Disease Management and the Medicare Drug Benefit: Opportunities and Threats for the Pharmaceutical Industry

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Disease Management and the Medicare Drug Benefit: Opportunities and Threats for the Pharmaceutical Industry Jeffrey A. Bourret, M.S., R.Ph., FASHP Senior Director, Managed Markets Healthcare Systems Marketing Wyeth Pharmaceuticals

Agenda Stakeholders Trends Incentive alignment Opportunities Potential Threats to Success

Health Care System Stakeholders Public/Private Payers (Government, Employers) Lower Wages Taxes Premiums FINANCING Premiums-individual policies Patients or Consumers Insurance Coverage Intermediaries (Insurer/Third-party payer) Medical Services Out-of-pocket fees Money (fixed or variable payments) Claims REIMBURSEMENT Health care providers (Hospitals, Physicians or Producers ) PRODUCTION Source: Adapted from Santerre & Neun, Health Economics: Theories, Insights, and Industry Studies

Pharma s Interest in DM and Medicare Federal & State Government Employers & Business Coalitions Managed Markets, Integrated Systems & Trade Medicare Chronic Care Demo VA and DoD Medicaid/State Programs Senior Health Benefit Design Quality Initiatives/HEDIS Quality Measurements Consumerism Local Market Evaluation Managed Care Pharmacy Benefit Mgmt Integrated Systems Retail/Wholesalers Specialty Pharmacy/Mail Order Formulary Access, Positioning & Appropriate Product Use

Managed Markets Customer Segments

Population >65 To Exceed 55 Million by 2020

Chronic Conditions Prevail Rate per 1,000 Rate per 1,000 40 30 20 Men Women 10 0 <18 18-49 50-64 65-74 75+ Ages Source: NCHS, 1999

Government Focus on Quality, Cost and Value Driving Change 2005 2006 Gov t. Out-of Pocket Out-of Pocket 24% 29% 41% 20% Private Ins. 47% Gov t 39% Private Ins. Source: CMS

MMA Impact on the Healthcare System is Significant 39,582,287 US Medicare Enrollees (2002CMS Data) 58% of Physician Services 77% of Prescription Medicines 61% of OTC Drugs 64% of Personal Healthcare Spending 55% of Hospital Revenues

Medicare Under the Microscope Concern about costs Focus on quality & value for the investment Disease prevention important to public health of US Government direction likely to influence commercial marketplace

63% of Medicare Beneficiaries Present with >2 Chronic Conditions

And Beneficiaries with >3 Chronic Conditions Comprise 88% of Spending

Medication Adherence Critical Issue with Seniors on Multiple Medicines

Poor Persistency is Common and Costly Across classes, 20-35% loss in patient base after fill of initial prescription 100% New Rx Drug Class Annual Cost of Poor Persistence Per 1mm Patients Percent of Patients Continuing Therapy 90% 1st Refill 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Source: Adheris Inc., Braun analysis Month on Therapy High Cholesterol (Statin) Hypertension (CCB) Osteoporosis (SERM) Depression (SSRI) Asthma (Inhaled Steriod) $240 million $190 million $270 million $440 million $390 million

Impact of Cost-Sharing Needs to Be Watched Carefully

DM Activity- But How Much is Collaborative & Integrated 1400 1200 1000 800 600 Developed with an RX Firm Developed with a DMO Developed with a PBM 400 200 0 2003 2004 2005 2006 Source: HIRC 2006 Health & Disease Management Service

Critical Incentives Are Aligned Among Stakeholders 3 Primary Drivers of Pharmaceutical Business Increase treatment of undiagnosed Improve medication adherence Successfully acquire business from competitor

We All Strive to Attain Clinical Trials Outcomes Collaboration is Key Meaningful initiatives to help increase medication compliance Provider education Patient education Integrated programs can help improve real-world results. Patient health outcomes can be optimized over the long term. Real-world outcomes can approach those realized in clinical trials.

Patient Adherence Reduces Overall Medical Costs

But There are Issues Silos and fragmentation of the care delivery process persist Companies that have significant franchises in a disease have been supporters; Others will need to step up to maximize impact to the masses Many programs stop at providing educational literature More is needed to improve patient outcomes Pharma goals are to increase appropriate use, compliance, brand and corporate loyalty, and ultimately market share Conflicts between Unbranded for all vs. Programs supporting specific product Some programs don t meet needs of health plan or payor Degree to which DMP are incorporated into marketing budgets still lacking for many companies Similar issues as seen in DM industry regarding demonstrating value for investment

Opportunities Collaborative care models with all stakeholderrs Medication Adherence Partnering with Health Plans & Payers Partnering with DM companies and promoting new programs and tools (both ways) Designing patient and provider support programs that complement DM programs Opportunities for manufacturers to demonstrate the value of pharmaceutical therapy with MA-PDs that will focus on overall healthcare cost and quality Partnering to prove benefit of DM

Threats Failure to deliver value proposition to stakeholders Continued silo approach to health and disease management Incentives not aligned to promote disease prevention and patient treatment support Failure to design acceptable and effective patient treatment support programs Reluctance to accept industry support programs for patients on their products

What Can We Do Now? Look for ways to work together with the patient as the central focus Guide pharma in designing patient support programs Look for ways to include pharma programs in DM support for health plans Include as a measure of success, the extent to which you have aligned and incorporated all stakeholders in the process Design programs that address needs of both the 20/80 and the 80/20 Promote research to aid in the design of programs that improve patient self-management of conditions and appropriate medication use in the elderly Contribute to the design of programs where each stakeholder has a role Measure results, share and incorporate the learning

Where Will The Market Take Us? 2030 2003 35 Million 65+ Population 70 Million 65+ Population Population who will require care & coverage Source: U.S. Bureau of Census