McBride plc Interim Results Presentation: 22 February 2018

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Transcription:

Success in securing significant business wins validates our strategic direction

Agenda 1. Headlines 2. Commercial update 3. Financial results 4. Strategy actions 5. Outlook 1

Headlines Revenues 2.2% higher at 368.4m Household +4.8%, including Danlind PCA Europe: lower by 9.6%, half from management actions Adjusted operating profits 15.8m and ROS of 4.3% (: 22.9m, 6.4%) Household profits lower, ROS 7.4% (: 9.3%) PCA into losses - 2.3m (: 0.9m) inflationary pressures ahead of second half growth in Household Good progress in key strategic categories, Laundry and Dishwash Disruptive industry dynamics: rising costs in materials and labour destabilising the supplier base, especially Germany Household entering second half with strong growth momentum rate of growth significant, ahead of original plan certain efficiency projects on-hold as HH volume growth consolidated Danlind integration on track adding 15.2m revenues for the second quarter, year-on-year growth +20% PCA actions accelerated recovery plan close to launch first step sale of Czech skincare business completed 2

Commercial update Rik De Vos 3

Market development Household UK Retail sales growth: food inflation PL taking market share over brands HH categories in growth, driven mainly by PL retail shift to higher end PL offer strong growth of LADs in UK market McBride additional opportunity from HH PL improving presence with growing LADs retail customer base responding well to our value proposition McBride H1 growth +1.2% Germany Favourable consumer sentiment, driving PL market share gains in general HH total market seeing price deflation HH PL estimated flat; result of growing LAD share (>5%) offset by price deflation Branders losing share in HH Overall shift towards smaller shop formats continues McBride HH sales +5% (excluding major contract loss now recovered) France Slight retail growth, food inflation HH categories lower by 1%, with PL losing further 6% Impact evident across all key accounts Ongoing intense brander promotions HH categories shifting towards high end (Eco, Bio, ) range, bulk lower end falling Some evidence of retail shift to favour PL; opportunity for new cooperation McBride HH PL H1 lower by 6.4%; aligned with market development Market value evolution; sources: Kantar, Nielsen, GfK 4

Market development Personal Care & Aerosols UK Overall growth with PL taking market share from branders Price deflation still present driving volume growth over value Growth mixed by category: positive in Personal Wash and Hair Liquids; negative in Mouthwash and Shave Aerosols: negative growth from price and weaker demand for the format Aerosols: significant margin pressure also from raw materials McBride liquid sales showing growth, aerosols in decline France Market under severe pressure across most categories: Shave -6.2%, Deodorant -5.5% price ahead of volume Brands recovering market share versus PL, further intensified by retailer competition Overall trend for reduced consumption combined with increasing chemophobia Growth of Eco and Bio alternatives and homemade options McBride sales lower especially in aerosols, flat in liquids Source: Kantar Worldpanel 5

Competitive environment Sales price deflation still evident but signs of flattening out Increasing cost pressures, leading to reduced customer offer: service levels quality of product performance reduced advisory capability stepping away from certain categories or product ranges Some competitors struggling with cost/price environment Germany in particular has seen financial distress in HH suppliers 6

Performance Household H1 revenues Household Household +1.8%, -3.4% excluding Danlind m 320 320 310 300 290 280 270 260 250 240 230 284.4 FY17 (reported) 8.4 Foreign exchange 292.8 H1 FY17 (constant currency) 15.2 Danlind 20.0 (23.3) Business won Business lost (4.2) Demand (ROS) (2.5) Price 298.0 H1 FY18 (reported) Stronger Q2 only one region not in growth Rate of sales weak in France and Poland Contract Manufacturing +25% Some limited increases but net pricing still negative 7

Performance PCA H1 revenues PCA European PCA 12.1% lower, mostly volumes m 90 85 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 76.2 H1 FY17 (reported) 1.8 3.4 Foreign exchange 78.0 H1 FY17 (constant currency) Business won (7.0) Business lost (3.9) (0.1) Demand (ROS) Price 70.4 H1 FY18 (reported) Includes 6% reduction from deliberate repair actions Aerosols lower 17%, Liquids +5% Asia revenues +7.3%, mostly Australia 8

Financial results Chris Smith 9

Financial headlines Revenues 2.2% higher at 368.4m First half adjusted EBITA 15.8m, 31% lower than the strong first half of last financial year, ROS lower by 2.0% Gross margins lower by 2.7%, mostly cost pressures ROCE 20.6% (: 28.0%) 35% reduction in underlying interest costs, impact of Group refinancing Adjusted tax rate down to 30.2% (: 30.8%) Payment to shareholders increase of 7% to 1.5p (: 1.4p) Exceptional items of 9.0m, mostly PCA sale of Czech skincare business, net book loss 1.1m PCA asset impairments 6.2m Danlind goodwill 5.8m Capital expenditure 10.6m (: 6.8m) Working capital ratio up to 12.7% (: 10.7%), Danlind impact Net debt at 122.8m (30 June : 75.7m) Danlind acquisition 35.7m 10

Income statement Revenue m Adjusted EBITA by segment m Gross profit % 370.8 353.6 368.4 27.4 24.6 22.0 36.8% 35.8% 34.1% 2016/17 /18 H1 H2 (Constant currency) 1.0-1.8-2.3-4.5-3.6-3.9 H1 2016/17 H2 2016/17 H1 /18 HH PCA Corporate (Constant currency) H1 2016/17 FY 2016/17 H1 /18 Headline revenues +2.2%, underlying -4.7% Danlind included from Q2 PCA European revenues -12.1% Aerosols down, liquids flat Asia +7.3% Raw materials impact 4% Danlind dilution 11

Income statement Labour costs % of revenue and overhead % of gross profit Underlying finance charges m Tax rate % Adjusted diluted earnings per share (p) 85.2% 87.4% 31.0% 31.0% 19.0% 19.0% 83.6% 82.7% 19.9% 19.7% 3.4 3.5 2.2 30.0% 7.4 5.7 5.2 FY 2015/16 FY 2016/17 H1 /18 2016/17 /18 FY 2015/16 FY 2016/17 H1 /18 2016/17 /18 Labour cost % of revenue Excluding Danlind acquisition Overheads % of gross profit Excluding Danlind acquisition H1 H2 H1 H2 Postponed efficiency measures Labour inflation vs flat sales prices Interest benefit from June refinancing Strategic tax review completed EPS benefit from lower tax and interest Interim payment to shareholders 1.5 pence 12

Balance sheet and cash flow ROCE % Cash flow from operations m 34.4 Net debt m/debt cover x 26.2 26.3 28.9 total 122.8 35.7 27.7% 23.4% 24.0% 20.6% FY 2015/16 FY 2016/17 H1 /18 ROCE Excluding Danlind acquisition 14.3 2015/16 2016/17 /18 H1 H2 90.9 1.7 82.9 1.4 75.7 1.2 87.1 Jun 16 Dec 16 Jun 17 Dec 17 Net debt Danlind acquisition Debt cover 1.6 2.3 Excluding Danlind acquisition Danlind dilution Trailing twelve months One off H1 payments Trading working capital Covenants ample headroom 13

Other financials Customer service levels % Capex m Group pension liability m 97.7% 99.2% 98.8% 97.8% 95.0% 13.8 0.78 43.6 42.2 0.77 10.6 0.77 4.5 7.7 6.8 32.3 32.9 0.74 0.73 37.2 H1 2015/16 2016/17 H2 /18 H1 2015/16 2016/17 /18 H2 2015/16 2016/17 /18 H1 H2 Funding ratio Industry wide haulage delays Poland/Czech labour shortages Capsule investments Asset performance Triennial March 2018 14

Danlind a/s post acquisition update Positive market and customer reaction Broader product and technical impacts Performance since acquisition on track, volumes better Synergy expectations confirmed Integration planning well advanced Acquisition balance sheet goodwill 5.8m Q2 growth +20% tablet volume +26% 15

Inflationary pressures Raw materials RM Index feedstock trends chemicals vs packaging UK and FX post Brexit PCA vs HH Q4 FY16 Q1 FY17 Q2 FY17 Q3 FY17 Q4 FY17 Q1 FY18 Q2 FY18 Total HH PCA Labour inflation and shortage Distribution and freight Oil Brent $ 70 60 50 Tin plate /mt 1,400 1,300 1,200 40 June 2016 Sept Dec 2016 March June Sept Dec 1,100 June 2016 Sept Dec 2016 March June Sept Dec PP ICIS low $ 1,400 1,300 1,200 Test liner WCE /mt 600 550 500 1,100 June 2016 Sept Dec 2016 March June Sept Dec 450 June 2016 Sept Dec 2016 March June Sept Dec 16

Strategy actions Rik De Vos 17

Reminder Repair, Prepare, Grow Time horizon by calendar year Strategy and objectives unchanged Repair phase concluded Prepare phase in progress Accelerated Growth phase 2016 2018 2019 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Repair Prepare Define and launch the five-year growth plan Define and launch the supporting asset development programme Upgrade organisational skills and capabilities, emphasis on commercial acumen Clarify and implement PCA improvements Grow Deliver the discount and retail channel growth Identify and develop the Contract Manufacturing business Monitor tactical and/or strategic M&A opportunities 18

Prepare phase challenges Prepare McBride will invest into its manufacturing assets and optimise its warehousing and distribution network. We will align the new organisational set-up aiming to institutionalise our new way of working with our people. We will provide a clear way forward for identified sub-optimal customer/ categories and products. 1 Household and CoMan growth 2 Category development 3 Profitability: margin management 4 Underperforming businesses PCA Europe 19

Prepare phase actions 1 Household and CoMan growth Household Growth evident from Q2, all but one region in growth Competitive weakness resulting in structural growth in key categories, especially Tablets, Laundry Liquids and Capsules Danlind providing immediate growth access through geographic and product synergies Delivery of annualised growth prioritised over continuous improvement and structural change projects Contract Manufacturing Good traction on growing the CoMan business (H1 HH +25%) three new contracts/customers established in H1 increased interest in our key categories of Auto Dishwash and Capsules cross selling of McBride capability from contracts for key categories upgraded ranges such as Fabric Conditioner Branders appointing senior directors solely responsible for outsourcing activity Household growth by quarter underlying 1 0-1 -2 % -3-4 -5-6 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 Q1 18 Q2 18 20

Prepare phase actions 2 Category development Key categories Auto Dishwash tablets Laundry Capsules Fabric Conditioner Laundry Capsules Volumes +20% Production consolidation completed New line installed Additional line ordered New asset footprint to provide 1/2/3 chamber options Auto Dishwash Q2 +5%, H2 anticipated 23% Danlind impact positive New line installation UK Performance improvements Leading German consumer testing Fabric Conditioner Volumes +16% Consumer experience Focus on simplification Packaging 21

Prepare phase actions 3 Profitability: margin management PCA business challenged by unequal cost pressures Household margins: double impact of inflation and some price deflation Four initiatives cost efficiency projects, further simplification and production efficiency structural improvements in warehouse and distribution technical development of more cost competitive solutions matching performance further purchasing actions First three actions on hold in support of the growth wave arriving in H2 Pricing initiatives in preparation, market realising inflation is coming, mixed reactions 22

Prepare phase diagnostic: PCA Europe 4 Underperforming businesses PCA Europe Market development not supportive flat to negative growth with some pockets of opportunity increasing legal and environmental requirements strong concentration of sales in UK and France price deflation driven both by retail and branders pressure McBride only active in PL and CoMan; no portfolio benefits of B/C brands Raw material pressures more intense in PCA due to specific product needs high proportion of UK in total PCA business currency effects Apart from UK, sentiment towards PL in PCA is declining in favour of brands 23

Prepare phase actions 4 Underperforming businesses PCA Europe 1. PCA Repair phase In line with Household RPG strategy, parallel programme was initiated in PCA Substantial reduction in customer, category and SKU complexity completed, sales loss of 6% Compensating cost measures delivered with an overall improvement in P&L Supporting investments resulted into better plant efficiency and product costing 2. PCA structural transformation plan Since the Repair programme, now evident that the size to scale opportunity is not as great as in HH requiring a more fundamental approach Disposal of skincare activities in Czech (Brno) Expect to now establish two standalone business units PC and A: few synergies Define and implement for PC and A a structural and sustainable business and asset configuration 24

Outlook Rik De Vos 25

Outlook 1. Second half focus on Household growth and PCA recovery 2. PCA Europe performance 3. PCA Europe accelerated recovery plan 4. Danlind integration progressing well 5. Cost and margin pressures into H2 6. Investment programme on track 7. Medium-term financial target unchanged 26

Appendices 1. Income statement 2. Segmental reporting 3. Exceptional items 4. Balance sheet 5. Cash flow 6. Use of cash 7. Funding headroom 27

Appendix 1: income statement Constant currency (1) H1 /18 H1 2016/17 H1 2016/17 m m Y/Y m Y/Y Revenue 368.4 360.6 2.2% 370.8 (0.6%) Gross profit 125.7 132.7 (5.3%) 136.5 (7.9%) Gross margin 34.1% 36.8% (2.7 ppts) 36.8% (2.7 ppts) Distribution costs (24.3) (23.8) 2.1% (24.6) (1.2%) Administration costs (85.6) (86.0) (0.5%) (88.0) (2.7%) EBITA (2) 15.8 22.9 (31.0%) 23.9 (33.9%) Net financing costs: borrowings (1.7) (2.9) (41.4%) (3.0) (43.3%) pension (0.5) (0.5) (0.5) Adjusted profit before taxation (3) 13.6 19.5 (30.3%) 20.4 (33.3%) Taxation (4.1) (6.0) (31.7%) (6.3) (34.9%) Adjusted profit after taxation (3) 9.5 13.5 (29.6%) 14.1 (32.6%) Adjusted diluted earnings per share (p) (3) 5.2 7.4 (29.7%) Amortisation 0.4 0.4 Exceptional items 9.0 9.0 Unwind of discount on contingent consideration 0.1 (0.1) Unwind of discount on provisions 0.2 0.2 Taxation effective rate 30% 31% (1 ppts) (1) Comparatives translated at 31 December exchange rates. (2) Adjustments were made for the amortisation of intangible assets and exceptional items. (3) Adjustments were made for the amortisation of intangible assets, exceptional items, non-cash financing costs from unwind of discount on initial recognition of contingent consideration; unwind of discount on provisions and any related tax. 28

Appendix 2: segmental reporting Revenue Constant currency H1 /18 H1 2016/17 H1 2016/17 m m Y/Y m Y/Y UK 80.6 79.7 1.1% 79.7 1.1% North 96.7 96.0 0.7% 99.9 (3.2%) South 40.8 39.2 4.1% 40.7 0.2% East 64.7 69.5 (6.9%) 72.5 (10.8%) Danlind 15.2 n/a n/a Household 298.0 284.4 4.8% 292.8 1.8% PCA 70.4 76.2 (7.6%) 78.0 (9.7%) Group 368.4 360.6 2.2% 370.8 (0.6%) Trading profit Household 22.0 26.5 (17.0%) 27.4 (19.7%) PCA (2.3) 0.9 (355.6%) 1.0 (330.0%) Corporate (3.9) (4.5) (13.3%) (4.5) (13.3%) Group 15.8 22.9 (31.0%) 23.9 (33.9%) ROS Household 7.4% 9.3% (1.9ppts) 9.4% (2.0ppts) PCA (3.3%) 1.2% (4.5ppts) 1.3% (4.6ppts) Corporate n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a Group 4.3% 6.4% (2.1ppts) 6.4% (2.1ppts) 29

Appendix 3: exceptional items H1 /18 H1 2016/17 m m PCA strategic review 7.1 Danlind acquisition costs 0.5 Czech Republic based skincare business at Brno 1.1 Total charged to operating profit 8.7 Danlind banking refinancing 0.3 Total charged to consolidated income statement 9.0 30

Appendix 4: balance sheet 31 Dec 31 Dec 2016 m m Y/Y Goodwill and other intangible assets 27.7 20.3 36.5% Property, plant and equipment 151.6 136.4 11.1% Other non-current assets 13.0 26.2 (50.4%) Working capital 50.1 26.2 91.2% Net other debtors/(creditors) (4.9) (4.8) 2.1% Provisions Pension Non-current liabilities Net debt (4.3) (5.6) (23.2%) (37.2) (43.6) (14.7%) (9.1) (7.4) 23.0% (122.8) (82.9) 48.1% Net assets 64.1 64.8 1.1% Average capital employed 167.3 148.2 12.9% ROCE 20.6% 28.0% (7.4ppts) Working capital % of sales 6.9% 3.8% 3.1ppts 31

Appendix 5: cash flow H1 /18 H1 2016/17 Y/Y m m m Adjusted operating profit 15.8 22.9 (7.1) Depreciation 9.7 9.7 Share-based payments 0.7 1.2 (0.5) Additional cash funding of pension scheme (1.5) (1.5) Operating cash flow before movements in working capital 24.7 32.3 (7.6) Movement in working capital (10.4) 2.1 (12.5) Cash generated from operations 14.3 34.4 (20.1) Capital expenditure (12.7) (7.4) (5.3) Operating cash flow 1.6 27.0 (25.4) Exceptional cash flow Interest paid Redemption of B shares Taxation paid (2.3) (1.5) (0.8) (1.6) (2.8) 1.2 (5.0) (4.2) (0.8) (2.6) (2.6) Debt acquired with Danlind (25.3) (25.3) Acquisition of Danlind (10.4) (10.4) Other items (0.4) (1.1) 0.7 Net cash flow (46.0) 14.8 (60.8) Net debt at beginning of year (75.7) (90.9) 15.2 Currency translation differences (1.1) (6.8) 5.7 Net debt at end of period (122.8) (82.9) (39.9) 32

Appendix 6: use of cash 70 60 50 Danlind acquisition 35.7 10.4 Acquisition of Danlind Foreign exchange 1.1 Movement in net debt m 40 25.3 Debt acquired with Danlind 47.1 30 20 10 Cash generated from operations Cash utilisation total 24.6 2.3 1.6 2.6 12.7 Exceptionals Financing cost Taxation Capital expenditure 14.3 0 5.0 0.4 Payments to shareholders Other items 7 33

Appendix 7: funding headroom 31 Dec Committed Facility headroom m m m Committed facilities: revolving facilities (June 2022) 155.3 (101.5) 53.8 invoice discounting facilities 47.2 (34.9) 12.3 other loans 1.7 (1.7) 204.2 (138.1) 66.1 Uncommitted facilities 70.8 (15.2) (15.2) Total facilities 275.0 (153.3) 50.9 Cash and cash equivalents 29.6 29.6 Other 0.9 Net debt (122.8) 80.5 34