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Transcription:

Employability Fund Statistics Starts up to the end of quarter 2 2017/18 (April 2017 September 2017) Outcomes and Outputs for a cohort of leavers (from January 2016 to December 2016) Published on 7 th November 2017 1

Contents Introduction... 1 About the Report...1 About the Employability Fund...1 Allocation of Starts...2 Referral Arrangements...2 Notes to Readers... 4 Key Results... 8 Section 1: EF Starts... 10 Starts by Local Authority... 11 Equality... 12 Gender... 13 Disability... 14 Ethnicity... 15 Care Experience... 16 Section 2: Achievements (Outcomes and Outputs)... 17 Achievement... 18 Equality... 19 Gender... 19 Disability... 19 Ethnicity... 21 Care Experience... 22 Concluding Remarks... 22 Appendix A: Expected participant characteristics... 23 Appendix B: Referral arrangements... 24 Appendix C: EF Starts... 25 Appendix D: EF Outcomes/Outputs for leavers between Oct 2015 and Sept 2016... 32

Introduction About the Report The aim of this report is to provide quarterly statistics on the Employability Fund (EF) including relevant commentary and analysis. Key statistics in this report cover starts and achievements. These achievements are called outcomes and outputs. About the Employability Fund The Employability Fund aims to support activity that will help people to develop the skills they need to secure a job or progress to more advanced forms of training. Skills Development Scotland (SDS) is responsible for the overall administration and management of the Fund, and we invite bids from providers on Public Contracts Scotland to deliver provision each year. The provision offered should be responsive to local needs and opportunities. Therefore, EF contract awards are based on co-decision making between SDS and Local Employability Partnerships (LEP). Pipeline (SSP) see table 1 overleaf. The pipeline is a framework used by LEPs to plan the employability and skills provision required in their Local Authority area. The Fund covers a wide range of development needs: from those who are furthest away from entering the labour market (stage 2) to those who require industry specific training to match and enable them to take up job opportunities (stage 4). Appendix A provides a summary of the characteristics of participants at each stage. The EF funding model for contracted Training Providers rewards the achievement of progression milestones and auditable, positive outcomes (e.g. employment, progression to the next stage of the SSP etc.). The Employability Fund: Has a strong focus on work experience; Responds to differing participant needs; Adapts to local employer demand; Complements other funded training at a local level; and Enables learners to demonstrate achievements to employers through certification. The Employability Fund supports participants and activity that map to stages 2 to 4 of the Strategic Skills and Employability 1

Allocation of Starts Employability Fund starts are allocated to each Local Employability Partnership (LEP) based on local unemployment data (averaged over the financial year). The two advisory groups - which cover the Lowlands and Uplands, and Highlands and Islands areas - agree the methodology. SDS chairs both groups, which include representatives from Local Authorities, DWP and Youthlink Scotland. Once allocated their share of starts, each LEP decides how they wish to distribute this by age and stage in response to local needs as well as taking account of other provision already available in their area. Referral Arrangements SDS and other organisations (see Appendix B) follow assessment and referral processes to identify whether an individual will benefit from the type of activity supported by the Fund and is eligible for support. 2

Table 1: Strategic Skills Pipeline and the Employability Fund Stage and Indicative Nature of Provision Fund Elements Examples of potential delivery Outputs Strategic Skills Pipeline Stage 1 Stage 2 Removing Barriers Stage 3 Vocational Stage 4 Employer Provision at this stage should Training Engagement & Job Stage 5 provide a foundation upon which individuals can build their employability skills, personal development and core skills, including an appropriate level of work experience Provision at this stage should support individuals in preparing for and sustaining employment, including entry to Modern Apprenticeships, and include an element of work experience Matching Provision at this stage should directly enable individuals to access a job, including work experience specialist support target group work preparation personal and life skills core skills development work experience SCQF credit rated pre-employability / personal development/ core skill provision of at least 18 SCQF credit points at level 3 or above. vocational training which develops core skills and links to local labour market opportunities work experience which relates to vocational training and develops employability skills SCQF credit rated employability / vocational provision of at least 18 credit points at level 4 or above industry specific courses and qualifications (within SDS approved listing) customised training for employment work experience Employer or industry certification Outcomes job, self-employment or MA progression to more advanced forms of learning or stage 3 provision sustained job or sustained self employment job, self employment or MA progression to more advanced forms of learning or stage 4 provision sustained job or sustained self employment job, self-employment or MA sustained job or sustained self employment 3

Notes to Readers The statistics in this report are derived from data produced by SDS National Training Programme (NTP) Reporting Team. This report covers statistics related to the Employability Fund. Guidance on how Employability Fund data is collected and reported is available on the SDS Corporate Website entitled Employability Fund Statistics Guidance. SDS recommends that this document is read prior to any further analysis to ensure the figures are interpreted correctly. We have also updated the content of our NTP statistical publications and supplementary tables following a user consultation of our reports. A short report with the results of this consultation can be viewed here. Feedback was positive overall, providing valuable information and an opportunity to make some changes to improve our reports. We intend to make improvements where relevant throughout the 2017/18 reporting cycle. Any comments or suggestions regarding the content of this report are welcome and can be emailed to user_feedback@sds.co.uk Key definitions in this report: Starts A start is counted in the period in which it is approved in our administrative and payment system and where a start payment has been made. If a participant leaves and re-starts on the same stage, within a four-week period, the provider is ineligible for a 2 nd start payment and this second start is therefore not counted. We do not include details of MA starts or performance in relation to the contracting or tendering process. Starts and performance information at provider level is very detailed and not appropriate for our statistical reports. Annual training provider performance data is available on our website. Leavers Leavers are counted in the period when training providers add leaving details to our administrative and payment system. Outcomes/Outputs Outcomes Achievement of an outcome means that an EF participant has progressed to a job, Modern Apprenticeship (MA), self- 4

employment, the next stage of the skills pipeline or a more advanced form of learning. Outputs An output refers to the achievement of any of the following: Certificate of Work Readiness (CWR) or the Falkirk Employability Award Other Employability Award (SCQF credit rated) Vocational Qualifications at stage 4 from a list of suitable qualifications in three categories (A, B and C). Each category attracts a different funding rate. 5

As provision is designed to meet individual need and opportunities, not all participants pursue certification and thus no output payments are made. In this publication, outcomes and outputs (as defined in table 1) are related to the leavers between October 2015 and September 2016 (as illustrated in Figure 1 below). The method of measurement described in Figure 1 ensures that reporting of outcome and output achievement rates are meaningful. This allows us to measure outcome and output rates consistently and to make comparisons over time. Leavers Q4 2015/16 Q1 2015/16 Q2 2016/17 Q3 2016/17 Outcomes and Outputs Q4 2015/16 Q1 2015/16 Q2 2016/17 Q3 2016/17 Q4 2016/17 Q1 2016/17 Q2 2017/18 It is the outcomes and outputs of leavers from the quarters highlighted in blue on the first line that are reported in this publication. Outcome and Output rates are calculated as the number of Outcomes or Outputs as a percentage of the number of leavers. Figure 1: The cohort of leavers used in quarter 2 2017/18 publication alongside the related outcomes and outputs for these leavers 6

There is a lag between participants leaving EF activity and outcomes/outputs being claimed and therefore recorded. The vast majority of claims for outcomes/outputs are received by nine months after the participant s leaving date. As outcomes and outputs are evidence based there are certain rules as to when an outcome or output can be claimed: Job related outcomes (Job, MA or Self-employment) can be claimed when a participant has been in employment for a minimum of four weeks within 26 weeks of leaving EF activity and evidence is provided that this is the case. Progression outcomes (Next stage of the SSP or more advanced learning) can be claimed within six months of a participant leaving EF activity and evidence is provided that this is the case. Outputs can be claimed when evidence is provided to SDS from an awarding body that certification has been achieved by the participant (e.g. CWR). Percentages This report may refer to a percentage increase or decrease of certain values and this refers to the relative change between two numbers e.g. starts increased by +5% compared to the same quarter last year. However, the report may also refer to a percentage point (pp) increase or decrease which refers to the absolute change between two percentages e.g. the achievement rate for EF Starts aged 16-17 increased by +8 pp. In addition, percentages in this report may not always sum to 100% due to rounding. 7

Key Results Data on previous year s Employability Fund starts is available on our website. Trend information on EF starts figures by age and stage is not provided in this publication due to changes to the Employability Fund, including a reduced annual target. Therefore, data comparisons should be treated with caution. Starts There were 4,718 EF starts up to the end of quarter 2 2017/18 against a reduced annual target of 9,000. EF provision is demand led and based on individual need identified in local areas. Just over half of starts were aged 16-17 (51%, +1.3 pp on Q2 2016/17). A further 25% were aged 18-24 (+0.8 pp on Q2 2016/17) and 24% were aged 25 or over (-2.1 pp on Q2 2016/17). Almost half of starts were at stage 3 (47%, -3.8 pp on Q2 2016/17). A further 30% were at stage 2 (+7.2 pp on Q2 2016/17) and 23% were at stage 4 (-3.5 pp on Q2 2016/17). Equality Gender: There were fewer female than male starts to the Employability Fund in quarter two, with females accounting for 33% of starts and males accounting for 66% (around the same as Q2 2016/17). Disability: 19.7% of EF starts self-identified an impairment, health condition or learning difficulty (I/HC/LD) compared to 18.1% (+1.6 pp) at the same point last year. 1 Ethnicity: 3.1% of EF starts self-identified as being from a Mixed or Multiple; Asian; African; Caribbean or Black; and Other ethnic group, +0.2 pp higher than the same point last year. 2 Care Experience: 7.0% of EF starts self-identified as care experienced, +1.2 pp higher than the same point last year. 1 Disclosure was in response to our disability monitoring question, which asks if individuals have an impairment, health condition or learning difficulty. This was aligned to the question wording recommended by the Equality Challenge Unit (ECU) after extensive consultation with disability partners, modern apprentices, training providers and employers. 2 Ethnic groups merged to align with Developing the Young Workforce Scotland s Youth Employment Strategy. 8

Achievements of Leavers from January 2016 to December 2016 The achievement rate is the number of individuals achieving an output, and outcome or both as a proportion of the leavers in the cohort. Across all stages, 70% of leavers achieved a positive result from EF participation in the form of an outcome, an output or both (around the same as the previous cohort, +0.5 pp). o Both the outcome and output rates remained around the same compared to the previous cohort (+0.4 pp and no change respectively). o The increase in the proportion of leavers with an achievement at stages 2 and 3 has been relatively consistent over time. o The stage 4 achievement rate has fluctuated with an increase of +0.6 pp this cohort compared to the previous due to an increase of +1.1 pp in the stage 4 outcome rate. 9

Section 1: EF Starts Data on previous year s Employability Fund starts is available on our website. Trend information on EF starts figures by age and stage is not provided in this publication due to changes to the Employability Fund, including a reduced annual target. Therefore, data comparisons should be treated with caution. There were 4,718 starts on Employability Fund (EF) provision up to the end of quarter 2 2017/18, against a reduced annual target of 9,000 (52%). EF provision is demand led and based on individual need identified in local areas. Figure 1.1 shows the number of starts by age and stage. Just over half of starts were aged 16-17 (51%, an increase of +1.3 pp compared to the same point last year). A further 25% were aged 18-24 (+0.8 pp on the same point last year) and 24% were aged 25 or over (-2.1 pp on the same point last year). Almost half of EF starts were at stage 3 (47%, -3.8 pp compared to the same point last year). A further 30% of starts were at stage 2 (+7.3 pp on the same point last year) and 23% were at stage 4 (-3.5 pp on the same point last year). 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 2,407 51% EF starts by age 1,202 25% Just over half of EF starts were aged 16-17 up to the end of quarter 2 2017/18. Almost half of EF starts (47%) were at stage 3 up to the end of quarter 2 2017/18 Figures may not sum to 100% due to rounding 1,109 24% 16-17 18-24 25+ 1,412 30% EF starts by stage 2,200 47% 1,106 23% Stage 2 Stage 3 Stage 4 Figure 1.1: EF starts by age and stage 10

Starts by Local Authority Glasgow City had the largest number of EF starts at 824, 56% of starts in this Local Authority were at stage 3. Appendix C tables 1 & 2 show the number of starts by Local Authority, age and stage. As it is relatively early in the financial year, starts by stage may be disclosure controlled in instances where figures are less than five or where such figures can be identified through differencing. 3 The breakdown of starts by Local Authority and age/stage is likely to change throughout 2017/18. This reflects the needs by stage for each local area and demonstrates the flexible nature of the Fund, including the response to redundancies managed under PACE partnership arrangements. 3 2 of 32 Local Authorities contain suppressed figures at this point of the financial year (Appendix C table 1) 11

Equality EF provision is available to those who are referred in relation to their need and therefore, positive action to recruit to EF provision is inappropriate. Collecting selfdeclared equality information from participants helps to monitor who is being referred to the Fund. All information held on equality characteristics (e.g. gender, disability, ethnicity) is self-reported and, as a result, there may be some under-reporting within these statistics. SDS is committed to equality of opportunity within the Employability Fund. Our Equality and Diversity Mainstreaming Report details the active steps we are taking, in conjunction with partners, to increase participation in National Training Programmes (NTPs). As part of this, we are also working to improve our understanding of barriers to participation amongst these groups, issues around self-declaration, and how we might further improve the monitoring of participation levels in NTPs. Our commitment to improving equality of access includes open and transparent reporting of equality data. 12

Gender Figure 1.2 shows the proportion of male and female starts up to the end of quarter 2 2017/18 by age and stage. There were fewer female than male starts to the Employability Fund at this point in the financial year with females accounting for 33% of starts and males accounting for 67% (similar to the same point last year). Compared to the same point last year, the proportion of female starts increased by +1.9 pp for 16-17 age group and decreased slightly in the 18-24 (-1.9 pp) and 25+ (-1.5 pp) age groups. At stage 2, the proportion of female starts increased by +2.7 pp, while the proportion of females at both stage 3 and stage 4 decreased by -0.2 pp and -2.9 pp respectively. 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% The highest proportion of female starts was in the 18-24 age group (38% respectively). 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Proportion of starts by gender and age 64% 72% 63% 66% 68% 67% 36% 28% 32% 33% 16-17 18-24 25+ Total Proportion of starts by gender and stage 73% 67% 37% 34% 27% 33% Stage 2 Stage 3 Stage 4 Total The proportion of females at stage 4 is lower than stages 2 and 3. The stage of the SSP that individuals start on is reflective of their individual need. % Male % Female % Male % Female Figure 1.2: Proportion of EF starts by gender, age and stage 13

Disability We continue to put in place a number of measures to promote equality of access to National Training Programmes and the reporting of equality information. Maximising disability disclosure is important to ensure that appropriate support is in place for participants. The proportion of EF starts self-identifying an impairment, health condition or learning difficulty (I/HC/LD) was 19.7%. This is compared to 18.1% at the same point last year (an increase of +1.6 pp). Our monitoring question also asked EF starts to provide further details of their disability from a list of options. This information will be reported annually in our year end publication. 30.0% 25.0% 20.0% 15.0% 10.0% 5.0% 0.0% 19.7% Disability of EF starts self-identified an impairment, health condition or learning difficulty up to the end of Q2 2017/18 Disability - proportion of starts by age 19.6% 23.9% 15.6% 19.7% A relatively high proportion of 18-24 year old starts self-identified as having an I/HC/LD (23.9%) 30.0% 25.0% 20.0% 15.0% 10.0% 5.0% 0.0% 16-17 18-24 25+ Total Disability - proportion of starts by stage 26.0% 18.2% 15.0% 19.7% Stage 2 Stage 3 Stage 4 Total A relatively high proportion of stage 2 starts self-identified as having an I/HC/LD (26.0%). This may be reflective of provision at this stage of the SSP, which focuses on removing barriers and building foundations for individuals to improve their employability skills. Figure 1.3: Disability - Proportion of EF starts selfidentifying an I/HC/LD 14

Ethnicity All EF starts are also asked to provide information about their ethnicity on a self-declaration basis. In summary, the proportion of EF starts self-identifying as being from a Mixed or Multiple; Asian; African; Caribbean or Black; and Other ethnic group was 3.1% up to the end of quarter 2 2017/18. 4 This is compared to 2.9% up to the end of quarter 2 2016/17 (+0.2 pp). 3.1% 5.0% 4.0% 3.0% 2.0% 1.0% 0.0% Ethnicity of EF starts up to the end of Q2 2017/18 self-identify as being from a Mixed or Multiple; Asian; African; Caribbean or Black; and Other ethnic group Ethnicity - Proportion of Starts by Age 2.5% 2.8% 4.6% 3.1% 16-17 18-24 25+ Total The highest proportion of EF starts from a Mixed or Multiple; Asian; African; Caribbean or Black; and Other ethnic group were aged 25+ (4.6%). Ethnicity - Proportion of Starts by Stage 4.0% 3.0% 3.1% 3.4% 2.5% 3.1% 2.0% 1.0% 0.0% Stage 2 Stage 3 Stage 4 Total The proportion of starts from a Mixed or Multiple; Asian; African; Caribbean or Black; and Other ethnic group is the same across all stages (3.1%). 4 Ethnic groups merged to align with Developing the Young Workforce Scotland s Youth Employment Strategy. Additional Ethnicity Information The proportion of starts from a Mixed or Multiple; Asian; African; Caribbean or Black; and Other ethnic group when including white other is 4.4%. Figure 1.4: Ethnicity - Proportion of EF starts by ethnic group 15

Care Experience Our Equality and Diversity Mainstreaming Report also details our commitment to supporting individuals with care experience, as does our Corporate Parenting Plan (published in October 2016). We started collecting self-declared information on care experience in 2015/16. 5 Up to the end of quarter 2 2017/18, 7.0% of EF starts self-identified as having care experience. This is compared to 5.9% up to the end of quarter 2 2016/17 (+1.2 pp higher). 7.0% 10.0% 8.0% 6.0% 4.0% 2.0% 0.0% Care Experience of EF starts up to the end of Q2 2017/18 selfidentified as care experienced Care Experience - Proportion of Starts by Age 8.7% 5.6% 5.1% 7.0% 16-17 18-24 25+ Total 5 In response to the question, Have you ever been in care? In care means you are or were formally looked after by a local authority, in the family home (with support from social services or a social worker) or elsewhere, for example, in foster care, residential/secure care, or kinship care (with family friends or relatives). The highest proportion of EF starts that self-identified as care experienced were aged 16-17 (8.7%). 12.0% 10.0% 8.0% 6.0% 4.0% 2.0% 0.0% Care Experience - Proportion of Starts by Stage 11.0% 5.8% 4.6% The proportion of EF starts that self-identified as care experienced was highest at stage 2 (11.0%). 7.0% Stage 2 Stage 3 Stage 4 Total Figure 1.5: Care Experience Proportion of EF starts selfidentifying care experience 16

Section 2: Achievements (Outcomes and Outputs) The outcomes and outputs detailed in this section of the report are based on a cohort of all leavers between January 2016 and December 2016 (inclusive) (see Figure 1 on page 5). The Employability Fund rewards Training Providers for outputs (certification) and outcomes (progression to a Job, MA, selfemployment, more advanced form of learning or progression to the next stage of the SSP). The fund is designed to allow providers to help individuals with differing needs secure positive outcomes (See Table 1). Payments are made when claims are recorded on CTS, when sufficient evidence of an output/outcome is gathered according to the EF rules. These rules are as follows: Outputs - when the provider has evidence from the awarding body that certification (e.g. Certificate of Work Readiness) has been achieved. Job related outcomes (Job, MA or Self Employment) - can be claimed when a participant has been in employment for a minimum of four weeks within 26 weeks of leaving EF activity and evidence is provided that this is the case. Progression outcomes (Next stage of the SSP or more advanced learning) - can be claimed within six months of a participant leaving EF activity where evidence is provided that this is the case. Analysis has shown that the vast majority of claims for outputs/outcomes are received within 9 months of the participants leaving date. Table 2.1 shows a breakdown of the number of leavers between January 2016 to December 2016 by age and stage. It is the outcomes and outputs of these leavers that the figures published here related to. The majority of leavers were aged 16-17 (51%) and most participants left stage 3 (51%), a similar breakdown to the leavers from last quarter. Table 2.1: Leavers by age and stage Stage Stage 2 Stage 3 Stage 4 Total % of total 16-17 2,589 4,826 220 7,635 51% 18-24 481 1,944 1,025 3,450 23% 25+ 133 859 2,804 3,796 26% Total 3,203 7,629 4,049 14,881 100% % of total 22% 51% 27% 100% - 17

48% 49% 49% 50% 49% 51% 49% 51% 50% 51% Achievement This section provides a summary of the achievements of leavers from October 2015 to September 2016. Definitions of Outcomes, Outputs and Overall Achievement are available in Appendix D. Achievements are calculated as those individuals who have achieved an outcome, output or both. 6 Seventy percent of leavers between January 2016 and December 2016 achieved an outcome, an output or both across all stages, the same as the previous cohort. Figure 2.2 summarises the outcome rate, output rate and overall achievement rate over time. The proportion of leavers with an achievement (an outcome, an output or both) has been relatively consistent for the past three cohorts, following a gradual increase over time. Both the outcome and output rates have remained around the same compared to the previous cohort (outcome rate increased by +0.4 pp, output rate remained the same). The increase in the proportion of leavers with an achievement at stages 2 and 3 has been relatively consistent over time. Stage 4 achievement has fluctuated over time however, there was an increase of +0.6 pp this cohort compared to the previous due to an increase of +1.1 pp in the stage 4 outcome rate. 80.0% 70.0% 60.0% 50.0% 40.0% 30.0% 20.0% 10.0% 0.0% Achievement over time 69.0% 68.8% 69.8% 69.8% 70.3% Q2 2016/17 Q3 2016/17 Q4 2016/17 Q1 2017/18 Q2 2017/18 Outcome Rate Output Rate Achievement Rate Figure 2.2: Overall achievement, outcome and output rates over time 6 Note: In Figure 2.2 this means that the outcome and output rates cannot be summed to get the achievement rate as some individuals may have left EF provision with both and output and an outcome. 18

67.7% 68.5% 68.5% 69.0% 69.2% 70.1% 69.0% 70.2% 68.8% 71.1% Equality This section of the report details the outcomes and outputs of leavers between January 2016 to December 2016 by gender, disability, ethnicity and care experience. We started collecting care experience information through our equality monitoring form in April 2015. Analysis of achievements by care experience status is relatively new, as the calculation of output and outcome rates is based on a cohort approach (see Figure 1). We have also continued to put in place a number of measures to promote equality of access to the Employability Fund and the reporting of equality information. This included a new disability disclosure monitoring question from April 2016 based on the recommendations of the Equality Challenge Unit (ECU). This new reporting mechanism, alongside equality training given to training providers is likely to have contributed to increased disability declaration since 2016/17, but this will not be fully reflected in the cohort of leavers reported in this section due to the unavoidable time lag in the reporting of this data. Gender Overall Achievement (Outcome, output or both) Gender The analysis in this section refers to individuals who have achieved an outcome only, an output only or both. For leavers in this cohort, there was a slightly smaller proportion of females than males leaving EF provision with an achievement (-2.3 pp less). This is due to fewer females working towards and therefore achieving an output (73% of females working towards an output compared to 77% of males). The outcome rate for females is slightly higher than that for males (49.8% outcome rate for females, compared to 49.4% for males). Compared to the previous cohort (Q1 2017/18), the achievement rate for males has increased (+0.9 pp) and the rate for females has remained around the same (-0.2 pp). 80.0% 70.0% 60.0% 50.0% 40.0% 30.0% 20.0% 10.0% 0.0% Q2 2016/17 Achievement by Gender over time Q3 2016/17 Q4 2016/17 Q1 2017/18 Q2 2017/18 Female Male Figure 2.3: Overall achievement rates by gender over time 19

66.2% 68.4% 66.6% 69.2% 67.8% 70.1% 67.6% 70.2% 68.9% 70.7% Disability Achievement (Outcome, output or both) Disability The analysis in this section refers to individuals who have achieved an outcome only, an output only or both (Figure 2.4). The achievement rate for those who self-identified as disabled is 68.9%, an increase of +1.2 pp on the previous cohort. In this cohort, the achievement rate for those who self-identified as disabled was -1.8 pp lower than those who did not. This is explained by the lower outcome rate for those who self-identified as disabled (46.5% for those who self-identified as disabled compared to 50.1% for those who did not), as the output rate for those who self-identified as disabled is around the same as for those who did not (51%). 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Achievement by Disability status over time Q2 2016/17 Q3 2016/17 Q4 2016/17 Q1 2017/18 Q2 2017/18 Disabled Not Disabled Figure 2.4: Overall achievement rates by disability status over time 20

65.9% 68.3% 68.4% 68.9% 69.3% 69.9% 70.9% 69.8% 70.6% 70.3% Ethnicity Achievement (Outcome, output or both) - Ethnicity The analysis in this section refers to individuals who have achieved an outcome only, an output only or both. Figure 2.5 shows that for this cohort, leavers who self-identify being from a Mixed or Multiple; Asian; African; Caribbean or Black; and Other ethnic group have a slightly higher achievement rate than those who self-identify as White (+0.3 pp higher). This is a slight decrease on the previous cohort, where the achievement rate was +1.1 pp higher than those who selfidentify as White. 80.0% 70.0% 60.0% 50.0% 40.0% 30.0% 20.0% 10.0% 0.0% Achievement by Ethnicity Status over time Q2 2016/17 Q3 2016/17 Q4 2016/17 Q1 2017/18 Q2 2017/18 Mixed or Multiple; Asian; African; Caribbean or Black; and Other ethnic group White Figure 2.5: Overall achievement rate by ethnic group over time The outcome rate for those who self identify being from a Mixed or Multiple; Asian; African; Caribbean or Black; and Other ethnic group remained around the same as the previous cohort (-0.3 pp) and the output rate increased by +1.1 pp. Both the outcome and output rate for those who self-identify as White remained around the same as the previous cohort (+0.5 pp for outcomes). 21

56.4% 70.4% 57.3% 70.6% 58.0% 71.2% Care Experience Achievement (Output, Outcome or Both) Care Experience Of those who self-identified care experience, 58.0% achieved an outcome only, and output only or both, -13.2 pp lower than for those who did not identify care experience (71.2%). The difference between achievement rate for those who selfidentified care experience and those who did not has remained the same compared to the previous cohort. The overall achievement rate for those who self-identify as care experienced increased (+0.7 pp), due to an increase in both the outcome and output rates compared to the previous cohort (+1.4 pp and +1.8 pp respectively). The achievement rate for those who did not identify care experience also increased compared to the previous cohort (+0.6 pp), due to an increase in the outcome rate (+0.8 pp) whilst the output rate remained around the same (+0.3 pp). 80.0% 70.0% 60.0% 50.0% 40.0% 30.0% 20.0% 10.0% 0.0% Figure 2.6: Overall achievement rate by care experience status over time Concluding Remarks This is the 12 th release of Employability Fund achievement data since the Fund was introduced in April 2013. Trend analysis has been included in this release where available. The first section highlights the number of EF starts up to the end of quarter 2 2017/18, and the second section reports on the achievements (outcomes and outputs) associated with participants that left Employability Fund provision between January 2016 and December 2016. Achievement by Care Experience Status over time Q4 2016/17 Q1 2017/18 Q2 2017/18 Care Experience No Care Experience 22

Appendix A: Expected participant characteristics Stage 2 Individuals who enter this stage of their employability journey are not job ready. They should be ready to undertake activity at SCQF level 3 in terms of work-related tasks that means that, for example, they can work alone or with others on simple routine, familiar tasks under frequent supervision. They should also be able to participate in the setting of goals, timelines, etc. They may have core skill development needs and/or personal barriers such as motivation, self-confidence or selfdiscipline challenges which activity should help to address. When they leave this stage of the SSP, they should have demonstrably improved their employability skills but are not necessarily expected to be fully job ready unless they have progressed very quickly. Stage 3 Individuals who enter this stage of their employability journey are likely to be closer to being job ready than those at stage 2 of the SSP. They should be ready to undertake tasks at SCQF level 4 in terms of work-related tasks which means that, for example, they can work alone or with others on straightforward tasks, contribute to the setting of goals, timelines, etc. When they leave this stage of the SSP, they should have evidence to demonstrate their job readiness to an employer. Stage 4 Individuals who enter this stage of their employability journey are likely to be job ready when they start in terms of their generic employability skills. They should undertake activity that allows them to develop specific skills that greatly improve their chances of gaining employment when the activity is completed. When they leave this stage of the SSP, they should have certification that relates to specific job roles improving their access to job opportunities. 23

Appendix B: Referral arrangements In developing the EF referral process, SDS consulted with stakeholders, partners and staff. The process aims to offer a flexible, simplified system for referral organisations, participants and providers to ensure that each individual supported by the EF enters at the appropriate stage of the SSP, according to their assessed needs. The following organisations have designated staff that can refer individuals into the EF: Department of Work and Pensions (DWP) Local Authorities Colleges SDS Contracted Providers It is important to note that entry to the Employability Fund is an early intervention programme and it is not compulsory for individuals to enter or complete provision. Entry to each stage of the EF requires the appropriate referral organisation to confirm eligibility (at every stage) and complete an assessment of suitability at all stages (using the SDS standard referral process at stage 2). 24

Appendix C: EF Starts Table 1: EF starts up to the end of quarter 2 2017/18 by Local Authority (based on trainee home address) and stage Local Authority Stage 2 Stage 3 Stage 4 Total Aberdeen City 42 26 10 78 Aberdeenshire 35 26 44 105 Angus 25 55 29 109 Argyll & Bute 15 13 5 33 Clackmannanshire 7 34 18 59 Dumfries & Galloway 23 56 41 120 Dundee City 97 107 14 218 East Ayrshire 53 48 58 159 East Dunbartonshire 24 37 8 69 East Lothian 12 38 9 59 East Renfrewshire 17 21 10 48 Edinburgh, City of 68 135 68 271 Falkirk 22 95 31 148 Fife 72 199 129 400 Glasgow City 251 459 114 824 Highland 43 38 22 103 Inverclyde 31 57 16 104 Midlothian 9 54 6 69 Moray 14 11 31 56 Na h-eileanan Siar 11 * * 19 North Ayrshire 60 46 33 139 North Lanarkshire 130 145 77 352 Orkney Islands 0 7 18 25 Perth & Kinross 39 40 28 107 Renfrewshire 74 90 40 204 Scottish Borders 23 19 24 66 Shetland Islands 0 9 8 17 South Ayrshire 25 35 33 93 South Lanarkshire 102 127 127 356 Stirling 15 * * 65 West Dunbartonshire 36 45 37 118 West Lothian 37 76 12 125 Total 1,412 2,200 1,106 4,718 Note: Disclosure control has been applied where figures are less than 5 or where such small numbers can be identified through differencing 25

Table 2: EF starts up to the end of quarter 2 2017/18 by Local Authority (based on trainee home address) and age Local Authority 16-17 18-24 25+ Total Aberdeen City 53 * * 78 Aberdeenshire 41 30 34 105 Angus 57 30 22 109 Argyll & Bute 22 * * 33 Clackmannanshire 30 12 17 59 Dumfries & Galloway 49 30 41 120 Dundee City 139 61 18 218 East Ayrshire 56 55 48 159 East Dunbartonshire 32 22 15 69 East Lothian 36 18 5 59 East Renfrewshire 24 16 8 48 Edinburgh, City of 148 54 69 271 Falkirk 77 37 34 148 Fife 167 106 127 400 Glasgow City 451 235 138 824 Highland 56 30 17 103 Inverclyde 55 33 16 104 Midlothian 48 16 5 69 Moray 22 9 25 56 Na h-eileanan Siar 11 * * 19 North Ayrshire 57 41 41 139 North Lanarkshire 199 53 100 352 Orkney Islands * *8 14 25 Perth & Kinross 60 36 11 107 Renfrewshire 96 46 62 204 Scottish Borders 31 17 18 66 Shetland Islands * 7 * 17 South Ayrshire 42 30 21 93 South Lanarkshire 157 60 139 356 Stirling 44 15 6 65 West Dunbartonshire 55 30 33 118 West Lothian 83 29 13 125 Grand Total 2,407 1,202 1,109 4,718 Note: Disclosure control has been applied where figures are less than 5 or where such small numbers can be identified through differencing 26

Table 3: EF starts up to the end of quarter 2 2017/18 by age and gender Age Female Male Total 16-17 867 1,540 2,407 18-24 341 861 1,202 25+ 354 755 1,109 Total 1,562 3,156 4,718 Table 4: EF starts up to the end of quarter 2 2017/18 by stage and gender Stage Female Male Total Stage 2 517 895 1,412 Stage 3 747 1,453 2,200 Stage 4 298 808 1,106 Total 1,562 3,156 4,718 Table 5: EF starts up to the end of quarter 2 2017/18 by age and self-identified disability status Age Band Self-identified impairment, health condition or learning difficulty No impairment, health condition or learning difficulty Prefer not to say Total Known Self-identified impairment, health condition or learning difficulty as % of total known 16-17 459 1,888 60 2,407 2,347 19.6% 18-24 283 900 19 1,202 1,183 23.9% 25+ 170 920 19 1,109 1,090 15.6% Total 912 3,708 98 4,718 4,620 19.7% 27

Table 6: EF starts up to the end of quarter 2 2017/18 by stage and self-identified disability status Stage Self-identified impairment, health condition or learning difficulty No impairment, health condition or learning difficulty Prefer not to say Total Known Self-identified impairment, health condition or learning difficulty as % of total known Stage 2 355 1,012 45 1,412 1,367 26.0% Stage 3 394 1,769 37 2,200 2,163 18.2% Stage 4 163 927 16 1,106 1,090 15.0% Total 912 3,708 98 4,718 4,620 19.7% Table 7: EF starts up to the end of quarter 2 2017/18 by gender and self-identified disability status Stage Self-identified impairment, health condition or learning difficulty No impairment, health condition or learning difficulty Prefer not to say Total Known Self-identified impairment, health condition or learning difficulty as % of total known Female 381 1,156 25 1,562 1,537 24.8% Male 531 2,552 73 3,156 3,083 17.2% Total 912 3,708 98 4,718 4,620 19.7% 28

Table 8: EF starts up to the end of quarter 2 2017/18 by age and ethnicity Age band Mixed or Multiple; Asian; African; Caribbean or Black; and Other ethnic group White Prefer not to say Total Known Mixed or Multiple; Asian; African; Caribbean or Black; and Other ethnic group as % of known by age 16-17 61 2,338 8 2,407 2,399 2.5% 18-24 33 1,160 9 1,202 1,193 2.8% 25+ 50 1,043 16 1,109 1,093 4.6% Total 144 4,541 33 4,718 4,685 3.1% Table 9: EF starts up to the end of quarter 2 2017/18 by stage and ethnicity Stage Mixed or Multiple; Asian; African; Caribbean or Black; and Other ethnic group White Prefer not to say Total Known Mixed or Multiple; Asian; African; Caribbean or Black; and Other ethnic group as % of known by stage Stage 2 43 1,360 9 1,412 1,403 3.1% Stage 3 74 2,120 6 2,200 2,194 3.4% Stage 4 27 1,061 18 1,106 1,088 2.5% Total 144 4,541 33 4,718 4,685 3.1% 29

Table 10: EF starts up to the end of quarter 2 2017/18 by gender and ethnicity Gender Mixed or Multiple; Asian; African; Caribbean or Black; and Other ethnic group White Prefer not to say Total Known Mixed or Multiple; Asian; African; Caribbean or Black; and Other ethnic group as % of known by gender Female 54 1,503 5 1,562 1,557 3.5% Male 90 3,038 28 3,156 3,128 2.9% Total 144 4,541 33 4,718 4,685 3.1% Table 11: EF starts up to the end of quarter 2 2017/18 who self-identified as care experienced by age Age band Care experience No care experience Prefer not to say Total Known Care experience as a % of known 16-17 206 2,175 26 2,407 2,381 8.7% 18-24 66 1,119 17 1,202 1,185 5.6% 25+ 56 1,043 10 1,109 1,099 5.1% Total 328 4,337 53 4,718 4,665 7.0% 30

Table 12: EF starts up to the end of quarter 2 2017/18 who self-identified as care experienced by stage Stage Care experience No care experience Prefer not to say/ unknown Total Known Care experience as a % of known Stage 2 152 1,231 29 1,412 1,383 11.0% Stage 3 126 2,060 14 2,200 2,186 5.8% Stage 4 50 1,046 10 1,106 1,096 4.6% Total 328 4,337 53 4,718 4,665 7.0% Table 13: EF starts up to the end of quarter 2 2017/18 who self-identified as care experienced by gender Stage Care experience No care experience Prefer not to say/ unknown Total Known Care experience as a % of known Female 141 1,409 12 1,562 1,550 9.1% Male 187 2,928 41 3,156 3,115 6.0% Total 328 4,337 53 4,718 4,665 7.0% 31

Appendix D: EF Outcomes/Outputs related to leavers between January 2016 and December 2016 Outcomes An outcome can be claimed if, within 26 weeks of leaving EF provision, a participant enters a job, MA, self-employment, advanced learning or the next stage of the skills pipeline. The Outcome Rate is the number of outcomes claimed as proportion of the number of leavers in the cohort. Outputs Outputs are defined as SCQF credit rated certification including a full employability award or vocational qualification. An output is counted when certification is achieved and a claim is made. An output can be any of the following: Certificate of Work Readiness and Falkirk Employability Award; Other employability award; Qualification A, B or C (From a defined list of approved qualifications at stage 4 only). Qualifications at stage 4 directly relate to specific skills that employers demand. Some individuals at stage 4 may already have the required skills in their field and may choose not to work towards an output. The Output Rate is the number of outputs claimed as proportion of the number of leavers in the cohort. Achievements Achievement Rate is calculated as the number of EF leavers who achieved an outcome only, an output only or both as a proportion of the leavers in the cohort. Note: the outcome and output rates cannot be summed to the achievement rate, this is because the achievement rate is calculated as those who achieved an outcome, output or both. 32

Table 1: Outcomes by stage Stage Job MA Self Employment Job related Progression related Totals Stage 2 to 3 Stage 3 to 4 More Advanced Learning Total Outcomes Total Leavers Outcome Rate Stage 2 282 33 0 1,153 0 250 1,718 3,203 54% Stage 3 2,081 678 5 0 227 676 3,667 7,629 48% Stage 4 1,707 83 149 0 0 45 1,984 4,049 49% Total 4,070 794 154 1,153 227 971 7,369 14,881 50% Table 2: Outputs by stage Stage Certificate of Work Readiness Stage 2 and 3 Stage 4 only Totals Other Employability Award (SCQF) Qual A Qual B Qual C Total Outputs Total Leavers Output Rate Stage 2 0 2,062 0 0 0 2,062 3,203 64% Stage 3 1,434 3,047 0 0 0 4,510 7,629 59% Stage 4 0 0 130 476 394 1,000 4,049 25% Total 1,434 5,109 130 476 394 7,572 14,881 51% 33

Table 3: Achievement by stage Stage Outcome, Output or Both Leavers Achievement Rate Stage 2 2,432 3,203 76% Stage 3 5,618 7,629 74% Stage 4 2,413 4,049 60% Total 10,463 14,881 70% Table 4: Achievement summary by equality characteristics Equality Summary (excluding prefer not to say) Outcome, Output or Both Leavers Achievement Rate Gender Female 3,505 5,094 69% Male 6,958 9,787 71% Disability Disabled 1,467 2,130 69% Not Disabled 8,764 12,401 71% Ethnicity Mixed or Multiple; Asian; African; Caribbean or Black; and Other ethnic group 329 466 71% White 10,086 14,338 70% Care Care Experience 428 738 58% Experience No Care Experience 9,846 13,836 71% Total All Leavers 10,463 14,881 70% 34