund plan over 15 years Limits to how high contribution rate can go If experience is poor, it may be impractical for contributions to meet 15-year target Trustees obligated to take reasonable measures to maximize contribution revenue 3

Plan Assets Assets invested in diversified portfolios Generally consist of various asset classes Stable investments tend to produce lower returns than more volatile investments Higher returning classes are less predictable Asset returns are uncertain Long-term returns have been very strong Substantial losses may occur over shorter timeframes 4

Returns on Risky Versus Safe Investments 25% 20% Average Returns by Decade 15% 10% 5% 0% -5% 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 10-Year Treasury Rate S&P 500 Returns 5

Withdrawal Liability Plans cannot prevent employer withdrawals Withdrawal liability assessments Required by ERISA Proportionate share of underfunding Withdrawal liability limitations Collection experience often poor Employers may pay assessment in quarterly installments over many years 20-year cap on payment schedule 6

Benefit Security What is a guarantee? Something that is said? A promise to do something? An observation about the likelihood of something happening? Does guarantee mean 100% certainty? Almost nothing is completely certain Guarantee implies very close to 100% certainty 7

Benefit Security Multiemployer pension benefits are not guaranteed Asset portfolios can produce significant losses All industries can decline Companies can become distressed Withdrawal liability is limited Possible that benefits will not be paid in full Likelihood may be very small, but it s not trivial A secure benefit is not the same as a guaranteed benefit 8

Paths Forward Current defined benefit system Stakeholders need to better understand risks Mechanisms for dealing with risks may not be adequate Possible to adopt a very low risk funding approach Invest plans assets in highly secure bonds Pension benefits would become guaranteed Dramatic increase in costs or decline in benefits Guarantees are expensive 9

Composite Plans Composite plans operates very similar to current defined benefits plans Negotiated contribution rates Board of trustees sets benefit levels Trustees held to fiduciary standard of care All benefits paid as annuities Investment, mortality and other experience shared across plan population 10

Composite Plans Composite plan benefits are secure, but not guaranteed When significant underfunding occurs, trustees must take immediate action Legislation prescribes a series of steps Initial steps do not cut any accrued normal retirement benefits Opportunity for increased contributions Reduce future benefit accruals Scale back ancillary plan features 11

Composite Plans Only in extraordinary situations will initial steps be insufficient Historical experience Actuarial modeling If necessary, active accrued benefits may be reduced Only as a last resort, core retiree benefits may be reduced 12

Composite Plans Benefit reductions Can occur in both DB and composite plans Possible in any plan not using risk-free funding Timing of reductions Occur much earlier in composite plans Early intervention has enormous impact on magnitude of reductions Composite plans likely to have more frequent reductions that are small DB plan reductions rare, but can be catastrophic 13

Composite Plans Composite plan benefits may be more secure than DB benefits Mandatory 20% funding cushion Immediate action necessary when shortfall develops Far easier to attract and retain employers Virtually impossible for plans to become insolvent 14

Questions? Josh Shapiro Groom Law Group, Chtd. jshapiro@groom.com 202-861-2613 15