3Q13 Consolidated Financial Results. 05 November 2013

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Transcription:

3Q13 Consolidated Financial Results 05 November 2013

3Q13 Results Solid operational profitability Reported net profit of TL 2,428 mio with ROA at 1.9%, ROE at 14.7% Net profit increased by 43% y-o-y reaching TL 2,732 mio, ROA 2.1%, ROE 16.6%, (adj. for Comp. Board penalty and free provision) Operational profit driven by: Continued growth in lending volumes Better NIM management Successful deposit cost management, while improving loan-to-deposit ratio to 103% Fee Income growth of 29% y-o-y Decelerating operational cost growth Growth in high margin loans continued 26% increase in consumer loans with 40bps market share gain 35% increase in TL SME Loans with 43% growth in Small&Micro 21.8% growth in deposits with special emphasis on demand deposits Strong Basel II ratio of 14.8% & Leverage of 8.8x continue to support strong growth 2

Net income driven by operational profit (TL mio) 9M12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 9M13 y-o-y Net Profit 1,907 873 952 603 2,428 27% Net Profit (exc. one off)* 1,907 1,002 952 603 2,732 43% Net interest income 3,818 1,612 1,558 1,539 4,709 23% Net fee income 1,303 560 598 526 1,684 29% ROAE* 13.2% 17.9% 17.5% 11.2% 16.6% 3.4% ROAA* 1.7% 2.4% 2.2% 1.3% 2.1% 0.4% NIM 3.5% 3.8% 3.8% 3.3% 3.6% 0.1% Cost of Risk 0.4% 0.9% 0.5% 0.7% 0.8% 0.4% Cost to Asset* 2.0% 2.1% 1.9% 1.9% 1.9% -0.1% Fees to Cost* 60.1% 66.2% 72.1% 61.5% 66.5% 6.4% CIR* 43.2% 36.6% 34.2% 46.1% 38.4% -4.8% * Excluding Competition Board penalty of TL129 mio and free provision of TL 175 mn 3

56% y-o-y increase in net profit excluding securities trading gains and one-off (TL mio) 56% y-o-y 2,001 1,282 Profit declined only by 15% q-o-q vs 37% reduction in reported net profit 9M12 9M13 (TL mio) 635 667 722-15% q-o-q 612 497 One-off items, net off tax: 4Q12: NPL sale income of TL 76 mio 1Q13: Competition Board penalty of TL 129 mio 2Q13: NPL sale income of TL 46 mio; including free provision of TL 175 mio 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4

Liquid & flexible balance sheet 2012 9M13 Loans / assets increased to 59% 9.3% 3.0% 2.8% 4.0% 3.3% 9.1% Securities / assets decreased to 24% 28.3% 56.5% 24.4% 59.2% Loans Liquid assets Securities Other Reserve Requirement CAR 14.8%* Tier I Ratio 14.4%* Leverage 8.8x 6.9% 5.4% 6.4% 12.0% 55.5% 3.8% 9.2% 6.1% 11.8% 57.7% Loans to Deposit 103% 13.7% 11.4% Deposits Equity TL Repo Funds Borrowed Other FX Repo * According to Basel II 5

Subdued NIM reduction NIM Cumulative* NIM Quarterly* 3.2 3.4 3.5 3.6 3.8 3.8 3.6 3.2 3.6 3.7 4.0 3.8 3.8 3.3 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 2012 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 (TL mio, US$ mio) 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 NIM impact 1Q13-2Q13 2Q13-3Q13 TL Loans TL Deposits FX Loans FX Deposits Loan-Deposit impact 11.52% 7.91% 4.92% 2.85% 11.17% 6.66% 4.97% 2.20% 10.62% 6.05% 4.77% 1.98% 9.72% 5.27% 4.70% 1.67% 9.27% 5.97% 4.65% 2.10% -48 38-2 5-7 -15-10 2-5 -28 TL Securities FX Securities Securities impact 9.58% 4.04% 9.02% 4.16% 8.31% 3.44% 8.16% 3.47% 8.32% 3.52% 7 2 9-12 -1-13 Other -1-13 Total 1-54 *Adjusted for BRSA classification, Reserve requirements included in interest earning assets 6

Continued growth in high margin loans (TL mio) TL loans Corporate SME Medium Small & Micro Consumer Credit Cards 4Q12 56,807 5,933 17,046 13,095 3,951 20,944 12,884 1Q13 60,433 6,452 17,985 13,729 4,256 22,833 13,163 2Q13 64,875 5,145 20,406 15,414 4,992 25,512 13,812 3Q13 69,774 6,175 23,063 17,403 5,660 26,456 14,080 y-t-d 23% 4% 35% 33% 43% 26% 9% (US$ mio) FX loans Corporate SME 19,534 13,473 6,061 19,504 13,085 6,419 20,136 13,744 6,392 21,107 14,536 6,571 8% 8% 8% Total Loans (TL mio) 92,360 96,347 104,259 113,218 23% (*) FX indexed loans are booked under FX loans 7

Market share gain in high margin products and demand deposits 3Q12 (%) 2012 (%) 3Q13 (%) Change (y-t-d) Change (y-o-y) Total Loans TL Loans Consumer Mortgage General Purpose Commercial Credit Cards FX Loans 11.1 10.0 10.4 11.0 9.8 7.8 18.8 14.3 10.9 9.9 10.8 11.3 10.2 7.6 18.3 13.7 10.6 10.0 11.2 11.6 10.7 7.9 17.1 12.1 Change -30 bps +10 +40 +30 +50 +30-120 -160-50 0 +80 +60 +90 +10-170 -220 Total Deposits TL Deposit TL Demand TL Time FX Deposit FX Demand FX Time 11.0 9.8 10.2 10.8 13.1 10.5 19.0 10.5 9.6 9.7 10.4 12.4 12.0 18.5 10.8 9.5 11.5 10.1 13.0 15.7 18.6 +30-10 +180-30 +60 +370 +10-20 -30 +130-70 -10 +520-40 Sector comparisons based on weekly BRSA unconsolidated figures. 8

Share of higher margin loans increasing while maintaining strong asset quality Loan breakdown (TL billion) 92.4 96.3 104.3 113.2 NPL ratios 4Q12 Akbank 3Q13 4Q12 Sector 3Q13 33% 32% 31% 32% 26% 26% 26% 27% Corporate Medium Small & Micro Corporate SME 0.8% 0.0% 1.6% 0.0% 1.3% 0.7% 2.4% 2.3% 4% 5% 5% 5% 23% 24% 25% 24% 14% 13% 13% 12% 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 Consumer Credit Cards Consumer Credit Cards Total 1.2% 2.4% 1.2% 1.4% 3.7% 1.2% 2.1% 5.1% 2.8% 2.1% 5.2% 2.7% 9

Low, stable cost of risk in line with guidance... Akbank s NPL ratio versus banking sector (%) 242 Cost of risk (TL mio) 298 293 294 303 5.2 85 131 181 161 67 76 63 71 91 102 88 3.8 1.9 3.5 3.6 2.5 2.3 3.8 2.2 3.6 2.9 2.6 2.8 2.7 2.7 1.7 1.2 1.3 1.2 1.2 0.17 0.34 0.38 0.44 0.48 0.86 0.69 0.72 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 Akbank Banking Sector New NPL Collections excl. sales(*) (*) Excluding NPL Sales Proceeds of TL95 mio in 4Q12 (**) Excluding NPL Sales Proceeds of TL58mn in 2Q13... with very strong coverage; 93% specific coverage ratio Effect of higher coverage on ROE ~1% 207% coverage ratio including general provisions 10

Consumer Loans - sustained strong market position 30.0 25.0 20.0 15.0 10.0 5.0 Consumer Loans (TL bio) 26.3% y-t-d 10.8 11.1 11.4 11.2 25.5 26.5 20.9 22.8 12.2 12.3 9.8 10.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 10.2 11.0 12.3 13.2 Mortgage loans increased by 26% y-t-d GPLs increased by 29% y-t-d Cross sell ratio of mortgage 6.5x 0.0 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 General purpose Auto loans Mortgage Market Share (%) Cross sell ratio of GPLs 5.9x 11

Credit Cards - focus on profit optimization Credit Card Loans 17.0 9.3% y-t-d 18.3 18.0 17.7 17.1 25.0 20.0 15.0 13.0 11.0 12.9 13.2 13.8 14.1 15.0 10.0 5.0 0.0 Higher quality portfolio with; 9.0 7.0 5.0 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13-5.0-10.0-15.0-20.0 Lowest NPL ratio of 3.7% vs. 5.2% for the sector Volume (TL bio) Market share (%) Credit Cards Issuing Volume Highest issuance volume per card in the peer group by 31% 16.2 16.3 15.8 15.3 15.6 15.8 16.9 16.9 10.0 6.0 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 Volume (TL bio) Market share (%) 0.0-10.0-20.0 12

SME Loans continued strong momentum with risk focus 25.0 TL Loans (TL bio) 35.3% y-t-d 23.1 20.0 17.0 17.9 20.4 15.0 10.0 13.1 13.7 15.4 17.4 5.0 0.0 4.0 4.3 5.0 5.7 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 Small&Micro loans increased by 43% y-t-d Medium sized loans increased by 33% y-t-d Small & Micro Medium Cross sell ratio of 4.4x in small and micro loans FX Loans (US$ bio) Cross sell ratio of 5.1x in medium sized loans 8.4% y-t-d 6.1 6.4 6.4 6.6 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 13

Corporate loans high quality portfolio with zero credit losses TL Loans (TL bio) 3.5% y-t-d 5.9 6.5 5.1 6.2 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 Slower growth in TL corporate loans to the benefit of higher margin segments Cross sell ratio of 5.2x FX Loans (US$ bio) 8.0% y-t-d 13.5 13.1 13.7 14.5 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 14

Securities Increased proportion of TL floating rate securities Total (TL bio) Total (TL bio) TL (TL bio) FX (US$ bio) 45.6 45.9 45.6 45.9 34.0 32.1 6.5 6.8 25% 30% 75% 70% 2012 3Q13 47% 49% 16% 12% 37% 39% 2012 3Q13 31% 28% 19% 16% 50% 56% 2012 3Q13 95% 96% 5% 4% 2012 3Q13 TL FX CPI Floating Fixed CPI Floating Fixed Floating Fixed TL 636 mio of trading gain M-t-m valuation in equity net (-) TL 1.1 bio Available for sale 96%, held-to-maturity 4% According to bank only financials 15

Growth in deposits achieved without aggressive pricing Total (TL bio) Total (TL bio) TL (TL bio) FX (US$ bio) 90.7 110.3 90.7 110.3 15% 18% 44% 49% 51.0 56.6 22.3 26.4 15% 20% 15% 16% 56% 51% 85% 82% 85% 80% 85% 84% 2012 3Q13 TL FX 2012 3Q13 Time Deposit Demand Deposit 2012 3Q13 Time Deposit Demand Deposit 2012 3Q13 Time Deposit Demand Deposit Successful growth in demand deposits Loan to deposit ratio reduced to 103% 16

Solid fee & commission growth:29% y-o-y (TL mio) 29.3% y-o-y 1,684 1,303 9M12 Net fee and commissions 9M13 30% increase in bancassurance commissions - # 1 position in sector 3Q13 15% increase in ADC commissions Money transfer fees Other 11% 4% Asset management fees 5% Commercial loans 9% 12% Consumer loans 6% Bancassurance 52% Payment systems commissions 17

Downward cost growth with increased efficiency Cumulative opex growth, y-o-y 24.0% 18.6% 16.7% 14.0% Quarterly Operational Cost (TL bio) 1Q13 1H13 9M13 2013 E 757 799 845* 831 856 306 324 366 360 353 Employee costs Rent, repair & maintenance, amortisation 111 103 113 112 124 Marketing and advertisement 117 126 141 117 135 Other SDIF premium 201 221 194 207 210 22 25 31 35 34 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 *Excluding Competition Board penalty of TL129 mio 18

Continuously best in efficiency Cost/average assets (%) Cost/income (%) 3.0 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.4 2.2 1.9 2.0 2.1 2.0 1.9 39.1 45.2 42.9 50.7 39.8 38.7 41.4 40.6 36.6 35.4 38.4 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 Net Fees/cost (%) Fees/Cost (%) 65.8 68.6 66.1 59.9 44.6 49.0 48.4 47.3 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13** Akbank **Bank-only figures ; Industry data as of August 13 Sector * Excluding Competition Board expense of TL129 mio 19

Budget Guidance Total Assets 2013 15% ROA Leverage 2013 2.0% ~8x Loans TL 20% 22% ROE NIM growth Net fees&com. growth 16% flat,3.6% ~23% FX Total Deposits 15% 15% Opex growth Fees / opex Cost/ income 14% 63% 41% TL FX 15% 15% Cost / assets NPL Cost of risk 1.9% 1.3% 70-80bps Sustainable ROA: 1.8-2.0% ROE: 16-18% Leverage: 8.5x-9x 20

Balance sheet highlights Consolidated (TL mio) Cash and Due from Banks Securities Loans Other TOTAL ASSETS Deposits Funds Borrowed Repo - TL Repo - FX Repo Other Equity TOTAL LIABILITIES Shares (%) 2012 9M13 2012 9M13 19,854 23,814 12.1 12.4 46,292 46,719 28.3 24.4 92,360 113,218 56.5 59.2 4,972 7,556 3.0 4.0 163,478 191,307 90,688 110,335 55.5 57.7 19,682 22,493 12.0 11.8 20,121 24,991 12.3 13.1 8,861 7,358 5.4 3.8 11,260 17,633 6.9 9.2 10,511 11,733 6.4 6.1 22,476 21,755 13.7 11.4 163,478 191,307 Change (%) 20 1 23 52 17 22 14 24-17 57 12 (3) 17 21

Income statement highlights Consolidated (TL mio) 9M12 9M13 Change (%) Interest Income Interest Expense Net Interest Income Trading Gain (Loss) - Securities - Other Provision for Loan Losses, net of collections Net Interest Income after Trading Gain/Loss & NPL Prov. Fees and Commissions (Net) Operating Expense Other Income Other Provisions Income Before one-off items and Tax One-off items* Income Before Tax Tax Net Income 8,692 (4,875) 3,818 33 781 (748) (267) 3,583 1,303 (2,170) 139 (385) 2,470-2,470 (563) 1,907 8,666 (3,957) 4,709 642 636 6 (608) 4,743 1,684 (2,532) 169 (532) 3,532 (304) 3,228 (800) 2,428 - (19) 23 - (19) - 128 32 29 17 21 38 43-31 42 27 *Competition Board Expense of TL129mio and TL 175 mio free provision 22

Balance sheet highlights in USD Consolidated (USD mio.*) 2012 9M13 Cash and Due from Banks 11,169 11,693 Shares (%) 2012 9M13 12.1 12.4 Securities 26,042 22,941 28.3 24.4 Loans 51,958 55,594 56.5 59.2 Other 2,797 3,736 3.0 4.0 TOTAL ASSETS 91,966 93,939 Deposits 51,017 54,179 55.5 57.7 Funds Borrowed 11,072 11,045 12.0 11.8 Repo 11,319 12,271 12.3 13.1 - TL Repo 4,985 3,613 5.4 3.8 - FX Repo 6,334 8,659 6.9 9.2 Other 5,914 5,761 6.4 6.1 Equity 12,644 10,683 13.7 11.4 TOTAL LIABILITIES 91,966 93,939 * Figures are stated with exchange rates effective at respective dates: 2012 1.7776; 3Q13 2.0365 23

Income statement highlights in USD Consolidated (USD mio *) Interest Income Interest Expense Net Interest Income Trading Gain (Loss), Net - Securities - Other Provision for Loan Losses, net of collections Net Interest Income after Trading Gain/Loss & NPL Prov. Fees and Commissions (Net) Operating Expenses Other Income Other Provisions Income Before one-off items and Tax One-off items Income Before Tax Tax Net Income 9M12 4,870 (2,731) 2,139 19 438 (419) (150) 2,008 730 (1,216) 78 (216) 1,384-1,384 (316) 1,068 9M13 4,255 (1,943) 2,312 315 312 3 (298) 2,329 827 (1,243) 82 (261) 1,734 (149) 1,585 (393) 1,192 * Figures are stated with exchange rates effective at respective dates: 3Q12 1.7847; 3Q13 2.0365 24

Disclaimer Statement The information and opinions contained in this document have been compiled or arrived at by Akbank from sources believed to be reliable and in good faith, but no representation or warranty, expressed or implied, is made as to their accuracy, completeness or correctness. All opinions and estimates contained in this document constitute the Company s judgement as of the date of this document and are subject to change without notice. The information contained in this document is published for the assistance of recipients, but is not to be relied upon as authoritative or taken in substitution for the exercise of judgement by any recipient. The Company does not accept any liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this document or its contents. This document is strictly confidential and may not be reproduced, distributed or published for any purpose. 25