DNB Group Results. Rune Bjerke (CEO) Kjerstin Braathen (CFO)

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Transcription:

DNB Group Results Rune Bjerke (CEO) Kjerstin Braathen (CFO) 26 October 2017 Through Digital Challenge, DNB challenged technology students to define how the future of mobile banking should look

Highlights for the quarter Vipps established as a separate company in September. DNB ownership share of approximately 52 per cent 1) Luminor transaction closed on 1 October. DNB ownership share of approximately 44 per cent Strong growth in loan volumes to personal customers and SMEs, and restructuring of the large corporate portfolio, with lower volumes to cyclical industries Robust performance in DNB Markets, and commissions and fees on the rise despite seasonal effects First share buy-back programme completed and second programme in progress. Strong capital position 1) Due to terms and conditions in the shareholder agreement, Vipps has been defined as an associated company 2

Solid operating performance in the customer segments Pre-tax operating profit NOK million 2,428 2,486 2,639 2,479 2,199 1,079 1,438 1,498 1,400 3Q16 2Q17 3Q17 Personal customers 3Q16 2Q17 3Q17 SMEs 3Q16 2Q17 3Q17 Large corporates and international customers 3

Strong improvement in key figures Profits affected by: Gains of NOK 754 million related to the demerger of Vipps 1) Negative exchange rate effects of NOK 624 million related to AT1 capital Return on equity 2) Per cent Cost/income ratio Per cent Earnings per share NOK 10.4 11.2 40.6 43.1 42.7 3.07 3.34 8.5 2.43 3Q16 2Q17 3Q17 3Q16 2Q17 3Q17 3Q16 2Q17 3Q17 1) Net gains on fixed and intangible assets 2) Return on equity is calculated on the assumption that additional Tier 1 capital is classified as a liability 4

Rebalancing of the portfolio according to plan Strong growth in the personal customer and SME segments, with year-to-date increases of 4.6 and 6.2 per cent, respectively LCI loan volumes reduced by 4.7 per cent year to date reduction in cyclical exposures Loans 1) NOK billion Loans per customer segment NOK billion 1,604 1,603 701 738 1,531 1,561 1,600 1,584 506 476 1,531 1,531 263 282 30.09.15 31.12.15 31.03.16 30.06.16 30.09.16 31.12.16 31.03.17 30.06.17 30.09.17 Loans at end of period Loans adjusted for exchange rate movements Personal customers SMEs Large corporates and international customers 30 Sept. 2016 30 Sept. 2017 1) Includes NOK 48 billion in loans in the Baltics at end-september 2017, reclassified as held for sale in August 2016 5

Stable spreads Average loans in the customer segments were down NOK 6.6 billion and average deposits were down NOK 4.4 billion from 2Q17. The deposits-to-loans ratio was stable Funding costs on a level with the previous quarter Spreads in customer segments Per cent Net interest margin 1) Per cent 2.07 2.08 2.03 1.96 2.03 2.07 2.09 1.35 1.33 1.30 1.29 1.29 1.32 1.31 1.45 1.42 1.38 1.37 1.40 1.45 1.44 0.24 0.18 0.19 0.25 0.20 0.19 0.15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 Lending spread Deposit spread Combined spread - weighted average 1) Total net interest income relative to average loans and deposits in the customer segments 6

Solid net interest income 89 Net interest income From 2Q17 to 3Q17 NOK million 62 15 (43) (45) (103) 9,031 9,007 2Q17 Interest days Lending and deposit volumes 1) Long-term funding Other net interest income Lending and deposit 1) spreads Exchange rate movements 3Q17 1) Customer segments, adjusted for exchange rate effects 7

Net other operating income in line with the previous quarter Net other operating income From 2Q17 to 3Q17 NOK million 3,982 109 (11) (13) (27) (120) 3,922 2Q17 Customer and trading revenues in DNB Markets Commissions and fees Other operating income Mark-to-market adjustments Net financial and risk result from DNB Livsforsikring 1) 3Q17 1) Net financial and risk result from DNB Livsforsikring was affected by gains from the sale of holdings in Nordic Trustee in 2Q17 8

Commissions and fees up 6.6 per cent from 3Q16 Strong quarter within investment banking services and asset management Developments from 2Q17 reflect seasonal effects NOK million 2 161 2 150 2 016 354 277 273 330 404 415 326 367 375 571 523 570 517 513 513 Real estate broking Slight increase Investment banking services Strong performance within M&A compensated for reduced activity within DCM and ECM Asset management and custodial services Strong growth in assets under management Money transfer and banking services Stable revenues despite reduced interchange fees Life insurance products Stabilising fees despite pressure from the conversion of defined-benefit to defined-contribution schemes 3Q16 2Q17 3Q17 9

Costs slightly down from 2Q17 5,615 160 66 (115) Operating expenses From 2Q17 to 3Q17 NOK million (64) (59) (58) (24) 5,520 2Q17 Non-recurring effects Salaries and other personnel expenses Marketing etc. Fees IT expenses Restructuring costs Other costs 3Q17 10

Higher net impairment due to lower reversals Jan.-Sep. Jan.-Sep. Amounts in NOK million 3Q17 2Q17 2017 2016 Personal customers (60) (84) (109) 265 - Mortgage loans (2) (7) (47) 493 - Other exposures (58) (77) (61) (228) Small and medium-sized enterprises (135) (156) (360) (755) Large corporates and international customers 1) (791) (313) (1 533) (3 211) - Shipping, Offshore and Logistics Division (238) (176) (876) (2 144) - Energy Division (189) (173) (368) (888) - International Corporates Division (238) 2 (231) 80 - Nordic Corporates Division (94) (66) (108) (174) - Other units (32) 99 50 (86) Total individual impairment (985) (553) (2 003) (3 700) Total collective impairment of loans 118 (44) (24) (1 971) Impairment of loans and guarantees (867) (597) (2 026) (5 672) Total impairment in relation to average volumes, annualised (0.22) (0.15) (0.17) (0.49) 1) Not adjusted for the reorganisation in September 11

Reduced volume of non-performing and doubtful loans There are no signs of spill-over effects from oil-related industries Per cent 0.96 NOK billion 17.3 0.76 14.0 0.88 14.9 1.19 20.7 1.32 22.6 1.49 25.7 1.30 1.35 23.1 23.6 1.11 19.2 31 Dec. 31 Dec. 31 March 30 June 30 Sept. 31 Dec. 31 March 30 June 30 Sept. 2014 2015 2016 2017 Net non-performing and doubtful loans As a percentage of net loans Includes non-performing commitments and commitments subject to individual impairment. Accumulated individual impairment is deducted. Includes the Baltics, reclassified as assets held for sale 12

Significant improvement in CET1 in 3Q17 well-positioned to meet future regulatory changes Increase in the CET1 capital ratio, reflecting rebalancing of the loan portfolio Leverage ratio of 7.1 per cent, well above the requirement of 6.0 per cent CET1 capital ratio Transitional rules Per cent CET1 capital ratio Basel III without transitional rules Per cent Leverage ratio Per cent 15.7 16.0 15.8 15.8 16.3 17.2 17.6 17.4 16.0 16.7 7.3 7.2 7.1 6.9 6.7 30.09. 2016 31.12. 2016 31.03. 2017 30.06. 2017 30.09. 2017 30.09. 2016 31.12. 2016 31.03. 2017 30.06. 2017 30.09. 2017 30.09. 2016 31.12. 2016 31.03. 2017 30.06. 2017 30.09. 2017 All figures include 50 per cent of interim profits, apart from the figures as at 31 December, which are exclusive of dividend payments 13

CET1 improvement driven by RWA optimalisation CET1 capital ratio From 2Q17 to 3Q17 Per cent 0.13 (0.12) 0.25 (0.11) (0.04) 16.26 0.33 15.82 2Q17 RWA - volume optimalisation Earnings for the period (50 per cent) Net exchange rate effect Share buy-back 1) Volume growth for personal customers and SMEs Other 3Q17 1) Includes the second share buy-back programme. The first programme was included in CET1 capital ratio in 2Q17 14

Stable and increasing future cash dividend - combined with share buy-backs to distribute excess capital Dividend per share NOK 5.70 3.80 4.50 Dividend policy: >50 per cent payout ratio Stable and increasing cash dividend per share 2.00 2.10 2.70 Buy-backs: Completed for 0.5 per cent of registered shares A second programme for 0.5 per cent is in progress DNB may decide to initiate further buy-backs up to the approved limit of 1.5 per cent 1) 2) 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 1) Including the agreed share to be redeemed by the Norwegian government to keep its holding unchanged at 34 per cent 2) The Norwegian FSA has approved the authorisation, provided that the targeted capital level is met and that the sum of the amounts spent on dividends and the repurchase of shares does not exceed 75 per cent of the annual profit for 2016 15

APPENDIX

Norwegian macro is improving Unemployment is down and is expected to decrease further Interest rates are expected to remain low Unemployment rate by county Nov 2017 vs Nov 2016 Lower Slight increase Significant increase Index (2006=100) 200 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 NOK Billion 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Household disposable income (rhs) Avg. housing prices (lhs) Source: SSB/Norwegian Labour and Welfare Administration/DNB Markets 17

Norwegian GDP is picking up - Sovereign Wealth Fund an important stabilising mechanism 6 Mainland GDP and Unemployment rate Per cent Norwegian Sovereign Wealth Fund NOK billion 9 000 5 8 000 4 7 000 3 6 000 2 5 000 4 000 1 3 000 0 2 000-1 1 000-2 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018e 2019e 2020e 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Mainland-GDP, YoY Unemployment rate Source: Ministry of Finance (Revised National Budget 2017), Statistics Norway, DNB Markets, NBIM 18

DNB is market leader in Norway Retail market per 3Q2017 Loans from financial institutions Deposits Policyholders' funds Mutual fund investments 25% 30% 43% 32% Corporate market per 3Q2017 Loans from financial institutions Deposits Policyholders' funds 1) Mutual fund investments 23% 38% 20% 23% DNB's market shares 1) Includes public sector 1) Includes the public sector. Source: Statistics Norway and Finance Norway Source: Statistics Norway and Finance Norway 19

DNB portfolio and income split Distribution of exposure at default by industry segments 3Q 2017 Total Income Split 3Q 2017 Other corporate customers 4 % Commercial real estate 10 % Shipping 5 % Oil, gas and offshore 6 % Power and renewables 2 % Other income 5 % Healthcare 2 % Public sector 2 % Net gains on financial instruments at fair value 8 % Mortgages and other exposures, personal customers **) 51 % Residential property 5 % Services 2 % Fishing and fish farming 2 % Trade 3 % Manufacturing 4 % Technology, media and telecom 2 % Net Comission and fees 17 % NII 70 % 80 per cent exposure in Norway 20

Impairments towards normalised levels 3 000 1,2 2 500 1,0 2 000 0,8 1 500 0,6 1 000 0,4 500 0,2 0 0,0-500 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 4Q16 1Q17 2Q17 3Q17-0,2 Reassessed impairment and recoveries Net individual impairment Change in collective impairment of loans Total impairment in relation to average volumes, annualised 21

The negative migration in the oil-related portfolio is levelling off Oil-related portfolio EAD NOK 114 billion 5.9 per cent of DNB s total EAD Downstream & petchem 3% E&P excl. RBL 22% Offshore Oilfield services Oil and gas Midstream incl. LNG 12% Offshore supply vessels 18% Reserved based lending 9% Oilfield services 16% Offshore rig 13% Other offshore 6% EAD = Exposure at default PD = Probability of default 22

Offshore still the most challenging sector in the portfolio Offshore portfolio EAD NOK 42 billion 2.2 per cent of DNB s total EAD 28 17% 49% 9 34% 2 3 Offshore supply vessels Offshore rig Other offshore PD 0.01% - PD 0.75% - PD 3.00% - Net non-performing and net doubtful commitments 30 Sept. 2016 31 Dec. 2016 31 March 2017 30 June 2017 30 Sept. 2017 EAD = Exposure at default PD = Probability of default 23

Income statement Jan.-Sep. Jan.-Sep. Amounts in NOK million 3Q17 2Q17 3Q16 2017 2016 Net interest income 9 007 9 031 8 481 26 559 25 738 Net commissions and fees 2 150 2 161 2 016 6 384 6 143 Net gains on financial instruments at fair value 1 065 982 1 411 2 855 4 824 Net financial and risk result, DNB Livsforsikring 335 454 154 1 029 432 Net insurance result, DNB Forsikring 176 189 148 519 467 Other operating income 197 196 200 517 1 957 Net other operating income, total 3 922 3 982 3 929 11 303 13 823 Total income 12 929 13 014 12 409 37 863 39 561 Operating expenses (5 321) (5 518) (5 042) (16 082) (15 481) Restructuring costs and non-recurring effects (199) (97) (1) (493) (658) Pre-tax operating profit before impairment 7 409 7 399 7 366 21 288 23 421 Net gains on fixed and intangible assets 750 17 20 773 (7) Impairment of loans and guarantees (867) (597) (2 176) (2 026) (5 672) Pre-tax operating profit 7 292 6 819 5 209 20 035 17 743 Tax expense (1 677) (1 568) (1 130) (4 608) (3 850) Profit from operations held for sale, after taxes 33 (14) 1 2 (22) Profit for the period 5 648 5 237 4 080 15 429 13 871 Profit attributable to shareholders 5 430 5 000 3 952 14 734 13 513 24

Net gains on financial instruments Change 2Q17-3Q16- Amounts in NOK million 3Q17 2Q17 3Q16 3Q17 3Q17 Customer revenues in DNB Markets 573 587 583 (14) (10) Trading revenues in DNB Markets (excl. CVA/DVA/FVA and credit spread effects) 516 393 639 124 (123) Credit spread effects on bonds in DNB Markets 127 86 296 41 (169) Financial guarantees 300 192 187 108 113 Basis swaps (54) (60) (444) 6 390 CVA/DVA/FVA 128 (0) 328 129 (200) Exchange rate effects on additional Tier 1 capital (624) (296) (282) (328) (343) Other mark-to-market adjustments 98 80 104 18 (5) Net gains on financial instruments at fair value 1 065 982 1 411 83 (346) 25

Balance sheets DNB Group 30 Sep. 30 June Amounts in NOK billion 2017 2017 Cash and deposits with central banks 326 266 Due from credit institutions 156 161 Loans to customers 1 536 1 552 Other assets 749 745 Total assets 2 767 2 723 Due to credit institutions 246 216 Deposits from customers 1 010 1 009 Short-term debt securities issued 183 157 Long-term debt securities issued 573 602 Other liabilities and provisions 544 533 Additional Tier 1 capital 16 16 Other equity 195 191 Total liabilities and equity 2 767 2 723 Ratio of deposits to net loans (%) 65.8 65.0 Adjusted ratio of deposits to net loans (%) 1) 61.8 62.1 Total combined assets 3 076 3 026 Currency-adjusted loans to customers 1 544 1 545 Currency-adjusted deposits from customers 1 018 1 004 Liquidity coverage ratio 118 123 1) Excluding short-term money market deposits 26

Welcome to DNB s Capital Markets Day London 21 November 2017 Through Digital Challenge, DNB challenged technology students to define how the future of mobile banking should look