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Transcription:

Q4 Report 2013 Johan Molin President & CEO 1

Financial highlights Q4 2013 Strong ending of the year Strong growth in Global Tech and Americas Good growth in APAC and ESD EMEA bottoming Important gains of efficiency and savings New Manufacturing footprint program Sales 13,242 MSEK +8% +4% organic, +5% acquired growth, -1% currency EBIT 2,202 MSEK *) +8% Currency effect -46 MSEK EPS 4.08 SEK *) +8% Underlying tax rate 25% *) Excluding restructuring items of 1,000 MSEK. 2

Financial highlights Jan-Dec 2013 Good year for ASSA ABLOY despite the tough market Improved market presence Innovation moved forward Reduced footprint and professional sourcing Sales 48,481 MSEK +4% +2% organic, +4% acquired growth, -2% currency EBIT 7,923 MSEK *) +6% Currency effect -261 MSEK EPS 14.84 SEK *) +6% Underlying tax rate 25% *) Excluding restructuring items of 1,000 MSEK. 3

Market highlights New Overhead Sectional Door generation Lower running costs & increased energy saving Record sales of CLIQ Remote Cloud based functionality added Strong growth for ASSA ABLOY door closers In all regions: EMEA, Americas and APAC Seos innovative Bluetooth Smart solution Patented solution for opening doors with mobile phone 4

Group sales in local currencies Jan-Dec 2013 Emerging markets 25% of sales 32 +19 44-1 17 +9 2 +13 1 +14 4 +4 Share of Group sales 2013 YTD, % Year-to-date vs previous year, % 5

Sales growth, currency adjusted Sales MSEK Growth, % 49 000 46 000 43 000 40 000 37 000 34 000 31 000 28 000 25 000 2013 Q4 +9% Organic +4% Acquired +5% 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Organic Growth Acquired Growth Sales in Fixed Currencies 24 21 18 15 12 3 69 0-3 -6-9 -12-15 6

Operating income (EBIT*), MSEK Quarter 12-months 2 300 2 100 1 900 1 700 1 500 1 300 1 100 900 Run rate 7,923 MSEK (7,501) +6% 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Quarter Rolling 12-months 8 000 7 500 7 000 6 500 6 000 5 500 5 000 4 500 4 000 *) Excluding restructuring items of 1,000 MSEK in Q4 and full year 2013. 7

Operating margin (EBIT)*, % EBIT Margin 17,0 16,0 15,0 Long term target range (average) Run rate 2013 16.3% (16.1) 14,0 13,0 12,0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Quarter Rolling 12-months *) Excluding restructuring items of 1,000 MSEK in Q4 and full year 2013. 2013 Dilution QTD -0.6% YTD -0.1% 2014 Dilution Full Year -0.3 % 8

Manufacturing footprint New program launched in Q4 Closure of 10 factories and 17 offices Personnel reduction 2,449p Payback 3.4 years Restructuring cost 1,000 MSEK Status all programs 2006-2013: 57 factories closed 21 closures to go Q4 Personnel reduction of 1,274p - 1,626p remains Provision of 1,369 MSEK 9

Margin highlights Q4 2013 EBIT margin 16.6% (16.6) 0.0% + Volume increase +3%, price +1% + Margin expansion 0.0% + Organic growth + Manufacturing footprint + Capacity adjustments - Dilution from Currency -0.2% - Acquisitions -0.6% 10

Acquisitions 2013 Fully active pipeline 12 acquisitions done in 2013 Annualized sales 4,200 MSEK Added sales 9% 11

Amarr, USA Turnover of 2,100 MSEK with 1,200 employees Major player in the North American sectional door market Attractive market position with 77 service centers Base for further expansion and good synergies Accretive to EPS 12

IdenTrust, USA Turnover of 90 MSEK with 63 employees A leading provider of digital authentication solutions Complements ActiveIdentity Creates leadership in secure identity and issuance Dilutive to EPS 13

Division - EMEA Bottoming with slight growth Strong growth in Scandinavia (warm winter), Africa and Eastern Europe SALES share of Group total % 26 Growth in the UK and flat in Germany Decline in Finland, France, Holland, Italy, Iberia and Israel Focus on efficiency and manning Operating margin (EBIT) = Organic 1% + Footprint savings - Material cost - Dilution & Currency (-0.6) EBIT % 19 18 17 16 15 14 13 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 14

Division - Americas Strong growth in AHW, Electromechanical, Residential and South America Growth in Doors and High security SALES share of Group total % 19 Stable in Mexico and Canada Continued investments in R&D and front end Operating margin (EBIT) + Organic +6% + Efficiency improvement 22 21 20 EBIT % - Material cost - Dilution from acquisition (-0.9%) 19 18 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 16

Division - Asia Pacific Strong growth in Korea, China Fire Doors, South East Asia and New Zealand Good growth in AHG China SALES share of Group total % 15 Slight decline in China Security Doors and Australia Positive leverage offset by negative impact from Pacific currencies Reduction of personnel in China by 800 Operating margin (EBIT) = Organic +4% + Material cost + Efficiency in China - Mix & cost pressure EBIT % 17 15 13 11 9 7 5 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 18

Division - Global Technologies HID Strong growth IAM, Government ID, IDT and in Project sales Continued strong profit improvement Consolidation of the US operations to Austin, Texas SALES share of Group total % 13 Hospitality Strong growth mainly from the renovation market Good profit development Operating margin (EBIT) + Organic +13% + Good leverage from volume - Dilution from Project sales EBIT % 20 19 18 17 16 15 14 13 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 20

Division - Entrance Systems Europe improving while Americas & Asia are growing Growth in Industrial Doors and High Speed Doors Stable sales in Door automatics and Docking stations SALES share of Group total % 27 Strong leverage from footprint improvements Rapid growth +17%, EBIT +14% Operating margin (EBIT) + Organic +3% + Strong leverage +1.1% + Strong efficiency improvements - Dilution from acquisitions -1.6% EBIT % 19 18 17 16 15 14 13 12 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 22

Q4 Report 2013 Carolina Dybeck Happe CFO 24

Financial highlights Q4 2013 4th Quarter Twelve months MSEK 2012 2013 Change 2012 2013 Change Sales 12,239 13,242 +8% 46,619 48,481 +4% Whereof Organic growth +4% +2% Acquired growth +5% +4% FX-differences -134-1% -1,156-2% Operating income (EBIT)* 2,030 2,202 +8% 7,501 7,923 +5% EBIT-margin (%) )* 16.6 16.6 16.1 16.3 Operating cash flow 3,160 2,541-20% 7,044 6,803-3% EPS (SEK)* 3.79 4.08 +8% 13.97 14.84 +6% *) Excluding restructuring items of 1,000 MSEK for Q4 and full year 2013. 25

Bridge Analysis Oct-Dec 2013 MSEK 2012 Oct-Dec Organic Currency Acq/Div 2013 Oct-Dec 4% -1% 5% 8% Revenues 12,239 486-134 652 13,242 EBIT 2,030 186-46 32 2,202 % 16.6% 38.4% 34.4% 4.9% 16.6% Dilution / Accretion 0.8% -0.2% -0.6% 26

P&L Components as % of sales Jan Dec 2013 2012 YTD 2013 YTD excluding acquisitions 2013 YTD Direct material 34.6% 34.7% 35.0% Conversion costs 25.9% 25.5% 25.5% Gross Margin 39.5% 39.8% 39.5% S, G & A 23.4% 23.4% 23.2% EBIT 16.1% 16.4% 16.3% 27

Organic growth vs. employee change *) 10% 5% 0% -5% 7% 3% 4% 2% 2% 0% 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013-5% 1% -2% -4% -10% -5% -10% -15% -12% -12% Growth Employees *) Organic growth each year, i.e. excluding acquisitions younger than 12 months, and the corresponding change in total number of employees for the same units. 28

Operating cash flow, MSEK Quarter 12 months 3 500 3 000 2 500 2 000 1 500 1 000 500 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Quarter Cash Rolling 12-months EBT Rolling 12 months 8 000 7 500 7 000 6 500 6 000 5 500 5 000 4 500 4 000 3 500 3 000 Net Invest in buildings (-500M) and good sales in Dec (-200M) 29

Gearing % and net debt MSEK Net Debt 30 000 25 000 Debt/Equity 68 (61) Gearing 120 100 20 000 80 15 000 60 10 000 40 5 000 20 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 0 Net debt *) 2006-2011 Not restated for changed pension accounting principles. Gearing Net debt/ebitda 2.2 (1.9) 30

Earnings per share, SEK Quarter SEK 4,00 3,50 3,00 2,50 2,00 1,50 1,00 0,50 0,00 Since 2006 EPS +86% Dividend 2014: 5.70 SEK (5.10) 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Quarter Rolling 12-months 12-months 15,00 14,00 13,00 12,00 11,00 10,00 9,00 8,00 7,00 6,00 5,00 *) Excluding restructuring costs of 1,000 MSEK in Q4 and full year 2013. **) 2006-2011 Not restated for changed pension accounting principles. 31

Q4 Report 2013 Johan Molin President & CEO 32

Conclusions Q4 2013 Bottoming Europe Strong growth in Global Tech and Americas Good growth in APAC and ESD Strong efficiency improvements supports profit New Manufacturing Footprint launched Strong cash flow of 2,541 MSEK Record strong EBIT of 2,202 MSEK 33

Q&A 34