Apiary Fund Trading Plan

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Transcription:

Apiary Fund Trading Plan Position Size Always set stop < 2% of account balance. 75% of trades should be between.5% and 1% of account balance. Chart Setup OSMA and SMA Strategy

Chart Setup Monitor and focus on the top 5 currency pairs, Gold and Silver. EURUSD, USDJPY, GBPUSD, USDCHF, USDCAD XAUUSD - Gold XAGUSD - Silver No more than 2 simultaneous trades unless it is longer term trade, i.e.. several days. Indicators used: Bollinger Bands, Parabolic SAR, 60 Period Moving Average, Apiary Pivots, HMA Time Frames to monitor: 5 Min, 1 Hr, Day, Week, Month Lot Size: 0.10 until trading becomes more profitable, need to define better target to move this to larger contract size. Bollinger Band Trade Setup/Trigger Evaluate every 10 trades using this method. Setup Use Bollinger Bands to go long or short after a squeeze in the Upper and Lower Standard Deviations use 1, 5 minute and 1 hour time frames to initiate trades. Trigger If squeeze appropriate (discretionary) to indicate a trend change up or down place trade. 1 full bar above or below band to close without a pivot triggers trade buy or sell. Use Pivots, MA, HMA and larger time frames to obtain more confirmation of trend. Do not hesitate, Place the trade if trigger indicates a move up or down, outside of Standard Deviation. Trade setting up to go higher or lower. If major trend prior is up or down go with the trend to place a Buy Stop or Sell stop at resistance or support. Trade Exit If trade placed on 5 Minute chart: Exit trade on next Bull/Bear Pivot for shorter time period trade, i.e. < 2 hours. If trade placed on 1 Hr chart: Exit trade on next Bull/Bear Pivot. Time period to exit trade will be longer i.e. > 2 hours.

Also monitor price action on 5 minute chart, discretionary exit if warranted. Higher Probability of directional change: Moving sideways then squeeze to pop above or below Standard Deviation. If occurring on 5 min and 1 Hr increases probability, increase trade size to 0.5. Example of Bollinger Band Trade *************************************************************************************************** Trade The News Chart Setup: USDJPY USDCAD GBPUSD USDCHF EURUSD Monitor after news is released and delete opposite trades or if non-event delete all trades. BE FLAT 30 min prior to large news events. LOT Size Mini.01

Trigger Buy stop and Sell Stop 10 pips above and below support and resistance on 5 minute chart. Stop at opposite support and resistance. Wait for any strong Bear or Bull moves in the currencies. Trade Exit Wait for Pivot in opposite direction or discretionary exit from trade. Always delete opposite trade when triggered during the news. Upcoming News Events To Trade 1. Weekly Jobless Claims - Every Thursday at 8:30 am ET Weekly jobless claims ************************************************************************ 2. FED Minutes Summary: 7/30/2014 2:00pm ET Sunday GAP Trade Prepare this trade 45 minutes ahead of Sunday FOREX open. Use discretion to select which pairs to trade by examining prior trends on all time periods. At 5:00pm ET FOREX Market Open, look for currency pair in the top 5 that has the largest Gap on a 5 min chart. If gap lower buy at market after the open. Look at price action to get a better fill. Use discretion to enter the trade. This trade sometimes takes time to develop to determine an entry. Need to watch price action as volume is low most of the time when the market opens. If gap higher sell at market. Use 3 bar reversal pattern as secondary pattern after the open to determine an entry point to go long or short. Set stop a few pips away from recent support or resistance. Set take profit close to previous Friday close. WAIT for this trade to close the window on the gap between previous close and Sunday afternoon open. Moving Average Crossover Strategy

Idea is to get into the trade early and add to the trade if a breakout. SMA 20 and SMA 50 5 Min Chart When 20 SMA crosses the 50 Short or go Long with Market Order. MACD at or below zero Go Short MACD at or above zero Go Long Determine resistance or support, add to trade with Buy Stop or Sell Stop as appropriate. Stop Loss Set Stop + - 2 pips at Swing Low Support or Swing High Resistance for both Trades. Trade Management If Buy or Sell Stop triggers second trade, move stop loss of first trade to Break Even of first trade. Be aware of news events, consider going flat prior to major announcements. Avoid Trading over the weekend. Psychological Factors Stop trading for the day after three losses in a row. Stop trading if for the day exceeding 1.5% of account balance. Stop trading for three days if losses exceed 1.5% for 2 days in a row. If sick or not feeling focused, take a break and do not trade. Time of Year Trading Strategies December 22nd to January 5th Liquidly is down leading to less probability in short term trading.