Health financing and NHI in South Africa: why do we need a reform?

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Health financing and NHI in South Africa: why do we need a reform? John E. Ataguba, PhD Health Economics Unit School of Public Health & Family Medicine University of Cape Town 04 May 2016 Health Systems Trust 2016 Conference

Outline What is health financing? South African health system in brief Why do we need the NHI? Inequality and inequity in health and health care in South Africa Impact of medical scheme membership Affordable? Overview of the NHI Beyond health financing

What is health financing? Revenue collection the way health systems raise money from households, businesses, and external sources Pooling risks the accumulation and management of revenues in a way as to avoid large, unpredictable health expenditures Purchasing goods and services the mechanisms used to secure services from public and private providers

History: the SA health system Apartheid era (1948 1994) Fragmented health system Different health department and administration for different population groups 14 separate health departments Separate public health facilities for the blacks and the whites Health services for the black majority were heavily underfunded Rural areas and homelands were neglected High levels of inequalities and inequities the vulnerable population groups bearing a heavy burden Post apartheid (1994 ) Formal constitution adopted in 1996 One national and nine provincial health departments A decentralised system Public health sector restructuring Considerable importance attached to PHC Formal moves to address issues for the vulnerable (and in fact for all South African residents) Commission of Inquiry for a NHI Fund/system

South Africa: the health system Current outcome: a tiered system Public sector Funded largely through general tax revenue Over 80% of the population totally dependent on the sector Three tier public hospital structure (tertiary, regional, and district) + primary health care system Accounts for about 40% of total health care expenditure <50% of both financial and human resources Private sector Financed largely through private medical scheme (i.e., private health insurance) Serves (mainly) less than 20% of the population with private health insurance Comprises a range of providers GP, specialists, pharmacies, private hospitals, etc. Accounts for about 60% of total health care expenditure >50% of both financial and human resources Population Public Funds Private OOP Over 8% of GDP health services One of the highest globally

Health expenditure in South Africa Since 1994, public health-sector resourcing has been fairly stagnant Expenditure in the private sector has increased substantially Per capita private health expenditure is ~6 times per capita public health expenditure Source: Coovadia et al. (2009): The Lancet - http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/s0140-6736(09)60951-x

Age/sex standardised concentration index TB Diarrhoea HIV Drug abuse STD Depression High BP Trauma Diabetes Flu/ART Physical Hearing Sight Speech Emotional intellectual More among the poor More among the rich Inequality in health in South Africa 0.10 0.05 0.00-0.05-0.10-0.15-0.20-0.25-0.30-0.35-0.40 Illness Disability Source: Ataguba et al. (2011): International Journal for Equity in Health - http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/1475-9276-10-48

% share of benefits or need Comparing health benefits and need across SES 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% % share of total benefits % share of need Poor need more health services Rich benefit more than the poor Inverse care law Quintile 5 (richest) Quintile 4 Quintile 3 Quintile 2 Quintile 1 (poorest) Source: Ataguba & McIntyre (2013): Health Economics, Policy and Law - http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/s1744133112000060

Medical scheme membership and OOP payments (2008) Scheme members have significantly higher private facility visits than non-scheme members Scheme members pay more out-of-pocket (OOP) than non-scheme members Medical scheme membership has not been able to guarantee access to needed health services at affordable costs to members. Source: Ataguba & Goudge (2012): The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance - http://dx.doi.org/10.1057/gpp.2012.35

The proposed National Health Insurance Phase 1 [5 years] Creating a condition for efficient and equitable delivery of quality services PHC re-engineering Transforming the structure and financing of central hospitals Improving quality of health service delivered, address infrastructure deficiencies, availability of essential medicines, etc. Improving management deficiencies Phase 2 [5 years] Ensuring an efficient purchaser-provider split and establishing a NHI fund (transitional) Funded largely through general taxes Registering the population (prioritising the vulnerable) Strengthening contracting of private providers (primary level) Amending the medical schemes act (??) Phase 3 [4 years] Consolidating on the previous phases and address issues of accreditation of private providers Fully functional NHIF Introducing mandatory prepayment from those that are eligible Contracting of private providers (higher levels)

Main features of the NHI Universal access NHI Source: NHI White Paper

Main features of the NHI Universal access Mandatory prepayment NHI Source: NHI White Paper

Main features of the NHI Universal access Mandatory prepayment NHI Comprehensive services Source: NHI White Paper

Main features of the NHI Universal access Mandatory prepayment NHI Comprehensive services Financial risk protection Source: NHI White Paper

Main features of the NHI Universal access Mandatory prepayment NHI Comprehensive services Single fund Financial risk protection Source: NHI White Paper

Main features of the NHI Universal access Mandatory prepayment Strategic purchaser NHI Comprehensive services Single fund Financial risk protection Source: NHI White Paper

Main features of the NHI Universal access Single payer Mandatory prepayment Strategic purchaser NHI Comprehensive services Single fund Financial risk protection Source: NHI White Paper

Moving towards NHI NHIF Public funds (taxes) OOP payments Private insurance NHIF = single fund = single payer = single purchaser

The proposed National Health Insurance Concerns for the NHI Public sector ill-equipped and unprepared Resources constraints Financial sustainability (affordability) Human resource shortage The importance of the SDH Opposition from certain groups/ stakeholders

% share of benefits Long-term impact (benefits) of NHI modelled 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Private Public Total Private Public Total Private Public Total Status quo Extended private schemes Universal coverage Status quo and extended medical scheme models perpetuates inequities NHI-type model gives a more equitable distribution Q1 (poorest) Q2 Q3 Q4 Q5 (richest) Source: McIntyre & Ataguba (2012): Health Policy and Planning - http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/heapol/czs003

Long-term impact (financing) of NHI modelled Table 3: Kakwani indices for different health care financing options General taxes Insurance Out-of-pocket payment Status quo 0.022 (0.090) 0.121** (0.061) -0.058 (0.061) Extended private schemes 0.022 (0.090) 0.033 (0.066) Universal coverage (a) (b) (c) 0.022 (0.090) 0.022 (0.090) 0.198*** (0.067) 0.198*** (0.067) 0.022 (0.090) 0.198*** (0.067) - - - - Marginally more equitable financing with NHI-type model Income surcharge - - - 0.115*** (0.036) 0.198*** (0.048) -0.144* VAT-levy - - - - (0.075) 0.078 0.031 0.040 0.085 0.100 Overall (0.063) (0.067) (0.074) (0.068) (0.067) Notes: Robust standard errors in parenthesis. (a) A 3% VAT rate; (b) a flat 4% income surcharge rate was used; (c) a graduated (1.2% - 6%) income surcharge rate was used. *, **, *** significant at 10%, 5% and 1% levels of significance respectively. Source: McIntyre & Ataguba (2012): Health Policy and Planning - http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/heapol/czs003

Thank you

www.publichealth.uct.ac.za/phfm_health-economics-unit-heu www.facebook.com/uct.heu John.Ataguba@uct.ac.za Health Economics Unit, University of Cape Town, 2016