FUNDING AND FINANCE FEDERAL TRANSPORTATION PROGRAMS STATE FUNDING OPTIONS

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Minnesota Transportation Advisory Committee FUNDING AND FINANCE FEDERAL TRANSPORTATION PROGRAMS STATE FUNDING OPTIONS Jack Basso Director of Program Finance and Management American Association of State Highway and Transportation Officials

PRESENTATION OUTLINE Key highlights Funding levels Detailed explanation on o Highway Funding o Innovative financing and tolling o Transit funding Highway Trust Fund forecasts and longterm funding State Funding Options

KEY HIGHLIGHTS America responds to Surface Transportation needs Strong bipartisan support for passage in Congress o House 372-52; Senate 74-19 Key provisions o Stable funding through end of FY 2014 o Program consolidation o A state-centric bill that meets many of AASHTO s goals

Moving Ahead for Progress in the 21st Century Act (MAP-21) FUNDING LEVELS AND NEEDS

Needs o Nationally, meeting only about 1/3 of roughly $200 billion required each year to maintain and improve the system o At federal level, also meeting only about 1/3 of needs we face a $400 billion federal funding gap over next 6 years under current policies and revenues

STRONG HIGHWAY FORMULA PROGRAM Source: Transportation Weekly

HIGHWAY FUNDING MAP-21 HIGHWAY FUNDING SUMMARY PROGRAM FY 2013 FY 2014 TOTAL Division A: Federal-aid and Highway Safety Construction Programs 40,568,000,000 40,625,000,000 81,193,000,000 Title I - Federal-aid Highways Federal-aid Highway Program 37,476,819,674 37,798,000,000 75,274,819,674 Estimated Split among Programs: National Highway Performance Program [21,751,779,050] [21,935,691,598] [43,687,470,648] Surface Transportation Program [10,005,135,419] [10,089,729,416] [20,094,864,835] Highway Safety Improvement Program [2,390,305,390] [2,410,515,560] [4,800,820,950] Railway-Highway Crossings (setaside) [220,000,000] [220,000,000] [220,000,000] Congestion Mitigation & Air Quality Improvement Progam [2,209,172,618] [2,227,860,477] [4,437,033,095] Metropolitan Transportation Planning [311,667,197] [314,302,948] [625,970,145] Transportation Alternatives [808,760,000] [819,900,000] [1,628,660,000] Transportation Infrastructure Finance and Innovation Program 750,000,000 1,000,000,000 1,750,000,000 Other Programs 2,341,180,326 1,827,000,000 4,168,180,326 Division E: Research and Education 400,000,000 400,000,000 800,000,000 Total Authorizations 40,968,000,000 41,025,000,000 81,993,000,000 Federal-Aid Highway Program Obligation Limitation 39,699,000,000 40,256,000,000 79,955,000,000

TRANSIT FUNDING MAP-21 TRANSIT FUNDING SUMMARY (Contract Authority From Mass Transit Account of Highway Trust Fund Unless Otherwise Indicated) PROGRAM SECTION FY 2013 FY 2014 Planning Programs 5305 126,900,000 128,800,000 Trasnit Oriented Development (Pilot) 20005(b) 10,000,000 10,000,000 Urbanized Area Formula Grants 5307 4,397,950,000 4,458,650,000 Mobility of Seniors and Individuals with Disabilities 5310 254,800,000 258,300,000 Formula Grants for Rural Areas 5311 599,500,000 607,800,000 Bus Testing Facility 5318 3,000,000 3,000,000 National Transit Institute 5322(d) 5,000,000 5,000,000 National Transit Database 5335 3,850,000 3,850,000 State of Good Repair Grants 5337 2,136,300,000 2,165,900,000 Bus and Bus Facilities Formula Grants 5339 422,000,000 427,800,000 Growing State and High Density States Formula 5340 518,700,000 525,900,000 Capital Investment Grants (GF) 5309 1,907,000,000 1,907,000,000 Research, Development, Demonstration, Deployment (GF) 5312 70,000,000 70,000,000 Transit Cooperative Research Program (GF) 5313 7,000,000 7,000,000 Technical Assistance and Standards Development (GF) 5314 7,000,000 7,000,000 Human Resources Training (GF) 5322 5,000,000 5,000,000 Emergency Relief Program (GF) 5324 as necessary as necessary Administrative Expenses (GF) 5334 104,000,000 104,000,000 TOTAL 10,578,000,000 10,695,000,000

MINNESOTA S SHARE Highway Formula, FY 2013 National Highway Performance Program Surface Transportation Program Highway Safety Improvement Program CMAQ Program 365,389,784 168,067,828 40,152,723 30,499,886 Metropolitan Planning Subtotal Transportation Alternatives Apportioned Total 4,283,880 608,394,102 16,469,181 624,863,283 Transit Formula, FY 2013 94,386,409

Moving Ahead for Progress in the 21st Century Act (MAP-21) INNOVATIVE FINANCING AND TOLLING

INNOVATIVE FINANCING Greatly expands the TIFIA credit program o o o o o o o Increases program funding to a total of $1.75 billion over two years from $122 million per year Increases TIFIA s allowable share of total project cost to 49% from 33% Sets firm deadlines and objective criteria for application review and processing Allows public-private partnership funds to be used to repay loans Provides increased administrative funding to adequately staff the program Provides for buy downs of interest rates at DOT discretion Expands the loan maturity date from 35 years to the useful life of the asset

TOLLING Provides for new capacity tolling on any Interstate highway provided the number of toll-free lanes are preserved Authorizes tolling on non-interstate Federal-aid roads with the same caveat as Interstates Authorizes States to convert HOV lanes to HOT lanes without restrictions Removes the requirement that parties execute a Title 23 section 129 toll agreement

Moving Ahead for Progress in the 21st Century Act (MAP-21) TRANSIT

TRANSIT Maintains federal transit programs at current levels with some adjustments for inflation in FY 2014 Recalibrates the distribution formulas for several core transit programs Streamlines and consolidates the number of smaller boutique transit programs and reduces the number of required programmatic set-asides Eliminates earmarks and reduces the number of discretionary programs Expands the use of performance measures and targets for transit condition and performance

TRANSIT Strengthens the federal role in State Safety Oversight (SSO) Requires reasonable access be provided to private intercity/charter operators to federally funded facilities, including intermodal facilities, park and ride lots, and bus-only highway lanes Establishes a program for public transportation comparable to FHWA s Emergency Relief program Preserves federal matching shares, increases shares for accessible and clean-air vehicles, equipment and facilities Requires recipients of funding to develop a Transit Asset Management Plan and Management System

Moving Ahead for Progress in the 21st Century Act (MAP-21) HIGHWAY TRUST FUND FORECASTS AND LONG-TERM FUNDING

CBO Report Another Wrinkle: Fuel Economy Standards o Long-term (2040) 21 percent reduction in revenue o In the period 2012 to 2022 yields a 13 percent reduction in revenues o The bottom line: makes an already difficult revenue picture worse.

HIGHWAY TRUST FUND PROJECTIONS Based on CBO Score of MAP-21 (June 2012) Highway Account Fiscal Year 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Beginning-of-year Balance $14 $8 $4 $4 -$6 -$15 -$24 -$33 -$42 -$52 -$62 Revenues and Interest $33 $33 $33 $34 $35 $36 $36 $36 $36 $37 $37 Intragovernmental Transfers $2 $6 $10 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 Outlays $42 $43 $44 $44 $44 $45 $45 $46 $46 $47 $47 End-of-year Balance $8 $4 $4 -$6 -$15 -$24 -$33 -$42 -$52 -$62 -$72 Mass Transit Account Fiscal Year 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Beginning-of-year Balance $7 $5 $5 $1 -$3 -$7 -$12 -$16 -$20 -$24 -$29 Revenues and Interest $5 $5 $5 $5 $5 $5 $5 $5 $5 $5 $5 Intragovernmental Transfers $0 $0 $2 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 Outlays $7 $8 $8 $9 $10 $10 $10 $9 $9 $10 $10 End-of-year Balance $5 $5 $1 -$3 -$7 -$12 -$16 -$20 -$24 -$29 -$33 TOTAL HTF BALANCE $13 $9 $5 -$9 -$22 -$36 -$49 -$62 -$76 -$91 -$105

45 40 35 Estimation of Federal Highway and Transit Obligations Through 2022 $40.7 $41.2 $40.8 Based on MAP-21; Assuming "minimum prudent balance" of $4 billion in Highway Account and $1 billion in Mass Transit Account; Assumes historical General Fund appropriations for transit. Federal-aid Highway Highway Safety Transit $38.9 $39.4 $40.0 $34.7 $35.4 $36.1 $36.8 $37.5 $38.3 $39.1 ($ billions) 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 $11.9 $11.3 $11.6 $11.7 $11.8 $9.4 $4.2 $8.6 $9.2 $9.3 $9.5 $9.6 $1.3 $6.3 $6.4 $3.5 $1.3 $1.3 $1.3 $1.2 $1.2 $1.3 $1.3 $1.3 $1.3 $1.4 $1.4 $1.4 $1.4 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022

Surface Transportation Funding Options Matrix (all revenue estimates in $ millions) Funding Mechanisms Mechanism Yield Current Illustrative Revenues Avg Revenues Total Revenues (2012) Rate Rate 2011 2012-2017 2012-2017 Diesel Tax Increase 1 /gal = $ 386 $ 394 24.4 /gal 15.0 $ 5,786 $ 6,226 $ 37,356 Diesel Tax Indexing N/A $ - $ 585 $ 3,512 Gas Tax Increase 1 /gal = $ 1,327 $ 1,322 18.4 /gal 10.0 $ 13,272 $ 13,303 $ 79,818 Gas Tax Indexing N/A $ - $ 1,370 $ 8,218 Truck/Trailer Sales Tax Increase 1% of Sales = $ 162 $ 233 N/A 5.0% $ 812 $ 1,359 $ 8,152 Truck Tire Tax Increase 100% Increase = $ 346 $ 434 N/A 10.0% $ 35 $ 45 $ 270 HVUT Increase 100% Increase = $ 944 $ 1,156 N/A 15.0% $ 142 $ 141 $ 844 Annual Drivers License Surcharge $1.00 Surcharge = $ 214 $ 217 N/A $5.00 $ 1,072 $ 1,116 $ 6,694 Annual Highway Miles Traveled Fee (All Light Duty Vehicles)* 1 /VMT = $ 6,499 $ 6,566 N/A 2.0 $ 12,998 $ 13,475 $ 80,851 Annual Highway Miles Traveled Fee (All Trucks)* 1 /VMT = $ 908 $ 917 N/A 3.0 $ 2,723 $ 2,823 $ 16,936 Annual Registration Fee (Light Duty Vehicles) $1.00 Fee = $ 248 $ 252 N/A $10.00 $ 2,482 $ 2,614 $ 15,682 Annual Registration Fee (Trucks) $1.00 Fee = $ 9 $ 9 N/A $15.00 $ 129 $ 131 $ 787 Container Tax $1 per TCU= $ 391 $ 401 N/A $15.00 $ 5,866 $ 6,401 $ 38,408 Dedicated Income Tax - Business 0.1% of current taxes = $ 198 $ 329 N/A 1.0% $ 1,984 $ 4,291 $ 25,745 Dedicated Income Tax - Personal 0.1% of current taxes = $ 956 $ 1,141 N/A 1.0% $ 9,560 $ 15,429 $ 92,576 Harbor Maintenance Tax 0.1% Tax = $ 1,236 $ 1,267 N/A 0.5% $ 6,181 $ 6,745 $ 40,472 Imported Oil Tax $1.00/Bbls = $ 3,528 $ 3,528 N/A $1.00 $ 3,528 $ 3,528 $ 21,171 Sales Tax on Auto-related Parts & Services 1.0% of Sales = $ 2,327 $ 2,404 N/A 1.0% $ 2,327 $ 2,613 $ 15,680 Sales Tax on Diesel 1.0% of Sales = $ 850 $ 852 N/A 10.6% $ 9,013 $ 10,862 $ 65,172 Sales Tax on Gas 1.0% of Sales = $ 3,347 $ 3,441 N/A 8.4% $ 28,112 $ 34,108 $ 204,647 Sales Tax on New and Used Light Duty Vehicles 1.0% of Sales = $ 2,619 $ 2,619 N/A 1.0% $ 2,619 $ 2,619 $ 15,715 Sales Tax on New Light Duty Vehicles 1.0% of Sales = $ 1,625 $ 1,625 N/A 1.0% $ 1,625 $ 1,625 $ 9,752 Share of US Customs Revenues 1% of Receipts = $ 277 $ 298 N/A 1.0% $ 277 $ 360 $ 2,161 Tire Tax on Light Duty Vehicles $1.00 Fee = $ 1,862 $ 1,889 N/A $3.00 $ 5,585 $ 5,881 $ 35,284 Ton Freight Charge -- All Modes 1 /ton = $ 164 $ 169 N/A 25.0 $ 4,111 $ 4,565 $ 27,389 Ton Freight Charge -- Truck Only 1 /ton = $ 113 $ 117 N/A 25.0 $ 2,835 $ 3,148 $ 18,890 Ton-Mile Freight Charge -- All Modes 1 /ton-mile = $ 43,497 $ 44,802 N/A 0.5 $ 21,748 $ 24,150 $ 144,898 Ton-Mile Freight Charge -- Truck Only 1 /ton-mile = $ 12,731 $ 13,113 N/A 0.5 $ 6,365 $ 7,068 $ 42,409 US Freight Bill -- All Modes 1% of Sales = $ 7,612 $ 7,840 N/A 1.0% $ 7,612 $ 8,452 $ 50,713 US Freight Bill -- Truck Only 1% of Sales = $ 6,608 $ 6,807 N/A 1.0% $ 6,608 $ 7,338 $ 44,028 *VMT fee estimates refer to miles traveled on Interstate System. Shading indicates funding options rated as "strong" by the National Surface Transportation Financing Commission

State Revenue Approaches Motor fuel excise tax all states Indexing of the motor fuel tax FL, IA, KY, ME, NE, NC, PA, WV Sales tax on motor fuel CA, GA, HI, IL, IN, MI, NY Petroleum franchise or business taxes NY, PA Vehicle registration and license fees all states Vehicle personal property taxes CA, KS, VA

More State Revenue Approaches Excise tax on vehicle sales dedicated to transportation CT, IA, KS, MD, MI, MN, MO, NC, NE, OK, SD, VA Tolling new roads and bridges about half of states Tolling existing roads proposed in few states HOT lanes, express toll lanes, truck toll lanes CA, CO, GA, MN, TX

More State Revenue Approaches Transit fees (fares, park-and-ride, etc) all transit agencies Container fees, customs duties, etc. CA Portions of state sales tax AZ, CA, IN, KS, MA, MS, NY, PA, UT, VA Miscellaneous transit taxes (lottery, cigarette, room tax, rental car fees, etc.) Various states General revenue most states

Implications for the Future We have reached the point where the future revenue issues will need to be addressed. The CBO has made it clear that the current course is not viable. At best with the Senate contributions we will get through FY 2013. The future of the highway and transit programs is on the line.

POSSIBLE REVENUE AND FINANCING OPTIONS Direct revenue-user fees and general tax revenue o Includes a variety of transportation related fees Bonding and credit programs o Includes tolls and special taxes Public-Private partnerships

FUTURE REVENUE COLLECTION The current U.S system relies on fuel taxes We have seen a marked decline in revenues Two National Commissions have called for short and long-term solutions VMT collection systems have come to the forefront of options to consider 26

THE GAS TAX The gas tax has served us well! The gas tax is declining due to VMT flattening and economic issues as well as fuel efficiency In the short run we will need to rely on gas tax Subsets such as indexing have value but are limited

QUESTIONS? Jack Basso Email: jbasso@aashto.org Phone: 202-624-3508