Investment Committee Quarterly Activity Report 4. FIXED INCOME

Similar documents
FIXED INCOME STRATEGIES FOR LATE 2017 NAVIGATING UNCHARTERED TERRITORY, RISING RATES, AND YOUR FIXED INCOME PORTFOLIO

Putnam Stable Value Fund

FOR 2018 GLOBAL MARKET OUTLOOK PRESS BRIEFING. PROVIDED TO DESIGNATED MEMBERS OF THE PRESS ONLY, NOT FOR FURTHER DISTRIBUTION.

Putnam Stable Value Fund

ADVANCE DEFENSIVE YIELD MULTI-BLEND FUND

Templeton International Bond Fund. Class C

PALM TRAN, INC./ATU LOCAL 1577 PENSION FUND INVESTMENT PERFORMANCE PERIOD ENDING MARCH 31, 2011

Thoughts on Recent Market Volatility

Navigating the Fixed Income Minefield

2010 Annual Report of the Investment Committee

Multi-Manager Emerging Markets Debt Opportunity Fund (NMEDX) 2Q 2018 Performance Review

Templeton Emerging Markets Bond Fund Advisor Class

Muni Bond Update: Improved Finances Drive Strong Quarter

Franklin Flexible Alpha Bond Fund A (acc) USD

Wells Fargo High Yield Bond Fund

INVESTMENTS. The CalSTRS Investment Portfolio generated 13.4 percent return net of fees on its investments for the fiscal year ending June 30, 2017.

Performance and Manager Review First Quarter 2011

State Board of Administration of Florida

Wells Fargo Short-Term High Yield Bond Fund

Multi-Manager Emerging Markets Debt Opportunity Fund (NMEDX) 3Q 2017 Performance Review

High Yield. LarrainVial Seminario Mercados Globales - Ideas Hans Stoter Head of Credit Investments ING Investment Management

ishares S&P Latin American 40 ILF

Pioneer Multi-Sector Fixed Income CIT

North Carolina Supplemental Retirement Plans

KBC INVESTMENT STRATEGY PRESENTATION. Defensive August 2017

Northern Multi-Manager High Yield Opportunity Fund

Angel Oak Capital Advisors, LLC

Cash. Period Ending 06/30/2016 Period Ending 3/31/2016. Equity. Fixed Income. Other

European crossover bonds. A sweet spot?

Target Funds. SEMIANNual REPORT

Market & Product Opportunity S E P T E M B E R 3 0,

Positioning bond portfolios for rising interest rates

CIBC Wood Gundy Recommended Funds

Core Plus Fixed Income Portfolio

Fixed income market update

Fixed Income Portfolios What Do Managers Do to Outperform?

Investment Grade Fixed Income Review

Additional series available. Morningstar TM Rating. Funds in category. Fixed income %

Cash Management Portfolios

Fixed income. income investors. Michael Korber Head of Credit. August 2009

Templeton Emerging Markets Bond Fund Class A, C

For professional advisers only. Schroders. for Bonds. Strength. in bonds. Best Large Fixed-Interest House

Fixed Income in Defined Contribution Plans Multnomah Group, Inc. All Rights Reserved.

City and County of Denver

Additional series available. Morningstar TM Rating. Funds in category 209. Fixed inc style Credit quality % BB 13.5 B 1.1. Not Rated 11.

Income Solutions Beyond Investment Grade Bonds

Additional series available. Morningstar TM Rating. Funds in category. Fixed inc style Credit quality %

Economic and Capital Market Update November 2017

LOST OPPORTUNITIES HOW THE ROLE OF BBBS IS CHANGING IN CANADIAN DEBT MARKETS

Fixed income market update

INVESTMENT POLICY STATEMENT CITY OF DOVER POLICE PENSION PLAN

Asset Liability Management Report 4 Q 2018

Additional series available. Morningstar TM Rating. Funds in category. Fixed income % of fixed income allocation

First Trust Intermediate Duration Preferred & Income Fund Update

The case for lower rated corporate bonds

First Quarter 2017 Investment Review. Prepared by: Meketa Investment Group CHICAGO, IL (312)

Franklin Flexible Alpha Bond Fund. Advisor Class

Best Practices for Public Fund Investment Guidance and Performance

Fundametrics Small Cap Equity Q Performance Summary and Observations

Additional series available. Morningstar TM Rating. Funds in category 363. Fixed income % of fixed income allocation

City and County of Denver

Wells Fargo Diversified Income Builder Fund

Fidelity Real Estate Income Fund

The US Institutional Corporate Loan Market and an Overview of Ways to Invest

RISKS ASSOCIATED WITH INVESTING IN BONDS

City and County of Denver

MANAGING INTEREST RATE RISK WITH AN ABSOLUTE RETURN APPROACH

Templeton Global Bond Plus Fund

Nuance Concentrated Value Composite Perspectives

Additional series available. Morningstar TM Rating. Funds in category. Fixed income % of fixed income allocation

Evolving Equity Investing: Delivering Long-Term Returns in Short-Tempered Markets

Retirement Funds. SEMIANNual REPORT

North Carolina Supplemental Retirement Plans Annual Review. March 2012

Dated 28 July Issuer: Macquarie Investment Management Limited ABN AFS Licence Number

Short Duration Scorecard Second Quarter 2018

Perspectives July. Liability-Driven Perspectives. A Tale of Two Recessions. Liabilities Do Not Have Downgrade Risk, Bonds Do

Additional series available. Morningstar TM Rating. Funds in category. Equity style Fixed inc style. of fixed income allocation

4Q17 Fixed Income BOND FUND FLEXIBLE. 30 Years of Fundamental Fixed Income Investing A: JDFAX C: JFICX I: JFLEX N: JDFNX R: JDFRX S: JADFX T: JAFIX

City of Fort Walton Beach, Florida Beal Memorial Cemetery Perpetual Care Fund

Additional series available. Morningstar TM Rating. Funds in category 797. Fixed income % of fixed income allocation

Asset manager funds. Joseph Gerakos University of Chicago

Jacksonville Police & Fire Pension Fund Presentation

Additional series available. Morningstar TM Rating. Funds in category 431. Credit quality %

Monthly Commentary Emerging Markets Debt

FIDUCIARY ROLES AND RESPONSIBILITIES. An Overview for Committee Members

Third Quarter 2018 Earnings Presentation. October 31, 2018

Asset Liability Management Report 3 Q 2016

The great realignment

CGCM Ultra-Short Term Fixed Income Fund (TSDUX)

Additional series available. Morningstar TM Rating. Funds in category Fixed income % of fixed income allocation

Additional series available. Morningstar TM Rating. Funds in category 960. Fixed income % of fixed income allocation

University of Illinois. Fourth Quarter 2016 Investment Update Board Report. March University of Illinois

ESG Integration in Fixed Income

Templeton Global Currency Fund. Advisor Class

Additional series available. Morningstar TM Rating. Funds in category Fixed income % of fixed income allocation

Callan GlidePath Funds Quarterly Commentary (Share Class R6)

IS CORE PLUS WORTH THE FUSS?

Tower Square Investment Management LLC Strategic Aggressive

Franklin Fund Allocator Series

DoubleLine Core Fixed Income Fund Fourth Quarter 2017

Transcription:

Investment Committee Quarterly Activity Report 4. FIXED INCOME

FIXED INCOME MARKET RISK DASHBOARD As of 6/30/2015 Monetary Policy 3.88% U.S. Unemployment Rate 6.10% 0.25% 0% 9.75% The Fed Funds target rate remains range bound at 0-0.25 percent. The risk is that the unwinding of the extreme accommodation will lead to higher inflation and then much higher interest rates in the longer-term. 5.30% 3.80% 10.00% The U.S. Unemployment Rate declined from 5.5 percent to 5.3 percent during the quarter. The risk is that a high part-time employment number could hinder economic U.S. Treasury Yield 5.43% recovery, keeping consumers on the sideline and impacting growth in the U.S. 2.35% 1.45% 10.65% Current Inflation 2.70% During the quarter, the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield swung 62bps, before ending the quarter higher at 2.35%. The risk is that a sharp rise in yields will lead to declines in fixed income assets. Cost of Corporate Credit 1.51% 1.37% 0% 5.45% Corporate credit spreads rose 13bps from 1.24 percent to 1.37 percent during the quarter. The risk is that the economy overheats and the quality of earnings declines, thus increasing the cost of credit to corporations. 0.10% 0% 6.30% According to the U.S. Consumer Price Index, the annual rate of inflation increased 0.2 percent during the quarter, to 0.1 percent. Over the last twelve months, energy declined 15 percent, food rose 1.8 percent and all other items rose 1.8 percent. The risk is that the extremely accommodative monetary policy will push inflation higher and erode the dollar's purchasing power. Denotes long-term (30-yr) average value, with the exception of Cost of Corporate Credit, for which data is only available since August 1988. FOR THE QUARTER ENDING JUNE 30, 2015 1

Portfolio Benchmark Comparison as of 6/30/2015 Assets Under Management $30.1 Billion Our investment philosophy is to maximize diversification across the portfolio, yet optimize the number of securities vs. the benchmark. CalSTRS Benchmark 1 Difference # of Issues/Bonds 5,757 11,644-5,887 Average Coupon (%) 3.38 3.37 0.01 Average Quality Aa3/A+ Aa2/AA- n/a Average Yield to Maturity (%) 2.81 2.50 0.31 Option-Adjusted Duration* (Yrs) 5.19 5.18 0.01 * Duration: a standard measure of the portfolio s sensitivity to risk or volatility to interest rates, relative to the benchmark. Portfolio yield remains modestly higher than the benchmark, reflecting our spread product (i.e. non-treasury) overweight with an emphasis on higher quality securities. With heightened volatility in the markets, we remained close to home, taking advantage of opportunities to increase the quality of the portfolios. CalSTRS Quality Summary vs. Benchmark 1 80.00 70.00 60.00 50.00 The portfolio remains underweight AAA-rated securities, which is consistent with an underweight to government securities. CalSTRS Benchmark 40.00 30.00 20.00 10.00 0.00 AAA AA A BBB BB B CCC Other FOR THE QUARTER ENDING JUNE 30, 2015 2

CalSTRS Sector Weighting vs. Benchmark 1 40.00% 35.00% 30.00% The portfolio includes a blend of core and opportunistic (internally- and externally-managed) strategies structured to achieve a long-term total return representative of the fixed income markets. 25.00% 20.00% 15.00% 10.00% 5.00% 0.00% -5.00% -10.00% High Bank Govt. IG Credit MBS CMBS ABS Yield Loan Other* CalSTRS Beginning of Qtr 31.38% 28.60% 24.01% 3.09% 0.69% 7.55% 2.51% 2.17% CalSTRS End of Qtr 31.61% 28.99% 24.37% 3.18% 0.72% 7.42% 2.53% 1.18% Benchmark 37.44% 28.16% 26.34% 1.86% 0.55% 4.88% 0.00% 0.77% Difference -5.83% 0.83% -1.97% 1.32% 0.17% 2.54% 2.53% 0.41% *Includes other investments such as International Sovereign Bonds, Derivatives and Cash During the quarter, we continued to opportunistically reduce our allocations to spread product as volatility remained with concerns over the timing of rate hikes, the impact of lower oil prices, and the uncertainty surrounding Greece. FOR THE QUARTER ENDING JUNE 30, 2015 3

Peer Group Comparison Across all periods, the portfolio outperformed the benchmark and ranked in the top two quartiles compared to the evestment peer universe of core fixed income managers. As of June 30, 2015 Latest Quarter 1 year 3 years 5 years 5th Percentile -0.32 2.94 4.09 5.44 25th Percentile -1.18 2.30 2.82 4.41 Median -1.53 2.00 2.43 3.99 75th Percentile -1.71 1.66 2.04 3.55 95th Percentile -2.09 1.08 1.56 2.92 # of Observations* 237 237 236 231 Latest Quarter 1 year 3 years 5 years Return Rank Return Rank Return Rank Return Rank CalSTRS -1.50 46 2.10 42 2.92 22 4.29 30 Benchmark 1-1.59 59 1.75 69 2.07 73 3.61 73 SOURCE: evestment Analytics * As of June 30, 2015, there are 251 active investment managers and 272 active products that conform to the evestment U.S. Core Fixed Income style, as their primary style objective. FOR THE QUARTER ENDING JUNE 30, 2015 4

Executive Summary The second quarter looked a lot like the first quarter with continued volatility as investors dealt with market uncertainty here in the U.S. and abroad. With the Federal Reserve being data dependent and with mixed economic numbers, the question still remains when will they increase interest rates and how will higher rates impact the U.S. recovery. Along with this, there are uncertainties surrounding Greece s future in the Eurozone and the impact if other countries follow suit. Going forward we expect volatility to remain elevated as investors try to navigate through the Federal Reserve s monetary policy decisions, the impact of lower oil prices and decreased liquidity in the markets. The charts and tables for the second quarter of 2015 on the previous pages compare the structure and risk profile of the CalSTRS Fixed Income Portfolio to the policy benchmark and our relevant peer group. We continue to opportunistically trim back some of our overweight to spread (non-government) product. With a strong U.S. dollar and expectations of interest rates eventually increasing, securities that are less sensitive to interest rate risk (for example, bank loans and shorter duration bonds) should generate a better relative return over the benchmark. Performance As reflected in the Peer Group Comparison on the previous page, the Fixed Income portfolio outperformed the benchmark by 9 bps over the latest quarter, generating a negative return of 1.50 percent. Over the last twelve months, fixed income strategies have produced positive absolute returns versus their benchmarks: Total Debt (2.10%, +35 bps in alpha); Core (internal) Strategy (2.31%, +45 bps in alpha); Core Plus (external) Opportunistic Strategy (1.13%, -49 bps in alpha); High Yield (external and internal) Opportunistic Strategy (1.48%, +186 bps in alpha); and Bank Loans (external) Opportunistic Strategy (2.95%, +113 bps in alpha). Activity Updates The following updates are intended to keep the Board informed as to the status of ongoing projects and activities that have been previously approved or included in the current business plan. From the Securities Lending request for proposal process, staff awarded mandates to five lending agents; however, one of the five lending agents decided to exit the Securities Lending business. Staff has started the contract process with the remaining four firms and will work with all of the chosen agents to form the structure of the Securities Lending Program going forward. Staff is in the process of reviewing Alternative Solicitation Process (ASP) questionnaires to refresh both Fixed Income Core Plus and High Yield manager pools. The ASP is expected to be completed later this year. 1 Benchmark: (95%) Barclays Capital Aggregate Index + (5%) Barclays Capital U.S. High Yield Cash Pay 2% Issuer Constrained (ex-tobacco/ex-firearms) Index FOR THE QUARTER ENDING JUNE 30, 2015 5