The 25 Essential Investment Secrets I Passed On To My Son. AAII October, 2017

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Transcription:

The 25 Essential Investment Secrets I Passed On To My Son AAII October, 2017

Gatis Roze MBA, Stanford Graduate School of Business ( 81) Silicon Valley entrepreneur turned individual investor Author, Tensile Trading (Wiley, 2016) Author, The Traders Journal, StockCharts.com Co-Founder, StockMarketMastery.com

Grayson Roze Author, Tensile Trading (Wiley, 2016) Author, Trading for Dummies (Wiley, 2017) Business Manager, StockCharts.com Co-Founder, StockMarketMastery.com Swarthmore College, Economics and Psychology, B.A.

+ WEB SITE TENSILE TRADING THE 10 ESSENTIAL STAGES OF STOCK MARKET MASTERY A detailed 10-stage roadmap to help investors develop their own consistently profitable, high-probability investment system GATIS N. ROZE GRAYSON D. ROZE Available Online, in Stores and as an ebook

10 Revisit, Re-tune, Refine 9 Selling 8 Monitoring 7 Buying Your Roadmap Your Roadmap 6 Stalking to Success to Success 5 Routines 4 Market Analysis 3 Investor Self 2 Business of Investing 1 Money Management

How to Master Your Asset Allocation Profile Complete, 6-hour DVD seminar Available Online at Store.StockCharts.com

Trading for Dummies (4th Edition) Trade your way to a more profitable portfolio Available Online, in Stores and as an ebook

What Hooked Me... A new reason to care Voting with your money Charting made it easy Two unique displays of freedom Income as a teenager Income as an adult Applied Academics

Lesson 1: Compounding The miracle of compounding is a powerful thing Invest early, invest often, invest for the longterm The younger you start, the better off you'll be

From the Traders Journal

Lesson 2: Investing is a Business Investing is a business It is your responsibility to treat it as such

From the Traders Journal

Lesson 3: Have a System (and write it down!) Again WRITE. IT. DOWN. BATTLE V methodology

From the Traders Journal

Lesson 4: Personalized Approach Embrace an investment approach that is appropriate for you It should be tailored to your specific needs, your interests, your timeframe, your objectives, etc. Understand the true you!

FACT There is no such thing as optimal asset allocation because one size definitely does not fit all investors. Your asset allocation profile must reflect your personality, your individual needs, and your specific risk tolerance.

From the Traders Journal

Lesson 5: Asset Protection Asset protection always comes before asset growth Insurance Estate planning Asset allocation Risk management

Step 1 Step 2 Step 3 Asset Creation Asset Protection Asset Growth

From the Traders Journal

Lesson 6: Discipline Impulsiveness is deadly to your financial wellbeing Your investing system is only as strong as your discipline to stick to it It doesn't matter how smart you are or how clever your trading strategies are If you don't have the discipline to stick to your routines, you will fail

From the Traders Journal

Lesson 7: Routines Routines matter, and they are the key to consistency Routines are the complement to discipline WRITTEN routines

From the Traders Journal

Lesson 8: Organization Organization is integral to your success Good organization puts both time AND money in your pocket

From the Traders Journal

Lesson 9: The Investor Self Foster a keen (and ongoing) understanding of your "Investor Self Successful investors know themselves their strengths, their weaknesses, their advantages and their shortcomings Most importantly, they are brutally honest with themselves and use their self-awareness to their advantage

From the Traders Journal

Lesson 10: Emotional Control Emotional control is half the battle Keep your emotions in check, and your profits will soar

From the Traders Journal

Lesson 11: Choice Overload Keep your options limited to remain focused Your mental bandwidth is only so large Don t spread yourself too thin across too many markets, too many asset classes, too many countries, too many positions, etc.

THE JAM STUDY 24 choices vs. 6 choices 30% purchase rate 10x INCREASE

From the Traders Journal

Lesson 12: Traders Journal Maintain a traders journal Brutal honesty is crucial here! Regularly kept Discipline

From the Traders Journal

Lesson 13: Rational Analysis Combine fundamental analysis and technical analysis strategies to form a stronger, more balanced, more objective analysis approach: Rational Analysis Synergistic benefits arise, as both disciplines enhance and empower the other

From the Traders Journal

Lesson 14: Bubblegum Financial news is bubblegum for the mind The talking heads on the TV or in the money magazines are for your entertainment Advertising is their business, not your financial well being

From the Traders Journal

Lesson 15: Buying is Stage 7 Investing is about much more than just picking stocks You need the foundation in place to set you up for successful trading

From the Traders Journal

Lesson 16: It Pays To Be An Optimist Over the past 50 years, the optimists have outperformed the pessimists Why? Because the long-term trend of the financial markets is up Play the long side, not the short side Investing with a positive attitude is more fulfilling than investing with a negative one

75 Years of the Dow

From the Traders Journal

Lesson 17: Ask What Ask "what", not why No one pays you extra to answer the why The market rewards the investors who know WHAT and pull the trigger, not those who ask WHY and wait on the sidelines until they find an answer

From the Traders Journal

Lesson 18: Analysis Paralysis No matter how much research you do, you will never have 100% of the information Don't be crippled by analysis paralysis This applied to both the buy and sell sides

From the Traders Journal

Lesson 19: Take Action Selling is all about pulling the trigger, and if you're unable to take action and pull the trigger, you're not ready to trade stocks There will always be a million reasons not to sell a stock, but at the end of the day, all that matters is what's happening on the chart Only price action should determine what, when and how you sell"

From the Traders Journal

Lesson 20: Buy Strength Catching a falling knife is nearly impossible Rather than trying to call a bottom and predict the next historic recovery, invest in what's currently working, the stocks and funds that are leading / outperforming the market Don't discount leadership because you're too scared to be late to the party

From the Traders Journal

Lesson 21: Core and Explore Core and Explore (and Super Explore) 3 essential asset allocation classifications

ETF VTI RSP VYM DTN IWP VT XLI XLY RPG RXI EXI DON EZM AOM XLF XLK IXN IXG XLP XLV IXJ PRFZ KXI XLB VIOV QAI VIOG EFA VEU DIM VSS EZU JNK IXP MXI IXC VOX XLE ITB IBB VWO JXI VPL XBI RWO XLU EWH VNQ DBC PCY VCSH VCIT SIVR VCLT TIP IAU VGSH VGIT VGLT ASSET CLASS All USA Large Blend US Large Value US Dividend Yielders US Mid Cap Growth US All World + USA Industrials Sector US Cyclicals Sector US Large Growth US Global Consumer Discretionary Global Industrials Sector Mid Cap Value Mid Cap Blend US Allocation Stocks/Bonds US Financials Sector US Technology Sector US Global Tech Sector Global Financials Sector Consumer Staples Sector US Health Care Sector US Global Healthcare Sector Small Blend US Global Consumer Staples Sector Materials Sector US Small Value US Alternatives & Hedge Funds Small Growth US Large Cap EAFE Index All World Less-US Global Mid Caps Global Small Caps Regional Europe High-Yield Bonds Global Communications Sector Global Materials Sector Global Energy Sector Communications Sector US Energy Sector US Home Construction US Global Biotech Sector Global Emerging Markets Global Utilities Sector Regional Asia Biotech US Global Real Estate Utilities Sector US Country Funds REIT s US Commodities Index Emerging Market Debt Short-Term Corporate Bond Intermediate -Term Corporate Bond Commodities Silver Long-Term Corporate Bond TIPS Bond Commodities Gold Short-Term Government Bond Intermediate-Term Government Bond Long-Term Government Bond 0.99 0.97 0.96 0.93 0.92 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.90 0.89 0.89 0.88 0.88 0.87 0.87 0.87 0.87 0.85 0.84 0.84 0.83 0.81 0.81 0.8 0.79 0.78 0.76 0.75 0.72 0.69 0.69 0.66 0.66 0.62 0.61 0.61 0.60 0.58 0.57 0.55 0.55 0.52 0.45 0.41 0.40 0.33 0.33 0.30 0.27 0.23 0.19 0.13 0.05 0.03 0.01 0-0.06-0.09-0.21 CORE 20 ASSET CLASSES US LARGE GROWTH US TOTAL MARKET US LARGE VALUE US MID CAPS US SMALL CAPS US ALLOCATIONS STOCK / BONDS US UTILITIES DIVIDEND YIELDERS INTERMEDIATE BONDS WORLD (plus US) INTERNATIONAL (w/o US) INTERNATIONAL SMALL CAPS EMERGING MARKETS EUROPE ASIA HEALTH BIOTECH TELECOMMUNICATIONS PRECIOUS METALS UNIQUE EXPLORE US LARGE GROWTH Amazon Netflix Google Visa Mastercard Apple Facebook Equifax Tesla Starbucks 10 STOCKS AMZN NFLX GOOGL V MA AAPL FB EFX TSLA SBUX -0.4-0.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0

From the Traders Journal

Lesson 22: Best of the Breed Utilize the Best of The Breed approach to keep yourself invested in the top performers Use PerfCharts for each asset class

1 chart, 6 symbols SPY DIA VHT FXH PRHSX JAGLX

From the Traders Journal

Lesson 23: Relative Strength Use relative strength! Utilize a top down analysis approach, from the market to the sectors to the industry groups to the individual stocks, to find and invest in the market's leaders

Relative Strength Charted

From the Traders Journal

Lesson 24: Telescope to Microscope Telescope: 10 years Binoculars: 2 years Magnifying glass: 6 months Microscope: 1-minute data

From the Traders Journal

Lesson 25: The Sisters Strategy The law of groupings Market Sector Industry Groups Sister Stocks

From the Traders Journal