Zogby Analytics Online Survey of Likely Democratic Primary Voters 8/3/15-8/4/15 MOE +/- 4.7 Percentage Points

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Transcription:

8/3/15-8/4/15 MOE +/- 4.7 age Points 22. How likely are you to vote in national elections? Definitely Very likely Somewhat likely 362 79. 79. 79. 7 15.2 15.2 94.2 27 5.8 5.8 1. Party Democratic Republican Independent 398 86.6 86.6 86.6 2.5.5 87.1 59 12.9 12.9 1. 4. How likely are you to vote in the Democratic Primary for president? Definitely Very likely Somewhat likely 274 59.6 59.6 59.6 113 24.6 24.6 84.2 72 15.8 15.8 1. 1. On August 6, Fox News will sponsor a debate among the Republican presidential candidates in Cleveland, Ohio. Do plan to watch the debate? t sure 196 42.7 42.7 42.7 151 32.9 32.9 75.6 112 24.4 24.4 1. subsets of the data, especially sets smaller than 5-75 respondents. At that size subset we can make generalizations, Zogby Analytics Page 1 8/4/215

8/3/15-8/4/15 MOE +/- 4.7 age Points 11. Fox News plans to include in prime time only the top ten candidates in the polls. Which of the following statements comes closest to your view of the Fox News debate format? Only the top ten candidates in the polls should be included All the announced candidates should be included in the debat Only the top five candidates in the polls should be included t sure 111 24.1 24.1 24.1 28 45.4 45.4 69.5 77 16.7 16.7 86.2 64 13.8 13.8 1. 12. Was Cleveland, OH the best place to hold the first Republican debate? t sure 93 2.2 2.2 2.2 62 13.5 13.5 33.7 34 66.3 66.3 1. 13. IF yes, why? Ohio is an important swing state Ohio is among the largest states Ohio and Cleveland are representative of the nation as a whole' Other t sure 54 11.9 58.6 58.6 7 1.4 7.2 65.8 22 4.8 24. 89.7 7 1.6 7.9 97.7 2.5 2.3 1. 93 2.2 1. 366 79.8 subsets of the data, especially sets smaller than 5-75 respondents. At that size subset we can make generalizations, Zogby Analytics Page 2 8/4/215

8/3/15-8/4/15 MOE +/- 4.7 age Points 14. IF no, why not? Should have been in my state Ohio and Cleveland are not representative of the nation Other t Sure 11 2.4 17.9 17.9 35 7.6 56.1 74. 11 2.3 17.4 91.4 5 1.2 8.6 1. 62 13.5 1. 397 86.5 2. What are the two top issues facing the United States today? (Choose Two Only) $Q2 Education Jobs Social Security and Medicare Scientific Research and Development National Defense Immigration Tax Cuts Social issues such as abortion and same-sex marriage Climate Change Energy Independence Health Care Transportation Other n % 82 17.9 181 39.5 128 28. 17 3.8 65 14.2 7 15.3 34 7.4 48 1.5 7 15.3 4 8.7 148 32.3 5 1.2 21 4.5 subsets of the data, especially sets smaller than 5-75 respondents. At that size subset we can make generalizations, Zogby Analytics Page 3 8/4/215

8/3/15-8/4/15 MOE +/- 4.7 age Points 15. If your state's Democratic Primary or caucus for President were held today and the candidates were...for whom would you vote? Bernie Sanders Hillary Rodham Clinton Martin O'Malley Jim Webb t Sure/Other 81 17.7 17.7 17.7 294 64.1 64.1 81.8 7 1.5 1.5 83.3 9 2. 2. 85.3 67 14.7 14.7 1. 16. w if the list were expanded and the candidates now included...for whom would you vote? Bernie Sanders Hillary Rodham Clinton Martin O'Malley Jim Webb Joe Biden t Sure/Other 69 15.1 15.1 15.1 222 48.3 48.3 63.4 12 2.6 2.6 66. 11 2.3 2.3 68.3 96 21. 21. 89.3 49 1.7 1.7 1. 17. How satisfied are you with the current field of candidates running for the Democratic presidential nomination? Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied Somewhat dissatisfied Very dissatisfied t Sure 12 26.1 26.1 26.1 231 5.2 5.2 76.3 84 18.2 18.2 94.6 11 2.4 2.4 97. 14 3. 3. 1. subsets of the data, especially sets smaller than 5-75 respondents. At that size subset we can make generalizations, Zogby Analytics Page 4 8/4/215

8/3/15-8/4/15 MOE +/- 4.7 age Points 18. In your view, does Hillary Rodham Clinton deserve to be the Democratic nominee or would you like to see someone else?, she deserves to be the Democratic nominee, I would you like to see someone else t sure 285 62.2 62.2 62.2 115 25. 25. 87.1 59 12.9 12.9 1. 19. Also in your view, do you think that Joe Biden should or should not enter the race for President?, Joe Biden should enter the race for President, Joe Biden should not enter the race for President t sure 221 48.2 48.2 48.2 158 34.5 34.5 82.6 8 17.4 17.4 1. Region East South Centr GrLks West 125 27.3 27.3 27.3 127 27.6 27.6 54.9 114 24.7 24.7 79.6 93 2.4 2.4 1. Gender Male Female 27 45. 45. 45. 252 55. 55. 1. subsets of the data, especially sets smaller than 5-75 respondents. At that size subset we can make generalizations, Zogby Analytics Page 5 8/4/215

8/3/15-8/4/15 MOE +/- 4.7 age Points What is your current employment status? Working (full or part time) Temporarily unemployed and looking for work Temporarily unemployed and not looking for work Student Stay at home parent/spouse Retired. 266 57.9 58.5 58.5 19 4.2 4.2 62.8 6 1.2 1.2 64. 34 7.4 7.5 71.5 28 6.2 6.2 77.7 11 22.1 22.3 1. 454 99. 1. 5 1. Household Income < $25K $25-35K $35-5K $5-75K $75-1K $1-15K $15K+ 12 22.2 22.6 22.6 57 12.3 12.5 35.1 72 15.7 15.9 51. 16 23.1 23.4 74.4 66 14.3 14.6 88.9 33 7.1 7.2 96.1 17 3.8 3.9 1. 452 98.6 1. 7 1.4 subsets of the data, especially sets smaller than 5-75 respondents. At that size subset we can make generalizations, Zogby Analytics Page 6 8/4/215

8/3/15-8/4/15 MOE +/- 4.7 age Points Age group A 18-29 3-49 5-64 65+ 9 19.5 19.7 19.7 174 38. 38.3 58. 125 27.3 27.5 85.5 66 14.4 14.5 1. 455 99.1 1. 4.9 Age group B 18-24 25-34 35-54 55-69 7+ 54 11.7 11.8 11.8 83 18.2 18.3 3.1 161 35. 35.4 65.5 136 29.5 29.8 95.3 22 4.7 4.7 1. 455 99.1 1. 4.9 Generation First Globals Nikes Woodstockers Privates. 137 29.9 3.1 3.1 115 25.1 25.4 55.5 16 34.9 35.2 9.7 42 9.2 9.3 1. 455 99.1 1. 4.9 subsets of the data, especially sets smaller than 5-75 respondents. At that size subset we can make generalizations, Zogby Analytics Page 7 8/4/215

8/3/15-8/4/15 MOE +/- 4.7 age Points Education College Degree College Degree+ 184 4.1 4.1 4.1 275 59.9 59.9 1. Race White Hisp AfrAmer Asian Other. 256 55.9 56. 56. 69 15. 15. 71. 11 22. 22. 93. 23 5. 5. 98. 9 2. 2. 1. 458 99.8 1. 1.2 Live Lge City Sm City Suburbs Rural 147 32. 32.2 32.2 9 19.5 19.7 51.9 147 32. 32.1 84. 73 15.9 16. 1. 457 99.5 1. 2.5 subsets of the data, especially sets smaller than 5-75 respondents. At that size subset we can make generalizations, Zogby Analytics Page 8 8/4/215

8/3/15-8/4/15 MOE +/- 4.7 age Points Ideology Recoded Liberal Moderate Conservative. 25 44.6 45.9 45.9 173 37.6 38.7 84.6 69 15. 15.4 1. 446 97.2 1. 13 2.8 96. Which of the following best describes you? Liberal/progressive on just about every issue Mainly a liberal on government spending Mainly a liberal on social issues Conservative on just about every issue Mainly a conservative on government spending Mainly a conservative on social issues Moderate because I look at each issue separately Moderate because I try to be rational, not passionate about t sure 114 24.9 24.9 24.9 18 4. 4. 28.8 89 19.3 19.3 48.2 32 7.1 7.1 55.2 16 3.6 3.6 58.8 14 3. 3. 61.7 15 22.9 22.9 84.6 36 7.8 7.8 92.4 35 7.6 7.6 1. Religion Catholic Protestant Jewish Other/ne. 121 26.4 27.1 27.1 218 47.4 48.7 75.8 2 4.4 4.5 8.3 88 19.2 19.7 1. 447 97.4 1. 12 2.6 subsets of the data, especially sets smaller than 5-75 respondents. At that size subset we can make generalizations, Zogby Analytics Page 9 8/4/215

8/3/15-8/4/15 MOE +/- 4.7 age Points BornAgain /NS 1 21.7 45.8 45.8 118 25.7 54.2 1. 218 47.4 1. 241 52.6 Union member 67 14.7 14.7 14.7 392 85.3 85.3 1. Child under 17? 117 25.6 25.6 25.6 342 74.4 74.4 1. Marital status Married Single Div/Sep/Wdw Civil union 19 41.4 41.7 41.7 163 35.6 35.8 77.4 81 17.6 17.7 95.1 22 4.9 4.9 1. 457 99.5 1. 2.5 subsets of the data, especially sets smaller than 5-75 respondents. At that size subset we can make generalizations, Zogby Analytics Page 1 8/4/215

8/3/15-8/4/15 MOE +/- 4.7 age Points Veteran/Armed Forces?. 74 16.2 16.5 16.5 376 81.9 83.5 1. 45 98.1 1. 9 1.9 NASCAR Fan 1 21.8 21.8 21.8 359 78.2 78.2 1. Sexual Preference Hetero t Hetero 44 87.9 87.9 87.9 55 12.1 12.1 1. Self ID Social Networker 219 47.7 47.7 47.7 24 52.3 52.3 1. subsets of the data, especially sets smaller than 5-75 respondents. At that size subset we can make generalizations, Zogby Analytics Page 11 8/4/215

8/3/15-8/4/15 MOE +/- 4.7 age Points Home status Own a home Live in rental unit Neither 266 58. 58.3 58.3 166 36.1 36.3 94.6 25 5.4 5.4 1. 457 99.5 1. 2.5 Attend religious services Weekly+ Weekly 1-2/Month Holidays Rarely Never 42 9.1 9.2 9.2 82 17.9 18.2 27.4 62 13.4 13.6 41. 49 1.7 1.8 51.8 116 25.2 25.5 77.4 12 22.3 22.6 1. 452 98.5 1. 7 1.5 Phone Mobile Landline Both 19 41.4 41.7 41.7 31 6.8 6.9 48.6 234 51.1 51.4 1. 456 99.3 1. 3.7 subsets of the data, especially sets smaller than 5-75 respondents. At that size subset we can make generalizations, Zogby Analytics Page 12 8/4/215

8/3/15-8/4/15 MOE +/- 4.7 age Points Career or gig? Career Just a "gig" t currently employed 168 36.6 36.6 36.6 112 24.4 24.4 61. 179 39. 39. 1. Self ID Investor Class 12 26.2 26.2 26.2 339 73.8 73.8 1. WalMart shopper? Weekly Few/Month 1-2/year Never 114 24.9 25.5 25.5 157 34.2 35. 6.5 123 26.7 27.3 87.8 55 11.9 12.2 1. 449 97.8 1. 1 2.2 Residency My city or town America The planet earth 133 28.9 29.1 29.1 192 41.8 42.1 71.2 131 28.5 28.8 1. 455 99.2 1. 4.8 subsets of the data, especially sets smaller than 5-75 respondents. At that size subset we can make generalizations, Zogby Analytics Page 13 8/4/215

8/3/15-8/4/15 MOE +/- 4.7 age Points Passport? 24 52.3 52.3 52.3 219 47.7 47.7 1. Sympathetic to Tea Party 22 4.9 4.9 4.9 437 95.1 95.1 1. Sympathetic to Occupy Wall St 131 28.5 28.5 28.5 328 71.5 71.5 1. Are you currently or have you ever been a member of the National Rifle Association? Currently a member of the NRA Former member of the NRA Have never been a member of the NRA 8 1.6 1.7 1.7 23 5.1 5.1 6.7 426 92.9 93.3 1. 457 99.6 1. 2.4 subsets of the data, especially sets smaller than 5-75 respondents. At that size subset we can make generalizations, Zogby Analytics Page 14 8/4/215

8/3/15-8/4/15 MOE +/- 4.7 age Points Are you a current or former gun owner? Current gun owner Former gun owner Have never been a gun owner 78 17. 17.3 17.3 39 8.4 8.5 25.8 336 73.1 74.2 1. 452 98.6 1. 7 1.4 Did you not have to pay any taxes last year because your income level was below the threshold to pay taxes or because your tax deductions left you with no liability? I did not have to pay taxes I had to pay taxes 152 33.2 35. 35. 283 61.7 65. 1. 435 94.9 1. 24 5.1 Do you invest in the stock market; have an IRA, a 41-K retirement plan or a pension fund? 24 44.5 45.5 45.5 244 53.2 54.5 1. 449 97.7 1. 1 2.3 subsets of the data, especially sets smaller than 5-75 respondents. At that size subset we can make generalizations, Zogby Analytics Page 15 8/4/215

8/3/15-8/4/15 MOE +/- 4.7 age Points Do you or does anyone in your household keep a gun for personal protection, hunting or target shooting at your home, place of business, or at a vacation home or club? 14 22.6 23.1 23.1 345 75.2 76.9 1. 449 97.8 1. 1 2.2 Lost a job due to corporate downsizing within the past year? <hr> 32 6.9 6.9 6.9 427 93.1 93.1 1. Been afraid of losing a job within the next year? <hr> 86 18.7 18.7 18.7 373 81.3 81.3 1. Worked at a job that pays less than an immediate previous job? <hr> 113 24.6 24.6 24.6 346 75.4 75.4 1. subsets of the data, especially sets smaller than 5-75 respondents. At that size subset we can make generalizations, Zogby Analytics Page 16 8/4/215

8/3/15-8/4/15 MOE +/- 4.7 age Points Gone without food for 24 hours in the past month due to a lack of food or money? <hr> 31 6.9 6.9 6.9 428 93.1 93.1 1. Creative Job Sector 13 28.4 28.4 28.4 329 71.6 71.6 1. Self ID Creative Class 156 34. 34. 34. 33 66. 66. 1. subsets of the data, especially sets smaller than 5-75 respondents. At that size subset we can make generalizations, Zogby Analytics Page 17 8/4/215