Stock Market Indicators: Margin Debt

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Stock Market Indicators: December 25, 217 Dr. Edward Yardeni 516-972-7683 eyardeni@ Mali Quintana 48-664-1333 aquintana@ Please visit our sites at www. blog. thinking outside the box

Table Of Contents Table Of Contents 3-5 December 25, 217 / Stock Market Indicators: www.

Figure 1. 6 MARGIN DEBT & WILSHIRE 5 12/22 55 28 26 5 45 4 35 3 25 2 15 5 * (billion dollars) Wilshire 5 Index 24 22 2 18 16 14 12 8 6 4 2.5 2.4 2.3 2.2 Figure 2. MARGIN DEBT* (as a percent of Wilshire 5) 2.5 2.4 2.3 2.2 2.1 2. 1.9 1.8 1.7 1.6 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.2 2.1 2. 1.9 1.8 1.7 1.6 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.2 Page 3 / December 25, 217 / Stock Market Indicators: www.

2 Figure 3. MARGIN DEBT* (yearly change, billion dollars) 2 - - -2-2 Figure 4. MARGIN DEBT* (yearly percent change) 5 5-5 -5 Page 4 / December 25, 217 / Stock Market Indicators: www.

12 Figure 5. MARGIN REQUIREMENT FOR CREDIT EXTENDED UNDER REGULATION T/U/G MARGIN STOCKS (percent of market value) 12 8 8 6 6 Nov 4 1938 1943 1948 1953 1958 1963 1968 1973 1978 1983 1988 1993 1998 23 28 4 Source: Federal Reserve Board. 213 218 223 6 55 Figure 6. MARGIN DEBT & S&P 5 12/22 28 26 5 45 S&P 5 Index 24 22 4 * (billion dollars) 2 35 3 18 16 14 25 12 2 15 8 5 6 4 Source: New York Stock Exchange and Standard & Poor s. Page 5 / December 25, 217 / Stock Market Indicators: www.

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