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Transcription:

plainpicture/fstop/ralf Hiemisch 7 February 2017 Jörg Schneider

Munich Re (Group) Financial highlights 2016 2016 net result of 2.6bn meets annual guidance Increased dividend of 8.60 per share 1 Munich Re (Group) 2016 (Q4 2016) NET RESULT 2.6bn ( 0.5bn) Sound underlying performance without dilution of strong balance sheet investments in ERGO Strategy Programme and FX gains OPERATING RESULT 4.0bn ( 0.8bn) Reinsurance combined ratio of 95.7 (101.9), technical result of almost 500m in life re ERGO with slightly negative 2016 (positive Q4) net result INVESTMENT RESULT RoI: 3.2 (2.7) Solid return given low interest rates prudent asset liability management once again proved beneficial SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY 31.8bn ( 1.8 vs. 30.9.) Strong capitalisation according to all metrics continues to provide the basis for high pay-outs HGB RESULT (GERMAN GAAP) Significantly above 3bn Distributable earnings improved substantially, despite capital repatriation of 2.3bn JANUARY RENEWALS Strict focus on bottom-line Premium change: 4.9 Price change: ~ 0.5 1 Subject to approval of Supervisory Board and AGM. 2

Munich Re (Group) Investments Investment result bn Q4 2016 2016 2015 Regular income 1.7 6.7 7.4 Write-ups/write-downs 0.1 0.4 0.8 Disposal gains/losses 0.8 2.6 2.7 Derivatives 0.5 0.7 1.2 Other income/expenses 0.2 0.6 0.5 Investment result 1.6 7.6 7.5 Highlights Ongoing attrition of running yield decline ~30bps 3-month reinvestment yield stable at ~1.8 in Q4 Disposal gains at prior-year level higher gains at ERGO, lower gains in reinsurance Improved derivatives result largely driven by interest-rate hedging at ERGO and recovery of commodity markets, partly reversed in Q4 following a pick-up in interest rates and strong equity markets Return on investment 2.7 3.2 3.2 Reinsurance 2.2 2.5 3.2 ERGO 3.0 3.7 3.1 3

ERGO Key financials ERGO Key financials Gross premiums written bn Net result bn 16.5 16.0 0.04 0.23 Germany P-C: Combined ratio International P-C: Combined ratio 97.9 97.0 104.7 99.0 Major result drivers 2016: Net result in line with guidance, including impact from ERGO Strategy Programme (ESP) 1 Higher investment result Germany P-C: Combined ratio 1 point better than guidance 2 International P-C: Combined ratio improved, mainly in Poland, UK and Turkey Q4: Positive net result High investment result in all segments more than offsets additional restructuring expenses in Belgium 1 Restructuring expenses: 0.2bn, investments: 0.1bn. 2 ESP impact: ~1 point 4

Munich Health Key financials Munich Health Key financials Gross premiums written bn Net result bn Combined ratio 5.6 5.0 99.9 98.5 0.09 0.14 Major result drivers Organic premium decrease mainly driven by reduced share and restructuring of one large treaty, partly offset by growth in China, Middle East and Spain Reinsurance combined ratio 99.5 ( 1.7) Reserve release, as well as better claims experience and positive one-offs in the US Primary insurance combined ratio 94.2 (+1.0) Reserve release in Belgium 5

Reinsurance Key financials Reinsurance Key financials Gross premiums written bn Net result bn P-C: Combined ratio 28.2 27.8 3.3 2.5 P-C Life 89.7 95.7 2.9 2.0 Life: Technical result ~ 0.49bn Result well above annual target, despite large losses in Q1 Strong contribution mainly from North America, Europe and Asia supported by one-off effects Reserve releases in H2 2016 0.3 0.5 Property-casualty: Major losses Total Nat cat Man-made FY 2016 9.1 5.5 3.6 Q4 2016 14.8 10.9 3.9 Reserve releases 1 bn points 2 FY 2016 ~1.1 ~5.5 Q4 2016 ~0.4 ~5.7 1 Basic losses. 2 Adjusted for commission effects. Gross reserve releases: ~6.2 (Q4 2016: ~8.7). 6

Reinsurance property-casualty January renewals 2017 Business up for renewal roughly half of total P-C book Regional focus on Europe Total property-casualty book 1 Regional allocation of January renewals Remaining business 28 Business up for January renewal 50 Worldwide 26 Europe 31 Latin America 4 TOTAL 9bn TOTAL 18bn Asia-Pacific-Africa 17 Nat cat shares of renewable portfolio 2 Nat cat Other perils North America 22 January 12 88 Business up for July renewal 12 Business up for April renewal 10 1 Gross premiums written. Economic view not fully comparable with IFRS figures. 2 Total refers to total P-C book, incl. remaining business. April July Total 13 24 19 76 81 87 7

Reinsurance property-casualty January renewals 2017 Cycle management reduction mitigated by new business opportunities Further slow-down in price decline January renewals 2017 100 14.4 85.6 2.7 12.2 95.1 m 8,982 1,297 7,685 241 1,094 8,538 Change in premium 4.9 Thereof price movement 1 ~ 0.5 Thereof change in exposure for our share 4.4 Overall premium decline due to disciplined underwriting partly offset by new business opportunities Price change of 0.5 less pronounced compared with last year Continued pressure on XL business, while price decline for US nat cat lower than in the past Total renewable from 1 January Cancelled Renewed Decrease on renewable New business Estimated outcome Proportional business remains resilient Overall portfolio profitability was maintained and remains above cost of capital 1 Price movement is risk-adjusted, i.e. includes claims inflation/loss trend and is adjusted for portfolio mix effects. Furthermore, price movement is calculated on a wing-to-wing basis (including cancelled and new business). 8

Disclaimer This presentation contains forward-looking statements that are based on current assumptions and forecasts of the management of Munich Re. Known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors could lead to material differences between the forward-looking statements given here and the actual development, in particular the results, financial situation and performance of our Company. The Company assumes no liability to update these forward-looking statements or to make them conform to future events or developments. 9