The Contribution made by Beer to the European Economy. Romania - January 2016

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Transcription:

The Contribution made by Beer to the European Economy Romania - January 2016

Europe Economics is registered in England No. 3477100. Registered offices at Chancery House, 53-64 Chancery Lane, London WC2A 1QU. Whilst every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information/material contained in this report, Europe Economics assumes no responsibility for and gives no guarantees, undertakings or warranties concerning the accuracy, completeness or up to date nature of the information/analysis provided in the report and does not accept any liability whatsoever arising from any errors or omissions. Europe Economics. All rights reserved. Except for the quotation of short passages for the purpose of criticism or review, no part may be used or reproduced without permission from The Brewers of Europe.

ROMANIA 1. COUNTRY PROFILE Romania 2014 Population 19,861,029 Currency Leu GDP per capita in PPS (2012, EU28 = 100) 53 Source: Eurostat and National Statistical offices. 2. HIGHLIGHTS ROMANIA Table 1: Economic impact of beer in Romania (2013-2014) Romania 2013 2014 % Change Total number of jobs 95,976 84,988-11.4 % Value-added (million Euro) 966 862-10.7 % Government revenues (million Euro) 581 533-8.3 % Figure 1: Development of production, consumption, imports and exports (2010-2014) Source: National associations. - 1 -

3. BREWING SECTOR Production fell significantly from 2013 to 2014 in Romania. Despite this, there was an increase in the number of brewing companies and the number of breweries, with the sector becoming increasingly diverse despite the overall reduction in volume. Table 2: Basic characteristics of the Romania brewing sector (2013-2014) Romania 2013 2014 Total production (in hectolitres) 16,110,000 14,750,000 Brewing companies 12 16 Breweries (including microbreweries) 18 22 Microbreweries 3 7 Source: National Associations. 4. BEER MARKET Consumption has also fallen significantly overall along with total consumer spending, as prices remained constant. The share of beer consumed in the on-trade is low relative to other European countries. Table 3: Basic characteristics beer market (2013-2014) Romania 2013 2014 Total consumption in hectolitres 16,300,000 14,900,000 Total consumer spending (in million Euro) 1,644 1,470 Consumption of beer per capita (in litres) 81 74 Beer consumption on-trade (hospitality) 19% 18% Beer consumption off-trade (retail) 81% 82% Average consumer price in on-trade (1 litre, including taxes) (in Euro) 1.45 1.49 Average consumer price in off-trade (1 litre, including taxes) (in Euro) 0.91 0.88 Source: National Associations. 5. TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS There has been a steady shift from consumption in the on-trade to consumption in the off-trade and a decline in overall beer consumption in line with wider European trends. The decline in beer consumption in Romania is thought to result from a large increase in excise duty rates in 2013, which makes the market more susceptible to fluctuations driven by other causes, such as bad weather. Firms are responding by developing new products, particularly Radler beer mixes. Package sizes are also falling and there is a shift to cans. - 2 -

6. EMPLOYMENT GENERATED BY THE BEER SECTOR The relatively low proportion for consumption in the on-trade means its share of the contribution to employment is also low; around half the level typical in other Member States. The retail sector contribution is high, reflecting a relatively labour-intensive retail sector for alcoholic beverages and a high share for off-trade consumption. The hospitality sector also declined from 2013 to 2014 unlike in Poland, for example, where a similarly low on-trade share is increasing over time (Romania might follow this pattern in the future). Figure 2: Total employment because of beer in 2014: 84,988 jobs - 3 -

Figure 3: Change in employment (2013-2014): -11.4 % The largest contribution to employment in the supply sectors occurred in agriculture. This reflects the labourintensity of the sector. Around a third of agricultural supplies are imported. There was also a large contribution to employment in the media and marketing sector. Figure 4: Indirect employment in 2014: 24,543 jobs - 4 -

7. VALUE ADDED GENERATED BY THE BEER SECTOR The pattern for value added is similar to that for employment, with a large retail sector contribution reflecting the large off-trade share in overall consumption. This has declined, reflecting a decline in the value of retail sales, while other contributions to employment have remained reasonably stable. Figure 5: Change in value added (2013-2014): -10.7 % - 5 -

8. GOVERNMENT REVENUES RELATED TO BEER The largest contribution to revenues related to VAT in the off-trade, reflecting the particularly high share of consumption in the off-trade. VAT revenues are still high relative to excise duty revenues, despite the increase in the excise duty rate in 2013. Figure 6: Government revenues generated by beer in 2014: 533 million Euro Table 4: Government revenues (2013-2014) Romania 2013 2014 % Change Excise duties (million Euro) 154 150-2.9 % VAT (on-trade) (million Euro) 87 77-11.2 % VAT (off-trade) (million Euro) 231 208-10.3 % Income tax, payroll tax and social security revenues (brewing companies) (million Euro) 21 20-4.5 % Income tax, payroll tax and social security revenues (other sectors) (million Euro) 88 79-10.6 % Total government revenues (million Euro) 581 533-8.3 % - 6 -

The Brewers of Europe Rue Caroly 23-25 1050 Brussels - Belgium T + 32 (0)2 551 18 10 F + 32 (0)2 660 94 02 www.brewersofeurope.org info@brewersofeurope.org Published January 2016