Half Year Results François-Xavier Roger Chief Financial Officer

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Transcription:

Half Year Results 2016 François-Xavier Roger Chief Financial Officer

Disclaimer This presentation contains forward looking statements which reflect Management s current views and estimates. The forward looking statements involve certain risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in the forward looking statements. Potential risks and uncertainties include such factors as general economic conditions, foreign exchange fluctuations, competitive product and pricing pressures and regulatory developments. 1

Sustained growth momentum and margin improvement Growth Trading Operating Profit* Free Cash Flow Underlying Earnings Per Share* OG +3.5% RIG +2.8% + 30 bps (+30 bps reported) CHF 3.3 bn (+ 41 %) + 5.7 % (+ 5.5 % reported) *in constant currency 2

OG driven by sustainable strong RIG with low pricing % Real Internal Growth % Pricing 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 0% Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014 Q4 2014 Q1 2015 Q2 2015 Q3 2015 Q4 2015 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 3

Broad-based OG and RIG AMS EMENA AOA Sales (in CHF) 18.7 bn 13.4 bn 11.1 bn RIG +2.8% +2.8% +2.9% OG +4.7% +2.5% +2.3% Each geography includes Zones, Nestlé Waters, Nestlé Nutrition, Nestlé Professional, Nespresso, Nestlé Health Science, and Nestlé Skin Health 4

Increasing RIG in Developed and Emerging Markets Developed Emerging Sales (in CHF) % of Group sales Real Internal Growth HY 2015 Organic Growth HY 2015 24.8 bn 58% 2.6% 1.8% 1.9% 2.2% 18.4 bn 42% 3.1% 1.6% 5.4% 7.3% 5

Growth through innovation Natural & Organic Nutrition & Added Value Science Coffee-mate Natural Bliss Lean Cuisine Purina Beyond Boost Simply Complete Wyeth Illuma upgrade Soolantra +53% OG +19% OG +42% OG Boost range +17% OG +30% OG +36% OG 6

Zone AMS Sales: CHF 12.1 bn Trading Operating Profit RIG % 2.5 OG % 5.1 TOP % 17.8 vs. LY -20 bps Good growth momentum and market share gains across the Zone North America had volume-driven growth US Frozen Foods continued to sustain positive performance Coffee-mate and petcare continued to do well Latin America had positive RIG and pricing Brazil accelerated, despite volatile macroeconomic environment Mexico was resilient with broad-based growth Margin: benefits from pricing and operational savings outweighed by negative forex in Latin America and increased marketing investment across Zone 7

Zone EMENA Sales: CHF 8.1 bn Trading Operating Profit RIG % 3.0 OG % 2.6 TOP % 16.9 vs. LY +70 bps Good RIG momentum and market share gains across the Zone Western Europe had soft pricing in deflationary environment Spain/Portugal, Nordics, and France had solid RIG Nescafé Dolce Gusto, petcare, and pizza grew well Central & Eastern Europe had double-digit OG Russia sustained good growth, led by Nescafé Petcare, coffee, and chocolate were highlights across the region Middle East and North Africa were positive despite instability Coffee drove growth while Dairy remained challenged Margin: active portfolio management, improved product mix and lower input costs allowed increased brand investment 8

Zone AOA Sales: CHF 7.1 bn Trading Operating Profit RIG % 2.4 OG % 2.3 TOP % 19.6 vs. LY +140 bps Improving momentum across Zone and India recovering, however overall performance weighed down by Yinlu China was supported by strong Nescafé and confectionery, while Yinlu turnaround will take more time India was positive with Maggi noodles gaining momentum ASEAN had high single-digit growth, led by Milo and dairy Sub-Saharan Africa grew with double-digit OG in ambient culinary, dairy, and Milo Japan did well, Oceania was challenged Margin: benefits from efficiency savings, lower input costs, and fewer costs related to Maggi withdrawal of 2015 9

Nestlé Waters Sales: CHF 3.9 bn Trading Operating Profit RIG % 4.7 OG % 4.2 TOP % 12.4 vs. LY +90 bps Volume-driven growth in all geographies Developed markets had good performance despite deflationary environment and poor weather conditions Emerging markets had double-digit organic growth Premium brands Perrier and S.Pellegrino had high single-digit growth Local brands Poland Spring, Ice Mountain, Erikli, and Zephyrhills were among highlights Margin: improvements from more premium mix, operational cost efficiencies, and lower PET costs 10

Nestlé Nutrition Sales: CHF 5.2 bn Trading Operating Profit RIG % 1.1 OG % 1.3 TOP % 23.2 vs. LY +20 bps Category affected by limited pricing US and China were soft, overshadowing good momentum in other markets: US: continued to be affected by exit from certain regional contracts and transition to new packaging China: slower demand for mainstream brands due to softer overall market, however super-premium remained a growth driver Other emerging markets performed well: Brazil, Mexico, Philippines, Pakistan, and Indonesia Margin: mix and lower input costs supported increased brand investment 11

Other Businesses Sales: CHF 6.8 bn Trading Operating Profit RIG % 4.2 OG % 4.2 TOP % 16.4 vs. LY +60 bps Nespresso Good broad-based growth which was supported by geographic expansion VertuoLine drove positive results in North America Nestlé Professional Growth was driven by emerging markets Beverage solutions and flavor solutions continued to perform well Nestlé Health Science Consumer Care maintained its double-digit growth Medical Nutrition had good performance, led by allergy portfolio Nestlé Skin Health Growth came from RIG and strong Prescriptions business Margin: lower input costs, portfolio management, and cost discipline, allowing increased marketing spend 12

Broad-based growth across product groups 6.0 % Real Internal Growth % Pricing 5.0 5.2 0.9 4.7 5.6 0.9 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 3.5 0.7 2.8 4.3 5.3 0.7 2.5 0.2 2.3 2.7 0.8 1.9 3.1 3.6 4.7 0.0 1.4-0.6-0.7-0.5-1.0 Sales (CHF bn) -2.0 TOTAL GROUP 43.2 Powdered and Liquid Beverages 9.7 Water 3.7 Milk products and Ice cream 7.0 Nutrition and Health Science 7.4 Prepared dishes and cooking aids 5.9 Confectionery 3.7 PetCare 5.8 TOP % (in bps) 15.3 +30 22.7 +20 12.5 +60 17.4 +70 18.5-50 15.1 +300 10.3-80 20.6-40 13

Trading Operating Profit +30 bps +130 bps -90 bps -10 bps 15.0% Efficiencies Commodities Portfolio management Investments for growth 15.3% HY 2015 COGS & Distribution Marketing & Administration R & D HY 2016 +30bps in both reported and constant currency 14

Cost efficiencies and portfolio management driving gross margin evolution Gross margin as a % of sales 52.0% 50.0% 50.8% 49.5% 48.0% 46.0% 47.0% 48.1% 47.9% 44.0% 42.0% HY 2012 HY 2013 HY 2014 HY 2015 HY 2016 15

Underlying EPS +5.7% in constant currency Total Group HY 2015 HY 2016 Difference % of sales % of sales bps Trading Operating Profit 15.0 15.3 30 Net other operating income/expenses (0.8) (0.3) 50 Net financial income/expenses (0.8) (0.7) 10 Taxes * (3.5) (5.4) -190 Income from associates and JVs 1.2 1.0-20 Non-controlling interests (0.6) (0.4) 20 Net profit 10.5 9.5-100 Earnings per share CHF CHF % Underlying EPS 1.56 1.65 +5.5% Underlying EPS in constant currency +5.7% * CHF 0.5 bn from one-off due to change in tax legislation in Vaud canton 16

Cost / CAPEX control, and working capital improvement drove strong free cash flow In CHF bn +0.4 +0.0 +0.3 +0.2 3.3 2.4 + 41% HY 2015 Margin Improvement Working capital CAPEX Other HY 2016 17

Continued focus on working capital Average working capital as a % of sales 8.5% 7.5% 8.0% 6.5% 5.5% 6.3% 5.8% 4.5% 3.5% 4.3% 2.5% 1.5% HY 2013 HY 2014 HY 2015 HY 2016 18

Summary Strong real internal growth momentum continued Pricing at historical low but expected to improve Further gains in market share Strong gross margin improvement, partly re-invested in Marketing Operating profit improvement reflecting cost discipline Industry leading Free Cash Flow, improved Working Capital Full-Year Outlook confirmed: Organic growth in line with 2015, with improvements in margins and underlying earnings per share in constant currencies, and capital efficiency. 19

Half Year Results 2016 Discussion 20

Half Year Results 2016 Supporting Slides 21

6.0 Operating Segments % Real Internal Growth 5.0 % Pricing 5.1 4.2 0.0 4.2 4.0 3.5 2.6 3.0 0.7 2.6 2.3 2.0 1.0 2.8 2.5 3.0 2.4 4.7 1.3 0.2 4.2 1.1 0.0-0.4-0.1-0.5 Trading Operating Profit (reported) -1.0 TOTAL GROUP 15.3% Zone AMS 17.8% Zone EMENA 16.9% Zone AOA 19.6% Nestlé Waters 12.4% Nestlé Nutrition 23.2% Other Businesses 16.4% in bps +30-20 +70 +140 +90 +20 +60 22

Currency Overview Weighted average rate HY 2015 HY 2016 Variation US Dollar 1 USD 0.95 0.98 +3.6% Euro 1 EUR 1.06 1.10 +3.7% Chinese Yuan Renminbi 100 CNY 15.24 15.04-1.3% Brazilian Reais 100 BRL 31.82 26.68-16.1% UK Pound Sterling 1 GBP 1.44 1.41-2.5% Mexican Pesos 100 MXN 6.26 5.44-13.2% Philppine Pesos 100 PHP 2.13 2.10-1.5% Canadian Dollar 1 CAD 0.77 0.74-3.5% Russian Ruble 100 RUB 1.66 1.407-15.4% Australian Dollar 1 AUD 0.74 0.72-2.7% Japanese Yen 100 JPY 0.79 0.88 +11.7% 23

FX Impact FX Impact HY 2016 Zone AMS -4.9% Zone EMENA 0.0% Zone AOA -1.7% Nestlé Waters +1.0% Nestlé Nutrition -3.2% Other Businesses -0.3% Total -2.0% 24

Quarterly Summary by operating segment Second Quarter 2016 Sales (CHF bn) RIG % OG % Zone AMS 6.3 2.3 5.1 Zone EMENA 4.1 3.0 2.0 Zone AOA 3.5 3.0 2.5 Nestlé Waters 2.1 3.8 3.3 Nestlé Nutrition 2.6 0.1 0.1 Other Businesses 3.6 3.9 3.3 TOTAL GROUP 22.2 2.7 3.1 25

Quarterly Summary historical 10 quarters Period RIG % Pricing % OG % Q1 2014 2.6 1.6 4.2 Q2 2014 3.2 1.9 5.1 Q3 2014 1.2 2.9 4.1 Q4 2014 2.4 2.1 4.5 Q1 2015 1.9 2.5 4.4 Q2 2015 1.4 3.2 4.6 Q3 2015 2.7 1.0 3.7 Q4 2015 2.7 1.2 3.9 Q1 2016 3.0 0.9 3.9 Q2 2016 2.7 0.4 3.1 26

Glossary & Footnotes Abbreviations OG Organic Growth AMS Zone Americas RIG Real Internal Growth EMENA Zone Europe, Middle East, and North Africa TOP Trading Operating Profit AOA Zone Asia, Oceania, and sub-saharan Africa FCF COGS Free Cash Flow Cost of Goods Sold 27