EUROPEAN CLEAN ENERGY YIELDCOS 1H15

Similar documents
The Diverging Experience of the UK & US YieldCos and why it is Important. By James Armstrong Managing Partner, Bluefield Partners LLP

Q4.14: Cleantech and Renewable Energy Investment Review

Tidal financing Lessons from offshore wind

CLEAN ENERGY MARKET REVIEW Q

CONTENTS TOTAL NEW CLEAN ENERGY INVESTMENT 3 PROJECT / ASSET FINANCE 10 MERGERS & ACQUISITIONS 18 VENTURE CAPITAL & PRIVATE EQUITY 29

Clean Energy Investment Trends, 3Q , following in 2016's footsteps

Conference Call. Encavis AG Bold move into the PPA market. October 9, 2018

TWB II Municipal offshore wind financing. May 2017

FIRST SOLAR Q3 16 EARNINGS CALL

GLOBAL TRENDS IN CLEAN ENERGY INVESTMENT

REG Interim Results Six months ending 31 December th February 2014

UK Solar Investment. 8% return per annum. Defined exit strategy at the end of year 3 with option to extend. Pension Compatible.

Clean Energy Investment Trends, , challenging the highs of 2015

M&G Investments. Michael McLintock and Grant Speirs

Clean Energy Investment Trends, 2Q 2018 Wind investment in the U.S. spurs global clean energy in first half of year

CGN INAUGURAL GREEN BOND ISSUANCE

GLOBAL CLEAN ENERGY INVESTMENT TRENDS. ICCR event February 2015

1H15 Green Bond Update

H results. innogy SE 11 August 2017 Bernhard Günther CFO

Savills plc. Results for the six months ended 30 th June August 2017

Financial Industry Solutions. Second Quarter Financial Results AUGUST 9, 2018

UK Onshore Wind. Investment Fundamentals

Guinness Alternative Energy Fund

ANNOUNCEMENT OF INTENTION TO FLOAT ON THE SPANISH STOCK EXCHANGES

November HSBC Green Bond Report

GLOBAL TRENDS IN CLEAN ENERGY INVESTMENT

Cleaning Up August 2007

IOSCO Growth and Emerging Markets Committee

PV secondary markets in Germany & France

GLOBAL TRENDS IN CLEAN ENERGY INVESTMENT

Clean Energy Market Review Q3.2017

RESULTS PRESENTATION 1 ST QUARTER 2011

Year-end results. 18 May

What next for UK auctions of renewable Contracts for Difference?

2020 Energy Finance. Ray O Neill Head of Energy & Clean Technologies Business Banking

Fact Sheets for Selected Financial Schemes

UK Government Support Mechanisms for Offshore Wind - Is it working?

Renewable energy assets. An interesting investment proposition for European insurers

LOAN MARKET DATA AND ANALYTICS BY THOMSON REUTERS LPC

AIM INSIGHTS REVIEW OF AIM FOR THE SIX MONTHS TO DECEMBER 2017

Investec Structured Return Note. 10 January 2019

Stormy Weathers in the European Wind Power sector how to keep the pace?

Earnings Call FY2017. Hamburg, 23 March 2018

Brexit and electricity interconnectors. Jason Mann

VT UK Infrastructure Income Fund. Sales Contacts. Investment Philosophy. UKIIF Strategy Aims. Key Risk Parameters for the Strategy

ICIS Energy Forum. Power and Carbon Markets. 1

20 November 2006 Meeting Agenda

European Securitisation Data Reports

Performance Report October 2018

EU Renewable Energy Infrastructure Market Report Q1 2017

SCZ ishares MSCI EAFE Small-Cap ETF

CONTENTS TOTAL NEW CLEAN ENERGY INVESTMENT 3 PROJECT / ASSET FINANCE 10 MERGERS & ACQUISITIONS 18 VENTURE CAPITAL & PRIVATE EQUITY 29

ABC School THE IPO PROCESS

INSTITUTIONAL INVESTORS AND GREEN INVESTMENTS: HEALTHY SCEPTICISM OR MISSED OPPORTUNITIES?

Financial Information 1Q 2018

Blackstone Reports Third Quarter 2012 Results

16 th edition of this popular report

Presentation at Morgan Stanley European Financials Conference

Stefano Cruccu Danai Giannopoulou Tom van der Linden

Ventus 2 VCT plc. Strategy Note Executive Summary

EUROPEAN LEVERAGED LOAN MARKET IMPACT OF THE CREDIT CRISIS

English Version 6M16 MANAGEMENT REPORT (JANUARY JUNE)

PREQIN QUARTERLY UPDATE: INFRASTRUCTURE Q Content includes:

Accelerating the Integration of Renewables

Secondary Offering Activity 2017

Sixth Investor Conference

Credit Suisse Swiss Pension Fund Index Q3 2015

GLOBAL IFRS 17 READINESS ASSESSMENT Q4 2017

IDOG ALPS International Sector Dividend Dogs ETF

Results presentation. For the year ended 31 March 2014

Capital Stage AG: Strategic Partnership with Solarcentury. November 2, 2017, 11:00 CET

Three-speed recovery. GDP growth. Percent Emerging and developing economies. World

Equity Capital Markets Half Year Review

Offshore wind finance 2016 update

Investor pre-close briefing. 14 March

Introduction to the UK Economy

FOCUS ON EDF EN Analyst Group Lunch Meeting - 6 July 2017

Renewable energy assets. An interesting investment proposition for European insurers

Interim report Q2 2017

GLOBAL IFRS 17 READINESS ASSESSMENT

Outlook for Physical Gold & Silver Demand. Philip Newman Denver Gold Group, European Gold Forum 7 th May 2014

Segmental reviews. Transaction Advisory

GCOW Pacer Global Cash Cows Dividend ETF

SSE plc Q3 TRADING STATEMENT. SSE plc completed the third quarter of its financial year on 31 December This Trading Statement:

Renewable Energy Fund

Connections matter. Neil Sneddon

LARGE SCALE SOLAR INNOVATION SHOWCASE

2009 Results Presentation. Warsaw, March 16, 2010

1Q of FY ending December 31, (0.2) (1.9) 11.3 (0.2) (0.2) (0.2) (0.2) (1.2) (89.2) 0.1

Second quarter Vestas Wind Systems A/S. Copenhagen, 18 August Classification: Public

Convención de Finanzas y Mercado de Capitales 2013

Earnings Call 6M 2018

Quality assets. Selective and profitable growth. Self-funding business model

Financing Renewables. Investors Perspective. Zlatko Cherepnalkoski, SEE Director. Meinl Capital Advisors AG

DTH WisdomTree International High Dividend Fund

Prime Capital AG. Company Profile March 2018

9M 2017 results innogy SE 13 November 2017 Bernhard Günther CFO

RWE continues to reshape its future

The Property Franchise Group. Half Year Results September 2016

VT GRAVIS CLEAN ENERGY INCOME FUND. January 2019

Transcription:

DATA INSIGHT REPORT cleanenergypipeline.com EUROPEAN CLEAN ENERGY YIELDCOS 1H15 TURQUOISE 1

This Data Insight Report analyses the fundraising and investment activities of European clean energy yieldcos in the first half of 2015 (1H15). The analysis is based on deals tracked in Clean Energy Pipeline s public markets and mergers & acquisitions (M&A) transaction databases. Yieldco issuances surge 83% in 1H15 Clean energy yieldcos raised $944 million on European public markets in 1H15, almost double the $517 million secured during in 1H14. The robust start to the year was underpinned by the $493 million IPO of Saeta Yield - the yieldco vehicle of Spanish construction company Actividades de Construccion y Servicios - in February 2015. The offering, which was more than 2x oversubscribed, was priced at Eur10.45 per share, the bottom of the Eur10.45-12.25 target price range. Saeta Yield is the first yieldco to be listed on a continental European stock exchange. The second most notable deal in 1H15 was The Renewables Infrastructure Group s (TRIG) $152 million oversubscribed EUROPEAN CLEAN ENERGY YIELDCO OFFERINGS (2013-2015 YTD) 2013 $1.4 bn Foresight Solar Fund Ltd. Greencoat Wind plc Bluefield Solar Income Fund Greencoat Wind plc 2014 $1.2 bn Greencoat Wind plc Bluefield Solar Income Fund NextEnergy Solar Fund Foresight Solar Fund Ltd. NextEnergy Solar Fund John Laing Environmental Assets Group Bluefield Solar Income Fund Greencoat Wind plc 2015 YTD $0.9 bn Foresight Solar Fund Ltd. Saeta Yield SA NextEnergy Solar Fund Greencoat Wind plc Foresight Solar Fund Ltd. 2 TURQUOISE

EUROPEAN YIELDCO PUBLIC MARKET ACTIVITY (1H14) EUROPEAN YIELDCO PUBLIC MARKET ACTIVITY (1H15) 52% IPO 74% 48% Secondary 26% Secondary IPO secondary offering on the Exchange in March 2015. NextEnergy Solar Fund and Greencoat Wind also secured $94 million and $74 million respectively in secondary offerings in February 2015. Clean energy yieldcos have proven attractive to investors in the current low interest rate environment due to their steady and predictable income stream generated by long-term off-take agreements and an inflation-linked yield that is higher than traditional fixed income assets such as government bonds. As of September 2015, Saeta Yield provided the best dividend yield (8.54% per annum) among the European yieldcos. The 5-6% annualised dividend yield offered by the other -based yieldcos makes them an enticing investment opportunity given the historically low interest rates in the. Number of acquisitions waning European yieldcos announced 12 acquisitions valued at $900 million in 1H15, a 34% decrease in number on the 20 deals totalling $800 million in 1H14. The largest transaction was TRIG s 246 million purchase of a 49% stake in Fred. Olsen Renewables 433 MW operating wind portfolio in June 2015. Notable investments also include Bluefield Solar Income Fund s 56.5 million ($83 million) acquisition of a 49.9 MW solar PV plant in Norfolk from Chinese module manufacturer Trina Solar in March 2015, and NextEnergy Solar Fund s 54.7 million ($80 million) acquisition of the 33.7 MW Glebe Farm and the 11.7 MW Hawkers Farm solar projects in April 2015. Looking to the remainder of 2015 It remains to be seen whether yieldcos will continue to dominate the public markets in the second half of 2015. On the one hand, existing yieldcos such as The Renewables Infrastructure Group, NextEnergy Solar Fund, and John Laing Environmental Assets Group, to name a few, have hinted at future share issues or actually launched share offerings that are scheduled to complete by the end of the year to fund further acquisitions. On the other hand, the recent volatility in the public markets might make it difficult for yieldcos to raise further capital. Indeed, two recently formed European solar-focused yieldcos - NextEnergy European Solar Utility and Bluefield European Solar Fund - both postponed IPO plans in late July 2015 due to market volatility. NextEnergy European Solar Utility had planned to raise Eur300 million from an IPO on the Exchange to fund the potential acquisition of 1.3 GW of solar assets mainly in Spain TURQUOISE 3

and Italy. Bluefield European Solar Fund planned to raise Eur200 million to fund acquisitions of Italian and Spanish solar projects. Two other notable yieldco vehicles in the pipeline are not likely to list in the second half of 2015. PNE Wind AG established PNE WIND Yieldco Deutschland (focused on the German market) and PNE WIND Yieldco International (focused on international markets) in December 2014. The German wind developer indicated it plans to sell the yieldco vehicles in part or wholly to investors by the end of 2016. Further details of all yieldcos in the pipeline are outlined in the table below. The yieldco story so far Greencoat Wind, the first clean energy yieldco, listed on the European public markets in March 2013. By June 2015 there were seven quoted yieldcos in the and Spain and a further four in the pipeline. In 2013, four yieldcos (Greencoat Wind, TRIG, Bluefield Solar Income Fund and Foresight Solar Fund) completed their initial public offerings (IPO) on the Exchange, raising a total of c.$1.3 billion. In 2014, John Laing Environmental Assets Group and NextEnergy Solar Fund became the fifth and sixth yieldcos respectively to list on the NOTABLE LISTED EUROPEAN YIELDCO VEHICLES Yieldco Stock exchange Sector focus & portfolio (as of September 2015) Bluefield Solar Income Fund Foresight Solar Fund Ltd. Greencoat Wind plc John Laing Environmental Assets Group NextEnergy Solar Fund Saeta Yield Spain The Renewables Infrastructure Group Ltd. Exchange: BSIF Exchange: FSL Exchange: W Exchange: JLEN Exchange: NESF Madrid, Barcelona, Bilbao & Valencia Stock Exchanges: SAY Exchange: TRIG Dividend yield (as of September 2015) Issue type Issue date Deal value ($ m) Solar PV (260MW) 6.81% IPO Jul-13 197 Secondary Feb-14 22 Secondary Nov-14 195 Solar PV (338MW) 6.01% IPO Oct-13 243 (249MW) & off-shore wind (22.5MW) (68MW), solar PV (35MW), & water and waste management Secondary Oct-14 96 Secondary Mar-15 54 Secondary Jun-15 60 5.58% IPO Mar-13 394 Secondary Dec-13 136 Secondary Jan-14 3 Secondary Oct-14 200 Secondary Feb-15 79 5.61% IPO Mar-14 264 Solar PV (235MW) 6.03% IPO Apr-14 118 (539MW) & solar thermal (150MW) (532MW) & solar PV (171MW) Secondary Nov-14 152 Secondary Dec-14 6.4 Secondary Feb-15 94 8.63% IPO Feb-15 493 5.99% IPO Jul-13 461 Secondary Nov-13 17 Secondary Mar-14 110 Secondary Oct-14 62 Secondary Mar-15 155 Secondary Apr-15 12 4 TURQUOISE

Exchange, raising a combined total of nearly $400 million. In February 2015, Saeta Yield completed its $493 million IPO on the Madrid, Barcelona, Bilbao & Valencia Stock Exchanges and became the first non- publicly listed clean energy yieldco. The fundraising activity of the seven European clean energy yieldcos since 2013 is outlined in the table at the end of this report. By the end of June 2015, the seven European yieldcos had raised a total of $3.6 billion and their portfolios comprised 1,388 MW of onshore wind, 22.5 MW of offshore wind, 964 MW of solar PV and 150 MW of solar thermal capacity. Their investments are currently spread across the (69%), Spain (28%), France (3%) and Ireland (1%). NOTABLE EUROPEAN YIELDCO VEHICLES IN THE PIPELINE Yieldco Headquarters Sector & geographical focus NextEnergy European Solar Utility Bluefield European Solar Utility PNE WIND Yieldco Deutschland GmbH PNE WIND Yieldco International Limited Germany Solar PV in Europe, primarily Italy and Spain Solar PV in Europe, primarily Italy and Spain in Germany in Offering size ($ m) Expected listing 335 Postponed (initial target: H2-2015) 224 Postponed (initial target: H2-2015) Brief description NextEnergy European Solar Utility (NEESU) is an affiliate of the -focused yieldco vehicle NextEnergy Solar Fund. Both yieldco vehicles will be managed by NEC Group. NEESU has the right of first offer from NextNergy Capital s renewables pipeline, and has already entered discussions, or put forward bids for over 427 MW of solar projects. It represents an equity investment of approximately Eur500 million. NEESU aimed for dividends of between Eur0.03 to Eur0.05 in 2015, Eur0.08 in 2016, and Eur0.09 in 2017. It targeted internal rate of returns of 10-12%. Bluefield European Solar Utility will be managed by Bluefield Partners LLP. The yieldco is targeting acquisitions of renewable energy assets in EU countries, primarily Spain and Italy. n/a n/a 2016 2016 On 19 December 2014, PNE WIND AG announced the establishment of two yieldco vehicles - PNE WIND Yieldco Deutschland GmbH (headquartered in Cuxhaven, Germany) and the PNE WIND Yieldco International Limited (headquartered in Edinburgh, Scotland). PNE WIND expects to initiate a yieldco with 150 MW of German onshore wind farms. Commissioned wind farms will be placed in PNE WIND Yieldco Deutschland GmbH before being acquired by PNE WIND Yieldco International Limited. PNE WIND AG plans to sell the yieldco vehicles in part or wholly to investors by the end of 2016. TURQUOISE 5

Q&A with Francis Wright Managing Director Turquoise International Can you provide an overview of the work you currently do with yieldcos? We have primarily assisted in selling solar assets to yieldcos and have spoken to most of the European yieldcos that are in the solar sector. It is a competitive market with lots of investors seeking solar assets, but yieldcos are generally very proactive and fast moving. They also know exactly what they want and are mostly easy to deal with. Are yieldcos interested in acquiring specific types of solar assets? When yieldcos first appeared they looked for operating assets. Over time, competition in the market forced them to invest pre-construction and if their fund rules don t allow this, they will have some kind of third-party finance option in place to bridge the construction phase. With recent policy uncertainty, risk appetite is reducing with a preference to buy after accreditation. Transaction costs are a significant component, especially for smaller projects and so there is a strong preference to secure project pipelines from established developers, so multiple projects can all use the same purchase and EPC documentation. To what extent are yieldcos prepared to take construction-stage risk? Most will now take some construction risk although the money is paid to an EPC contractor that has signed a lump sum turnkey type agreement. If there was a problem with the project it would be the EPC contractor who would be liable to fix it. Clearly, there is a risk that the EPC contractor might become insolvent half way through a project, which incentivise the use of more creditworthy contractors. To mitigate this risk, some investors prefer to purchase the solar modules directly themselves and supply them to the project. With the loss of ROC grandfathering, investors are also typically deferring a large part of the purchase consideration to accreditation. Given the recent subsidy cuts, will solar continue to be attractive for yieldcos? There is a lot of uncertainty about the future of the solar sector in the. From April 2016 onwards there is no Renewables Obligation (RO) subsidy, and even before then, there is a risk that a banding review could cut the current 1.3 ROCs in the period before April. There is currently a rush to get pre-accredited FiT projects built by December, 6 TURQUOISE

after which the tariff falls by 25%. It is likely to fall further in 2016. Taken together with the recently announced heavy reduction in FiTs (including rooftop), the solar market is going to come to a grinding halt by the end of March 2016. If yieldcos want to carry on investing they re going to have to look elsewhere. Do you think -based yieldcos are capable of raising funds on mandates that target projects outside the? Investors in yieldcos don t want to take any material risk so either they buy operating assets in jurisdictions where the risk of retrospective policy change is unlikely, or where they understand the market very well so can take construction risk in the knowledge that it takes three months to build a solar plant. If there is uncertainty that the rules will change within three months and there is no ability to lock in a price at the start of construction they re not going to do it. So the question remains, are there any markets in Europe where that certainty exists? That will change on a quarterly basis. Some investors are interested in buying operating assets in slightly distressed markets, such as wind or solar projects in Spain and Italy. These are places where the original investors or the current owners are nursing a big loss. There are risk taking people out there if they want an exit. They might not be yieldcos, but certainly the hedge funds will look at these opportunities. Do yieldcos typically leverage solar projects? They don t lever at the project level but they do at the fund level. There are people like Foresight, for example, who used Novatio Capital to arrange an inflation linked facility to lever one of their funds. This can lead to a small improvement in equity returns, but the main driver is usually to release additional capital which can be used to acquire more assets. Solar assets are currently purchased on a project IRR of approximately 7%. The cost of debt isn t much lower than that so there s not a huge benefit of leveraging for equity returns. How have returns from solar projects changed in the past year? A couple of years ago a buyer of assets would be looking at an IRR of 8-9%, but with competition this has now fallen to around 7%. For a portfolio of 100 MW or more, IRRs are moving towards 6%. This very low cost money is coming from pension funds and is unlikely to be of interest to yieldcos (unless they are selling portfolios). With the current policy uncertainty, it should still be possible to sell a TURQUOISE 7

project for 7% IRR, but the buyer will be more risk averse for pre-accreditation projects. Are yieldcos the predominant acquirers of solar assets at the moment? The yieldcos between them are the largest buyers in the market and compete aggressively amongst themselves. They also compete with a number of funds backed by hedge funds such as Magnetar, Primrose and Equinox. Theoretically the largest buyers should be the pension funds, but they are not very nimble and are more likely to acquire large portfolios in the secondary market in years to come. Do you think new yieldcos will come to market or will the incumbents continue to be most active? We have heard of people looking to set up yieldcos in different markets such as Africa. That could well happen and there are others looking at other technologies such as electricity storage. Electricity storage is not yet commercially viable in most markets, but if the project economics improve there might be some assets that could be put into a yieldco structure. It s unlikely we will see more of the standard European wind and solar yieldcos unless the issuer already owns a large portfolio and is looking to release cash for investment or deleverage. www.turquoise.eu Turquoise is a London-based merchant bank specialising in Energy and Environment. The business was founded in 2002, making us one of the longest-established players in this field. Our main activities are: Corporate Finance: including Fundraising and M&A advisory for early and growth stage companies Investment Management: we are fund manager of the Low Carbon Innovation Fund and have provided investment advice to other funds and corporates. We have been ranked #1 Investor in Companies and #1 Financial Adviser in European VC/PE and M&A over the period 2012-14 (by Clean Energy Pipeline). We believe that Turquoise has worked on a wider range of transactions than any of our peers. The Turquoise team comprises people from backgrounds including banking, consultancy, utilities and industrial management. Collectively we have decades of experience in the Energy and Environmental sectors as advisers, investors and business founders. Turquoise has completed advisory assignments and investments in renewable energy, energy efficiency, transport, energy-from-waste, water and many other sectors. These transactions include financing technologies, project development and infrastructure. ABOUT CLEAN ENERGY PIPELINE company offers customized research and organizes senior executive forums. 8 TURQUOISE For more information: +44 (0) 207 251 8000 (EMEA) or +1 202 386 6715 (Americas) Subscription enquiries: ce.sales@vbresearch.com www.cleanenergypipeline.com