Q Results MTU Aero Engines. Conference Call with Investors and Analysts October 25th, 2007

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Transcription:

Q3 2007 Results MTU Aero Engines Conference Call with Investors and Analysts October 25th, 2007

Contents 1. Operational & Financial Highlights 2. Divisional formance 3. Group Key Figures Appendix 2

Key Business Issues Q3 2007 Commercial Business Strong market fundamentals driving series and spare parts sales - Passenger Traffic +7.2% (IATA Jan-Aug 07) - Cargo traffic +3.9% (IATA Jan-Aug 07) Geared turbofan engine to power new Mitsubishi Regional Jet Military Business Anticipated delay in A400M deliveries has limited impact on MTU Saudi Arabian Eurofighter order to be finalized in 2007 Commercial MRO Stefan Weingartner to succeed Bernd Kessler as head of MRO division ERP system integration completed, MRO recovery progressing Others Share buy backs intensified: currently 3,5 m shares or 6,4% held by company Additional 2 m shares to be bought back by year end 3

9 Month Financial Highlights Order Backlog Group order backlog decreased by 9.3% to 3,032.9m compared to 31.12.2006 nearly stable after adjustment for US$ exchange rate effects Revenues Group revenues increased by 5.9% to 1,886.8 m EBITDA adj. Group EBITDA up by 21.9% to 280.8 m, reaching 14.9% margin Cash Flow Free Cash Flow at 119.7m Underlying Net Income/ EPS Underlying Net Income increased by 16.6% to 102.5m or 1.94 EPS Adjusted for the HYB redemption premium (19.1m ), the underlying Net Income would have increased to 113.8m (+29.5%) or 2.16 EPS 4

US$ Exchange rate / Hedge portfolio USD daily average exchange rate from 01/02/2004 to 09/30/2007 1,50 1,40 1,30 1,20 1,10 1,00 02.01.04 1,2592 31.03.04 1,2224 30.06.04 1,2155 31.12.04 1,3621 30.09.04 1,2409 31.03.05 1,2964 30.06.05 1,2092 30.09.05 1,2042 29.12.05 1,1825 31.03.06 1,2104 30.06.06 1,2713 29.09.06 1,266 29.12.06 1,317 30.03.07 1,3318 2004 2005 2006 2007 28.09.2007 1,4179 29.06.07 1,3505 Hedging in place as of 30 Sept. 2007 2007 2008 2009 % of open exposure hedged 58% (175 mus$ ) 45% (375 mus$ ) 7% (70 mus$ ) Average exchange rate 1,2984 1,3081 1,3550 5

Contents 1. Operational & Financial Highlights 2. Divisional formance 3. Group Key Figures Appendix 6

OEM Segment Order backlog 30.09.2007 2,933.5 31.12.2006 3,218.4-8.9% Order backlog Commercial Business US$ Order Backlog stable. Commercial Business in m$ 2,299.1 2,325.4-1.1% Military Business 1,312.0 per 9 2007 1,452.7 per 9 2006-9.7% Revenues Commercial Business organic sales growth + 13% (adjusted for US$ effects). Revenues Commercial Business Military Business Gross profit 1,153.8 811.5 342.3 236.8 1,061.9 746.5 315.4 178.7 8.7% 8.7% 8.5% 32.5% Gross Profit Increased by 32.5% to 20.5% margin Gross profit margin R&D self-financed 20.5% 50.7 16.8% 50.6 EBITDA adj. Increased by 38.2% reaching 18.2% margin EBITDA adj. 210.5 152.3 38.2% EBITDA adj. margin 18.2% 14.3% 7

MRO Segment in m US$ Contract Volume MRO (in mus$) 30.09.2007 6,407.8 01.01.2007 4,847.0 32.2% Order backlog US $ Contract volume increased by 32.2% Order backlog (in mus$) 141.5 163.4-13.4% Revenues Gross profit Gross profit margin R&D self-financed IFRS per 9 2007 753.2 68.2 9.1% 7.0 per 9 2006 735.5 92.6 12.5% 4.4 2.4% -26.3% Revenues Organic (US$) growth 10.6% Gross Profit Decreased from 12.5% to 9.1% Gross Profit margin. Depreciation of CF34 Licence (14.7m), additional burdens due to ERP Hannover EBITDA adj. EBITDA adj. margin 70.3 9.3% 79.4 10.8% -11.5% EBITDA adj. Margin decreased from 10.8% to 9.3% 8

Contents 1. Operational & Financial Highlights 2. Divisional formance 3. Group Key Figures Appendix 9

Financial Result per 9 2007 per 9 2006 Income non-consolidated subsidiaries companies / Income from associated companies / Loss from shares in affiliated companies 0.4-0.1 Interest Result -27.2-14.9 82.6% Interest Income 5.7 14.3 Interest Payments -32.9*) -29.2 Other Financial Result -22.1-8.0 176.3% Gains/losses US$ cash/financing/ Capital lease valuation -1.4 1.1 Interest expenses for pension provisions -14.5-13.8 Non cash valuations (interest swaps/nickel hedging) -6.1 4.9 Interest R&D provisions and others -0.1-0.2 Total Financial Result -48.9-23.0 112.6% *) Interest payments include 19.1m redemption fee for the High Yield Bond 10

Underlying Net Income and EPS underlying per 9 2007 per 9 2006 EBITDA adj. 280.8 230.4 21.9% Depreciation / amortisaton w/o PPA -74.1-58.7 w/o extraordinary write-off of CF34 licence 14.7 EBIT underlying 221.4 171.7 28.9% Financial result -49.5-24.2 EBT underlying 171.9 147.5 16.5% underlying Tax (40,4%) -69.4-59.6 Underlying Net Income 102.5 87.9 16.6% EPS underlying in 1.94 1.61 20.5% Avg. weighted number of outstanding shares 52.8m 54.5m 11

Reported Net Income and EPS per 9 2007 per 9 2006 EBIT reported 165.3 152.4 8.5% Financial Result -49.5-24.2 EBT 115.8 128.2-9.7% Current tax expense -51.2-51.2 Defered tax expense 52.4 *) -1.8 Net Income reported 117.0 75.2 55.6% EPS in 2.22 1.38 60.9% Avg. weighted number of outstanding shares 52.8m 54.5m *) per 09/2007: including one-off effect out of the revaluation of deferred taxes (49.6m ) due to German Corporate Tax Reform. 12

Cash Flow per 9 2007 per 9 2006 Cash Flow from operating activities 179.8 141.7 26.9% Cash Flow from investing activities -60.1-46.2 30.1% Free Cash Flow 119.7 95.5 25.3% Cash Flow from financing activities -119.9-30.0 Neutral changes equity/assets -0.8 0.7 in cash and cash equivalents -1.0 66.2 Liquidity 30.09 101.2 88.2 Financing activities include: Share buybacks: 2007 84.5m vs 37.5m in 2006 Dividend payment : 2007 43.6m vs 40.2m in 2006 13

Forecast 2007 as Communicated on July 25th FY2006 09/2007 Guidance 2007 Delta Revenues 2,416.2 1,886.8 2,600 +7.6% EBITDA adj. 318.2 280,8 385 +21.0% EBITDA adj. margin 13.2% 14.9% 14.8% Free Cash Flow 115.7 119.7 120 +3.7% Underlying Net Income 121.8 102.5 150 +23.2% 14

Contents 1. Operational & Financial Highlights 2. Divisional formance 3. Group Key Figures Appendix 15

Appendix Profit & Loss In m Q3 2007 Q3 2006 change 09/2007 09/2006 change Revenues 626.2 612.4 2.3% 1,886.8 1,782.4 5.9% Total cost of sales -518.2 *) -512.5 1.1% -1,575.2-1,511.2 4.2% Gross profit 108.0 99.9 8.1% 311.6 271.2 14.9% Gross profit margin 17.2% 16.3% 16.5% 15.2% R & D company funded -21.7-12.7-55.1-42.9 SG&A -32.0-31.4-92.1 88.7 Other operating income (expense) -2.7 10.9 0.9 12.8 EBIT reported 51.6 66.7-22.6% 165.3 152.4 8.5% EBITDA reported 99.8 101.3-1.5% 280.8 261.1 7.5% EBITDA adjusted 99.8 84.1 18.7% 280.8 230.4 21.9% Financial result -10.1-9.9-48.9-23.0 Share of income/loss of Joint Ventures accounted for using the equity method 0.0-0.3-0.6-1.2 Profit before Tax (EBT) 41.5 56.5-26.5% 115.8 128.2-9.7% Taxes 30.5-23.1 1.2-53.0 IFRS net income 72.0 33.4 115.6% 117.0 75.2 55.6% *) including write-off CF34 licence of 14.7m 16

Appendix Revenues / Cost of sales Q3 2007 Q3 2006 change 09/ 2007 09/2006 change Revenues 626.2 612.4 2.3% 1,886.8 1,782.4 5.9% OEM Commercial 266.6 261.1 2.1% 811.5 746.5 8.7% OEM Military 119.0 111.0 7.2% 342.3 315.4 8.5% MRO 247.9 245.7 0.9% 753.2 735.5 2.4% Consolidation -7.3-5.4-20.2-15.0 Cost of Sales -518.2-512.5 1.1% -1,575.2-1,511.2 4.2% OEM (commercial / military) -289.8-296.6 2.3% -917.0-883.2 3.8% MRO -237.1-221.2 7.2% -685.0-642.9 6.5% Consolidation 8.7 5.3 26.8 14.9 17

Appendix Gross Profit / EBIT reported Q3 2007 Q3 2006 change 09/2007 09/2006 change Gross Profit 108.0 99.9 8.1% 311.6 271.2 14.9% OEM (commercial / military) 95.8 75.5 26.9% 236.8 178.7 32.5% MRO 10.8 *) 24.5-55.9% 68.2 92.6-26.3% Consolidation 1.4-0.1 6.6-0.1 EBIT reported 51.6 66.7-22.6% 165.3 152.4 8.5% OEM (commercial / military) 59.3 52.4 13.2% 134.5 100.6 33.7% MRO -7.5 14.3-152.4% 30.8 53.1-42.0 Consolidation -0.2 0.0 0.0-1.3 *) including wirte-off CF34 licence of 14.7m 18

Appendix Research & Development Q3 2007 Q3 2006 09/2007 09/2006 Company expensed R&D 22.2 16.7 32.9% 57.7 55.0 4.9% OEM 18.8 16.5 50.7 50.6 MRO 3.4 0.2 7.0 4.4 Capitalization of R&D -0.5-2.6 Consumption of R&D provision -4.0-12.1 R&D according to IFRS 21.7 12.7 70.9% 55.1 42.9 28.4% Customer funded R&D 19.4 19.7-1.5% 63.4 62.5 1.4% Total R&D 41.6 36.4 14.3% 121.1 117.5 3.1% 19

Appendix EBITDA reported / adjusted Q3 2007 Q3 2006 09/2007 09/2006 EBITDA reported 99.8 101.3-1.5% 280.8 261.1 7.5% OEM (commercial / military) 84.7 78.5 7.9% 210.5 183.0 15.0% MRO 15.3 22.8-32.9% 70.3 79.4-11.5% Consolidation -0.2 0.0 0.0-1.3 EBITDA adjusted 99.8 84.1 18.7% 280.8 230.4 21.9% OEM (commercial / military) 84.7 61.3 38.2% 210.5 152.3 38.2% MRO 15.3 22.8-32.9% 70.3 79.4-11.5% Consolidation -0.2 0.0 0.0-1.3 EBITDA adjusted margin 15.9% 13.7% 14.9% 12.9% OEM (commercial / military) margin 22.0% 16.5% 18.2% 14.3% MRO margin 6.2% 9.3% 9.3% 10.8% 20

Appendix EBITDA Adjustments- Group Level Q3 2007 Q3 2006 09/2007 09/2006 EBIT reported 51.6 66.7-22.6% 165.3 152.4 8.5% Depreciation and amortization 48.2 34.6 115.5 108.7 EBITDA reported 99.8 101.3-1.5% 280.8 261.1 7.5% R&D provision consumption -4.0-12.1 Program value provision release -2.7-8.1 Property sale -10.5-10.5 Total adjustments 0.0-17.2 0.0-30.7 EBITDA adjusted 99.8 84.1 18.7% 280.8 230.4 21.9% 21

Appendix EBITDA Adjustments Segmental Level () OEM Segment Q3 2007 Q3 2006 change 09/2007 09/2006 change EBITDA reported OEM 84.7 78.5 7.9% 210.5 183.0 15.0% R&D cost, not expensed under IFRS -4.0-12.1 Program value provision release -2.7-8.1 Property sale -10.5-10.5 EBITDA adjusted OEM 84.7 61.3 38.2% 210.5 152.3 38.2% MRO Segment Q3 2007 Q3 2006 change 09/2007 09/2007 change EBITDA reported MRO 15.3 22.8-32.9% 70.3 79.4-11.5% EBITDA adjusted MRO 15.3 22.8-32.9% 70.3 79.4-11.5% 22

Appendix Financial Result Q3 2007 Q3 2006 09/2007 09/2006 Income non-consolidated subsidiaries companies / Income from associated companies / Loss from shares in affiliated companies 0.4-0.2 0.4-0.1 Interest Result -2.5-4.7-46.8% -27.2-14.9 82.6% Interest Income 1.9 1.3 5.7 14.3 Interest Payments -4.4-6.0-32.9 *) -29.2 Interest Swaps Other Financial Result -8.0-5.0 60.0% -22.1-8.0 176.3% Gains/losses US$ cash/financing/ Capital lease valuation 0.0 0.7-1.4 1.1 Interest expenses for pension provisions -4.8-4.6-14.5-13.8 Non cash valuations (swaps/commodity) -3.0-1.2-6.1 4.9 Interest R&D provisions and others -0.2 0.1-0.1-0.2 Total Financial Result -10.1-9.9 2.0% -48.9-23.0 112.6% *) Interest payments include 19.1m redemption fee for the High Yield Bond 23

Appendix Cash Flow Q3 2007 Q3 2006 09/2007 09/2006 Net income IFRS 72.0 33.4 115.6% 117.0 75.2 55.6% Depreciation and amortisation 48.2 34.6 115.5 108.7 in Provisions 42.2 33.2 47.1 34.0 in Working Capital -53.2-73.8-44.4-72.4 Deferred taxes -51.3 2.2-50.9 1.8 Gains/losses associated comp. /others 1.4-9.2-4.5-5.6 Cash Flow from operating activities 59.3 20.4 190.7% 179.8 141.7 26.9% Cash Flow from investing activities -21.2-23.5-9.8% -60.1-46.2 30.1% Free Cash Flow 38.1-3.1 1,329.0% 119.7 95.5 25,3% Cash Flow from financing activities -17.4-3.6 383.3% -119.9-30.0 299.7% Effect of exchange rate on cash and cash equivalents -0.3-0.1-0.8 0.7 in cash and cash equivalents 20.4-6.8-1.0 66.2 24

Appendix Working Capital 30.09.2007 31.12.2006 in % Gross inventories 596.7 529.0-67.7 Prepayments -664.7-537.7 127.0 Receivables 889.6 714.2-175.4 Payables -558.8-487.1 71.7 Working Capital 262.8 218.4-44.4-20.3% 25

Appendix PPA depreciation/amortisation () Total depreciation / amortisation Q3 2007 Q3 2006 09/2007 09/2006 MTU total 48.2 34.6 115.5 108.7 OEM 25.4 26.1 76.0 82.4 MRO 22.8 8.5 39.5 26.3 PPA depreciation / amortisation Q3 2007 Q3 2006 09/2007 09/2006 MTU total 13.4 15.1 41.4 50.0 OEM 11.5 13.2 35.6 43.8 MRO 1.9 1.9 5.8 6.2 Depreciation / amortisation w/o PPA Q3 2007 Q3 2006 09/2007 09/2006 MTU total 34.8 19.5 74.1 58.7 OEM 13.9 12.9 40.4 38.6 MRO 20.9 6.6 33.7 20.1 26

Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements Certain of the statements contained herein may be statements of future expectations and other forward-looking statements that are based on management s current views and assumptions and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in such statements. In addition to statements that are forward-looking by reason of context, the words may, will, should, expect, plan, intend, anticipate, forecast, believe, estimate, predict, potential, or continue and similar expressions identify forward-looking statements. Actual results, performance or events may differ materially from those in such statements due to, without limitation, (i) competition from other companies in MTU s industry and MTU s ability to retain or increase its market share, (ii) MTU s reliance on certain customers for its sales, (iii) risks related to MTU s participation in consortia and risk and revenue sharing agreements for new aero engine programs, (iv) the impact of non-compete provisions included in certain of MTU s contracts, (v) the impact of a decline in German or other European defense budgets or changes in funding priorities for military aircraft, (vi) risks associated with government funding, (vii) the impact of significant disruptions in MTU s supply from key vendors, (viii) the continued success of MTU s research and development initiatives, (ix) currency exchange rate fluctuations, (x) changes in tax legislation, (xi) the impact of any product liability claims, (xii) MTU s ability to comply with regulations affecting its business and its ability to respond to changes in the regulatory environment, (xiii) the cyclicality of the airline industry and the current financial difficulties of commercial airlines, (xiv) risks associated with the significant ownership of our equity by affiliates of Kohlberg Kravis Roberts & Co., (xv) our substantial leverage and (xvi) general local and global economic conditions. Many of these factors may be more likely to occur, or more pronounced, as a result of terrorist activities and their consequences. The company assumes no obligation to update any forward-looking statement. Any securities referred to herein have not been and will not be registered under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the Securities Act ), and may not be offered or sold without registration thereunder or pursuant to an available exemption therefrom. Any public offering of securities of MTU Aero Engines to be made in the United States would have to be made by means of a prospectus that would be obtainable from MTU Aero Engines and would contain detailed information about the issuer of the securities and its management, as well as financial statements. Neither this document nor the information contained herein constitutes an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any securities. These materials do not constitute an offer of securities for sale in the United States; the securities may not be offered or sold in the United States absent registration or an exemption from registration. No money, securities or other consideration is being solicited, and, if sent in response to the information contained herein, will not be accepted. 27