9M 2017 Results. Ongoing strong growth and acceleration of cash flow generation. October 31, 2017

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Transcription:

9M 2017 Results Ongoing strong growth and acceleration of cash flow generation October 31, 2017

Legal Disclaimer Information in this presentation may involve guidance, expectations, beliefs, plans, intentions or strategies regarding the future. These forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties. All forward-looking statements included in this release are based on information available to Dufry AG (the Company ) as of the date of this release, and we assume no duty to update any such forward-looking statements. Factors that could affect the Company s forward-looking statements include, among other things: global GDP trends, competition in the markets in which the Company operates, unfavorable changes in airline passenger traffic, unfavorable changes in taxation and restrictions on the duty-free sale in countries where the company operates. This presentation does not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy securities, and shall not constitute an offer, solicitation or sale in any jurisdiction in which such an offer, solicitation or sale would be unlawful prior to registration or qualification under the securities laws of that jurisdiction. There can be no assurance that any transaction will be pursued or consummated. 2_ 9M 2017 Results Presentation

AGENDA 1. Nine Months 2017 Results 2. Financials 9M 2017 3. Considering IPO of North American Business 4. Conclusion 3_ 9M 2017 Results Presentation

1 Nine Months Results 2017 4_ 9M 2017 Results Presentation

Strong organic growth of 7.9% in the 9M 17 Gross profit margin expands by 100 bps to 59.4% in the 9M 17 EBITDA grows to CHF 743.6 million in the 9M 17; 9.3% growth in Q3 17 Robust free cash flow of CHF 464.6 million in the 9M 17 (CHF 337.1 million in Q3) 5_ 9M 2017 Results Presentation

Highlights 9M 2017 Strong organic growth in the 9M 2017: 7.9% Organic growth reaches +7.9% in the 9M 2017 Turnover increased by 6.7% and reached CHF 6,270.5 million in the first nine months of 2017 Organic growth in Q3 2017 of +7.6% Gross profit margin expands by 100 bps to 59.4% from 58.4% in the 9M 2016 WDF synergies driving gross profit margin Deleveraging ongoing with net debt reducing of close to CHF 275 million YTD EBITDA grows by 8.5% and reaches CHF 743.6 million EBITDA margin expands to 11.9% Cash EPS in the 9M 2017 grows by close to 28% to CHF 5.81 from CHF 4.55 in the 9M 2016 Free cash flow of CHF 464.6 million in the first nine months of 2017 Strong free cash flow in the third quarter of CHF 337.1 million, a record for the company Net debt reduced by nearly CHF 275 million by September 2017 compared to December 2016 Over 20,500 m 2 of retail space opened across 135 shops, through new openings and expansions Over 23,000 m 2 of commercial area refurbished in 60 shops Contracts signed that will add 18,000 m 2 to the portfolio in the remainder of 2017 and in 2018 6_ 9M 2017 Results Presentation

(CHF million) Turnover analysis Turnover growths by 6.7% 6,400 6,200 Turnover evolution +6.7% 6,270.5 Strong organic growth in 9M 2017 at +7.9% Good performance in all locations All divisions with positive organic growth YTD Brazilian and Russian travellers impacting organic growth positively 6,000 5,877.2 5,800 5,600 5,400 5,200 5,000 9M 2016 9M 2017 11.0% 9.0% 7.0% 5.0% 3.0% 1.0% -1.0% -3.0% -5.0% Organic growth evolution 8.9% 7.2% 7.6% 5.6% 1.3% 0.1% -2.9% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2016 2017 Note: Until Q3 16 pro-forma including WDF Strong summer in the Mediterranean UK confirms good performance post Brexit Ongoing strong performance in Brazil Russian passengers drive growth in Russian market as well as Turkey; also support growth in Greece Middle East and Asia returning to positive organic growth through strong Q3 Trading Update Positive trends in most operations continue Q4 2017 with higher comparison base 7_ 9M 2017 Results Presentation

Dufry has opened close to 20,500 m 2 of gross retail space in 9M 2017 Over 20,500 m 2 of gross retail space opened in the 9M 2017 North America 26% Southern Europe and Africa 19% UK, Central and Eastern Europe 3% Openings - 9M 2017 Over 20,500 m 2 of gross retail space opened, including new shops and expansions Latin America 29% Asia, Middle East and Australia 23% Over 23,000 m 2 of shops refurbished in 9M 2017 Over 23,000 m 2 of retail space refurbished in the 9M 2017 North America 17% Southern Europe and Africa 27% Region Southern Europe and Africa UK, Central and Eastern Europe Asia, Middle East and Australia Selected Locations Madrid, Athens, Guadeloupe Gatwick, Bristol, Heathrow Melbourne 8_ 9M 2017 Results Presentation Latin America 28% Asia, Middle East and Australia 9% UK, Central and Eastern Europe 19% Latin America North America Barbados, Buenos Aires Vancouver, Toronto, Las Vegas, Los Angeles

18,000 m 2 additional retail space signed for 17/18 18,000 m 2 additional retail space signed for 17/18 18,000 m 2 signed space Southern Europe and Africa UK, Central and Eastern Europe Asia, Middle East and Australia 200 100 4,700 Contract renewals and pursue of new concession is an important part of our activities 18,000 m 2 of new contracts signed to be opened in 2017 and 2018 Latin America 9,300 North America 3,700 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 expected for 2017 (9,400 m2) expected for 2018 (8,600 m2) Project Pipeline: 38,000 m 2 Strong pipeline of potential new projects North America 35% Southern Europe and Africa 4% UK, Central and Eastern Europe 26% 9_ 9M 2017 Results Presentation Latin America 11% Asia, Middle East and Australia 24%

Organic growth: Positive forecasts for ongoing passenger growth Healthy international PAX growth 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% International PAX growth - 2017* 10.8% 7.8% 6.6% 7.3% 7.2% 6.5% 8.9% International PAX growth forecast 2017 2018 2019 Europe 8.6% 8.0% 5.2% Africa 2.8% 3.4% 2.3% Asia/Pacific 9.5% 8.2% 7.4% Middle East 7.7% 5.8% 5.4% LatAm/Caribbean 5.3% 5.9% 5.4% North America 6.2% 5.8% 4.4% World in total 8.1% 7.4% 5.6% Source: Air4casts (01/10/2017) * August YTD Source: ACI Strong passenger growth so far in 2017 Expectations continue strong PAX expectations for next years show strong, continued growth in all regions PAX growth to continue to be the most important component of organic growth 10_ 9M 2017 Results Presentation

Dufry s Segmentation Balanced concession portfolio across divisions Dufry by Division 9M 2017 North America 21% Southern Europe and Africa 23% Dufry by Channel 9M 2017 Airports 92% Airport is the most important channel Further opportunities in duty-free and duty-paid Latin America 20% Perfumes and cosmetics 33% Other 6% Literature and Publications 2% Electronics 3% Asia, Middle East and Australia 9% Tobacco goods 11% Luxury goods 13% UK, Central and Eastern Europe 27% Dufry by Category 9M 2017 Note: Based on net sales Confectionary, Food and Catering 17% Wine and Spirits 15% Duty-paid 38% Cruise Liners & Seaports 2% Dufry by Sector 9M 2017 Border, downtown and hotels shops 3% Railway Stations & Other 3% Duty-free 62% 11_ 9M 2017 Results Presentation

Priorities going forward Ongoing focus on driving organic growth BOM implementation progressing according to plan Cash generation and deleveraging remain priorities Drive organic growth Increase spend per passenger Accelerate commercial initiatives Shop Development Plan: 70,000 m 2 to be opened or refurbished in 2017 Digitalization (New Generation Store, Digitalization of Employees, RED by Dufry, Reserve & Collect) New concessions and expansions Focus on cash generation & deleverage: Medium-term leverage of below 3x net debt/ebitda remains unchanged Implementation of new Business Operating Model (BOM) First two countries (Mexico and Switzerland) completed and certified 17 further countries currently implementing First New Generation Stores opened New Generation stores in Melbourne and Madrid already opened Heathrow, Zurich and Cancun to be opened in the next quarters 12_ 9M 2017 Results Presentation

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16_ 9M 2017 Results Presentation

17_ 9M 2017 Results Presentation

2 FINANCIALS 9M 2017 18_ HY 2017 Results Presentation

Growth performance by division Strong organic growth in Q3 2017, despite higher comparables Asia, Middle East and Australia with strong organic growth in Q3 Reported growth components Q1 '16 Q2 '16 Q3 '16 Q4 '16 Q1 '17 Q2 '17 Q3 '17 Like for Like -6.2% -7.7% -0.6% 5.0% 7.2% 8.7% 6.4% New concessions, net 1.0% 0.4% 0.9% 0.6% 0.0% 0.2% 1.2% Organic growth -5.2% -7.3% 0.3% 5.6% 7.2% 8.9% 7.6% Changes in scope 63.0% 68.5% 15.2% -0.8% -0.6% -0.5% 0.0% Growth in constant FX 57.8% 61.2% 15.5% 4.8% 6.6% 8.4% 7.6% FX impact 2.2% 2.5% -1.4% -3.3% -1.9% -1.6% 0.5% Reported Growth 60.0% 63.7% 14.1% 1.5% 4.7% 6.8% 8.1% Organic growth including WDF 0.1% -2.9% 1.3% 5.6% 7.2% 8.9% 7.6% Organic growth evolution Organic growth 9M 2017 11.0% 9.0% 7.0% 5.0% 3.0% 1.0% -1.0% -3.0% -5.0% 8.9% 7.2% 7.6% 5.6% 1.3% 0.1% -2.9% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2016 2017 Southern Europe and Africa 7.7% 10.1% UK, Central and Eastern Europe 8.4% 5.7% Asia, Middle East and Australia 0.5% 4.4% 12.7% Latin America 13.2% North America 6.0% 5.7% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 9M '17 Q3 '17 19_ 9M 2017 Results Presentation

Aggregated FX development Translational FX impact turned negative in Q3 2016 due to GBP 4.0% 2.0% 2.2% 2.5% Translational FX impact 0.5% 0.0% -2.0% -1.4% -1.9% -1.6% Appreciation of EUR benefits FY impact -4.0% -3.3% Q1 '16 Q2 '16 Q3 '16 Q4 '16 Q1 '17 Q2 '17 Q3 '17 Main currencies development Turnover by currency 9M 17 Q1-12.5% -2.4% 1.1% USD/CHF Other* 18% Q2-9.5% -1.1% 1.4% EUR/CHF USD 41% Q3-1.3% -1.7% 3.9% GBP/CHF GBP 16% Q4 Note: Q4 until 16/10/2017-2.6% 6.5% 3.7% -25.0% -15.0% -5.0% 5.0% * Other includes CHF, CAD, AUD, HKD, etc. EUR 25% 20_ 9M 2017 Results Presentation

Income statement 9M 2017 Strong turnover growth driven by organic growth Cash earnings adds back the portion of amortization related to acquisitions Income statement 9M 2017 (CHF million) 9M 2017 % 9M 2016 % Turnover 6,270.5 100.0% 5,877.2 100.0% Gross profit 3,726.4 59.4% 3,434.7 58.4% Concession fees (1,741.2) -27.8% (1,601.2) -27.2% Personnel expenses (844.7) -13.5% (792.8) -13.5% Other expenses (394.5) -6.3% (358.0) -6.1% Share of result of associates (2.4) 0.0% 2.7 0.0% EBITDA (1) 743.6 11.9% 685.4 11.7% Depreciation (120.7) -1.9% (118.4) -2.0% Amortization (268.3) -4.3% (285.2) -4.9% Linearization (35.1) -0.6% (45.3) -0.8% Other operational result (27.5) -0.4% (42.9) -0.7% EBIT 292.0 4.7% 193.6 3.3% Financial result (132.9) -2.1% (151.6) -2.6% EBT 159.1 2.5% 42.0 0.7% Income tax (37.1) -0.6% (12.1) -0.2% Net Earnings 122.0 1.9% 29.9 0.5% Non-controlling interests (37.3) -0.6% (29.7) -0.5% Net Earnings to equity holders 84.7 1.4% 0.2 0.0% Cash Earnings 312.3 5.0% 244.5 4.2% (1) Before other operational results 21_ 9M 2017 Results Presentation

(CHF) (CHF) Cash earnings strong growth in 9M 2017 Cash EPS improves from CHF 4.55 in 9M 2016 to CHF 5.81 in 9M 2017 4.00 3.00 2.00 Cash EPS by quarter 3.47 2.86 2.05 1.74 1.46 Cash EPS analysis 9M 2017 9M 2016 Cash EPS 5.81 4.55 Deffered taxes on acquisitionrelated amortization -0.79-1.06 Pronounced seasonality of earnings to remain unchanged 1.00 0.00-1.00 7.00 6.00 0.29-0.05 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2016 2017 Cash EPS 9M 28% 5.81 Linearization 0.65 0.84 Strong growth of earnings and cash EPS Seasonality of earnings to remain more pronounced going forward 5.00 4.55 4.00 3.00 2.00 1.00 0.00 9M 2016 9M 2017 22_ 9M 2017 Results Presentation

Cash flow statement Strong cash generation in the 9M 2017 Cash conversion of 62% (free cash flow / EBITDA) Tight working capital and Capex management drove positive results Cash flow statement (CHF million) 9M 2017 9M 2016 EBITDA before other operational result 743.6 685.4 Changes in net working capital (6.5) 143.2 Taxes paid (69.4) (65.2) Other operational items (10.0) (53.3) Dividends from associates 4.9 4.9 Net cash flow from operating activities 662.6 715.0 Capex (217.3) (197.6) Interest received 19.3 18.3 Free cash flow 464.6 535.7 Restructuring and transaction costs of acquisitions 0.1 (15.8) Proceeds from sale of interests / (investments) in subsidiaries and associates - 3.8 Cash flow after investing activities 464.7 523.7 Interest paid (159.1) (173.8) Arrangement fees paid, acquisition related financing costs and other (0.7) (1.0) Cash flows related to minorities (34.3) (39.3) Financial investments (0.1) 17.5 Cash flow used for financing (194.2) (196.6) Change in Net Debt, before currency translation 270.5 327.1 Currency translation 4.2 62.7 Net debt at the begining of the period 3,750.4 3,955.9 at the end of the period 3,475.7 3,566.1 23_ 9M 2017 Results Presentation

Capex (CHF million) Capex (as % of Turnover) NWC (CHF million) NWC (as % of Turnover) Capex & Net Working Capital Core Net Working Capital continues at reduced levels 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 Core Net Working Capital (1) 6.3% 5.9% 5.5% 5.4% 5.6% 5.3% 4.7% 4.2% 491 471 424 326 422 444 424 389 7.0% 6.0% 5.0% 4.0% 3.0% 2.0% 1.0% Core net working capital within expected levels Expectation for FY 2017 core net working capital of 5-6% of turnover 0 0.0% Q4' 15 Q1' 16 Q2' 16 Q3' 16 Q4' 16 Q1' 17 Q2' 17 Q3' 17 Core Net Working Capital NWC as % of Turnover PF (2) (1) Inventories + Trade and credit card receivables - Trade payables (2) Adds LTM Turnover of acquisitions Capex evolution Capex in line with target 400 350 300 250 4.7% 2.7% 3.3% 3.4% 3.5% 6.0% 4.0% 2.0% Capex target for FY 2017 of 3.0% - 3.5% of turnover confirmed 200 150 100 50 198 165 262 198 217 0.0% -2.0% 0 2014 2015 2016 9M '16 9M '17-4.0% Capex Capex as % of Turnover 24_ 9M 2017 Results Presentation

(CHF million) Seasonality of cash generation Strong seasonality in cash generation Q3 typically strongest quarter 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0-50 -100 19 Seasonality of cash generation Free cash flow 335 337 205 206 122 102 79 12-52 -77 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2015 2016 2017 Positive trends point to higher free cash flow for FY 2017 Due to seasonality, biggest cash generation in Q3 Strong cash generation in Q3, maintaining high levels of 2016 25_ 9M 2017 Results Presentation

Balance sheet No significant changes in the balance sheet 9M 2017 Intangible assets mainly generated by acquisitions Summary balance sheet as per 30.09.2017 (CHF million) 30.09.2017 31.12.2016 Variation Concession right finite life 3,584 3,780-196 Goodwill, Brands, Conc. rights indef. life 2,960 2,923 37 Other intangible assets 102 84 18 Other non current assets 379 336 43 Core Net Working Capital 389 422-33 Other current assets 540 528 12 PP&E 631 629 1 Total 8,585 8,702-117 Equity 3,356 3,271 85 Net Debt 3,476 3,750-275 Non current liabilities 334 346-11 Deferred tax liabilities, net 301 339-38 Other current liabilities 1,118 996 122 Total 8,585 8,702-117 26_ 9M 2017 Results Presentation

(CHF million) (Net Debt/Adj. EBITDA) Financing & Covenants No debt maturity until 2019 4,000 3,750 3,500 Net Debt Evolution 3,838 3,750 3,628 3,476 5.00 4.50 Covenants evolution 4.50 4.50 4.50 4.25 4.25 4.25 4.00 4.00 Deleveraging to continue in 2017 3,250 3,000 2,750 2,500 Dec 16 Mar 17 Jun 17 Sep 17 4.00 3.50 3.00 3.92 3.94 3.91 3.72 3.69 Threshold 3.79 3.68 Actual 3.45 3.75 Debt by currency Comfortable headroom on covenants USD 50% EUR 33% CHF 7% GBP 10% 27_ 9M 2017 Results Presentation

(CHF million) New EUR 800 million Senior Notes in place and bank financing under review New Senior Notes with coupon of 2.5% Proceeds to be used for the repayment of 2022 Senior Notes and reduce bank debt Refinancing of bank debt sought for the near future New EUR 800 million Senior Notes launched in October 2017 Maturity in 2024 Coupon of 2.5% Proceeds used to repay former EUR 500 million Senior Notes expiring 2022 with a coupon of 4.5% as well as reduce bank debt Debt maturity profile The new EUR 800 million Senior notes Dufry reduces the like-for-like interest cost by CHF 10 million as compared to the cost of the previous bond. Dufry is currently working on the refinancing of its bank facilities. 4,000 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 900 572 915 978 801 915 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 TL (USD 1,010 million) TL (EUR 800 million) TL (EUR 500 million) EUR Bond (EUR 700 million) EUR Bond (EUR 800 million) RCF (CHF 900 million) 28_ 9M 2017 Results Presentation

3 Dufry Considering IPO of North American Business 29_ HY 2017 Results Presentation

Potential listing of North American business Dufry considering an IPO of its North American business No final decision taken yet Dufry would retain majority interest and continue to consolidate IPO of the North American business of Dufry remains under consideration IPO considerations: Dufry would keep a majority ownership stake in the business Dufry would continue to consolidate the business North American business will remain highly integrated, thus sustaining the efficiencies in place for both units IPO would allow to reflect difference of North American travel retail market and accelerate financial flexibility In North America F&B is a more significant opportunity as compared to other regions of the world. There are a range of concepts, many of which close to retail (grab & go, prepared food) Different airport management model as compared to other geographic region with Developers vs. Master Operators vs. Fee Managers ACDBE requirements for minority partners 30_ 9M 2017 Results Presentation

Retain control to continue to harvest global synergies Dufry Group Global leader in travel retail operating in 64 countries in 380 locations Keep majority stake in the North American division and continue to consolidate it Group to continue sharing best practices and overall global efficiencies to North American division Proceeds from IPO would allow Dufry to deleverage faster, increase flexibility for further M&A and for returning cash to shareholders The IPO of Dufry s North American division enables each company to focus on its respective growth objectives and distinct business drivers Dufry North America Leader in North America with 947 shops in 86 locations Increased strategic and financial flexibility to pursue growth opportunities noncore to Dufry Group, e.g., food and beverages and master airport concessions 31_ 9M 2017 Results Presentation

4 CONCLUSION 32_ HY 2017 Results Presentation

Conclusion Continue organic growth acceleration Drive cash generation and deleveraging Execute implementation of Business Operating Model Strong organic growth : 7.9% in 9M 2017 Pursue initiatives to further drive spend per passenger Accelerating commercial initiatives Digitalization of business Refurbishing existing operations New concessions and expansions Implementation of new business operating model (BOM) on track: First wave includes 17 countries; implementation to be completed FY 2018 Implement digital strategy to drive sales by increasing conversion rates and spend per passenger; key elements of the strategy are: Intensified customer research Store & employee digitalization: Melbourne and Madrid T4 opened; Cancun, Zurich and Heathrow coming soon Omni-channel communication to customers RED by Dufry and Reserve & Collect service Focus on cash generation and deleveraging 33_ 9M 2017 Results Presentation

Thank you