Insurance Sector Development in Indonesia

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Transcription:

Insurance Sector Development in Indonesia 12 January 2016

Outline Role of the insurance sector in economic development The state of Indonesia s insurance industry and its implications for the economy Factors behind current performance of Indonesia s insurance industry Policy implications 2 of 10

Insurance sector for economic development Manage risk and mitigate the impact of unforeseen events Mobilize savings and public funds for economic development Improve efficiency of other segments of the financial sector (e.g. banking & bond markets) 3 of 10

Insurance industry is mainly operated by the private sector Number of Insurance Companies by type of ownership Type of ownership 2001 2009 2014 National and Private 121 97 95 Life 40 28 31 Non-Life 81 69 64 Joint venture 46 38 36 Life 22 18 19 Non-life 24 20 17 Notes: Excluding reinsurance (4) since no data on ownership and Social and Civil servants insurance (5) Source: Milo (2003), and Insurance Statistics (2013), OJK 4

Numbers of firm decline but less concentrated Degree of Concentration in Indonesia s Insurance Industry Year No. of firm Share of top 5 CR-4 Life Non-life Life Non-life Life Non-life 2000 62 105 65.8% 33.2% 59.3% 28.0% 2005 n.a n.a 51.1% 38.3% 44.9% 32.3% 2013 49 82 36.2% 27.7% 30.5% 23.7% Note: *=use 2001 data; **=measured in term of gross direct premium Source: Milo (2003), International Insurance factbook (2003, 2007, 2016), Swiss Re Sigma Database (accessed 2015) 5

INDONESIA S INSURANCE INDUSTRY PERFORMANCE IS LAGGING BEHIND OTHER COUNTRIES IN THE REGION 6

Lowest assets among ASEAN countries Total Insurance Company Assets to GDP (% to GDP) Source: World Bank Global Financial Development Database (accessed in 2015) 7

Gross Premiums (USD Billion) Australia Indonesia Partnership Insurance premiums is relatively low compared to ASEAN countries 350,0 328,4 300,0 250,0 200,0 150,0 100,0 70,8 69,9 50,0 0,0 27,0 21,7 12,0 15,9 15,3 7,1 8,1 5,4 1,6 0,9 5,8 2,6 Singapore Thailand Malaysia Indonesia Philippines Vietnam China India 40,5 2006 2014 Source: Swiss Re, Sigma Database (accessed in 2015) 8

Premiums as a relative to GDP (% to GDP) Australia Indonesia Partnership Penetration and Density are low Insurance Penetration (Premiums per GDP, %) 8,0 7,0 6,7 6,1 5,8 6,0 4,8 5,0 4,4 4,0 3,3 3,4 3,0 2,5 2,0 1,7 1,9 2,0 1,6 1,2 1,4 1,0 1,0 0,6 0,0 2000 2014 Source: Swiss Re, Sigma Explorer (accessed in 2016) Insurance Density (premiums per population, USD) Country 2000 2014 Singapore 1682 4936 Malaysia 184 531 Thailand 49 320 Indonesia 8 60 Philippines 13 58 Vietnam 3 28 China 15 241 India 9 54 Source: own calculation based on Swiss Re dan World Bank Data (accessed in 2016) 9

Market relatively underdeveloped Total Policies per population (%) Countries 2004 2013 Singapore 166% 239% Malaysia 38% 42% Indonesia 14% 18% Philippines 5% 3% Source: CEIC Database and World Bank (accessed 2015) 10

Market are relatively underserved Regional comparison of financial sector (2006) Indonesia Malaysia Singapore % Assets % GDP % Assets % GDP % Assets % GDP Banks 79.2 53.9 54.4 159.8 58.8 233.4 Insurance companies 4.0 2.8 6.4 19.5 12.5 49.8 Pension funds 6.3 4.3 19 56.4 16.3 65.7 Mutual funds 1.6 1.1 6.9 20.1 4.9 20 Outstanding corporate bonds 3.4 2.3 13.1 38 8.2 32.4 Others 5.5 3.7 - - - - Source: WorldBank, Unlocking Indonesia Domestic Financial Resources, 2006 11

Firms are relatively inefficient Premiums per Employee, 2012 (relative Efficiency) Source: OECD Statistics (accessed in 2015) 12

Generally low performance compared to other countries Income level and Insurance Performance (2014) Country GDP per cap Assets* (% to GDP) Penetration Ratio (% to GDP) Note: *=2011 data Source: World Bank WDI & GFDD, Swiss Re, Sigma (accessed 2015) Insurance Spending Percapita/Den sity (USD) Gross Premium (USD Billion) Singapore 38088 41.8 6.7 4936 27.0 Malaysia 7365 20.1 4.8 531 15.9 Thailand 3769 21.8 5.8 320 21.7 Indonesia 1854 3.7 1.7 60 15.3 Philippines 1662 6.5 2 58 5.8 Vietnam 1078 3.8 1.4 28 2.6 China 3863 12.2 3.3 241 328.4 India 1234 18.5 3.4 54 69.9 13

IMPORTANT ISSUES IN THE INDONESIAN INSURANCE INDUSTRY 14

Structural issue - small & inefficient Insurance firm size (2012) Country Number of Firms Life Insurance Assets (Billion USD) Assets/firm (Billion USD) Number of Firms Non-Life Insurance Assets (Billion USD) Assets/firm (Billion USD) Singapore 15 54.1 3.6 109 11.5 0.1 Malaysia 13 46.8 3.6 20 7 0.3 Indonesia 47 27.2 0.6 84 7.8 0.1 Notes: Data on assets is 2011 value due to unavailability of data Source: OECD Stats and Swiss Re Sigma (accessed in 2015) 15

Source of issues/problems Limited capital - large numbers of firm (mostly domestic) with small capital Shortage of domestic insurance professionals and specialist Technology 16

Regulatory issues PP 37/1992 Minimum asset requirements under PP 37/1992 Type Domestic Joint venture* ) Non-life IDR 3 millions IDR 15 millions Life IDR 2 millions IDR 4.5 millions Reinsurance IDR 10 millions IDR 45 millions 17

Regulatory issues Foreign ownership limited to 80% From 1992 to 2008 : Minimum asset requirement was increased Less discriminatory to FDI distinction between JV and domestic removed 18

Other restrictive regulations Strict restrictions and complicated process for the use of foreign professionals Insurance companies must use local reinsurance to place all (100%) of its simple (basic) risk 19

Regional comparison Country Branch Licenses Minimum paid-up capital requirement Indonesia No USD 8 Mn (minimum 20% must be held) Malaysia No USD 29 Mn Philippines Yes USD 22 Mn Singapore Yes (w/ minimum level of contracted premium) Thailand No USD 15 Mn Vietnam Yes USD 28 Mn Source: Milliman Research Report (2015) 20

Is the new Law (UU 40/2014) less restrictive? Fundamental change on foreign ownership Indonesianization of joint ventures Regulation (PP) on foreign ownership still in process what are the implications on the new DNI? Process for foreign ownership more complex but an opportunity for reform. Less likely to increase investment and supply 21

THANK YOU 22