Employability Fund Statistics Starts up to the end of quarter 1 2017/18 (April 2017 June 2017) Outcomes and Outputs for a cohort of leavers (from October 2015 to September 2016) Published on 1 st August 2017 1
Contents Introduction... 1 About the Report...1 About the Employability Fund...1 Allocation of Starts...2 Referral Arrangements...2 Notes to Readers... 4 Key Results... 8 Section 1: EF Starts... 10 Starts by Local Authority... 11 Equality... 12 Gender... 13 Disability... 14 Ethnicity... 15 Care Experience... 16 Section 2: Achievements (Outcomes and Outputs)... 17 Achievement... 18 Equality... 19 Gender... 19 Disability... 20 Ethnicity... 21 Care Experience... 22 Concluding Remarks... 23 Appendix A: Expected participant characteristics... 24 Appendix B: Referral arrangements... 25 Appendix C: EF Starts... 26 Appendix D: EF Outcomes/Outputs for leavers between Oct 2015 and Sept 2016... 33
Introduction About the Report The aim of this report is to provide quarterly statistics on the Employability Fund (EF) including relevant commentary and analysis. Key statistics in this report cover starts and achievements. These achievements are called outcomes and outputs. About the Employability Fund The Employability Fund aims to support activity that will help people to develop the skills they need to secure a job or progress to more advanced forms of training. Skills Development Scotland (SDS) is responsible for the overall administration and management of the Fund, and we invite bids from providers on Public Contracts Scotland to deliver provision each year. The provision offered should be responsive to local needs and opportunities. Therefore, EF contract awards are based on co-decision making between SDS and Local Employability Partnerships (LEP). Pipeline (SSP) see table 1 overleaf. The pipeline is a framework used by LEPs to plan the employability and skills provision required in their Local Authority area. The Fund covers a wide range of development needs: from those who are furthest away from entering the labour market (stage 2) to those who require industry specific training to match and enable them to take up job opportunities (stage 4). Appendix A provides a summary of the characteristics of participants at each stage. The EF funding model for contracted Training Providers rewards the achievement of progression milestones and auditable, positive outcomes (e.g. employment, progression to the next stage of the SSP etc.). The Employability Fund: Has a strong focus on work experience; Responds to differing participant needs; Adapts to local employer demand; Complements other funded training at a local level; and Enables learners to demonstrate achievements to employers through certification. The Employability Fund supports participants and activity that map to stages 2 to 4 of the Strategic Skills and Employability 1
Allocation of Starts Employability Fund starts are allocated to each Local Employability Partnership (LEP) based on local unemployment data (averaged over the financial year). The two advisory groups - which cover the Lowlands and Uplands, and Highlands and Islands areas - agree the methodology. SDS chairs both groups, which include representatives from Local Authorities, DWP and Youthlink Scotland. Once allocated their share of starts, each LEP decides how they wish to distribute this by age and stage in response to local needs as well as taking account of other provision already available in their area. Referral Arrangements SDS and other organisations (see Appendix B) follow assessment and referral processes to identify whether an individual will benefit from the type of activity supported by the Fund and is eligible for support. 2
Table 1: Strategic Skills Pipeline and the Employability Fund Stage and Indicative Nature of Provision Fund Elements Examples of potential delivery Outputs Strategic Skills Pipeline Stage 1 Stage 2 Removing Barriers Stage 3 Vocational Stage 4 Employer Provision at this stage should Training Engagement & Job Stage 5 provide a foundation upon which individuals can build their employability skills, personal development and core skills, including an appropriate level of work experience Provision at this stage should support individuals in preparing for and sustaining employment, including entry to Modern Apprenticeships, and include an element of work experience Matching Provision at this stage should directly enable individuals to access a job, including work experience specialist support target group work preparation personal and life skills core skills development work experience SCQF credit rated pre-employability / personal development/ core skill provision of at least 18 SCQF credit points at level 3 or above. vocational training which develops core skills and links to local labour market opportunities work experience which relates to vocational training and develops employability skills SCQF credit rated employability / vocational provision of at least 18 credit points at level 4 or above industry specific courses and qualifications (within SDS approved listing) customised training for employment work experience Employer or industry certification Outcomes job, self-employment or MA progression to more advanced forms of learning or stage 3 provision sustained job or sustained self employment job, self employment or MA progression to more advanced forms of learning or stage 4 provision sustained job or sustained self employment job, self-employment or MA sustained job or sustained self employment 3
Notes to Readers The statistics in this report are derived from data produced by SDS National Training Programme (NTP) Reporting Team. This report covers statistics related to the Employability Fund. Guidance on how Employability Fund data is collected and reported is available on the SDS Corporate Website entitled Employability Fund Statistics Guidance. SDS recommends that this document is read prior to any further analysis to ensure the figures are interpreted correctly. We have also updated the content of our NTP statistical publications and supplementary tables following a user consultation of our reports. A short report with the results of this consultation can be viewed here. Feedback was positive overall, providing valuable information and an opportunity to make some changes to improve our reports. We intend to make improvements where relevant throughout the 2017/18 reporting cycle. Any comments or suggestions regarding the content of this report are welcome and can be emailed to user_feedback@sds.co.uk Key definitions in this report: Starts A start is counted in the period in which it is approved in our administrative and payment system and where a start payment has been made. If a participant leaves and re-starts on the same stage, within a four-week period, the provider is ineligible for a 2 nd start payment and this second start is therefore not counted. We do not include details of MA starts or performance in relation to the contracting or tendering process. Starts and performance information at provider level is very detailed and not appropriate for our statistical reports. Annual training provider performance data is available on our website. Leavers Leavers are counted in the period when training providers add leaving details to our administrative and payment system. Outcomes/Outputs Outcomes Achievement of an outcome means that an EF participant has progressed to a job, Modern Apprenticeship (MA), self- 4
employment, the next stage of the skills pipeline or a more advanced form of learning. Outputs An output refers to the achievement of any of the following: Certificate of Work Readiness (CWR) or the Falkirk Employability Award Other Employability Award (SCQF credit rated) Vocational Qualifications at stage 4 from a list of suitable qualifications in three categories (A, B and C). Each category attracts a different funding rate. 5
As provision is designed to meet individual need and opportunities, not all participants pursue certification and thus no output payments are made. In this publication, outcomes and outputs (as defined in table 1) are related to the leavers between October 2015 and September 2016 (as illustrated in Figure 1 below). The method of measurement described in Figure 1 ensures that reporting of outcome and output achievement rates are meaningful. This allows us to measure outcome and output rates consistently and to make comparisons over time. Leavers Q3 2015/16 Q4 2015/16 Q1 2016/17 Q2 2016/17 Outcomes and Outputs Q3 2015/16 Q4 2015/16 Q1 2016/17 Q2 2016/17 Q3 2016/17 Q4 2016/17 Q1 2017/18 It is the outcomes and outputs of leavers from the quarters highlighted in blue on the first line that are reported in this publication. Outcome and Output rates are calculated as the number of Outcomes or Outputs as a percentage of the number of leavers. Figure 1: The cohort of leavers used in quarter 1 2017/18 publication alongside the related outcomes and outputs for these leavers 6
There is a lag between participants leaving EF activity and outcomes/outputs being claimed and therefore recorded. The vast majority of claims for outcomes/outputs are received by nine months after the participant s leaving date. As outcomes and outputs are evidence based there are certain rules as to when an outcome or output can be claimed: Job related outcomes (Job, MA or Self-employment) can be claimed when a participant has been in employment for a minimum of four weeks within 26 weeks of leaving EF activity and evidence is provided that this is the case. Progression outcomes (Next stage of the SSP or more advanced learning) can be claimed within six months of a participant leaving EF activity and evidence is provided that this is the case. Outputs can be claimed when evidence is provided to SDS from an awarding body that certification has been achieved by the participant (e.g. CWR). Percentages This report may refer to a percentage increase or decrease of certain values and this refers to the relative change between two numbers e.g. starts increased by +5% compared to the same quarter last year. However, the report may also refer to a percentage point (pp) increase or decrease which refers to the absolute change between two percentages e.g. the achievement rate for EF Starts aged 16-17 increased by +8 pp. In addition, percentages in this report may not always sum to 100% due to rounding. 7
Key Results Data on previous year s Employability Fund starts is available on our website. Trend information on EF starts figures by age and stage is not provided in this publication due to changes to the Employability Fund, including a reduced annual target. Therefore, data comparisons should be treated with caution. Starts There were 2,062 EF starts up to the end of quarter 1 2017/18 against a reduced annual target of 9,000. EF provision is demand led and based on individual need identified in local areas. Just over half of starts were aged 16-17 (52%). A further 25% were aged 18-24 and 24% were aged 25 or over. Almost half of starts were at stage 3 (47%). A further 31% were at stage 2 and 22% were at stage 4. Disability: 19.4% of EF starts self-identified an impairment, health condition or learning difficulty (I/HC/LD) compared to 16.8% (+2.6 pp) at the same point last year. 1 Ethnicity: 3.1% of EF starts self-identified as being from a Mixed or Multiple; Asian; African; Caribbean or Black; and Other ethnic group, +0.7 pp higher than the same point last year. 2 Care Experience: 7.2% of EF starts self-identified as care experienced, +0.9 pp higher than the same point last year. Equality Gender: There were fewer female than male starts to the Employability Fund in quarter one, with females accounting for 36% of starts and males accounting for 64%. The proportion of female starts is higher than the same point last year (+4.1pp). 1 Disclosure was in response to our disability monitoring question, which asks if individuals have an impairment, health condition or learning difficulty. This was aligned to the question wording recommended by the Equality Challenge Unit (ECU) after extensive consultation with disability partners, modern apprentices, training providers and employers. 2 Ethnic groups merged to align with Developing the Young Workforce Scotland s Youth Employment Strategy. 8
Achievements of Leavers from October 2015 to September 2016 The achievement rate is the number of individuals achieving an output, and outcome or both as a proportion of the leavers in the cohort. Across all stages, 70% of leavers achieved a positive result from EF participation in the form of an outcome, an output or both (the same as the previous cohort). o This is due to both the outcome and output rates remaining around the same compared to the previous cohort (-0.1 pp and +0.3 pp respectively). o The increase in the proportion of leavers with an achievement at stages 2 and 3 has been relatively consistent over time. o Stage 4 achievement has fluctuated, with a decrease of -0.9 pp this cohort compared to the previous. This is due to a decrease in the stage 4 outcome rate (- 0.8 pp) as the output rate remained around the same compared to the previous cohort (+0.3 pp). 9
Section 1: EF Starts Data on previous year s Employability Fund starts is available on our website. Trend information on EF starts figures by age and stage is not provided in this publication due to changes to the Employability Fund, including a reduced annual target. Therefore, data comparisons should be treated with caution. There were 2,062 starts on Employability Fund (EF) provision up to the end of quarter 1 2017/18, against a reduced annual target of 9,000 (23%). EF provision is demand led and based on individual need identified in local areas. Figure 1.1 shows the number of starts by age and stage. Just over half of starts were aged 16-17 (1,063, 52%). A further 25% were aged 18-24 (508) and 24% were aged 25 or over (491). Almost half of EF starts were at stage 3 (962, 47%). A further 31% of starts were at stage 2 (642) and 22% were at stage 4 (458). 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 0 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 1,063 52% EF starts by age 508 25% 491 24% 16-17 18-24 25+ Just over half of EF starts were aged 16-17 up to the end of quarter 1 2017/18. 0 642 31% EF starts by stage 962 47% 458 22% Stage 2 Stage 3 Stage 4 Almost half of EF starts (47%) were at stage 3 up to the end of quarter 1 2017/18 Figures may not sum to 100% due to rounding Figure 1.1: EF starts by age and stage 10
Starts by Local Authority Glasgow City had the largest number of EF starts at 299, 52% of starts in this Local Authority were at stage 3. Appendix C tables 1 & 2 show the number of starts by Local Authority, age and stage. As it is relatively early in the financial year, starts by stage may be disclosure controlled in instances where figures are less than five or where such figures can be identified through differencing. 3 The breakdown of starts by Local Authority and age/stage is likely to change throughout 2017/18. This reflects the needs by stage for each local area and demonstrates the flexible nature of the Fund, including the response to redundancies managed under PACE partnership arrangements. 3 13 of 32 Local Authorities contain suppressed figures at this point of the financial year (Appendix C table 1) 11
Equality EF provision is available to those who are referred in relation to their need and therefore, positive action to recruit to EF provision is not appropriate. Collecting selfdeclared equality information from participants helps to monitor who is being referred to the Fund. All information held on equality characteristics (e.g. gender, disability, ethnicity) is self-reported and, as a result, there may be some under-reporting within these statistics. SDS is committed to equality of opportunity within the Employability Fund. Our Equality and Diversity Mainstreaming Report details the active steps we are taking, in conjunction with partners, to increase participation in National Training Programmes (NTPs). As part of this, we are also working to improve our understanding of barriers to participation amongst these groups, issues around self-declaration, and how we might further improve the monitoring of participation levels in NTPs. Our commitment to improving equality of access includes open and transparent reporting of equality data. 12
Gender Figure 1.2 shows the proportion of male and female starts up to the end of quarter 1 2017/18 by age and stage. There were fewer female than male starts to the Employability Fund at this point in the financial year with females accounting for 36% of starts and males accounting for 64%. The proportion of female starts up to the end of quarter 1 2017/18 is +4.1 pp higher than the same point last year (32% female and 68% male up to the end of quarter 1 2016/17). The proportion of female starts increased across all age and stage groups in comparison to the same point last year. The proportion of female starts increased by +3.1 pp for 16-17 age group, +2.4 pp for the 18-24 age group and +8.5 pp for the 25+ age group. At stage 2, the proportion of female starts increased by +0.9 pp, while the proportion of females at both stage 3 and stage 4 increased by +4.5 pp. 100% 80% 60% 40% 62% 71% 62% 64% 20% 38% 29% 38% 36% 0% 16-17 18-24 25+ Total The highest proportion of female starts was in the 16-17 and 25+ age groups (38% respectively). Male starts accounted for 71% of starts in the 18-24 age group up to the end of quarter 1 2017/18. 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% Proportion of starts by gender and age Proportion of starts by gender and stage 60% 65% 67% 64% 40% 35% 33% 36% Stage 2 Stage 3 Stage 4 Total % Male % Female % Male % Female The proportion of females at stage 4 is lower than stages 2 and 3. The stage of the SSP that individuals start on is reflective of their individual need. Figure 1.2: Proportion of EF starts by gender, age and stage 13
Disability We continue to put in place a number of measures to promote equality of access to National Training Programmes and the reporting of equality information. Maximising disability disclosure is important to ensure that appropriate support is in place for participants. 19.4% 25.0% 20.0% 15.0% Disability of EF starts self-identified an impairment, health condition or learning difficulty up to the end of Q1 2017/18 Disability - Proportion of Starts by Age 20.0% 21.3% 16.0% 19.4% The proportion of EF starts self-identifying an impairment, health condition or learning difficulty (I/HC/LD) was 19.4%. This is compared to 16.8% at the same point last year (an increase of +2.6 pp). Our monitoring question also asked EF starts to provide further details of their disability from a list of options. This information will be reported annually in our year end publication. 10.0% 5.0% 0.0% A relatively high proportion of 18-24 year old starts self-identified as having an I/HC/LD (21.3%) 30.0% 25.0% 20.0% 15.0% 16-17 18-24 25+ Total Disability - Proportion of Starts by Stage 27.7% 16.8% 13.7% 19.4% 10.0% 5.0% 0.0% Stage 2 Stage 3 Stage 4 Total A relatively high proportion of stage 2 starts self-identified as having an I/HC/LD. This may be reflective of provision at this stage of the SSP, which focuses on removing barriers and building foundations for individuals to improve their employability skills. Figure 1.3: Disability - Proportion of EF starts selfidentifying an I/HC/LD 14
Ethnicity All EF starts are also asked to provide information about their ethnicity on a self-declaration basis. In summary, the proportion of EF starts self-identifying as being from a Mixed or Multiple; Asian; African; Caribbean or Black; and Other ethnic group was 3.1% up to the end of quarter 1 2017/18. 4 This is compared to 2.4% up to the end of quarter 1 2016/17 (+0.7 pp). 3.1% 6.0% 4.0% 2.0% Ethnicity of EF starts up to the end of Q1 2017/18 self-identify as being from a Mixed or Multiple; Asian; African; Caribbean or Black; and Other ethnic group Ethnicity - Proportion of Starts by Age 2.3% 3.2% 5.0% 3.1% 4 Ethnic groups merged to align with Developing the Young Workforce Scotland s Youth Employment Strategy. 0.0% The highest proportion of EF starts from a Mixed or Multiple; Asian; African; Caribbean or Black; and Other ethnic group were aged 25+ (5.0%). Ethnicity - Proportion of Starts by Stage 4.0% 3.0% 2.0% 1.0% 0.0% 16-17 18-24 25+ Total 3.1% 3.1% 3.1% 3.1% Stage 2 Stage 3 Stage 4 Total The proportion of starts from a Mixed or Multiple; Asian; African; Caribbean or Black; and Other ethnic group is the same across all stages (3.1%). Additional Ethnicity Information SDS recognises that people from other ethnic backgrounds e.g. some identifying as white other on monitoring forms, may face similar challenges to EF access. Including white other within the figure for EF starts above is 4.7%. Census data shows that 10.8% of the 16-24 year old population identified as 'White: Gypsy/Traveller, White: Polish and White: Other White ; Mixed or Multiple Ethnic Groups ; Asian, Asian Scottish or Asian British ; African ; Caribbean or Black ; Other ethnic groups (Scotland s Census, 2011). Figure 1.4: Ethnicity - Proportion of EF starts by ethnic group 15
Care Experience Our Equality and Diversity Mainstreaming Report also details our commitment to supporting individuals with care experience, as does our Corporate Parenting Plan (published in October 2016). We started collecting self-declared information on care experience in 2015/16. 5 Up to the end of quarter 1 2017/18, 7.2% of EF starts self-identified as having care experience. This is compared to 6.3% up to the end of quarter 1 2016/17 (+0.9 pp higher). 7.2% 10.0% 8.0% 6.0% 4.0% 2.0% 0.0% Care Experience of EF starts up to the end of Q1 2017/18 selfidentified as care experienced Care Experience - Proportion of Starts by Age 8.8% 6.7% 4.3% 7.2% 16-17 18-24 25+ Total 5 In response to the question, Have you ever been in care? In care means you are or were formally looked after by a local authority, in the family home (with support from social services or a social worker) or elsewhere, for example, in foster care, residential/secure care, or kinship care (with family friends or relatives). The highest proportion of EF starts that self-identified as care experienced were aged 16-17 (8.8%). 14.0% 12.0% 10.0% 8.0% 6.0% 4.0% 2.0% 0.0% Care Experience - Proportion of Starts by Stage 12.1% 5.7% 3.7% 7.2% Stage 2 Stage 3 Stage 4 Total The proportion of EF starts that self-identified as care experienced was highest at stage 2 (12.1%). Figure 1.5: Care Experience Proportion of EF starts selfidentifying care experience 16
Section 2: Achievements (Outcomes and Outputs) The outcomes and outputs detailed in this section of the report are based on a cohort of all leavers between October 2015 and September 2016 (inclusive) (see Figure 1 on page 5). The Employability Fund rewards Training Providers for outputs (certification) and outcomes (progression to a Job, MA, selfemployment, more advanced form of learning or progression to the next stage of the SSP). The fund is designed to allow providers to help individuals with differing needs secure positive outcomes (See Table 1). Payments are made when claims are recorded on CTS, when sufficient evidence of an output/outcome is gathered according to the EF rules. These rules are as follows: Outputs - when the provider has evidence from the awarding body that certification (e.g. Certificate of Work Readiness) has been achieved. Job related outcomes (Job, MA or Self Employment) - can be claimed when a participant has been in employment for a minimum of four weeks within 26 weeks of leaving EF activity and evidence is provided that this is the case. Progression outcomes (Next stage of the SSP or more advanced learning) - can be claimed within six months of a participant leaving EF activity where evidence is provided that this is the case. Analysis has shown that the vast majority of claims for outputs/outcomes are received within 9 months of the participants leaving date. Table 2.1 shows a breakdown of the number of leavers between October 2015 to September 2016 by age and stage. It is the outcomes and outputs of these leavers that the figures published here related to. The majority of leavers were aged 16-17 (53%) and most participants left stage 3 (51%), a similar breakdown to the leavers from last quarter. Table 2.1: Leavers by age and stage Stage Stage 2 Stage 3 Stage 4 Total % of total 16-17 2,983 5,414 310 8,707 53% 18-24 528 2,132 1,236 3,896 24% 25+ 125 849 2,985 3,959 24% Total 3,636 8,395 4,531 16,562 100% % of total 22% 51% 27% 100% - 17
48% 48% 48% 49% 49% 50% 49% 51% 49% 51% Achievement This section provides a summary of the achievements of leavers from October 2015 to September 2016. Definitions of Outcomes, Outputs and Overall Achievement are available in Appendix D. Achievements are calculated as those individuals who have achieved an outcome, output or both. 6 The increase in the proportion of leavers with an achievement at stages 2 and 3 has been relatively consistent over time. Stage 4 achievement has fluctuated, with a decrease of -0.9 pp this cohort compared to the previous. This is due to a decrease in the stage 4 outcome rate (-0.8 pp) as the output rate remained around the same compared to the previous cohort (+0.3 pp). Seventy percent of leavers between October 2015 and September 2016 achieved an outcome, an output or both across all stages, the same as the previous cohort. Figure 2.2 summarises the outcome rate, output rate and overall achievement rate over time. The proportion of leavers with an achievement (an outcome, an output or both) has been relatively consistent for the past two cohorts, following a gradual increase over time. Both the outcome and output rates have remained around the same compared to the previous cohort (-0.1 pp and +0.3 pp respectively). 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Achievement over time 68% 69% 69% 70% 70% Q1 2016/17 Q2 2016/17 Q3 2016/17 Q4 2016/17 Q1 2017/18 Outcome Rate Output Rate Achievement Rate Figure 2.2: Overall achievement, outcome and output rates over time 6 Note: In Figure 2.2 this means that the outcome and output rates cannot be summed to get the achievement rate as some individuals may have left EF provision with both and output and an outcome. 18
67.2% 68.2% 67.7% 68.5% 68.5% 69.0% 69.2% 70.1% 69.0% 70.2% Equality This section of the report details the outcomes and outputs of leavers between October 2015 to September 2016 by gender, disability, ethnicity and care experience. We started collecting care experience information through our equality monitoring form in April 2015. Analysis of achievements by care experience status is relatively new, as the calculation of output and outcome rates is based on a cohort approach (see Figure 1). We have also continued to put in place a number of measures to promote equality of access to the Employability Fund and the reporting of equality information. This included a new disability disclosure monitoring question from April 2016 based on the recommendations of the Equality Challenge Unit (ECU). This new reporting mechanism, alongside equality training given to training providers is likely to have contributed to increased disability declaration since 2016/17, but this will not be fully reflected in the cohort of leavers reported in this section due to the unavoidable time lag in the reporting of this data. Gender Overall Achievement (Outcome, output or both) Gender The analysis in this section refers to individuals who have achieved an outcome only, an output only or both. For leavers in this cohort, there was a slightly smaller proportion of females than males leaving EF provision with an achievement (-1.3 pp less). This is due to fewer females working towards and therefore achieving an output (73% of females working towards an output, compared to 76% of males), as the outcome rate for females is higher than that for males (50.3% outcome rate for females, compared to 48.4% for males). Compared to the previous cohort (Q4 2016/17), the achievement rate for both females and males remained around the same (-0.2 pp for females and +0.1 pp for males). 80.0% 70.0% 60.0% 50.0% 40.0% 30.0% 20.0% 10.0% 0.0% Q1 2016/17 Achievement by Gender over time Q2 2016/17 Q3 2016/17 Q4 2016/17 Q1 2017/18 Female Male Figure 2.3: Overall achievement rates by gender over time 19
67.0% 67.9% 66.2% 68.4% 66.6% 69.2% 67.8% 70.1% 67.6% 70.2% Disability Achievement (Outcome, output or both) Disability The analysis in this section refers to individuals who have achieved an outcome only, an output only or both (Figure 2.4). The achievement rate for those who self-identified as disabled is 67.6%, around the same as the previous cohort (-0.2 pp). In this cohort, the achievement rate for those who self-identified as disabled was -2.6 pp lower than those who did not. This is explained by the lower outcome rate for those who self-identified as disabled (46.0% for those who self-identified as disabled compared to 49.6% for those who did not), as the output rate for those who self-identified as disabled continues to be slightly higher (+0.6 pp higher for this cohort). 80.0% 70.0% 60.0% 50.0% 40.0% 30.0% 20.0% 10.0% 0.0% Achievement by Disability Status over time Q1 2016/17 Q2 2016/17 Q3 2016/17 Q4 2016/17 Q1 2017/18 Disabled Not Disabled Figure 2.4: Overall achievement rates by disability status over time 20
66.5% 67.9% 65.9% 68.3% 68.4% 68.9% 69.3% 69.9% 70.9% 69.8% Ethnicity Achievement (Outcome, output or both) - Ethnicity The analysis in this section refers to individuals who have achieved an outcome only, an output only or both. Figure 2.5 shows that for this cohort, leavers who self-identify being from a Mixed or Multiple; Asian; African; Caribbean or Black; and Other ethnic group have a higher achievement rate than those who self-identify as White (+1.1 pp higher). This is an increase on the previous cohort, where the achievement rate was -0.6 pp lower than those who self-identify as White. 80.0% 70.0% 60.0% 50.0% 40.0% 30.0% 20.0% 10.0% 0.0% Achievement by Ethnicity Status over time Q1 2016/17 Q2 2016/17 Q3 2016/17 Q4 2016/17 Q1 2017/18 Mixed or Multiple; Asian; African; Caribbean or Black; and Other ethnic group White Figure 2.5: Overall achievement rate by ethnic group over time This change is due to an increase in both the outcome rate (52.3%, +1.8 pp on the previous cohort) and the output rate (47.4%, +2.2 pp on the previous cohort). The outcome and output rates for those who self-identify as White remained around the same as the previous cohort (-0.1 pp and +0.3 pp respectively). 21
Care Experience Achievement (Output, Outcome or Both) Care Experience Of those who self-identified care experience, 57.3% achieved an outcome only, and output only or both, -13.2 pp lower than for those who did not identify care experience (70.6%). The difference between achievement rate for those who selfidentified care experience and those who did not has decreased by -0.8 pp compared to the previous cohort. The overall achievement rate for those who self-identify as care experienced increased (+0.9 pp), due to an increase in both the outcome and output rates compared to the previous cohort (+1.4 pp and +0.8 pp respectively). 80.0% 70.0% 60.0% 50.0% 40.0% 30.0% 20.0% 10.0% 0.0% Achievement by Care Experience Status over time 56.4% 70.4% 57.3% 70.6% Q4 2016/17 Q1 2017/18 Care Experience No Care Experience Figure 2.6: Overall achievement rate by care experience status over time The rate for those who did not identify care experience remained around the same as the previous cohort (+0.2 pp), with a slight increase in the outcome rate (+0.8 pp) whilst the output rate remained around the same (-0.4 pp). 22
Concluding Remarks This is the 11 th release of Employability Fund achievement data since the Fund was introduced in April 2013. Trend analysis has been included in this release where available. The first section highlights the number of EF starts up to the end of quarter 1 2017/18, and the second section reports on the achievements (outcomes and outputs) associated with participants that left Employability Fund provision between October 2015 and September 2016. 23
Appendix A: Expected participant characteristics Stage 2 Individuals who enter this stage of their employability journey are not job ready. They should be ready to undertake activity at SCQF level 3 in terms of work-related tasks that means that, for example, they can work alone or with others on simple routine, familiar tasks under frequent supervision. They should also be able to participate in the setting of goals, timelines, etc. They may have core skill development needs and/or personal barriers such as motivation, self-confidence or selfdiscipline challenges which activity should help to address. When they leave this stage of the SSP, they should have demonstrably improved their employability skills but are not necessarily expected to be fully job ready unless they have progressed very quickly. Stage 3 Individuals who enter this stage of their employability journey are likely to be closer to being job ready than those at stage 2 of the SSP. They should be ready to undertake tasks at SCQF level 4 in terms of work-related tasks which means that, for example, they can work alone or with others on straightforward tasks, contribute to the setting of goals, timelines, etc. When they leave this stage of the SSP, they should have evidence to demonstrate their job readiness to an employer. Stage 4 Individuals who enter this stage of their employability journey are likely to be job ready when they start in terms of their generic employability skills. They should undertake activity that allows them to develop specific skills that greatly improve their chances of gaining employment when the activity is completed. When they leave this stage of the SSP, they should have certification that relates to specific job roles improving their access to job opportunities. 24
Appendix B: Referral arrangements In developing the EF referral process, SDS consulted with stakeholders, partners and staff. The process aims to offer a flexible, simplified system for referral organisations, participants and providers to ensure that each individual supported by the EF enters at the appropriate stage of the SSP, according to their assessed needs. The following organisations have designated staff that can refer individuals into the EF: Department of Work and Pensions (DWP) Local Authorities Colleges SDS Contracted Providers It is important to note that entry to the Employability Fund is an early intervention programme and it is not compulsory for individuals to enter or complete provision. Entry to each stage of the EF requires the appropriate referral organisation to confirm eligibility (at every stage) and complete an assessment of suitability at all stages (using the SDS standard referral process at stage 2). 25
Appendix C: EF Starts Table 1: EF starts up to the end of quarter 1 2017/18 by Local Authority (based on trainee home address) and stage Local Authority Stage 2 Stage 3 Stage 4 Total Aberdeen City 22 * * 30 Aberdeenshire 21 14 13 48 Angus 13 28 6 47 Argyll & Bute * 6 * 15 Clackmannanshire 0 19 7 26 Dumfries & Galloway 6 36 26 68 Dundee City * 50 * 102 East Ayrshire 17 29 23 69 East Dunbartonshire 17 * * 30 East Lothian 0 18 0 18 East Renfrewshire * 17 * 24 Edinburgh, City of 48 50 43 141 Falkirk 12 59 16 87 Fife 32 85 75 192 Glasgow City 102 156 41 299 Highland 31 12 6 49 Inverclyde 0 34 6 40 Midlothian * * 0 27 Moray * * 9 16 Na h-eileanan Siar 6 * * 11 North Ayrshire 22 18 6 46 North Lanarkshire 76 62 52 190 Orkney Islands 0 * * 9 Perth & Kinross 23 14 7 44 Renfrewshire 26 61 6 93 Scottish Borders 10 * * 19 Shetland Islands 0 * * 9 South Ayrshire * 23 * 46 South Lanarkshire 57 38 52 147 Stirling * 15 * 25 West Dunbartonshire 12 8 11 31 West Lothian 18 37 9 64 Total 642 962 458 2,062 26
Table 2: EF starts up to the end of quarter 1 2017/18 by Local Authority (based on trainee home address) and age Local Authority 16-17 18-24 25+ Total Aberdeen City * * 0 30 Aberdeenshire 19 12 17 48 Angus 28 8 11 47 Argyll & Bute 10 * * 15 Clackmannanshire 15 * * 26 Dumfries & Galloway 25 18 25 68 Dundee City 74 * * 102 East Ayrshire 25 25 19 69 East Dunbartonshire 13 11 6 30 East Lothian * * 0 18 East Renfrewshire 13 * * 24 Edinburgh, City of 81 24 36 141 Falkirk 40 22 25 87 Fife 56 61 75 192 Glasgow City 155 93 51 299 Highland 32 10 7 49 Inverclyde 18 15 7 40 Midlothian 21 6 0 27 Moray * * 8 16 Na h-eileanan Siar 5 * * 11 North Ayrshire 23 13 10 46 North Lanarkshire 101 28 61 190 Orkney Islands * * * 9 Perth & Kinross 31 8 5 44 Renfrewshire 49 23 21 93 Scottish Borders 15 * * 19 Shetland Islands * * * 9 South Ayrshire 20 16 10 46 South Lanarkshire 70 27 50 147 Stirling 17 * * 25 West Dunbartonshire 15 5 11 31 West Lothian 41 13 10 64 Total 1,063 508 491 2,062 27
Table 3: EF starts up to the end of quarter 1 2017/18 by age and gender Age Female Male Total 16-17 401 662 1,063 18-24 149 359 508 25+ 188 303 491 Total 738 1,324 2,062 Table 4: EF starts up to the end of quarter 1 2017/18 by stage and gender Stage Female Male Total Stage 2 255 387 642 Stage 3 333 629 962 Stage 4 150 308 458 Total 738 1,324 2,062 Table 5: EF starts up to the end of quarter 1 2017/18 by age and self-identified disability status Age Band Self-identified impairment, health condition or learning difficulty No impairment, health condition or learning difficulty Prefer not to say Total Known Self-identified impairment, health condition or learning difficulty as % of total known 16-17 207 826 30 1,063 1,033 20.0% 18-24 105 387 16 508 492 21.3% 25+ 78 408 5 491 486 16.0% Total 390 1,621 51 2,062 2,011 19.4% 28
Table 6: EF starts up to the end of quarter 1 2017/18 by stage and self-identified disability status Stage Self-identified impairment, health condition or learning difficulty No impairment, health condition or learning difficulty Prefer not to say Total Known Self-identified impairment, health condition or learning difficulty as % of total known Stage 2 169 442 31 642 611 27.7% Stage 3 159 787 16 962 946 16.8% Stage 4 62 392 4 458 454 13.7% Total 390 1,621 51 2,062 2,011 19.4% Table 7: EF starts up to the end of quarter 1 2017/18 by gender and self-identified disability status Stage Self-identified impairment, health condition or learning difficulty No impairment, health condition or learning difficulty Prefer not to say Total Known Self-identified impairment, health condition or learning difficulty as % of total known Female 172 552 14 738 724 23.8% Male 218 1,069 37 1,324 1,287 16.9% Total 390 1,621 51 2,062 2,011 19.4% 29
Table 8: EF starts up to the end of quarter 1 2017/18 by age and ethnicity Age band Mixed or Multiple; Asian; African; Caribbean or Black; and Other ethnic group White Prefer not to say Total Known Mixed or Multiple; Asian; African; Caribbean or Black; and Other ethnic group as % of known by age 16-17 24 1,035 4 1,063 1,059 2.3% 18-24 16 487 5 508 503 3.2% 25+ 24 460 7 491 484 5.0% Total 64 1,982 16 2,062 2,046 3.1% Table 9: EF starts up to the end of quarter 1 2017/18 by stage and ethnicity Stage Mixed or Multiple; Asian; African; Caribbean or Black; and Other ethnic group White Prefer not to say Total Known Mixed or Multiple; Asian; African; Caribbean or Black; and Other ethnic group as % of known by stage Stage 2 20 617 5 642 637 3.1% Stage 3 30 930 2 962 960 3.1% Stage 4 14 435 9 458 449 3.1% Total 64 1,982 16 2,062 2,046 3.1% 30
Table 10: EF starts up to the end of quarter 1 2017/18 by gender and ethnicity Gender Mixed or Multiple; Asian; African; Caribbean or Black; and Other ethnic group White Prefer not to say Total Known Mixed or Multiple; Asian; African; Caribbean or Black; and Other ethnic group as % of known by gender Female 26 709 3 738 735 3.5% Male 38 1,273 13 1,324 1,311 2.9% Total 64 1,982 16 2,062 2,046 3.1% Table 11: EF starts who self-identified as care experienced by age Age band Care experience No care experience Prefer not to say Total Known Care experience as a % of known 16-17 92 954 17 1,063 1,046 8.8% 18-24 33 460 15 508 493 6.7% 25+ 21 468 2 491 489 4.3% Total 146 1,882 34 2,062 2,028 7.2% Table 12: EF starts who self-identified as care experienced by stage 31
Stage Care experience No care experience Prefer not to say/ unknown Total Known Care experience as a % of known Stage 2 75 543 24 642 618 12.1% Stage 3 54 901 7 962 955 5.7% Stage 4 17 438 3 458 455 3.7% Total 146 1,882 34 2,062 2,028 7.2% Table 13: EF starts who self-identified as care experienced by gender Stage Care experience No care experience Prefer not to say/ unknown Total Known Care experience as a % of known Female 63 664 11 738 727 8.7% Male 83 1,218 23 1,324 1,301 6.4% Total 146 1,882 34 2,062 2,028 7.2% 32
Appendix D: EF Outcomes/Outputs related to leavers between October 2015 and September 2016 Outcomes An outcome can be claimed if, within 26 weeks of leaving EF provision, a participant enters a job, MA, self-employment, advanced learning or the next stage of the skills pipeline. The Outcome Rate is the number of outcomes claimed as proportion of the number of leavers in the cohort. Outputs Outputs are defined as SCQF credit rated certification including a full employability award or vocational qualification. An output is counted when certification is achieved and a claim is made. An output can be any of the following: Certificate of Work Readiness and Falkirk Employability Award; Other employability award; Qualification A, B or C (From a defined list of approved qualifications at stage 4 only). Qualifications at stage 4 directly relate to specific skills that employers demand. Some individuals at stage 4 may already have the required skills in their field and may choose not to work towards an output. The Output Rate is the number of outputs claimed as proportion of the number of leavers in the cohort. Achievements Achievement Rate is calculated as the number of EF leavers who achieved an outcome only, an output only or both as a proportion of the leavers in the cohort. Note: the outcome and output rates cannot be summed to the achievement rate, this is because the achievement rate is calculated as those who achieved an outcome, output or both. 33
Table 1: Outcomes by stage Stage Job MA Self Employment Job related Progression related Totals Stage 2 to 3 Stage 3 to 4 More Advanced Learning Total Outcomes Total Leavers Outcome Rate Stage 2 242 41 0 1,445 0 221 1,949 3,636 54% Stage 3 2,215 764 7 0 292 695 3,973 8,395 47% Stage 4 1,837 129 196 0 0 44 2,206 4,531 49% Total 4,294 934 203 1,445 292 960 8,128 16,562 49% Table 2: Outputs by stage Stage Certificate of Work Readiness Stage 2 and 3 Stage 4 only Totals Other Employability Award (SCQF) Qual A Qual B Qual C Total Outputs Total Leavers Output Rate Stage 2 0 2,345 0 0 0 2,345 3,636 64% Stage 3 1,643 3,366 0 0 0 5,009 8,395 60% Stage 4 0 0 146 551 373 1,070 4,531 24% Total 1,643 5,711 146 551 373 8,424 16,562 51% 34
Table 3: Achievement by stage Stage Outcome, Output or Both Leavers Achievement Rate Stage 2 2,738 3,636 75% Stage 3 6,147 8,395 73% Stage 4 2,672 4,531 59% Total 11,557 16,562 70% Table 4: Achievement summary by equality characteristics Equality Summary (excluding prefer not to say) Outcome, Output or Both Leavers Achievement Rate Gender Female 4,050 5,873 69% Male 7,507 10,689 70% Disability Disabled 1,375 2,033 68% Not Disabled 9,948 14,167 70% Ethnicity Mixed or Multiple; Asian; African; Caribbean or Black; and Other ethnic group 376 530 71% White 11,130 15,945 70% Care Care Experience 443 773 57% Experience No Care Experience 10,815 15,329 71% Total All Leavers 11,557 16,562 70% 35