Analyst Conference Call Full Year Ludwigshafen, February 27, 2018

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Transcription:

Analyst Conference Call Full Year 217 Ludwigshafen, February 27, 218

Cautionary note regarding forward-looking statements This presentation contains forward-looking statements. These statements are based on current estimates and projections of the Board of Executive Directors and currently available information. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of the future developments and results outlined therein. These are dependent on a number of factors; they involve various risks and uncertainties; and they are based on assumptions that may not prove to be accurate. Such risk factors include those discussed in the Opportunities and Risks Report from pages 111 to 118 of the BASF Report 217. BASF does not assume any obligation to update the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation above and beyond the legal requirements. 2 February 27, 218 BASF FY 217 Analyst Conference Call

BASF with considerable sales and earnings increase in the fourth quarter and the full year 217 Financial figures Q4 217 Change Q4 216 FY 217 Change FY 216 billion % billion % Sales 16.1 8 64.5 12 EBITDA before special items 2.9 27 12.5 21 EBITDA 3. 2 12.7 21 EBIT before special items 1.9 58 8.3 32 EBIT 1.9 57 8.5 36 Net income 1.5 123 6.1 5 Operating cash flow 1.2 (37) 8.8 14 Reported EPS ( ) 1.68 124 6.62 5 Adjusted EPS ( ) 1.29 63 6.44 33 Sales development Volumes Prices Portfolio Currencies Q4 217 vs. Q4 216 4% 9% % (5)% FY 217 vs. FY 216 4% 8% 1% (1)% 3 February 27, 218 BASF FY 217 Analyst Conference Call

BASF grew strongly in all regions Financial figures Q4 217 Change Q4 216 FY 217 Change FY 216 billion % billion % Sales by location of customer 16.1 8 64.5 12 Europe 6.9 11 29.2 12 North America 3.7 7 15.4 9 Asia Pacific 3.8 8 14.3 18 South America, Africa, Middle East 1.7 5 5.6 5 EBIT by location of company 1.9 57 8.5 36 Europe.9 36 4.7 31 North America.2. 1.2 11 Asia Pacific.6 39 2.2 11 South America, Africa, Middle East.2 69.3 (22) 4 February 27, 218 BASF FY 217 Analyst Conference Call

Attractive shareholder return Dividend per share Proposal 3 2 1.95 1.7 2.2 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.8 2.9 3. 3.1 Dividend policy We want to grow or at least maintain our dividend at the previous year s level Key facts 1 Dividend proposal of 3.1 per share, an increase of 1 cents Dividend yield of 3.4% in 217 28 29 21 211 212 213 214 215 216 217 Yield* 7.% 3.9% 3.7% 4.6% 3.7% 3.5% 4.% 4.1% 3.4% 3.4% 5 February 27, 218 BASF FY 217 Analyst Conference Call * Dividend yield based on share price at year-end

BASF to acquire Solvay s global polyamide business Broader global scope Enhanced presence, especially in Asia and South America Stronger capabilities to serve global and regional customers Wider range of engineering plastics Technyl, Ultramid, Ultradur, Ultraform, Ultracom Broadening technical skills and innovation capabilities* Heat-resistant and high-voltage electrical and electronic parts Tailor-made solutions for components in automotive Mechanically strong and thermally stable consumer goods Improved reliability of supply Backward integration into all key raw materials for polyamide 6.6 Fully integrated engineering plastics value chain 6 February 27, 218 BASF FY 217 Analyst Conference Call * Application examples

BASF signed agreement to acquire significant parts of Bayer s seed and non-selective herbicide businesses Fully enabled seed and trait businesses Attractive and sizeable seed portfolio for canola/oilseed rape, soybean and cotton in the Americas and Europe Excellent trait research for canola, soybean and cotton LibertyLink technology for herbicide tolerance and related trademarks Complementary crop protection business Global glufosinate-ammonium-based non-selective herbicide business State-of-the-art production facilities in the U.S., Canada and Germany 7 February 27, 218 BASF FY 217 Analyst Conference Call

BASF and LetterOne signed letter of intent to merge their oil and gas subsidiaries Wintershall and DEA Combined business with pro-forma 216 sales of 4.3 billion, EBITDA of 2.2 billion and net income of 326 million Creation of one of the largest independent European exploration and production companies with significant growth potential, optimization of the portfolio footprint of the combined business and realization of synergies BASF to initially hold 67% and LetterOne 33% in Wintershall DEA; value of Wintershall s gas transportation business to be reflected through the issuance of a mandatory convertible bond to BASF* BASF and LetterOne are currently conducting a confirmatory due diligence and negotiating definitive transaction agreements; closing could be expected in the second half of 218, subject to customary regulatory approvals Initial Public Offering (IPO) envisaged in the medium term 8 February 27, 218 BASF FY 217 Analyst Conference Call * No later than 36 months after closing, this bond will be converted into new shares in Wintershall DEA, resulting in a higher shareholding ratio for BASF

BASF further invested in its global asset base to serve the automotive industry BASF to expand its mobile emissions catalysts site in Poland BASF and TODA to strengthen collaboration in the U.S. and increase investments in CAM BASF inaugurated automotive coatings plant in Shanghai BASF opened its first automotive coatings plant in Thailand 9 February 27, 218 BASF FY 217 Analyst Conference Call

Chemicals Higher earnings driven by strong margins and higher volumes Sales Q4 217 vs. Q4 216* EBIT before special items* Intermediates 742 +7% 4,158 +21% Petrochemicals 1,63 +35% 1,2 8 4 629 +67% 1,53 5, 4, 3, 2, +18% 2,32 4,233 Monomers 1,786 +17% Q4 216 Q4 217 1, FY 216 FY 217 Sales development Volumes Prices Portfolio Currencies Q4 217 vs. Q4 216 6% 21% % (6)% FY 217 vs. FY 216 5% 23% % (1)% * Effective January 1, 217, the Monomers and Dispersions & Pigments divisions activities for the electronics industry were combined into the global Electronic Materials business unit and allocated to the Dispersions & Pigments division in the Performance Products segment. The 216 figures have been adjusted accordingly. 1 February 27, 218 BASF FY 217 Analyst Conference Call

Performance Products Higher volumes and prices could not offset increased raw materials costs; earnings declined Sales Q4 217 vs. Q4 216* EBIT before special items* Performance Chemicals 923 (3)% 3,832 +2% Dispersions & Pigments 1,225 +4% 3 2 1 237 (53)% 111 2, 1, 1,777 (2)% 1,416 Nutrition & Health 443 % Care Chemicals 1,241 +5% Q4 216 Q4 217 FY 216 FY 217 Sales development Volumes Prices Portfolio Currencies Q4 217 vs. Q4 216 7% 1% (1)% (5)% FY 217 vs. FY 216 5% 1% (1)% (1)% * Effective January 1, 217, the Monomers and Dispersions & Pigments divisions activities for the electronics industry were combined into the global Electronic Materials business unit and allocated to the Dispersions & Pigments division in the Performance Products segment. The 216 figures have been adjusted accordingly. 11 February 27, 218 BASF FY 217 Analyst Conference Call

Functional Materials & Solutions Sales growth on continued good demand; raw material price pressure led to earnings decrease Sales Q4 217 vs. Q4 216 EBIT before special items Performance Materials 1,913 +1% Coatings 1,21 +11% 5,311 +7% Catalysts 1,789 +3% Construction Chemicals 588 +4% 6 3 458 (42)% 267 Q4 216 Q4 217 2, 1, 1,946 (17)% 1,617 FY 216 FY 217 Sales development Volumes Prices Portfolio Currencies Q4 217 vs. Q4 216 2% 8% 3% (6)% FY 217 vs. FY 216 4% 5% 3% (1)% 12 February 27, 218 BASF FY 217 Analyst Conference Call

Agricultural Solutions Earnings increase due to higher volumes and improved margins Sales Q4 217 vs. Q4 216 EBIT before special items 2, 1,281 +4% 1,328 2 +162% 27 1,5 1,25 1, 1,87 (5)% 1,33 1, 1 79 75 5 25 Q4 216 Q4 217 Q4 216 Q4 217 FY 216 FY 217 Sales development Volumes Prices Portfolio Currencies Q4 217 vs. Q4 216 14% (3)% % (7)% FY 217 vs. FY 216 6% (3)% % (1)% 13 February 27, 218 BASF FY 217 Analyst Conference Call

Oil & Gas Higher oil and gas prices led to earnings increase Sales Q4 217 vs. Q4 216 EBIT before special items / net income 1, 5 922 (7)% 862 4 3 2 163 26 182 318 1, 8 6 4 517 793 362 719 1 2 Q4 216 Q4 217 Q4 216 Q4 217 Q4 216 Q4 217 FY 216 FY 217 FY 216 FY 217 EBIT before special items Net income EBIT before special items Net income Sales development Volumes Prices / Currencies Portfolio Q4 217 vs. Q4 216 (18)% 11% % FY 217 vs. FY 216 4% 13% % 14 February 27, 218 BASF FY 217 Analyst Conference Call

Review of Other Financial figures Q4 217 Q4 216 FY 217 FY 216 Sales 68 518 2,242 2,18 EBIT before special items (38) (386) (764) (1,5) Thereof Costs of corporate research (112) (131) (379) (395) Costs of corporate headquarters (57) (57) (224) (222) Foreign currency results, hedging and other measurement effects (23) (182) (28) (331) Other businesses 54 (12) 6 54 Special items (7) (57) (35) (41) EBIT (45) (443) (799) (1,91) 15 February 27, 218 BASF FY 217 Analyst Conference Call

Cash flow development in 217 Cash flow development 217 216 Cash provided by operating activities 8,785 7,717 Thereof Changes in net working capital (1,167) 14 Miscellaneous items (339) (734) Cash used in investing activities (3,958) (6,49) Thereof Payments made for tangible / intangible assets (3,996) (4,145) Acquisitions / divestitures 27 (2,164) Cash provided by financing activities 394 (2,16) Thereof Changes in financial liabilities 3,248 579 Dividends (2,873) (2,767) Free cash flow 4,789 3,572 16 February 27, 218 BASF FY 217 Analyst Conference Call

Balance sheet remains strong Balance sheet 217 vs. 216 billion Non-current assets 78.8 47.6 76.5 5.6 78.8 76.5 34.8 32.6 Equity Total assets increased by 2.3 billion due to higher cash and cash equivalents related to the financing of the announced acquisitions Equity ratio at 44.1% 18. 16.3 Financial debt Provisions for pensions and similar obligations decreased by 1.9 billion Inventories Accounts receivable Other assets Liquid funds 1.3 1. 11.2 11. 3.2 6.5 3. 1.9 Dec 31, 217 Dec 31, 216 26. 27.6 Dec 31, 217 Dec 31, 216 Other liabilities Net debt decreased by 2.9 billion to 11.5 billion 17 February 27, 218 BASF FY 217 Analyst Conference Call

Underlying assumptions for outlook 218 Economic environment 218 217 GDP growth +3.% +3.1% Growth in industrial production +3.2% +3.3% Growth in chemical production* +3.4% +3.5% Exchange rate US$1.2 per euro US$1.13 per euro Oil price (Brent) US$65 per barrel US$54 per barrel Transactions Consideration in the 218 outlook Expected closing Acquisition of Solvay s global polyamide business included Q3 218 Acquisition of significant parts of Bayer s seed and non-selective herbicide businesses included H1 218 Financial impact No material effect on sales and earnings in 218 expected Likely to have a positive impact on sales and a negative impact on earnings for the Agricultural Solutions segment and BASF Group in 218 Merger of BASF s and LetterOne s oil and gas activities into Wintershall DEA not included H2 218 Deconsolidation only after signing of definitive transaction agreements 18 February 27, 218 BASF FY 217 Analyst Conference Call * Excluding pharma

Outlook 218 for BASF Group* We anticipate slightly higher sales in 218. EBIT before special items is expected to be up slightly on the 217 level. EBIT is forecast to decline slightly in 218. We aim to once again earn a significant premium on our cost of capital in 218. However, EBIT after cost of capital will decrease considerably. * With respect to EBIT before special items, slight means a change of 1-1%, while considerable is used for changes of 11% and higher. At prior-year level indicates no change (+/-%). This outlook takes into account the agreed transactions with Bayer and Solvay. The intended merger of our oil and gas activities with the business of DEA Deutsche Erdoel AG and its subsidiaries is not taken into account in this outlook. 19 February 27, 218 BASF FY 217 Analyst Conference Call

Outlook 218 by segment EBIT before special items Forecast 218* 217 Chemicals Considerable decline 4,233 Performance Products Considerable increase 1,416 Functional Materials & Solutions Considerable increase 1,617 Agricultural Solutions Slight decline** 1,33 Oil & Gas Considerable increase 793 Other Slight increase (764) BASF Group Slight increase 8,328 * With respect to EBIT before special items, slight means a change of 1-1%, while considerable is used for changes of 11% and higher. At prior-year level indicates no change (+/-%). ** Excluding the agreed transaction with Bayer, we expect a slight increase in EBIT before special items in the Agricultural Solutions segment. 2 February 27, 218 BASF FY 217 Analyst Conference Call