Q Axactor AB. November 1, 2017

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Transcription:

Q3 2017 Axactor AB November 1, 2017

Key highlights Q3 REVENUE 23.6 EUR MILLION ERC 526 EUR MILLION EBITDA 2.0 EUR MILLION CASH EBITDA 6.2 EUR MILLION CASH BALANCE 54.7 EUR MILLION +113% y/y +108% y/y 10% margin Axactor and Geveran signs Co-investment Partnership LOI with EUR 300 million in investment capacity A private placement of 240 million new shares with gross proceeds of NOK 598 million completed Geveran participated in the private placement and has 9.98% of the shares in Axactor AB post share issue DNB/Nordea made a 5th tranche of EUR 40 million available with 100% gearing allowed on new NPLs Cash EBITDA at EUR 6.2 million for the quarter. Cash EBITDA YTD Q3 of EUR 19.2 million Q3 gross collection/ebitda with seasonality impact significantly better gross collection/ebitda expected in Q4 2

Events after Q3 closing Geveran co-invest transaction closed The co-invest tansaction with Geveran closed - securing the investment capacity of EUR 300 million The co-investment vehicle Bank Funding in place New NPL acquisition Acquired an Auto Loan Portfolio in Spain from one of the major European car manufacturers. Total outstanding balance close to EUR 100m and more than 10K claims Today s announcement First joint deal with Geveran Second largest NPL CAPEX transaction since Axactor was established Three portfolios acquired from the same bank in one transaction Secured with EUR 94 million FV funded through Axactor/Geveran SPV Unsecured with EUR 300 million FV funded with Axactor cash and bank facility REOs with EUR 40 million appraisal value funded through Axactor/Geveran SPV 3

Portfolio investment company Capital structure with EUR 300 mill capitalization Rationale for Axactor Equity 20% Geveran EUR 30 million (10%) Axactor EUR 30 million (10%) Enables bid for significantly larger portfolios, including new NPL segments Subordinated debt 40% Geveran EUR 120 million (40%) 5 year facility Margin at 650 bps over EURIBOR Optimizes cost of capital for larger purchases due to leverage of up to 80% LTV Adding significant collection volumes to collection centers, reducing marginal cost for entire operation Bank debt 40% Bank(s) EUR 80+40 million (40%) Axactor AB P&L effect from 50/50 owned SPV 3PC Servicing fee as revenue Net result from SPV as separate revenue item and full EBITDA effect 4

Balanced revenue mix 25 Revenue per Quarter (EUR million) 24.9 * 23.6 Q3 Revenue Distribution per Country 20 18.5 19.7 SWE 16% GER 23% 15 10 11.0 Q3 23.6m ITA 8% 5 SPA 44% NOR 10% 0 Q3-16 Q4-16 Q1-17 Q2-17 Q3-17 GER ITA NOR SPA SWE Q3 revenue negatively impacted by seasonality No significant change in geographic mix Swedish revenue mainly derived from the BN portfolio acquired in Q1 *Q2 settlement with former IGE board members is excluded 5

Balanced revenue mix Revenue Development per Product (EUR million) 24.9* 25 23.6 Q3 with seasonality impact 20 18.5 19.7 Four new significant 3PC contracts signed during Q3 15 10 11.1 Good balance between NPL and 3PC Payment services/accounts Receivable Management System currently being rolled out in SWE, GER and ITA 5 0 Q3-16 Q4-16 Q1-17 Q2-17 Q3-17 Payment Services 3PC NPL Portfolios 6 *Q2 settlement with former IGE board members is excluded

Collection on NPL portfolios vs. Initial business case (EUR million) 20,0 99% 15,0 72% Performance vs. business case 80% 92% 91% 100% 97% 14,2 14,0 120% 100% 80% 2016 performance impacted by external servicing and replacement of old collection systems in all countries Q4-16 collection includes a large settlement of 900k which was not modelled in initial business case 10,0 10,4 60% 8,5 40% 5,0 3,9 20% - 0,9 1,4 2016 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2017 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 0% Gross cash Collection on portfolios LTM Performance 7

Portfolio Statistics Historical Development ERC (EUR million) 550 510.7 525.8 500 450 427.1 400 350 317.1 300 250 253.2 200 150 100 50 0 Q3-16 Q4-16 Q1-17 Q2-17 Q3-17 ERC per year (EUR million) 78.9 80 76.4 70 61.4 60 49.6 50 41.7 40 35.9 31.1 30 27.4 24.3 21.4 19.0 20 17.0 15.3 13.9 12.5 10 0 Y1 Y2 Y3 Y4 Y5 Y6 Y7 Y8 Y9 Y10 Y11 Y12 Y13 Y14 Y15 GER ITA NOR SPA SWE GER ITA NOR SPA SWE ERC increase of 108% compared to Q3 2016 Increase in Y2 improved by forecasted collection on new secured/reo portfolios in Spain Rolling forecast adopted in Q3 adds 700k to ERC in Q3 8

Portfolio Statistics Book value Portfolios (EUR million) 250 241.5 246.3 Capex (EUR million) 70 66.5 200 191.9 60 50 54.3 150 100 50 98.7 128.0 40 30 20 10 0 13.6 33.8 7.0 0 Q3-16 Q4-16 Q1-17 Q2-17 Q3-17 -10 Q3-16 Q4-16 Q1-17 Q2-17 Q3-17 GER ITA NOR SPA SWE GER ITA NOR SPA SWE Two portfolios acquired in Germany in Q3-17 Entire 2017 NPL CAPEX budget deployed within H1 Running forward-flow portfolios in Germany, Norway and Sweden accounted for EUR 2.9m out of the EUR 7.0m capex in Q3-17

Q3 Income statement Income statement Key comments 3Q 3Q EURO 1000' 2017 2016 Income 23 617 11 072 Amortization of debt portfolios -3 544-378 Net revenue 20 073 10 694 Cost of secured assets sold -124 0 Personnel expenses collection -6 650-2 535 Personnel expenses other -4 670-3 097 Operating expenses -6 612-5 818 EBITDA 2 017-756 Amortization and depreciation -1 340-945 EBIT 677-1 701 113% Y/Y Revenue growth Double digit EBITDA margin at 10% Cash EBITDA above EUR 6 million Interest cost for the quarter is EUR 1.8 million Financial revenue 958 744 Financial expenses -1 998-543 Net financial items -1 040 201 Profit/(loss) before tax -363-1 500 Tax expense 624-606 Net profit/(loss) from continued operations 261-2 106 Result for the period attributable to: Equity holders of the Parent Company 261-2 106 Result for the period 261-2 106 CASH EBITDA 6 213 80 NORMALIZED EBITDA 2 017-756 10

Q3 Balance Sheet Assets Key comments EURO 1000' 30.09.2017 30.09.2016 31.12.2016 Intangible non-current assets Intangible assets 18 386 17 078 18 347 Goodwill 54 756 51 094 53 491 Deferred Tax Asset 2 234 481 1 442 Tangible non-current assets Property, Plant and equipment 2 506 3 312 2 365 Financial non-current assets Investment in joint ventures 3 052 Purchased debt portifolios 237 927 98 707 127 989 Other long term receivables 1 123 2 240 998 Other long term investments 226 113 415 Total non-current assets 320 210 173 026 205 046 Book value of NPLs is 246m, including Stock of Secured Assets (Spain) Available cash at end of Q3 is 54.7 million Current Assets Stock of secured assets 8 373 0 Current receivables 7 227 6 224 5 652 Other current assets 8 860 8 805 7 563 Restricted cash 2 589 2 100 1 510 Cash and cash equivalents 54 748 32 008 62 476 Total current assets 81 797 49 137 77 202 TOTAL ASSETS 402 007 222 163 282 248 11

Q3 Balance Sheet Equity and liabilities Key comments EURO 1000' 30.09.2017 30.09.2016 31.12.2016 Equity for equity holders of the parent Share capital 79 377 49 133 64 198 Other paid-in capital 195 773 195 611 262 414 Retained earnings for the period -15 017-139 786-147 438 Reserves -184 2 734 3 714 Total equity 259 948 107 691 182 888 Total interest bearing debt of EUR 116.1 million whereof EUR 29.9 million in Italy Equity ratio 65%, up from 54% in Q2-17 Non-current liabilities Non-current interest bearing debt 71 072 76 076 25 149 Deferred tax liabilities 6 815 7 141 5 960 Other non-current liabilities 3 447 3 943 3 400 Total long term liabilities 81 334 87 160 34 510 Current liabilities Accounts payable 2 753 7 044 6 648 Current portion of non-current borro 45 020 8 506 48 852 Taxes Payable -445 663 387 Other current liabilities 13 398 11 098 8 962 Total current liabilities 60 725 27 312 64 850 TOTAL EQUITY AND LIABILITIES 402 007 222 163 282 248 12

End Q3 investment capacity of EUR 430m Figures in EUR million 430 300 24 160 30 130 50 86 Cash available for CAPEX RCF Italian loan facility Axactor stand alone (pre equity issue) Investment in SPV Axactor stand alone (post equity issue) Portfolio investment company Total investment capacity Additional investment capacity available after refinancing 13

14 Entering new market segment in Spain - and market trends in Europe

The Real Estate Owned (REO) market in Spain is an attractive segment for Axactor Attractive stand-alone returns (IRR normally 30-60% higher than for B2C unsecured) Regulatory changes driving large transaction volumes (More than 70 transactions last 3 years (o/w 15 in 2016) with asset value exceeding 35 beur) Access to attractive funding (International banks with long experience and high appetite for REOs funding - and vendor financing possible) 15 REO portfolios are highly attractive Creating even stronger relationships with banks (Axactor better positioned to acquire other NPL assets and 3PC business) Improved macro environment in Spain (Real estate prices are increasing, labour market improving in combination with low interest rates) Increased diversification (The REOs segment and increased exposure to secured assets increases diversification)

Clean up of the bank s balance sheets has just started 1 289 1 084-16% A modest 16% reduction of NPLs on the bank s balance sheets Deleveraging to continue due to regulatory pressure Large volumes of NPLs and REOs currently offered in the market 2013 2016 16 Source: PwC Portfolio Advisory Group "Note: Based on the location of the head office of the bank selling the assets. These figures do not include NPE (Non-Performing Exposures )

NPL ratio as % of total gross loans is decreasing NPL ratio as % of total gross loans 18% 16% 14% 17% 17% 15% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% 8% 6% 7% 8% 6% 6% 4% 3% 3% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2014 2015 2016 Germany Italy Sweden Spain Eurozone Norway 17 Source: ECB Statistical Data Warehouse, Statistics Norway

Eurozone banking overview Total loans (beur) Business/corporate loans (beur) 18 500 18 000 17 500 18 477 17 987 17 572 18 118 4 800 4 700 4 600 4 500 4 720 4 536 17 000 16 982 16 832 17 163 4 400 4 300 4 345 4 309 4 282 4 304 4 315 0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 1H 2017 0 2011 2012 2014 2015 2016 1H 2017 Consumer credit (beur) Residential mortgage (beur 640 630 620 628 617 637 4 150 4 100 4 050 4 050 4 110 610 600 590 580 570 604 576 565 597 4 000 3 950 3 900 3 850 3 800 3 784 3 830 3 858 3 866 3 953 0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 1H 2017 0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 1H 2017 18 Source: ECB Statistical Data Warehouse

Summary Q3 Presentation Q3 gross collection/ebitda with seasonality impact significantly better gross collection/ebitda expected in Q4 Double digit EBITDA margin Equity issue with gross proceeds of appx EUR 64 million Co-invest agreement with Geveran closed in October creating a vehicle with EUR 300 million investment capacity Total investment capacity currently (end Q3) at EUR 430 million Very strong Q4 pipeline Three new portfolios acquired in Spain from a large financial institution acquired in October Axactor enters the REO (real estate owned) segment in Spain

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