China Resources Land (LHS)

Similar documents
China Gas Utilities Sector

Flash Note. Singapore. Keppel Corporation (KEP SP) : HOLD. Signs agreement with Borr Drilling for Transocean units

China Reinsurance Group Corp

Flash Note. Malaysia. Malaysia Automotive. Excise duty up. DBS Group Research. Equity 11 Apr 2017

Hang Lung Properties. China / Hong Kong Company Guide

Singapore Flash Note. StarHub (STH SP) : FULLY VALUED. Mobile, pay TV declines hit bottom line. DBS Group Research.

China / Hong Kong Industry Focus China Education Sector

Singapore Property. Singapore Industry Focus. A Quiet Start to DBS Group Research. Equity 16 Feb 2016 STI : 2,607.90

Malaysian Banks. Malaysia Industry Focus

Thailand Banks. Thailand Industry Focus. Loan growth driven by demand for working capital. DBS Group Research. Equity 26 May 2015 SET : 1,508.

Flash Note. Singapore. Frasers Centrepoint Ltd (FCL SP) : BUY. Heaven in the City of Angels. DBS Group Research. Equity 4 Apr 2017

China / Hong Kong Company Guide Beijing Enterprises Clean Energy

Swire Properties (LHS)

Asian Pay Television Trust (LHS)

TCL Communication (LHS)

Singapore Flash Note. Singapore Property. Santa s new landbank list. DBS Group Research. Equity 13 Dec 2017

Total Access Communication

Indonesia Flash Note. Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur (ICBP IJ) : BUY. Net profit masked by one-off losses. DBS Group Research. Equity 21 Mar 2018

Esprit Holdings (LHS)

Trendlines Group (LHS)

Singapore Company Guide APAC Realty

Kimly Limited. IPO Factsheet. DBS Group Research. Equity 14 March Issue Statistics

Flash Note. Indonesia. Indonesia Construction. Strong start to DBS Group Research. Equity 31 Jan 2017

PT Link Net Tbk. Indonesia Company Guide

Flash Note. Indonesia. Indonesian Banks and Multifinance Companies. Key takeaways from recent visit. DBS Group Research.

CSE Global. Singapore Company Focus

Yonyou Network Technology

Elnusa. Indonesia Company Guide. FULLY VALUED Last Traded Price: Rp500 (JCI : 4,814.09) Price Target : Rp400 (-20% downside) (Prev Rp205)

Far East Horizon (LHS)

Overseas Education (LHS)

China / Hong Kong Company Guide China Hongqiao Group

Flash Note. Singapore. Property - Firming Fundamentals. Positives in Office & Residential sectors. DBS Group Research. Equity 15 Jan 2018

Sheng Siong Group (LHS)

Café de Coral (LHS) China / Hong Kong Company Guide

China Property Sector

PACC Offshore Services Holdings

Mitra Adiperkasa. Indonesia Company Guide

Indonesia Company Guide PT Sarana Menara Nusantara

China / Hong Kong Company Guide Midea Group Company Limited

SPH. Singapore Company Guide. HOLD Last Traded Price: S$4.05 (STI : 3,267.40) Price Target : S$3.98 (-2% downside)

Mayora Indah. Indonesia Company Guide. HOLD Last Traded Price: Rp40,000 (JCI : 4,743.66) Price Target : Rp39,200 (-2% downside) (Prev Rp29,500)

Ascendas REIT Version 8 Bloomberg AREIT SP Reuters: AEMN.SI Refer to important disclosures at the end of this report

Indonesia Company Guide Unilever Indonesia

Top Glove Corporation

Singapore Company Guide Keppel REIT

Indonesia Company Guide Perusahaan Gas Negara

Centurion Corporation (LHS)

mm2 Asia Singapore Company Guide BUY Last Traded Price ( 7 Feb 2018): S$0.495 (STI : 3,383.77) Price Target 12-mth: S$0.75 (52% upside) (Prev S$0.

Bangkok Bank. Thailand Company Guide. HOLD (downgrade) Last Traded Price ( 4 May 2017): Bt182 (SET : 1,573.05) Price Target 12-mth: Bt190 (4% upside)

Tower Bersama Infrastructure

Cityneon Holdings. Singapore Company Guide. BUY Last Traded Price ( 27 Feb 2018): S$1.10 (STI : 3,540.39) Price Target 12-mth: S$1.

CNMC Goldmine Holdings

Singapore Company Focus F & N

Telecommunications. Thailand Industry Focus. JAS s non-entry already priced in. DBS Group Research. Equity 14 Mar 2016 SET : 1,393.

Model Portfolio. Singapore Traders Spectrum. Refer to important disclosures at the end of this report. 15 Mar 2018

Global Logistic Properties

Oil & Gas Sector. Thailand Industry Focus

Consumer Sector (HK Retail)

Ascendas REIT (LHS) Singapore Company Guide. BUY Last Traded Price ( 5 Dec 2016): S$2.36 (STI : 2,943.05) Price Target 12-mth: S$2.

Mapletree Commercial Trust (LHS)

Padini Holdings. Malaysia Company Guide

Model Portfolio. Singapore Traders Spectrum. DBS Group Research. Equity 27 Jun Refer to important disclosures at the end of this report

Sembcorp Marine (LHS)

Ascendas India Trust. Singapore Company Guide

Bank Negara Indonesia

Kingdee. China / Hong Kong Company Focus FULLY VALUED HK$1.57 HSI: 22,100. On the right track but will take time to recover

SPH. Singapore Company Guide

mm2 Asia Singapore Company Guide BUY Last Traded Price ( 11 Aug 2017): S$0.465 (STI : 3,279.72) Price Target 12-mth: S$0.60 (29% upside) (Prev S$0.

DRB-HICOM. Result Snapshot. Stronger auto earnings. Malaysia Equity Research 29 Aug Refer to important disclosures at the end of this report

Indonesia Strategy. Indonesia Industry Focus. Octane boost. DBS Group Research. Equity 18 Nov 2014 JCI : 5,049.49

Sheng Siong Group. Singapore Company Guide. BUY Last Traded Price ( 27 Jul 2017): S$0.95 (STI : 3,354.71) Price Target 12-mth: S$1.

The Erawan Group. Thailand Company Guide

Plantation Companies. Regional Industry Focus. Declining inventory to support prices. DBS Group Research. Equity 10 Mar 2017

OSIM International (LHS)

Flash Note. Singapore. Singapore Property. Christmas comes early for two new winners! DBS Group Research. Equity 6 Dec 2017

Global Logistic Properties

Singapore Flash Note. Singapore Property. Power of two. DBS Group Research. Equity 12 Jul 2017

Cityneon Holdings. Sin gapore Company Guide. BUY Last Traded Price ( 3 Jan 2018): S$0.99 (STI : 3,464.28) Price Target 12-mth: S$1.

Bumrungrad Hospital. Thailand Company Guide

Sembcorp Marine (LHS)

Malaysia Company Guide Hibiscus Petroleum Berhad

Regional Industry Focus Plantation Companies

Dairy Farm. Singapore Company Guide. BUY Last Traded Price: US$6.68 (STI : 2,868.69) Price Target : US$7.18 (7% upside) (Prev US$7.

Super Group. Singapore Company Guide. HOLD Last Traded Price: S$0.79 (STI : 2,869.82) Price Target 12-mth: S$0.87 (11% upside) (Prev S$0.

SMRT. Singapore Company Focus

Thailand Banks. Thailand Industry Focus. FY16 results turned out stronger than expected. DBS Group Research. Equity 23 Jan 2017 SET : 1,562.

China Merchants Bank. China / Hong Kong Company Guide

Ascendas India Trust. Singapore Company Guide

Indonesia Company Guide Matahari Putra Prima

CSE Global. Singapore Company Focus

The Erawan Group. Thailand Company Guide

SKP Resources Bhd. Malaysia Company Guide. BUY Last Traded Price: RM1.23 (KLCI : 1,668.40) Price Target : RM1.55 (26% upside) (Prev RM1.

Singapore Company Guide Mapletree Industrial Trust

Plantation Companies. Regional Industry Focus. Dragged by slower exports. DBS Group Research. Equity 10 Dec 2015

Singapore Rigbuilders

Interlink Communication

Lippo Karawaci (LHS) Indonesia Company Guide

Flash Note. Bumi Armada (BAB MK) : BUY. 2Q16 in line: Recognized RM575m impairment. Malaysia Equity Research 29 Aug 2016

RHB Bank. Malaysia Company Guide

Water Sector. China / Hong Kong Industry Focus. More PPP projects. DBS Group Research. Equity 12 August 2016 HSI: 22,581

Transcription:

China / Hong Kong Company Guide Version 6 Bloomberg: 1109 HK EQUITY Reuters: 1109.HK Refer to important disclosures at the end of this report DBS Group Research. Equity 24 Aug 2017 BUY Last Traded Price ( 22 Aug 2017):HK$23.65 (HSI : 27,402) Price Target 12-mth: HK$28.79 (22% upside) (Prev HK$24.98) Analyst Carol WU +852 2863 8841 carol_wu@dbs.com Danielle WANG CFA, +852 2820 4915 danielle_wang@dbs.com Ken HE CFA, +86 21 6888 3375 ken_he@dbs.com Trista QIN +852 2863 8820 trista_qin@dbs.com What s New Valuable IP portfolio with high appreciation potential makes current stock valuation attractive Potential to speed up landbanking and presales growth with high profitability after passing high initial investment period for IP Unexciting 1H17 results due to low delivery; fullyear earnings growth intact Maintain BUY with a higher TP of HK$28.79 Price Relative 29.9 27.9 25.9 23.9 21.9 19.9 17.9 15.9 13.9 HK$ 11.9 53 Aug-13 Aug-14 Aug-15 Aug-16 Aug-17 (LHS) Relative HSI (RHS) Relative Index %Forecasts and Valuation FY Dec (HK$ m) 2015A 2016A 2017F 2018F Turnover 103,906 109,328 133,261 157,058 EBITDA 34,080 39,025 39,014 48,470 Pre-tax Profit 32,722 38,387 37,949 47,404 Net Profit 17,698 19,501 19,027 21,930 Core Profit 14,206 16,270 19,027 21,930 Core Profit Gth (%) 19.2 14.5 16.9 15.3 EPS (HK$) 2.62 2.81 2.75 3.16 EPS (HK$) 2.62 2.81 2.75 3.16 EPS Gth (%) 12.9 7.5 (2.4) 15.3 PE (X) 9.0 8.4 8.6 7.5 P/Cash Flow (X) 3.8 nm 14.4 9.4 EV/EBITDA (X) 6.1 5.6 5.6 4.5 DPS (HK$) 0.59 0.70 0.74 0.85 Div Yield (%) 2.5 3.0 3.1 3.6 Net Gearing (%) 22.6 23.8 20.3 15.5 ROE (%) 16.0 16.8 15.4 15.9 Book Value (HK$) 17.09 16.80 18.80 21.11 P/Book Value (X) 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.1 Earnings Rev (%): Nil Nil Consensus EPS (HK$) 3.21 3.64 Other Broker Recs: B: 27 S: 0 H: 0 Source of all data on this page: Company, DBSV, Thomson Reuters, HKEX 213 193 173 153 133 113 93 73 Sustainable growth model BUY on valuable IP valuation and potential to speed up presales. China Resources Land (CR Land) recorded 13% y-o-y growth in rental income in 1H17 (22% for retail malls). The Investment Property (IP) segment excluding hotels, recorded significant margin improvement, from 67.7% in 1H16 to 70.2%. The IP value recorded on its book is HK$106bn (or 22% of CR Land s total asset value). We believe there is high revaluation potential as (1) current cap rates to derive valuation are 6-7.75% for completed IPs and 6.5% to 7% for IPs under construction, which we believe have room to compress; (2) same-store-sales growth in retail malls grew 27% y-o-y in 1H17 (27% for matured malls and 28% for immature malls). This, coupled with a lower occupancy cost of 14.3% in 1H17 (from 15.6% in FY16), could translate to future rental growth; and (3) the management has raised guidance for rental income expectations to HK$10bn-11bn (or 15% CAGR) by 2019, a level that is sufficient to consider a spinoff. The current fair value of IP accounts for 65% of CR Land s current market cap, which makes CR Land s valuation look attractive. Potential to speed up growth. The management senses that the market expects CR Land to speed up presales growth to maintain a relatively higher scale among peers. It is reviewing its business plan, investment strategy and balance sheet policies to improve its strategy to deliver higher growth including potential spinoff of its IP segment, introducing incentive policies/strategic investors, major M&As, and city redevelopment projects leveraging on its parent s support. CR Land added 4.4m sm to its land bank in 1H17 on an attributable basis compared with 4.4m sm GFA sold. We believe CR Land has moved past the high initial investment period for IP, and will have more resources available for land acquisitions to speed up presales growth. Double digit core EPS growth for the full year remains intact. 1H17 core earnings declined by 25%, as 1H17 deliveries accounted for only 27% of our full-year delivery target. The company has Rmb152.4bn of unbooked sales as at mid-17, of which Rmb66.8bn will be recognised in 2H17. Gross margin of the 39 major projects contributing to revenue in 2H17 average at 44%. Our projection of 17% full year earnings growth is achievable in our view. We revised our TP to HK$28.79, after rolling to our valuation base to FY18. Valuation: CR Land s current valuation is 7.5x FY18F PE, and the shares have underperformed the sector by 21% year-to-date. We believe CR Land's share price is attractive and worth accumulating at the current level. Key Risks to Our View: The Shenzhen market, if it weakens further, could impact the company s 2017 sales outlook. At A Glance Issued Capital (m shrs) 6,931 Mkt. Cap (HK$m/US$m) 163,917 / 20,946 Major Shareholders China Resources (Holdings) (%) 61.3 Free Float (%) 38.7 3m Avg. Daily Val. (US$m) 30.4 ICB Industry : Financials / Real Estate ed-js/ sa- AH

Cap rate applied for valuation of investment properties PUD or completed Asset type Cap rate Completed Retail mall 6-7.75% Office 6-7.25% PUD Mall/office 6.5-7.5% Hotel 7% Retail sales growth in its major retail malls in 1H17 Mall Retail sales growth in 1H17 Shenzhen 23% Hangzhou 24% Shenyang 35% Chengdu 37% Nanning 30% Saleable resources estimate for 2H17 (Rmb bn) 1H17 actual 2H17 target FY17 target Saleable resources 138.4 180.3 243.5 - old 107.0 75.2 107.0 - new 31.4 105.1 136.5 Contracted sales 63.2 Target sales 68.8 132.0 Actual/target sell-through 45.7% 54.2% Operating stats for 1H17 and target for the full year (m sm) 1H17 actual FY17 target % of target GFA completion 2.31 9.08 25% GFA new starts 4.42 13.2 33% Page 2

Cash flow projection (Rmb bn) 1H17 actual 2017 target Property sales 48.5 105.0 Rental income 3.4 6.5 Land premium 37.5 80.0 Construction 15.1 36.5 SG&A 4.1 8.0 Tax 12.0 20.0 Interest 3.1 4.8 Dividend 0.0 4.6 Operating cash flow -19.9-42.4 Results vs. expectations Growth % of our estimate % of consensus forecast Below or above expectation Revenue -21% 26% 28% Below Core earnings -25% 19% 19% Below 1H16 1H17 Up/Down Below or above expectation Gross margin 33.9% 34.9% Up Above Core net margin 11.7% 10.5% Down Below SG&A as % of contracted sales 4.4% 4.0% Improved Above End-FY16 1H17 Up/Down Below or above expectation Cash level (HK$ m) 46,674 45,176 Down Largely in line Net debt ratio 23.8% 41.5% Up Largely in line Below or above 1H16 1H17 Up/Down expectation DPS (HKD) 0.092 0.010 Up In line Page 3

1H17 results summary Restated F Y Dec (HK$ mn) 1H17 1H16 y-o-y % Comments Sales 35,259 44,624-21% - Development properties 29,087 39,242-26% GFA booked decreased by 10% while ASP recognized decreased by 18% - Property investment & Hotel 3,403 3,092 10% Retail malls' SSSG was 27.8% in 1H17 - Hotel 609 453 35% - Others 2,159 1,836 18% Cost of goods sold (22,943) (29,518) -22% Gross profit 12,316 15,105-18% Gross profit margin increased 1.0 ppt y-o-y to 34.9% in 1H17 SG&A (3,075) (3,028) 2% SG&A as % of contracted sales decreased by 0.5 ppt to 4.0% Other income 446 1,272-65% Operating profit 9,687 13,350-27% Fair value gain on investment properties 2,983 2,055 45% Exchange gain/loss (884) 266-432% mainly affected by offshore RMB debt Finance costs excl. exchange gain (727) (520) 40% Share of results of associates & J CE 148 157-6% Pretax profit 11,206 15,309-27% - Income Tax (2,433) (3,443) -29% - LAT (2,048) (2,783) -26% Taxation (4,482) (6,226) -28% Minority interests (1,108) (1,436) -23% Reported profit 5,616 7,647-27% Core earnings 3,707 4,951-25% Adjusted by revaluation gains and forex change Reported core earning 3,250 6,300-48% Adjusted by revaluation gains Gross profit margin (%) 34.9% 33.9% 1 ppts Reported profit margin (%) 16% 17% 1 ppts Core profit margin (%) 11% 11% 1 ppts Reported core profit margin 9% 14% 5 ppts SG&A as % of top line (%) 8.7% 6.8% 2 ppts SG&A as % of presales (%) 4.0% 4.5% 0 ppts Effective tax rate (%) 40% 41% 1 ppts EPS (HK$) 0.738 1.109-33% Reported Core EPS (HK$) 0.469 0.909-48% DPS (HK$) 0.100 0.092 9% Payout ratio 21% 10% 11 ppts Contracted sales (RMB mn) 63,218 55,560 14% ASP (RMB psm) 14,474 12,872 12% Booked ASP (HK$/sm) 11,757 14,270-18% Booked GFA ('000 sm) 2,474 2,750-10% 1H17 End-FY16 Net debt ratio 41% 24% 18 ppts Cash level 45,176 46,674-3% Page 4

CRITICAL FACTORS TO WATCH Critical Factors Raised 2017 sales target by 10% to Rmb132bn. This represents 22% y-o-y growth from Rmb108bn in 2016. We think this is achievable based on Rmb243bn saleable resources and a targeted 54% sell-through rate. It achieved 73.9bn in 7M17, locking in 56% of the revised sales target. With more new saleable resources to be launched (Rmb105bn in 2H17, vs. Rmb31bn in 1H17), we expect sales to pick up in 2H17. Target double digit growth for core earnings and EPS over the mid-term. Management aims to maintain its top 10 ranking in the top sales list in the mid-term and has sped up land acquisitions to drive future growth. Management has budgeted Rmb80bn for land acquisitions (achieved c.61% of its 2017 sales target) in 2017 to fuel future growth. Management will not relax their criteria for landbanking, as its strategy is to achieve quality growth. Management aims to deliver double digit growth for its core earnings or EPS. Rental income growth supported by strong pipeline. Rental income from malls increased by 17% y-o-y to in 1H17 on a liketo-like basis. Same-store-sales growth at its retail malls grew 27.8% y-o-y in 1H17. As a result, tenants occupancy cost dropped to 14.3% in 1H17 from 15.6% in FY16, which offers room for rental increases in the future. Management guided up rental income expectations to HK$10bn-11bn (or 15% CAGR) by 2019, based on the current pipeline. Gross margin of IP (excl. hotels) improved to 70.7% in 1H17. Contracted sales Rmb mn % 120,000 50 100,000 40 80,000 30 60,000 40,000 20 20,000 10 0 0 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 Gross margins 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17E FY18E SG&A as % of contracted sales 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% High revenue lock-in with decent margins. In 1H17, overall gross profit margins improved to 34.9% from 33.9% in 1H16. As of end-1h17, total unbooked sales amounted to Rmb152.4bn, with Rmb66.8bn to be recognised in 2H17. In addition, gross margin of 39 major projects contributing to revenue in 2H17 average at 44%. Therefore, gross margin should continue to be maintained at a high level (30-35%) in FY17/18F. 0% 6% 4% 2% FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16E FY17E Average funding costs Low funding cost and SG&A expense. Average funding cost edged down to 4.13% in 1H17 from 4.23% in 2016. CR Land could leverage on its low funding cost to support the development of investment properties in the future. SG&A as a percentage of contracted sales decreased to 4.0% in 1H17 from 4.5% in 1H16. The overall cost structure still has room to improve. More potential in urban redevelopment business. It currently has more than 10 potential urban redevelopment projects, with total GFA of 9m sm. In Shenzhen, it has 9 projects under negotiation. It also actively seeks for M&A opportunities. 0% FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 Effective tax rate 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16E FY17E FY18E Page 5

Balance Sheet: Healthy balance sheet. CR Land s net debt ratio went up to 41% at end-1h17 from 24% as at end-2016, due to accelerated landbanking. It will continue to gear up for growth, and will closely monitor its key financial matrix to maintain its investment grade. Improving debt structure. The HK$/US$-denominated debt portion further declined from 31% as at end-2016 to 27% at end-1h17. Share Price Drivers: Continued recovery in retail sales in shopping malls. Recovery in retail sales in China may change investors view on mall operators. CR Land will be the largest beneficiary. Leverage & Asset Turnover (x) 0.80 0.70 0.60 0.50 0.40 0.30 0.20 0.10 0.00 2014A 2015A 2016A 2017F 2018F Gross Debt to Equity (LHS) Asset Turnover (RHS) HK$m 0.0-5,000.0 Capital Expenditure 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 Key Risks: Policy risk in Tier I/2 cities. Tightening policies in Tier I/2 cities, such as Shenzhen, Shanghai and Suzhou may affect CR Land s sales. Company Background CR Land is a PRC developer focusing on nationwide residential developments and shopping mall investments (MixC and Hi 5). As a state-owned red-chip, the company has been enjoying strong support from its parent company through asset injections over the past few years. -10,000.0-15,000.0-20,000.0-25,000.0-30,000.0 16.0% 14.0% 12.0% 10.0% 8.0% 6.0% 4.0% 2.0% 0.0% (x) 14.1 13.1 12.1 11.1 10.1 9.1 8.1 7.1 2014A 2015A 2016A 2017F 2018F Capital Expenditure (-) ROE 2014A 2015A 2016A 2017F 2018F Forward PE Band +2sd: 11.8x +1sd: 10.3x Avg: 8.8x 1sd: 7.2x 6.1 5.1 Aug-13 Aug-14 Aug-15 Aug-16 (x) 1.9 PB Band 2sd: 5.7x 1.7 1.5 1.3 1.1 0.9 +2sd: 1.54x +1sd: 1.38x Avg: 1.22x 1sd: 1.06x 2sd: 0.9x 0.7 Aug-13 Aug-14 Aug-15 Aug-16 Page 6

Segmental Breakdown (HK$ m) FY Dec 2014A 2015A 2016A 2017F 2018F Revenues (HK$ m) Sale of developed properties 81,759 94,019 98,727 121,132 143,340 Property investments and management 4,673 5,716 6,267 7,578 8,940 Hotel operations 810 969 985 1,035 1,086 Construction, decoration services and others 2,463 3,202 3,348 3,515 3,691 Others 0 0 0 0 0 Total 89,705 103,906 109,328 133,261 157,058 Income Statement (HK$ m) FY Dec 2014A 2015A 2016A 2017F 2018F Turnover 89,705 103,906 109,328 133,261 157,058 Cost of Goods Sold (62,351) (71,562) (72,439) (87,526) (103,147) Gross Profit 27,353 32,345 36,889 45,734 53,911 Other Opg (Exp)/Inc (5,324) (6,398) (6,328) (7,164) (5,885) Operating Profit 22,029 25,946 30,561 38,570 48,026 Associates Inc 62 298 601 0 0 Net Interest (Exp)/Inc (832) (930) (193) (621) (622) Exceptional Gain/(Loss) 6,106 7,407 7,419 0 0 Pre-tax Profit 27,366 32,722 38,387 37,949 47,404 Tax (10,887) (13,160) (15,888) (17,486) (22,291) Minority Interest (1,338) (1,864) (2,998) (1,436) (3,183) Net Profit 15,141 17,698 19,501 19,027 21,930 Core Profit 11,915 14,206 16,270 19,027 21,930 Sales Gth (%) 25.7 15.8 5.2 21.9 17.9 Net Profit Gth (%) 3.0 16.9 10.2 (2.4) 15.3 Core Profit Gth (%) 31.9 19.2 14.5 16.9 15.3 Gross Mgn (%) 30.5 31.1 33.7 34.3 34.3 Core Profit Margin (%) 13.3 13.7 14.9 14.3 14.0 Tax Rate 39.8 40.2 41.4 46.1 47.0 Page 7

Balance Sheet (HK$ m) FY Dec 2014A 2015A 2016A 2017F 2018F Fixed Assets 88,440 99,139 106,430 109,953 115,869 Invts in Assocs & JVs 3,551 10,527 10,066 10,066 10,066 Other LT Assets 1,811 2,480 12,604 12,604 12,604 Cash & ST Invts 44,857 47,058 46,674 50,360 56,905 Other Current Assets 223,620 238,412 251,270 264,979 245,526 Total Assets 362,279 397,616 427,045 447,961 440,971 ST Debt 21,219 14,190 11,988 13,988 15,988 Creditors 45,683 52,193 58,645 61,578 64,657 Other Current Liab 97,549 122,540 133,475 134,134 102,872 LT Debt 67,682 62,855 67,763 67,763 67,763 Other LT Liabilities 13,023 13,352 16,015 16,015 16,015 Minority Interests 11,492 16,914 22,721 24,157 27,340 Shareholder s Equity 105,631 115,574 116,438 130,327 146,336 Total Capital 362,279 397,616 427,045 447,961 440,971 Share Capital (m) 6,535 6,764 6,931 6,931 6,931 Net Cash/(Debt) (44,043) (29,987) (33,077) (31,391) (26,846) Working Capital 80,387 63,680 59,150 69,268 77,997 Net Gearing (%) 37.6 22.6 23.8 20.3 15.5 Cash Flow Statement (HK$ m) FY Dec 2014A 2015A 2016A 2017F 2018F Profit Before Tax 27,366 32,722 38,387 37,949 47,404 Assoc. & JV Inc/(loss) (62) (298) (601) 0 0 Tax Paid (8,718) (11,070) (13,822) (17,486) (22,291) Depr/Amort 451 428 444 444 444 Chg in Wkg.Cap. (5,788) 25,119 (20,009) (10,117) (8,730) Other Non-Cash (4,930) (4,911) (3,467) 621 622 Operating CF 8,318 41,989 (4,243) 11,411 17,450 Net chg in inv. 377 25 0 0 0 Assoc, MI, Invsmt (13,920) (27,954) (814) (3,967) (6,361) Investing CF (13,544) (27,929) (814) (3,967) (6,361) Net Chg in Debt 20,337 (1,023) 2,707 2,000 2,000 New Capital 0 0 0 0 0 Dividend (2,751) (3,760) (4,879) (5,137) (5,921) Other Financing CF 3,451 (4,293) (193) (621) (622) Financing CF 21,038 (9,077) (2,365) (3,758) (4,543) Chg in Cash 15,540 4,068 (384) 3,686 6,546 Chg in Net Cash (4,649) 14,057 (3,090) 1,686 4,546 Page 8

Target Price & Ratings History HK$ 26.0 25.0 24.0 23.0 22.0 21.0 20.0 19.0 18.0 17.0 16.0 Aug-16 1 Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 2 Dec-16 3 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 4 5 Apr-17 May-17 Jun-17 Jul-17 6 Aug-17 S.No. Date Closing 12-mth Rating Price Target Price 1: 29-Aug-16 HK$21.45 HK$29.65 Buy 2: 24-Nov-16 HK$18.98 HK$29.65 Buy 3: 29-Dec-16 HK$17.42 HK$23.52 Buy 4: 23-Mar-17 HK$22.05 HK$24.98 Buy 5: 7-Apr-17 HK$21.95 HK$24.98 Buy 6: 31-Jul-17 HK$24.35 HK$24.98 Buy Source: DBS Vickers Analyst: Carol WU Page 9

DBSVHK recommendations are based an Absolute Total Return* Rating system, defined as follows: STRONG BUY (>20% total return over the next 3 months, with identifiable share price catalysts within this time frame) BUY (>15% total return over the next 12 months for small caps, >10% for large caps) HOLD (-10% to +15% total return over the next 12 months for small caps, -10% to +10% for large caps) FULLY VALUED (negative total return i.e. > -10% over the next 12 months) SELL (negative total return of > -20% over the next 3 months, with identifiable catalysts within this time frame) Share price appreciation + dividends Completed Date: 24 Aug 2017 09:46:39 (HKT) Dissemination Date: 24 Aug 2017 10:29:27 (HKT) Sources for all charts and tables are DBS Vickers unless otherwise specified. GENERAL DISCLOSURE/DISCLAIMER This report is prepared by DBS Vickers (Hong Kong) Limited ( DBSV HK ). This report is solely intended for the clients of DBS Bank Ltd., DBS Bank (Hong Kong) Limited (DBS HK), DBSV HK, and DBS Vickers Securities (Singapore) Pte Ltd. ( DBSVS ), its respective connected and associated corporations and affiliates only and no part of this document may be (i) copied, photocopied or duplicated in any form or by any means or (ii) redistributed without the prior written consent of DBSV HK. The research set out in this report is based on information obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but we (which collectively refers to DBS Bank Ltd., DBS HK, DBSV HK, DBSVS, its respective connected and associated corporations, affiliates and their respective directors, officers, employees and agents (collectively, the DBS Group ) have not conducted due diligence on any of the companies, verified any information or sources or taken into account any other factors which we may consider to be relevant or appropriate in preparing the research. Accordingly, we do not make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy, completeness or correctness of the research set out in this report. Opinions expressed are subject to change without notice. This research is prepared for general circulation. Any recommendation contained in this document does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and the particular needs of any specific addressee. This document is for the information of addressees only and is not to be taken in substitution for the exercise of judgement by addressees, who should obtain separate independent legal or financial advice. The DBS Group accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct, indirect and/or consequential loss (including any claims for loss of profit) arising from any use of and/or reliance upon this document and/or further communication given in relation to this document. This document is not to be construed as an offer or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. The DBS Group, along with its affiliates and/or persons associated with any of them may from time to time have interests in the securities mentioned in this document. The DBS Group, may have positions in, and may effect transactions in securities mentioned herein and may also perform or seek to perform broking, investment banking and other banking services for these companies. Any valuations, opinions, estimates, forecasts, ratings or risk assessments herein constitutes a judgment as of the date of this report, and there can be no assurance that future results or events will be consistent with any such valuations, opinions, estimates, forecasts, ratings or risk assessments. The information in this document is subject to change without notice, its accuracy is not guaranteed, it may be incomplete or condensed, it may not contain all material information concerning the company (or companies) referred to in this report and the DBS Group is under no obligation to update the information in this report. This publication has not been reviewed or authorized by any regulatory authority in Singapore, Hong Kong or elsewhere. There is no planned schedule or frequency for updating research publication relating to any issuer. The valuations, opinions, estimates, forecasts, ratings or risk assessments described in this report were based upon a number of estimates and assumptions and are inherently subject to significant uncertainties and contingencies. It can be expected that one or more of the estimates on which the valuations, opinions, estimates, forecasts, ratings or risk assessments were based will not materialize or will vary significantly from actual results. Therefore, the inclusion of the valuations, opinions, estimates, forecasts, ratings or risk assessments described herein IS NOT TO BE RELIED UPON as a representation and/or warranty by the DBS Group (and/or any persons associated with the aforesaid entities), that: (a) (b) such valuations, opinions, estimates, forecasts, ratings or risk assessments or their underlying assumptions will be achieved, and there is any assurance that future results or events will be consistent with any such valuations, opinions, estimates, forecasts, ratings or risk assessments stated therein. Please contact the primary analyst for valuation methodologies and assumptions associated with the covered companies or price targets. Any assumptions made in this report that refers to commodities, are for the purposes of making forecasts for the company (or companies) mentioned herein. They are not to be construed as recommendations to trade in the physical commodity or in the futures contract relating to the commodity referred to in this report. DBSVUSA, a US-registered broker-dealer, does not have its own investment banking or research department, has not participated in any public offering of securities as a manager or co-manager or in any other investment banking transaction in the past twelve months and does not engage in market-making. Page 10

ANALYST CERTIFICATION The research analyst(s) primarily responsible for the content of this research report, in part or in whole, certifies that the views about the companies and their securities expressed in this report accurately reflect his/her personal views. The analyst(s) also certifies that no part of his/her compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to specific recommendations or views expressed in the report. The research analyst (s) primarily responsible for the content of this research report, in part or in whole, certifies that he or his associate 1 does not serve as an officer of the issuer or the new listing applicant (which includes in the case of a real estate investment trust, an officer of the management company of the real estate investment trust; and in the case of any other entity, an officer or its equivalent counterparty of the entity who is responsible for the management of the issuer or the new listing applicant) and the research analyst(s) primarily responsible for the content of this research report or his associate does not have financial interests 2 in relation to an issuer or a new listing applicant that the analyst reviews. DBS Group has procedures in place to eliminate, avoid and manage any potential conflicts of interests that may arise in connection with the production of research reports. The research analyst(s) responsible for this report operates as part of a separate and independent team to the investment banking function of the DBS Group and procedures are in place to ensure that confidential information held by either the research or investment banking function is handled appropriately. There is no direct link of DBS Group's compensation to any specific investment banking function of the DBS Group. COMPANY-SPECIFIC / REGULATORY DISCLOSURES 1. DBS Bank Ltd, DBS HK, DBSVS, DBSV HK or their subsidiaries and/or other affiliates have a proprietary position in China Resources Land Limited (1109 HK) recommended in this report as of 21 Aug 2017. 2. Neither DBS Bank Ltd, DBS HK nor DBSV HK market makes in equity securities of the issuer(s) or company(ies) mentioned in this Research Report. 3. Compensation for investment banking services: DBSVUSA does not have its own investment banking or research department, nor has it participated in any public offering of securities as a manager or co-manager or in any other investment banking transaction in the past twelve months. Any US persons wishing to obtain further information, including any clarification on disclosures in this disclaimer, or to effect a transaction in any security discussed in this document should contact DBSVUSA exclusively. 4. Disclosure of previous investment recommendation produced: DBS Bank Ltd, DBSVS, DBSVHK, their subsidiaries and/or other affiliates of DBSVUSA may have published other investment recommendations in respect of the same securities / instruments recommended in this research report during the preceding 12 months. Please contact the primary analyst listed in the first page of this report to view previous investment recommendations published by DBS Bank Ltd, DBSVHK, their subsidiaries and/or other affiliates of DBSVUSA in the preceding 12 months. 1 An associate is defined as (i) the spouse, or any minor child (natural or adopted) or minor step-child, of the analyst; (ii) the trustee of a trust of which the analyst, his spouse, minor child (natural or adopted) or minor step-child, is a beneficiary or discretionary object; or (iii) another person accustomed or obliged to act in accordance with the directions or instructions of the analyst. 2 Financial interest is defined as interests that are commonly known financial interest, such as investment in the securities in respect of an issuer or a new listing applicant, or financial accommodation arrangement between the issuer or the new listing applicant and the firm or analysis. This term does not include commercial lending conducted at arm's length, or investments in any collective investment scheme other than an issuer or new listing applicant notwithstanding the fact that the scheme has investments in securities in respect of an issuer or a new listing applicant. Page 11

RESTRICTIONS ON DISTRIBUTION General This report is not directed to, or intended for distribution to or use by, any person or entity who is a citizen or resident of or located in any locality, state, country or other jurisdiction where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law or regulation. Australia This report is being distributed in Australia by DBS Bank Ltd. ( DBS ) or DBS Vickers Securities (Singapore) Pte Ltd ( DBSVS ). DBS holds Australian Financial Services Licence no. 475946. DBSVS is exempted from the requirement to hold an Australian Financial Services Licence under the Corporation Act 2001 ( CA ) in respect of financial services provided to the recipients. Both DBS and DBSVS are regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore under the laws of Singapore, and DBSVHK is regulated by the Securities and Futures Commission of Hong Kong under the laws of Hong Kong, which differ from Australian laws. Distribution of this report is intended only for wholesale investors within the meaning of the CA. Hong Kong Indonesia Malaysia This report is being distributed in Hong Kong by DBS Bank Ltd, DBS Bank (Hong Kong) Limited and DBS Vickers (Hong Kong) Limited, all of which are registered with or licensed by the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission to carry out the regulated activity of advising on securities. This report is being distributed in Indonesia by PT DBS Vickers Sekuritas Indonesia. This report is distributed in Malaysia by AllianceDBS Research Sdn Bhd ("ADBSR"). Recipients of this report, received from ADBSR are to contact the undersigned at 603-2604 3333 in respect of any matters arising from or in connection with this report. In addition to the General Disclosure/Disclaimer found at the preceding page, recipients of this report are advised that ADBSR (the preparer of this report), its holding company Alliance Investment Bank Berhad, their respective connected and associated corporations, affiliates, their directors, officers, employees, agents and parties related or associated with any of them may have positions in, and may effect transactions in the securities mentioned herein and may also perform or seek to perform broking, investment banking/corporate advisory and other services for the subject companies. They may also have received compensation and/or seek to obtain compensation for broking, investment banking/corporate advisory and other services from the subject companies. Singapore Thailand United Kingdom Dubai International Financial Centre United Arab Emirates Wong Ming Tek, Executive Director, ADBSR This report is distributed in Singapore by DBS Bank Ltd (Company Regn. No. 196800306E) or DBSVS (Company Regn No. 198600294G), both of which are Exempt Financial Advisers as defined in the Financial Advisers Act and regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore. DBS Bank Ltd and/or DBSVS, may distribute reports produced by its respective foreign entities, affiliates or other foreign research houses pursuant to an arrangement under Regulation 32C of the Financial Advisers Regulations. Where the report is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, DBS Bank Ltd accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore recipients should contact DBS Bank Ltd at 6327 2288 for matters arising from, or in connection with the report. This report is being distributed in Thailand by DBS Vickers Securities (Thailand) Co Ltd. Research reports distributed are only intended for institutional clients only and no other person may act upon it. This report is produced by DBSVHK which is regulated by the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission This report is disseminated in the United Kingdom by DBS Vickers Securities (UK) Ltd ( DBSVUK ). DBSVUK is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority in the United Kingdom. In respect of the United Kingdom, this report is solely intended for the clients of DBSVUK, its respective connected and associated corporations and affiliates only and no part of this document may be (i) copied, photocopied or duplicated in any form or by any means or (ii) redistributed without the prior written consent of DBSVUK. This communication is directed at persons having professional experience in matters relating to investments. Any investment activity following from this communication will only be engaged in with such persons. Persons who do not have professional experience in matters relating to investments should not rely on this communication. This research report is being distributed by DBS Bank Ltd., (DIFC Branch) having its office at PO Box 506538, 3 rd Floor, Building 3, East Wing, Gate Precinct, Dubai International Financial Centre (DIFC), Dubai, United Arab Emirates. DBS Bank Ltd., (DIFC Branch) is regulated by The Dubai Financial Services Authority. This research report is intended only for professional clients (as defined in the DFSA rulebook) and no other person may act upon it. This report is provided by DBS Bank Ltd (Company Regn. No. 196800306E) which is an Exempt Financial Adviser as defined in the Financial Advisers Act and regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore. This report is for information purposes only and should not be relied upon or acted on by the recipient or considered as a solicitation or inducement to buy or sell any financial product. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of individual clients. You should contact your relationship manager or investment adviser if you need advice on the merits of buying, selling or holding a particular investment. You should note that the information in this report may be out of date and it is not represented or warranted to be accurate, timely or complete. This report or any portion thereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without our written consent. Page 12

United States Other jurisdictions This report was prepared by DBSVHK. DBSVUSA did not participate in its preparation. The research analyst(s) named on this report are not registered as research analysts with FINRA and are not associated persons of DBSVUSA. The research analyst(s) are not subject to FINRA Rule 2241 restrictions on analyst compensation, communications with a subject company, public appearances and trading securities held by a research analyst. This report is being distributed in the United States by DBSVUSA, which accepts responsibility for its contents. This report may only be distributed to Major U.S. Institutional Investors (as defined in SEC Rule 15a-6) and to such other institutional investors and qualified persons as DBSVUSA may authorize. Any U.S. person receiving this report who wishes to effect transactions in any securities referred to herein should contact DBSVUSA directly and not its affiliate. In any other jurisdictions, except if otherwise restricted by laws or regulations, this report is intended only for qualified, professional, institutional or sophisticated investors as defined in the laws and regulations of such jurisdictions. DBS Vickers (Hong Kong) Limited 18 th Floor Man Yee building, 68 Des Voeux Road Central, Central, Hong Kong Tel: (852) 2820-4888, Fax: (852) 2868-1523 Company Regn. No. 31758 Page 13

DBS Regional Research Offices HONG KONG DBS Vickers (Hong Kong) Ltd Contact: Carol Wu 18th Floor Man Yee Building 68 Des Voeux Road Central Central, Hong Kong Tel: 852 2820 4888 Fax: 852 2863 1523 e-mail: dbsvhk@dbs.com Participant of the Stock Exchange of Hong Kong Ltd MALAYSIA AllianceDBS Research Sdn Bhd Contact: Wong Ming Tek (128540 U) 19th Floor, Menara Multi-Purpose, Capital Square, 8 Jalan Munshi Abdullah 50100 Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia. Tel.: 603 2604 3333 Fax: 603 2604 3921 e-mail: general@alliancedbs.com SINGAPORE DBS Bank Ltd Contact: Janice Chua 12 Marina Boulevard, Marina Bay Financial Centre Tower 3 Singapore 018982 Tel: 65 6878 8888 Fax: 65 65353 418 e-mail: equityresearch@dbs.com Company Regn. No. 196800306E INDONESIA PT DBS Vickers Sekuritas (Indonesia) Contact: Maynard Priajaya Arif DBS Bank Tower Ciputra World 1, 32/F Jl. Prof. Dr. Satrio Kav. 3-5 Jakarta 12940, Indonesia Tel: 62 21 3003 4900 Fax: 6221 3003 4943 e-mail: research@id.dbsvickers.com THAILAND DBS Vickers Securities (Thailand) Co Ltd Contact: Chanpen Sirithanarattanakul 989 Siam Piwat Tower Building, 9th, 14th-15th Floor Rama 1 Road, Pathumwan, Bangkok Thailand 10330 Tel. 66 2 657 7831 Fax: 66 2 658 1269 e-mail: research@th.dbsvickers.com Company Regn. No 0105539127012 Securities and Exchange Commission, Thailand Page 14