L&T Finance Holdings BUY

Similar documents
Bajaj FinServ BUY. Solid quarter led by financing business. 17 October 2017 India NBFC Result Update

Federal Bank BUY. Stable quarter, NII growth surprises. 17 July 2018 India Private Sector Banks Company Update

City Union Bank BUY. Operationally Steady. 28 January 2019 India Private Sector Banks Company Update

Asset Management. SEBI notifies significant changes to TER structure. 18 September 2018 India Asset Management Sector Report

Repco Home Finance REPCO IN

IndusInd Bank BUY. Stable show; soft topline a temporary blip. 11 January 2018 India Private Sector Banks Company Update

M&M Financial BUY. Asset quality improvement to boost RoA going forward. 14 September 2017 India NBFC Company Update

Dalmia Bharat DBEL IN

HDFC Bank BUY. Stable quarter; loan growth a tad soft. 22 April 2018 India Private Sector Banks Company Update

Bharat Electronics BUY

Central Depository Services

Indo Count Industries BUY

Gateway Distriparks BUY

Central Depository Services Ltd BUY

UPL Ltd BUY. A consistent outperformer in a challenging industry. 30 April 2018 India Chemicals Company Update

JM Financial Institutional Securities Limited Page 2. Idea Cellular 2 January Source: JM Financial. [a] As per SEBI formula.

Cummins India BUY. Buoyed by exports, margins post positive surprise. 13 August 2018 India Industrials Company Update

Thermax HOLD. Cost pressures likely to sustain. 21 May 2018 India Industrials Company Update

Gujarat State Petro. HOLD

Tata Steel BUY. Balance sheet discipline to determine stock performance. 13 August 2018 India Metals and Mining Company Update

Schaeffler India BUY. Merging all India businesses into listed entity: A first by an MNC. 31 August 2017 India Industrials Company Update

Coal India BUY. Adj. PAT +42% YoY; FSA realisation +19% QoQ. 31 May 2018 India Utilities Result Update

Techno Electric HOLD. Slowing T&D investments take a toll on order book. 30 May 2018 India Industrials Rating Downgrade

Phoenix Mills BUY. Stable operations; Chennai Mall back on track. 15 February 2018 India Real Estate Company Update

Indian Oil HOLD. 4Q18 Result: Margin gain on operational efficiency. 22 May 2018 India Oil and Gas Company Update

TTK Prestige BUY. Steady growth momentum (ex-kerala) 24 October 2018 India Consumer Durables Rating Upgrade

Titan Company BUY. Recounting September 2018 India Consumer Company Update

Colgate-Palmolive India HOLD

Tata Steel BUY. Operationally in-line; Europe disappoints. 30 October 2017 India Metals and Mining Company Update

86.6% 83.0% Comments Multiple Per share value. Core RoE % 18% 19% 20% 5% % %

Tata Motors BUY. 4QFY18: JLR subdued; standalone gains traction. 24 May 2018 India Automobiles Company Update

NTPC BUY. 2Q18 Core RoE at 22% on adj. profits; 2.6GW commercialised. 13 November 2017 India Utilities Company Update

IndusInd Bank BUY. Announces BHAFIN merger we like the deal. 15 October 2017 India Private Sector Banks Company Update

Hindustan Unilever HOLD

Bajaj Corp. BUY. Disappointing quarter. 11 January 2018 India Consumer Company Update

Zee Entertainment HOLD

Havells India BUY. Future Ready -FY18 AR Analysis. 27 June 2018 India Consumer Durables Company Update

Colgate-Palmolive India HOLD

Bharat Forge HOLD. 4QFY18: Healthy quarter. 22 May 2018 India Auto Ancillaries Company Update

Mahindra & Mahindra BUY

Ambuja Cement HOLD. Muted volume growth a concern. 4 May 2018 India Cement Company Update

Key estimate revision. Financial summary. Year

Key estimate revision. Financial summary. Year

Exhibit 4. Sales volume assumptions. JM Financial Institutional Securities Limited Page 2. Hindustan Zinc 23 October 2017

Textile. Export data - a mixed bag; higher raw material prices impact 2Q margins. 08 December 2017 India Textile Sector Report

Dr Reddys Labs SELL. Expectedly a weak quarter

Eicher Motors BUY. The Twins are here: Ride it like you stole it (at a bargain) 26 September 2018 India Automobiles Company Update

Punjab National Bank

Financial summary. Year

Hindustan Unilever HOLD

Manappuram Finance (MGFL IN) Healthy operating performance

Bajaj Finance Limited (BFL) NBFC. BUY Rating as per Large Cap 12 months investment period RETAIL EQUITY RESEARCH

Textile. Market share gains a huge relief amid currency/regulatory woes. 18 August 2017 India Textile Sector Report

Aditya Birla Fashion & Retail BUY

Equitas Holdings. Rating: Target price: ABV: Target CMP. Rating. Rs Rs. 226 BUY

City Union Bank BUY. 24 February 2016 INR82

Manappuram Finance (MGFL IN) Growth picks up in gold loan; Microfinance drive profitability

Marico HOLD. No major incremental GPM dent despite 17% QoQ rise in copra costs. 30 October 2017 India Consumer Company Update

Federal Bank BUY. Performance Highlights. Target Price. 1QFY2018 Result Update Banking. Stock Info Sector

Ujjivan Financial Services Ltd.: Q3FY18 Result Update

LIC Housing Finance. Source: Company Data; PL Research

Result Update. Sterling Tools. Buy

Capital First. Continuing to grow strong. Source: Company Data; PL Research

Adani Ports & SEZ Rating: Target price: EPS:

BUY CMP (Rs.) 297 Target (Rs.) 385 Potential Upside 30%

Kalpataru Power. Rating: Target price: EPS: Rating CMP. Target BUY. Rs Rs.256

Tata Consultancy Services Ltd.

Larsen & Toubro BUY. Profit +34% YoY as margins expand but order inflows decline. 13 November 2017 India Infrastructure Company Update

Visaka Industries Ltd

HFC NEUTRAL. Performance Highlights CMP. `678 Target Price - 1QFY2013 Result Update HFC. Investment Period - Key financials

Indostar Capital Finance

Result Update. Atul Auto. Accumulate

Hindustan Unilever HOLD

Key estimate revision. Financial summary. Year FY14 391,088 45,198 34, FY15E 354,262 35,426 23,

HDFC Bank. BUY CMP (Rs.) 1,807 Target (Rs.) 2,000 Potential Upside 11%

Ujjivan Financial Services Ltd Banking/Finance. Accumulate RETAIL EQUITY RESEARCH

Ahluwalia Contracts (India)

Fineotex Chemical Ltd

MCX Ltd. Rating: Target price: EPS: Tepid volume growth continues. Target. Rating CMP. Rs. 1,080 SELL. Rs. 1,176

Century Plyboards (India)

HOLD. Margins to improve from Q2 AMBUJA CEMENTS. Target Price: Rs 232. Other highlights

HOLD. Deleveraging story playing out RAMCO CEMENTS. Target Price: Rs 503. Q4 performance

Karur Vysya Bank (KVB) KVB IN; KVB.BO

MRF. Result Update. Accumulate

HCC BUY. Infrastructure April 10, QIP step in the right direction EVENT UPDATE. India Research. Bloomberg: HCC IN Reuters: HCNS.

L&T Finance Holding Ltd. (LTFH)

HDFC Bank BUY. Operating performance strong; improved NIM. CMP `2,268 Target Price `2,500. Q4FY2019 Result Update Banking. 3-year price chart

BUY. At inflection point NTPC. Target Price: Rs 197. Key highlights. Financial summary (Standalone) Y/E March FY16 FY17 FY18E FY19E.

LIC Housing Finance BUY. Performance Highlights. CMP Target Price `532 `630. 3QFY2017 Result Update HFC. 3-Year Daily Price Chart

Axis Bank Ltd. For private circulation only. Volume No.. III Issue No October 08, 2018

Axis Bank BUY. CMP Target Price `620 `750. Update Bank. Earnings to normalize with stabilizing credit costs. 3-year price chart.

Federal Bank Ltd. Banking/Finance. Accumulate RETAIL EQUITY RESEARCH

Mahindra & Mahindra. Source: Company Data; PL Research

Century Plyboards (India)

Can Fin Homes BUY. 23 September 2015 INR821

ICICI Bank BUY. Performance Highlights. CMP Target Price `343 `460. Q3FY2019 Result Update Banking. 3-year price chart. Exhibit 1: Key Financials

Ujjivan Financial Services Ltd Banking/Finance BUY RETAIL EQUITY RESEARCH

HDFC Bank BUY. Performance Highlights. CMP `2,145 Target Price `2,500. Q3FY2019 Result Update Banking. 3-year price chart. Key financials (Standalone)

HDFC Bank BUY. Performance Highlights. CMP `1,965 Target Price `2,350. Q2FY2019 Result Update Banking. 3-year price chart. Exhibit 1: Key Financials

L&T Finance Holdings

Transcription:

5 December 217 India NBFC Company Update L&T Finance Holdings BUY Attractive risk reward opportunity Over the past month, LTFH s stock price has corrected by 23% and we believe the CMP provides an attractive entry point due to: i) Improving RoE trends - profitability over the last 6 quarters has improved with reported ROE improving from 9.7% in to 15.2% despite the company providing for voluntary provisioning of INR 8.9bn and accelerated provisioning of INR 5.3bn; ii) While PSU banks recap would increase competitive intensity in infrastructure/lap, LTFH would benefit from the increase in down-selling opportunities; and iii) The company has hired senior staff from Bajaj Finance and Piramal Finance for its credit analytics and housing team. We believe LTFH is on track to achieve top quartile (18%+) ROE by FY19E, driven by i) increasing share of focused profitable business; ii) improving capital allocation by exiting/partial sell-down of its non-core assets/unprofitable businesses and redeploying it to RoE accretive businesses; iii) focus on fee income through sell-down and DCM operations; and iv) focus on cost efficiencies by streamlining businesses and digitising operations and increasing profitability contribution by the investment management business. We forecast earnings CAGR of 37% over FY17-2E with RoA/RoE improving from 1.35%/12% in FY17 to 2.1%/21% in FY2E. We value LTFH at 3.4x Mar 2, implying a Mar 19 TP of INR 235. Continuous improvement in profitability over the last 6 quarters: LTFH has seen improving profitability trends with its RoA/RoEs increasing from 1.3%/9.7% in 1Q17 to 1.9%/15.2% in 2Q18 driven by a combination of: a) strong 23% growth in its focus business and rundown of non-core business (declined from 7.6% in 3Q16 to 3.5% in 2Q18 of total portfolio); b) increase in fee income driven by higher sell-downs; and c) reduction in cost ratios, which declined from 2.4% in 3Q16 to 1.8% in 2Q18. Additionally, the company has strengthened its balance sheet by increasing its PCR from 22.5% in 3QFY16 (on 12DPD) to 43% in 2Q18 despite migrating to 9DPD. We expect return ratios to further improve and expect RoE to reach top quartile (18%+) by FY19E. Best placed to capture down selling opportunities: Given the larger ticket size of infra loans and the govt. s focus towards infra, we believe PSBs would focus on this segment after the recap. However, we expect LTFH with excellent structuring capabilities and superior underwriting skills to benefit given a) opportunities for sell-downs would increase and will boost their fee income and b) increased availability of banks credit. Further upside can come from capital accretive dilutions and stake sale in AMC: As of 1HFY18, tier I ratio stood at 13.3%, 14.1% and 9.7% for L&T Finance, L&T Infra finance and L&T Housing Finance respectively. We believe the company could raise capital over the next 12 months given strong growth outlook in each of the business. At CMP, the stock trades at 2.8x book FY19E. Any capital raise at the current multiple would be capital accretive and would provide further upside to the stock. Assuming dilution, the implied multiple is 2.3x book FY19E (Exhibit 1). Additionally, any stake sale in the AMC business could provide further upside to the stock price AUM is up from INR 225bn in FY15 to INR 527bn as of Sep 17. Strong earnings CAGR of 37% over FY17-2E; RoA/RoE to witness significant improvement of 8/88 bps over FY17-2E: We expect strong earnings (37% CAGR over FY17-2E) and expect RoA/RoE to improve to 2.1%/21%, respectively, in FY2E vs. 1.35%/12% in FY17. We value LTFH at 3.4x Mar 2, a implying Mar 19 TP of INR 235. Financial Summary Source: Company data, JM Financial. Note: Valuations as of 4/Dec/217 JM Financial Institutional Securities Limited (INR mn) Y/E March FY16A FY17A FY18E FY19E FY2E Net Profit 6,866 9,18 13,374 18,894 24,543 Net Profit (YoY) (%) -4.4% 33.7% 45.7% 41.3% 29.9% Assets (YoY) (%) 21. 13.7% 19.1% 2.9% 2.8% ROA (%) 1.2% 1.3% 1.7% 2. 2.1% ROE (%) 1.2% 12.2% 15.6% 18.8% 2.9% EPS 3.9 5.2 7.4 1.4 13.5 EPS (YoY) (%) -6.3% 32.9% 4.6% 41.3% 29.9% P/E (x) 42. 31.6 22.4 15.9 12.2 BV 41 45 51 59 7 BV (YoY) (%) 1.7% 9.6% 13.6% 15.9% 17.8% P/BV (x) 4.2 3.67 3.23 2.79 2.37 Karan Singh CFA FRM karan.uberoi@jmfl.com Tel: (91 22) 663382 Nikhil Walecha nikhil.walecha@jmfl.com Tel: (91 22) 663327 Bunny Babjee bunny.babjee@jmfl.com Tel: (+91 22) 6633263 Sameer Bhise sameer.bhise@jmfl.com Tel: (91 22) 6633489 Jayant Kharote jayant.kharote@jmfl.com Tel: (91 22) 663399 S Parameswaran S.Parameswaran@jmfl.com +91 22 663375 Recommendation and Price Target Current Reco. BUY Previous Reco. BUY Current Price Target (12M) 235 Upside/(Downside) 42.8% Previous Price Target 19 Change 23.7% Key Data LTFH IN Current Market Price Market cap (bn) INR165 INR3.1/US$4.7 Free Float 28% Shares in issue (mn) 1,755.7 Diluted share (mn) 3-mon avg daily val (mn) INR1,556.5/US$24.2 52-week range 214/81 Sensex/Nifty 32,87/1,128 INR/US$ 64.4 Price Performance % 1M 6M 12M Absolute -17.2 28.3 96. Relative* -15.1 22. 56.4 * To the BSE Sensex JM Financial Research is also available on: Bloomberg - JMFR <GO>, Thomson Publisher & Reuters S&P Capital IQ and FactSet Please see Appendix I at the end of this report for Important Disclosures and Disclaimers and Research Analyst Certification.

Exhibit 1. Valuation table assuming capital dilution Pre-Dilution Post-Dilution BPS (FY19e) 59.1 71. Implied P/B (FY19e) 2.8x 2.3x Exhibit 2. LTFH: 2Q18 Continous improvement in ROE ROE (%) 2Q'17 1Q'18 2Q'18 YoY (%) QoQ (%) Rural Business 23.9% 22.3% 25.3% 1.4% 3. Housing Business 22. 3.4% 3. 8.1% -.4% Wholesale Business 1.2% 1.2% 1.1% -.1% -.1% Focus Business 14.5% 15.8% 16.2% 1.7%.4% De-focused Business -24.5% -49. 1.6% 26. 5.5% Lending Businesses 11.5% 13.5% 15.8% 4.2% 2.3% Other Businesses 1.1% 1.4% 5.1% -5. -5.3% LTFH Consol. (Reported) 11.4% 13.2% 14.7% 3.3% 1.5% LTFH Consol. (To Equity Shareholders) 11.7% 13.6% 15.2% 3.4% 1.6% Exhibit 3. LTFH: RoE for different business segments LTFH - ROE (%) FY17 FY18E FY19E FY2E Focused business 15.3% 16.2% 17. 18.5% - Rural 23. 24.1% 25.5% 26.7% - Housing 23.4% 22.7% 21.1% 21.4% - Wholesale 11.4% 12.2% 13. 14.6% Lending 12.5% 15. 16.1% 17.7% Consolidated business 12.2% 13.4% 16. 18.9% Exhibit 4. LTFH: Contribution by subsidiaries LTFH - Contribution by subs FY17 FY18E FY19E FY2E Loans (Rs bn) 616 745 95 1,91 Rural Finance 15% 16% 17% 17% Wholesale Finance 62% 62% 62% 61% Housing Finance 19% 21% 22% PBT (Rs bn) 9.5 13.6 19.9 28.1 Rural Finance 46% 41% 38% 37% Wholesale Finance 78% 69% 57% 52% Housing Finance 44% 41% 35% 32% Investment Management 5% 5% 7% 7% JM Financial Institutional Securities Limited Page 2

Exhibit 5. RoA(%) and RoE(%) for Focused business Reported RoA (%) - Focused business Adj. RoA (%) - Focused business* 3. 2.6% 2.2% 1.8% 1.4% 1. 4Q16 1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18, *adjusted for voluntary provisions Exhibit 6. Adjusted RoA(%) and RoE(%) for Focused business Reported RoE (%) - Focused business Adj. RoE (%) - Focused business* 24% 22% 18% 16% 14% 12% 4Q16 1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18, *adjusted for voluntary provisions Rural Finance: Financial summary Exhibit 7. LTFH Rural finance Financial Summary INR. Mn NII 9,79 11,41 13,583 17,23 21,245 NII (YoY) (%) 16.5% 19. 26.7% 23.5% Net Profit 2,12 2,9 3,654 4,969 6,754 Net Profit (YoY) (%) 36.8% 26. 36. 35.9% Total Loans 85,9 98,1 125,79 158,448 194,87 Loans (YoY) (%) 15.3% 28.2% 26. 22.9% ROA (%) 2.54% 2.96% 3.9% 3.35% 3.7 ROE (%) 18.5% 23. 24.1% 25.5% 26.7% Gross NPL (INR mn) 7,27 7,69 1,79 12,684 14,568 Gross NPL (%) 8.4% 7.7% 8.2% 7.7% 7.2% Net NPL (INR mn) 5,92 5,38 6,425 6,976 7,575 Net NPL (%) 7. 5.5% 5.1% 4.4% 3.9% Provision Coverage (%) 18.6% 3. 4. 45. 48. Rural Finance: Annual trends Exhibit 8. Rural Finance: Trend in loan growth 25 2 15 1 5 Rural Finance Loan book (INR bn) 98 126 YoY Growth (%) (RHS) 35% 158 195 FY17 FY18E FY19E FY2E 3 25% 15% 5% Exhibit 9. Rural Finance: Trend in NII 25 2 15 1 5 9.8 11.4 13.6 17.1 21.1 NII (INR bn) YoY Growth (%) 5 4 3 JM Financial Institutional Securities Limited Page 3

Exhibit 1. Rural Finance: Trend in margins 13. 12.5% 12. 11.5% 11. 1.5% 12.6% NIM (%) Spread (%) 12.5% 11.3% 11.4% 12.1% 12.1% 12. 11. 1.7% 1.5% Exhibit 11. Rural Finance: Trends in Cost to Assets 5. 4.5% 4. 3.5% 4.7% 3.7% Cost to Assets (%) 3.8% 3.8% 3.8% 1. 3. Exhibit 12. Rural Finance: Trends in asset quality 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% Gross NPLs (%) Net NPLs (%) Coverage (RHS) (%) 8.41% 7.66% 8.23% 7.73% 7.22% 5 45% 4 35% 3 25% 15% Exhibit 13. Rural Finance: Trends in credit costs 6. 5. 4. 3. 2. 1.. 4.3% 2.9% Credit Cost (%) 3.2% 2.5% 2.1% Exhibit 14. Retail Finance: Trend in earnings Exhibit 15. Retail Finance: Trend in return ratios 7. 6. 5. 4. 3. 2. 1.. 2.1 Net Profit (INR bn) 2.9 3.4 YoY Growth (RHS) 6.4 4.7 45% 4 35% 3 25% 15% 5% 4. 3.2% 2.4% 1.6%.8%. 2.5% ROA (%) 3. 3.1% ROE (%) (RHS) 3.4% 3.7% 28% 26% 24% 22% 18% 16% JM Financial Institutional Securities Limited Page 4

Housing Finance: Financial summary Exhibit 16. Housing Finance Financial Summary INR Mn NII 3,38 5,535 6,774 8,462 1,737 NII (YoY) (%) 63.8% 22.4% 24.9% 26.9% Net Profit 1,27 2,75 3,678 4,619 5,961 Net Profit (YoY) (%) 116.5% 33.7% 25.6% 29.1% Total Loans 97,9 124,94 159,883 22,79 253,934 Loans (YoY) (%) 27.6% 28. 26.4% 25.7% ROA (%) 1.6% 2.3% 2.4% 2.4% 2.5% ROE (%) 15.4% 23.4% 22.7% 21.1% 21.4% Gross NPL (INR mn) 51 79 1,164 1,642 2,245 Gross NPL (%).5%.6%.7%.8%.9% Net NPL (INR mn) 3 39 582 788 1,1 Net NPL (%).3%.3%.4%.4%.4% Provision Coverage (%) 41.2% 5.6% 5. 52. 55. Housing Finance: Annual trends Exhibit 17. Housing Finance: Trend in loan growth Loan (INR bn) YoY Growth (%) 3 274.3 25 216.1 2 164.7 15 124.9 97.9 1 5 33% 32% 31% 3 29% 28% 27% 26% 25% Exhibit 18. Housing Finance: Trend in NII 16 14 12 1 8 6 4 2 3.4 NII (INR bn) YoY Growth (%) 5.5 8.5 11.1 13.4 7 6 5 4 3 Exhibit 19. Housing Finance: Trend in margins 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 4.5% 3.6% NIM (%) Spread (%) 5. 4.1% 5.9% 5.8% 4.8% 4.5% 5.5% 4.1% JM Financial Institutional Securities Limited Page 5

Exhibit 2. Housing Finance: Trend in cost-assets 2. 1.9 Cost to Assets (%) - L&T Housing Exhibit 21. Housing Finance: Trend in asset quality 1. Gross NPLs (%) Net NPLs (%) Coverage (RHS) (%) 6 1.6% 1.2%.8%.4% 1.32% 1.15% 1.6%.97%.8%.6%.4%.2% 5 4 3.. Exhibit 22. Housing Finance: Trend in earnings 9. 8. 7. 6. 5. 4. 3. 2. 1.. PAT (INR bn) YoY Growth (%) 14 1 1 8 6 4 Exhibit 23. Housing Finance: Trend in return ratios 3.6% 3.2% 2.8% 2.4% 2. 1.6% 1.2%.8%.4%. 1.56% ROA (%) ROE (RHS) (%) 3.43% 3.32% 3.12% 2.31% 32% 3 28% 26% 24% 22% 18% 16% 14% 12% Investment Management: Key Charts Exhibit 24. AUM Mix (INR bn) FMP (INR bn) Fixed Income (INR bn) 45 4 35 3 25 2 15 1 5 111.7 182.6 52.5 45.6 225. Cash/Ultra Short Term (INR bn) Equity (INR bn) 259.5 85.5 13.8 393. 161.1 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 Exhibit 25. AUM Mix Equity and Debt 45 4 35 3 25 2 15 1 5 Equity AUM (INR bn) 35 Debt AUM (INR bn) 35 238 148 139 156 3 2 78 31 21 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 86 13 155 JM Financial Institutional Securities Limited Page 6

Wholesale Finance: Financial summary Exhibit 26. Wholesale Finance Financial Summary INR Mn NII 12,57 13,27 15,293 17,972 21,794 NII (YoY) (%) 5.6% 15.2% 17.5% 21.3% Total Income 14,32 16,26 18,761 22,65 26,75 Total Income (YoY) (%) 13.5% 15.4% 17.6% 21. Net Profit 5,46 5,6 6,96 8,355 1,784 Net Profit (YoY) (%) 2.6% 23.3% 21. 29.1% Total Loans 3,45,8 4,6,45 4,93,113 5,94,166 7,5,547 Loans (YoY) (%) 17.5% 21.3% 2.5% 18.7% ROA (%) 1.52% 1.38% 1.42% 1.43% 1.56% ROE (%) 11.4% 12.2% 13. 14.6% Gross NPL (Rs mn) 12,23 16,42 19,351 22,492 26,83 Gross NPL (%) 3.5% 4. 3.8% 3.7% 3.6% Net NPL (Rs mn) 9,33 8,84 9,675 1,121 1,433 Net NPL (%) 2.7% 2.2% 2. 1.7% 1.5% Provision Coverage (%) 23.7% 46.2% 5. 55. 6. Wholesale Finance: Annual trends Exhibit 27. Wholesale Finance: Trend in loans 8 7 6 5 4 346 Loans (INR Bn.) YoY Growth (%) 73 583 485 46 22% 18% 16% 3 2 1 14% 12% Exhibit 28. Wholesale Finance: Trend in Fee income 35% 3 25% 15% 5% Fee income as % of total Whole segment income Sell down as % of Disbursements 9% 14% 16% 11% 18% 32% 3 32% 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 JM Financial Institutional Securities Limited Page 7

Exhibit 29. Wholesale Finance: Trend in NII 25 2 15 1 5 13 13 NII (INR bn) YoY Growth (%) 15 17 21 24% 16% 12% 8% 4% Exhibit 3. Wholesale Finance: Trend in margins 4.5% 4. 3.5% 3. 2.5% 2. 1.5% 1..5%. 3.92% 3.53% NIM (%) 3.33% 3.17% 3.19% Exhibit 31. Wholesale Finance: Trend in asset quality Exhibit 32. Wholesale Finance: Trend in credit costs Gross NPLs (%) Net NPLs (%) Coverage (RHS) (%) 5. 7 4. 4. 3.5% 3.9% 3.8% 3.6% 6 3. 2.7% 5 2.2% 2. 2. 1.7% 1.5% 4 1. 3. Credit Cost (%) 1.6% 1.44% 1.4% 1.2% 1.11% 1..84%.86%.85%.8%.6%.4%.2%. Exhibit 33. Wholesale Finance: Trend in earnings growth Exhibit 34. Wholesale Finance: Trend in return ratios 12, 1, 8, 6, 4, Net Profit (INR mn) YoY Growth (%) 5,46 5,6 6,294 7,65 9,697 3 25% 15% 2. 1.8% 1.6% 1.4% 1.6% ROA (%) 1.4% 1.3% 1.3% ROE (%) (RHS) 1.4% 14% 13% 12% 11% 2, 5% 1.2% 9% 1. 8% JM Financial Institutional Securities Limited Page 8

LTFH Annual trends Exhibit 35. LTFH: Trend in AUM (INR bn) 1,2 1, 8 6 4 2 458 Loan book (INR bn) YoY Growth (%) 1,18 561 616 742 98 FY15 7 6 5 4 3 Exhibit 36. LTFH: Trend in AUM Mix 1 8 6 4 Defocused Housing Wholesale Rural 3.6% 1.3%.4%.1% 19.1% 21. 22.5% 23.4% 62.2% 61.7% 6.6% 59.9% 15. 16. 16.5% 16.6% FY17 FY18E FY19E FY2E Exhibit 37. LTFH: Trends in NII 6 54 48 42 36 3 24 18 12 6 22.2 NII (INR bn) YoY Growth (%) 54.2 25.3 29.1 37.1 44.6 FY15 6 48% 36% 24% 12% Exhibit 38. LTFH: Trends in Margins NII/AUM 6. 5.5% 5. 4.5% 4. 3.5% 3. 2.5% 2. 4.8% 3.4% NIM (%) Spread (%) 4.6% 4.5% 3.2% 3.3% 4.9% 4.9% 5. 3.8% 3.8% 3.9% FY15 Exhibit 39. LTFH: Trends in Cost to assets Cost to Assets (%) - LTFH 2.5% 2.3% 2.24% 2.21% 2.25% 2.32% 2.15% 2. 1.8% 1.5% 1.3% 1.92% 1.76% 1. FY14 FY15 JM Financial Institutional Securities Limited Page 9

Dec-12 Jun-13 Dec-13 Jun-14 Dec-14 Jun-15 Dec-15 Jun-16 Dec-16 Jun-17 Dec-17 Dec-12 Jun-13 Dec-13 Jun-14 Dec-14 Jun-15 Dec-15 Jun-16 Dec-16 Jun-17 Dec-17 L&T Finance Holdings 5 December 217 Exhibit 4. LTFH: Trend in asset quality 6. 5. 4. 3. 2. 1.. Gross NPLs (%) Net NPLs (%) Coverage (RHS) (%) 1 5. 4.7% 4.4% 4. 8 2.3% 1.3% 3.1% 2.1% 2.9% 2.6% 2.2% 1.8% FY15 6 4 Exhibit 41. LTFH: Trend in credit costs 2.8 2.4 2. 1.6 1..8.4. 1.36% 1.34% Credit Cost (%) 2.33% 2.25% 1.98% 1.78% FY15 Exhibit 42. Trend in earning growth Exhibit 43. Trend in return ratios 28 24 2 16 12 8 4 Net Profit (INR bn) 5.2 6. 6.9 9.2 YoY Growth (%) - RHS 13.4 18.9 24.5 55% 4 25% -5% 3. 2.4% 1.8% 1.2%.6% ROA (%) 1.3% 1.2% 1.2% 1.3% 1.7% ROE (%) (RHS) 2. 2.1% 22% 18% 16% 14% 12% FY14 FY15 -. FY14 FY15 8% Exhibit 44. LTFH: One-year forward P/BV (x) Exhibit 45. LTFH: One-year forward P/E (x) 4.2 3.8 3.4 3. 2.6 2.2 1.8 1.4 1. 1 yr Fwd. P/BV (x) 3 25 2 15 1 5 1 yr Fwd. PE (x) JM Financial Institutional Securities Limited Page 1

Financial Tables (Consolidated) Income Statement (INR mn) Y/E March FY16A FY17A FY18E FY19E FY2E Net Interest Income (NII) 25,262 29,99 37,118 44,641 54,181 Non Interest Income 6,533 9,11 1,441 12,773 14,941 Total Income 31,795 38,28 47,559 57,414 69,123 Operating Expenses 13,129 12,765 14,516 16,386 18,939 Pre-provisioning Profits 18,666 25,444 33,44 41,28 5,184 Loan-Loss Provisions 7,266 15,497 Others Provisions -5 9 17,873 18,92 2,527 Total Provisions 7,81 15,899 17,873 18,92 2,527 PBT 1,856 9,545 15,17 22,126 29,657 Tax 3,99 364 1,796 3,231 5,114 PAT (Pre-Extra ordinaries) 6,866 9,18 13,374 18,894 24,543 Extra ordinaries (Net of Tax) Reported Profits 6,866 9,18 13,374 18,894 24,543 Dividend 2,27 76 2,942 4,157 5,399 Retained Profits 4,839 8,475 1,432 14,738 19,143 Balance Sheet (INR mn) Y/E March FY16A FY17A FY18E FY19E FY2E Equity Capital 17,534 17,557 18,195 18,195 18,195 Reserves & Surplus 54,356 61,342 74,678 89,415 1,8,559 Stock option outstanding 62 4 42 44 46 Borrowed Funds 5,16,157 5,98,111 7,7,788 8,64,141 1,51,918 Deferred tax liabilities 17 24 Preference Shares 12,134 12,134 9,77 7,766 6,213 Current Liabilities & Provisions 37,751 35,928 53,222 64,246 75,638 Total Liabilities 6,38,11 7,25,136 8,63,633 1,43,88 12,6,569 Net Advances 5,6,654 6,16,485 7,42,16 9,7,844 11,8,25 Investments 35,633 6,115 66,127 69,433 72,95 Cash & Bank Balances 4,15 5,944 6,241 5,617 5,55 Loans and Advances 6,463 6,66 6,993 7,342 7,71 Other Current Assets 13,885 15,928 22,388 33,674 46,375 Fixed Assets 6,962 6,188 6,498 6,823 7,164 Miscellaneous Expenditure 6,389 6,389 5,111 4,89 3,271 Deferred Tax Assets 4,1 7,426 8,169 8,986 9,884 Total Assets 6,38,11 7,25,136 8,63,633 1,43,88 12,6,569 Key Ratios Y/E March FY16A FY17A FY18E FY19E FY2E Growth (YoY) (%) Borrowed funds 22.6% 15.9% 18.3% 22.1% 21.7% Advances 22.5% 1. 2.4% 22.3% 22.1% Total Assets 21. 13.7% 19.1% 2.9% 2.8% NII 13.6% 15.2% 27.6% 2.3% 21.4% Non-interest Income 49.3% 39.4% 14.6% 22.3% 17. Operating Expenses 21.9% -2.8% 13.7% 12.9% 15.6% Operating Profits 17.8% 36.3% 29.9% 24.2% 22.3% Core Operating profit 19.4% 2.2% 24.5% 2.7% 2.4% Provisions 18. 13.6% 12.4% 5.8% 8.6% Reported PAT -4.4% 33.7% 45.7% 41.3% 29.9% Yields / Margins (%) Interest Spread 3.21% 3.29% 3.75% 3.81% 3.94% NIM 4.58% 4.49% 4.91% 4.93% 4.96% Profitability (%) ROA 1.18% 1.35% 1.68% 1.98% 2.13% ROE 1.2% 12.2% 15.6% 18.8% 2.9% Cost to Income 41.3% 33.4% 3.5% 28.5% 27.4% Asset quality (%) Gross NPA 3.6% 4.99% 4.74% 4.36% 4.4% LLP.35% 1.31%.6.54%.53% Capital Adequacy (%) Tier I 11.86% 11.45% 12.65% 12.13% 11.83% CAR 15.7% 14.85% 16.5 15.98% 15.69% Dupont Analysis Y/E March FY16A FY17A FY18E FY19E FY2E NII / Assets 4.34% 4.27% 4.67% 4.68% 4.7 Other Income / Assets 1.12% 1.34% 1.31% 1.34% 1.3 Total Income / Assets 5.46% 5.61% 5.99% 6.2% 6. Cost / Assets 2.25% 1.87% 1.83% 1.72% 1.64% PPP / Assets 3. 3.73% 4.16% 4.3 4.36% Provisions / Assets 1.34% 2.33% 2.25% 1.98% 1.78% PBT / Assets 1.86% 1.4 1.91% 2.32% 2.57% Tax rate 36.8% 3.8% 27. 25. 25. ROA 1.18% 1.35% 1.68% 1.98% 2.13% Leverage 8.9 9.2 9.3 9.7 9.9 ROE 1.2% 12.2% 15.6% 18.8% 2.9% Valuations Y/E March FY16A FY17A FY18E FY19E FY2E Shares in Issue 1,753.4 1,755.7 1,819.5 1,819.5 1,819.5 EPS (INR) 3.9 5.2 7.4 1.4 13.5 EPS (YoY) (%) -6.3% 32.9% 4.6% 41.3% 29.9% P/E (x) 42. 31.6 22.4 15.9 12.2 BV (INR) 41 45 51 59 7 BV (YoY) (%) 1.7% 9.6% 13.6% 15.9% 17.8% P/BV (x) 4.2 3.67 3.23 2.79 2.37 DPS (INR) 1.2.4 1.6 2.3 3. Div. yield (%).7%.2% 1. 1.4% 1.8% JM Financial Institutional Securities Limited Page 11

History of Earnings Estimate and Target Price Date FY18E EPS (INR) % Chg. FY19E EPS (INR) % Chg. Target Price 9-Feb-17 6.9 183 % Chg. 11-May-17 7.3 5.8 9.7 158-13.7 28-Jul-17 2.8-61.4 3.9-6.1 2 26.6 Recommendation History JM Financial Institutional Securities Limited Page 12

APPENDIX I JM Financial Institutional Securities Limited Corporate Identity Number: U65192MH1995PLC92522 Member of BSE Ltd. and National Stock Exchange of India Ltd. and Metropolitan Stock Exchange of India Ltd. SEBI Registration Nos.: BSE - INZ112532, NSE - INZ2312536 and MSEI - INZ2612539, Research Analyst INH61 Registered Office: 7th Floor, Cnergy, Appasaheb Marathe Marg, Prabhadevi, Mumbai 4 25, India. Board: +9122 663 33 Fax: +91 22 663 3488 Email: jmfinancial.research@jmfl.com www.jmfl.com Compliance Officer: Mr. Sunny Shah Tel: +91 22 663 3383 Email: sunny.shah@jmfl.com Definition of ratings Rating Meaning Buy Total expected returns of more than 15%. Total expected return includes dividend yields. Hold Price expected to move in the range of downside to 15% upside from the current market price. Sell Price expected to move downwards by more than Research Analyst(s) Certification The Research Analyst(s), with respect to each issuer and its securities covered by them in this research report, certify that: All of the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect his or her or their personal views about all of the issuers and their securities; and No part of his or her or their compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in this research report. Important Disclosures This research report has been prepared by JM Financial Institutional Securities Limited (JM Financial Institutional Securities) to provide information about the company(ies) and sector(s), if any, covered in the report and may be distributed by it and/or its associates solely for the purpose of information of the select recipient of this report. This report and/or any part thereof, may not be duplicated in any form and/or reproduced or redistributed without the prior written consent of JM Financial Institutional Securities. This report has been prepared independent of the companies covered herein. JM Financial Institutional Securities is registered with the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) as a Research Analyst, Merchant Banker and a Stock Broker having trading memberships of the BSE Ltd. (BSE), National Stock Exchange of India Ltd. (NSE) and Metropolitan Stock Exchange of India Ltd. (MSEI). No material disciplinary action has been taken by SEBI against JM Financial Institutional Securities in the past two financial years which may impact the investment decision making of the investor. JM Financial Institutional Securities provides a wide range of investment banking services to a diversified client base of corporates in the domestic and international markets. It also renders stock broking services primarily to institutional investors and provides the research services to its institutional clients/investors. JM Financial Institutional Securities and its associates are part of a multi-service, integrated investment banking, investment management, brokerage and financing group. JM Financial Institutional Securities and/or its associates might have provided or may provide services in respect of managing offerings of securities, corporate finance, investment banking, mergers & acquisitions, broking, financing or any other advisory services to the company(ies) covered herein. JM Financial Institutional Securities and/or its associates might have received during the past twelve months or may receive compensation from the company(ies) mentioned in this report for rendering any of the above services. JM Financial Institutional Securities and/or its associates, their directors and employees may; (a) from time to time, have a long or short position in, and buy or sell the securities of the company(ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company(ies) covered under this report or (c) act as an advisor or lender/borrower to, or may have any financial interest in, such company(ies) or (d) considering the nature of business/activities that JM Financial Institutional Securities is engaged in, it may have potential conflict of interest at the time of publication of this report on the subject company(ies). Neither JM Financial Institutional Securities nor its associates or the Research Analyst(s) named in this report or his/her relatives individually own one per cent or more securities of the company(ies) covered under this report, at the relevant date as specified in the SEBI (Research Analysts) Regulations, 214. The Research Analyst(s) principally responsible for the preparation of this research report and members of their household are prohibited from buying or selling debt or equity securities, including but not limited to any option, right, warrant, future, long or short position issued by company(ies) covered under this report. The Research Analyst(s) principally responsible for the preparation of this research report or their relatives (as defined under SEBI (Research Analysts) Regulations, 214); (a) do not have any financial interest in the company(ies) covered under this report or (b) did not receive any compensation from the company(ies) covered under this report, or from any third party, in connection with this report or (c) do not have any other material conflict of interest at the time of publication of this report. Research Analyst(s) are not serving as an officer, director or employee of the company(ies) covered under this report. While reasonable care has been taken in the preparation of this report, it does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets or developments referred to herein, and JM Financial Institutional Securities does not warrant its accuracy or completeness. JM Financial Institutional Securities may not be in any way responsible for any loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this report. This report is provided for information only and is not an investment advice and must not alone be taken as the basis for an investment decision. The investment discussed or views expressed or recommendations/opinions given herein may not be suitable for all investors. The user assumes the entire risk of any use made of this information. The information contained herein may be changed without notice and JM Financial Institutional Securities reserves the right to make modifications and alterations to this statement as they may deem fit from time to time. JM Financial Institutional Securities Limited Page 13

This report is neither an offer nor solicitation of an offer to buy and/or sell any securities mentioned herein and/or not an official confirmation of any transaction. This report is not directed or intended for distribution to, or use by any person or entity who is a citizen or resident of or located in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction, where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law, regulation or which would subject JM Financial Institutional Securities and/or its affiliated company(ies) to any registration or licensing requirement within such jurisdiction. The securities described herein may or may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to a certain category of investors. Persons in whose possession this report may come, are required to inform themselves of and to observe such restrictions. Persons who receive this report from JM Financial Singapore Pte Ltd may contact Mr. Ruchir Jhunjhunwala (ruchir.jhunjhunwala@jmfl.com) on +65 6422 1888 in respect of any matters arising from, or in connection with, this report. Additional disclosure only for U.S. persons: JM Financial Institutional Securities has entered into an agreement with JM Financial Securities, Inc. ("JM Financial Securities"), a U.S. registered broker-dealer and member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority ("FINRA") in order to conduct certain business in the United States in reliance on the exemption from U.S. broker-dealer registration provided by Rule 15a-6, promulgated under the U.S. Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (the "Exchange Act"), as amended, and as interpreted by the staff of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC") (together "Rule 15a-6"). This research report is distributed in the United States by JM Financial Securities in compliance with Rule 15a-6, and as a "third party research report" for purposes of FINRA Rule 2241. In compliance with Rule 15a-6(a)(3) this research report is distributed only to "major U.S. institutional investors" as defined in Rule 15a-6 and is not intended for use by any person or entity that is not a major U.S. institutional investor. If you have received a copy of this research report and are not a major U.S. institutional investor, you are instructed not to read, rely on, or reproduce the contents hereof, and to destroy this research or return it to JM Financial Institutional Securities or to JM Financial Securities. This research report is a product of JM Financial Institutional Securities, which is the employer of the research analyst(s) solely responsible for its content. The research analyst(s) preparing this research report is/are resident outside the United States and are not associated persons or employees of any U.S. registered broker-dealer. Therefore, the analyst(s) are not subject to supervision by a U.S. broker-dealer, or otherwise required to satisfy the regulatory licensing requirements of FINRA and may not be subject to the Rule 2241 restrictions on communications with a subject company, public appearances and trading securities held by a research analyst account. JM Financial Institutional Securities only accepts orders from major U.S. institutional investors. Pursuant to its agreement with JM Financial Institutional Securities, JM Financial Securities effects the transactions for major U.S. institutional investors. Major U.S. institutional investors may place orders with JM Financial Institutional Securities directly, or through JM Financial Securities, in the securities discussed in this research report. Additional disclosure only for U.K. persons: Neither JM Financial Institutional Securities nor any of its affiliates is authorised in the United Kingdom (U.K.) by the Financial Conduct Authority. As a result, this report is for distribution only to persons who (i) have professional experience in matters relating to investments falling within Article 19(5) of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2 (Financial Promotion) Order 25 (as amended, the "Financial Promotion Order"), (ii) are persons falling within Article 49(2)(a) to (d) ("high net worth companies, unincorporated associations etc.") of the Financial Promotion Order, (iii) are outside the United Kingdom, or (iv) are persons to whom an invitation or inducement to engage in investment activity (within the meaning of section 21 of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2) in connection with the matters to which this report relates may otherwise lawfully be communicated or caused to be communicated (all such persons together being referred to as "relevant persons"). This report is directed only at relevant persons and must not be acted on or relied on by persons who are not relevant persons. Any investment or investment activity to which this report relates is available only to relevant persons and will be engaged in only with relevant persons. Additional disclosure only for Canadian persons: This report is not, and under no circumstances is to be construed as, an advertisement or a public offering of the securities described herein in Canada or any province or territory thereof. Under no circumstances is this report to be construed as an offer to sell securities or as a solicitation of an offer to buy securities in any jurisdiction of Canada. Any offer or sale of the securities described herein in Canada will be made only under an exemption from the requirements to file a prospectus with the relevant Canadian securities regulators and only by a dealer properly registered under applicable securities laws or, alternatively, pursuant to an exemption from the registration requirement in the relevant province or territory of Canada in which such offer or sale is made. This report is not, and under no circumstances is it to be construed as, a prospectus or an offering memorandum. No securities commission or similar regulatory authority in Canada has reviewed or in any way passed upon these materials, the information contained herein or the merits of the securities described herein and any representation to the contrary is an offence. If you are located in Canada, this report has been made available to you based on your representation that you are an accredited investor as such term is defined in National Instrument 45-16 Prospectus Exemptions and a permitted client as such term is defined in National Instrument 31-13 Registration Requirements, Exemptions and Ongoing Registrant Obligations. Under no circumstances is the information contained herein to be construed as investment advice in any province or territory of Canada nor should it be construed as being tailored to the needs of the recipient. Canadian recipients are advised that JM Financial Securities, Inc., JM Financial Institutional Securities Limited, their affiliates and authorized agents are not responsible for, nor do they accept, any liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this research report or the information contained herein. JM Financial Institutional Securities Limited Page 14