Redwood Trust, Inc. JMP Securities Financial Services and Real Estate Conference September 27, 2016

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Transcription:

Redwood Trust, Inc. JMP Securities Financial Services and Real Estate Conference September 27, 2016

Cautionary Statements This presentation may contain forward-looking statements within the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 Forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties, including, among other things, those described in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2015 under the caption Risk Factors Other risks, uncertainties, and factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those projected are described in the Appendix and may be described from time to time in reports we file with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including reports on Forms 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K

Who is Redwood Trust? Redwood Trust, Inc. (NYSE: RWT) is an internally-managed REIT established in 1994 Our expertise is intermediating, structuring and investing in residential mortgage credit risk We source our investments through our proprietary loan acquisition and capital market platforms, as well as from third parties Our primary source of earnings is net interest income from our investments, supplemented by fees from loan sales Our primary objective is to deliver a stable and growing stream of attractive earnings and dividends for our shareholders

Capital Allocation and Target Returns Our total capital was $1.7 billion at June 30, 2016 (1) Target Returns Residential Investments Residential Securities (2) 14%-16% Residential Loans (2) 12%-16% MSR Investments 7%-9% Total Residential Investments 11%-13% Commercial Investments 10%-12% Residential Mortgage Banking 10%-20% (1) Includes $1.1B of equity capital and $0.6B of long-term debt on our consolidated balance sheet that is recourse to RWT. (2) Levered returns

GAAP Net Income and Core Earnings YTD 2016 GAAP Net Income and Core Earnings ($ in millions, except per share data) (Unaudited) Three Months Ended 6/30/2016 3/31/2016 Net interest income $44 $38 Total non-interest income, net 18 4 Operating expenses (20) (30) Provision for income taxes - - GAAP net income $41 $12 Elimination of restructuring and related charges (1) - 11 Other adjustments (1) (1) 14 Core earnings $40 $37 GAAP net income per share $0.48 $0.15 Core earnings per diluted common share (1) $0.47 $0.44 (1) Further information about Redwood s non-gaap core earnings measure is included in the Appendix.

What We Believe Now is a great time to invest in good loans to good borrowers There is a market opportunity to expand beyond the super-prime credit box and still invest in good prime loans Opportunities to express investments in residential credit are expanding and evolving, but complex to execute on Front-end and back-end credit risk sharing with the GSEs Portfolio risk-sharing with banks Private label securitization We believe we have the tools to compete and execute successfully Proprietary access to acquire loans through our conduit Strong capital markets and structuring expertise Excellent relationships and brand reputation as a reliable counterparty

Residential Investment Portfolio - Opportunities Portfolio Risk Transfer (PRT) REIT-friendly structure facilitates risk transfer by large banks to private investors like Redwood Banks maintain the benefits of owning loans while receiving favorable capital treatment for high-quality securities Standardized risk weighting reduced to 20% from 50%, significantly improving returns on regulatory capital Credit Risk Transfer (CRT) Structure supports FHFA-mandated risk transfer from the GSEs to the private sector Our CRT initiatives include: Acquiring subordinate investments from GSE-sponsored securitizations Working on proprietary structures to assume first loss risk on pools of loans either sold or securitized by the GSEs Mortgage-Backed Securities New Sequoia 2.0 investments Legacy and third party residential securities Multi-family CMBS

Redwood s Conduit Business Model Loan Products Jumbo, Non-QM Originators / Sellers Redwood Trust Private Label Securitization Bulk Whole Loan Sales FHLBC Mortgage Banking Gain on Sale/Fee Income Portfolio Investments Interest Income

Residential Mortgage Banking We acquire jumbo mortgage loans from third-party originators for subsequent sale or securitization. Since 2010, we have: Acquired over $23B of jumbo loans Completed 31 jumbo securitizations totaling $12B Average FICOs of 770 Average LTVs of 65% Incurred no credit losses on jumbo loans securitized Created over $1B million of investments for our balance sheet Completed $8B of whole loan sales

Residential Mortgage Banking With the introduction of Redwood s Choice program in April 2016, we are able to capture a larger cross section of the prime jumbo universe by acquiring expanded-prime jumbo loans Choice program addresses the limited financing options available to borrowers who lack perfect credit, sufficient liquid reserves or may need additional financing to meet the criteria for our traditional super-prime Select program Includes loans that may have one of the following characteristics: DTIs of up to 49.9% LTVs up to 90% FICO scores of 661 and above Program has been well received by sellers

$ in millions Redwood s Balance Sheet at June 30, 2016 Assets Financing Short Term Debt & Other Liabilities $1,326 Long-Term Debt 619 FHLB Debt 2,000 Equity 1,093 Total $5,038 $5,038

Appendix Note: The financial information included in this Appendix should be read in conjunction with, and is qualified in its entirety by the text of, our most recent Annual Report on Form 10-K and Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q.

Selected Financial Metrics Total Assets At Redwood ($bn) (1) Residential Investment Activity by Type (%) RMBS, Net CRT Loans-FHLB MSRs 15% 36% 30% 19% 6% 27% Return on Equity (%) (2) 57% 46% 66% 41% 59% 66% 5% 25% 30% 19% 23% 7% 11% 4% 7% 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 Jumbo Loan Execution ($ml) 14.4% 8.6% 4.7% 8.6% 6.2% 13.8% 4.3% 15.2% Securitization Whole Loan Sales Financed with the FHLB $1,636 $1,603 $1,306 $216 $1,394 $661 $447 $708 $995 $504 $894 $300 $65 $511 $549 $475 $942 $712 $695 $348 $341 $354 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 (1) Assets at Redwood include net investment in consolidated entities. (2) Calculated as annualized GAAP net income for the quarter divided by average total equity.

Balance Sheet Consolidated Balance Sheets (1) ($ in millions) 6/30/2016 3/31/2016 Residential loans $ 4,040 $ 3,715 Real estate securities 884 920 Commercial loans 325 364 Mortgage servicing rights 110 127 Cash and cash equivalents 217 305 Total earning assets 5,576 5,431 Other assets 322 296 Total assets $ 5,898 $ 5,727 Short-term debt Mortgage loan warehouse debt $ 706 $ 369 Security repurchase facilities 353 435 Other liabilities 202 195 Asset-backed securities issued 860 958 Long-term debt 2,684 2,683 Total liabilities 4,805 4,641 Stockholders equity 1,093 1,086 Total liabilities and equity $ 5,898 $ 5,727 (1) Our consolidated balance sheets include assets of consolidated variable interest entities ( VIEs ) that can only be used to settle obligations of these VIEs and liabilities of consolidated VIEs for which creditors do not have recourse to the primary beneficiary (Redwood Trust, Inc.). At June 30, 2016 and March 31, 2016, assets of consolidated VIEs totaled $888 and $1,102, respectively, and liabilities of consolidated VIEs totaled $860 and $959, respectively.

Core Earnings Three Months Ended 6/30/2016 3/31/2016 GAAP net income $ 41 $ 12 Adjustments Reconcilliation of GAAP Net Income to Core Earnings ($ in millions, except per share data) Eliminate mark-to-market changes on long-term investments and associated derivatives (1) 4 14 Eliminate restructuring and related charges (2) 11 Eliminate reversal of commercial loan loss reserve (3) (5) Eliminate provision for income taxes Total adjustments (1) 25 Core earnings $ 40 $ 37 GAAP net income per diluted common share $ 0.48 $ 0.15 Core earnings per diluted common share (4) $ 0.47 $ 0.44 (1) Adjustment eliminates the mark-to-market changes on the fair value of loans held-for-investment, trading securities, other investments, and associated derivatives that are primarily related to changes in benchmark interest rates and credit spreads. (2) Adjustment eliminates operating expense charges from the restructuring of Redwood's conforming residential and commercial mortgage banking operations, which were announced during the first quarter of 2016, and related charges associated with the subsequent announcement of the departure of Redwood's President. (3) Adjustment eliminates the benefit to GAAP earnings from the release of $5 million of commercial loan loss reserves, which was due to the anticipated third quarter sale of all but two of our commercial mezzanine loans. (4) Consistent with the calculation of net income per diluted common share for GAAP purposes, core earnings per diluted common share is calculated following the "two-class" method. Additional information on the calculation of core earnings using the "two-class" method can be found in our Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q.

Cautionary Statements This presentation may contain forward-looking statements within the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements involve numerous risks and uncertainties. Our actual results may differ from our expectations, estimates, and projections and, consequently, you should not rely on these forward-looking statements as predictions of future events. Forward-looking statements are not historical in nature and can be identified by words such as anticipate, estimate, will, should, expect, believe, intend, seek, plan, and similar expressions or their negative forms, or by references to strategy, plans, or intentions. These forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties, including, among other things, those described in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2015 under the caption Risk Factors. Other risks, uncertainties, and factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those projected are described below and may be described from time to time in reports we file with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including reports on Forms 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K. We undertake no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise. Important factors, among others, that may affect our actual results include: interest rate volatility, changes in credit spreads, and changes in liquidity in the market for real estate securities and loans; changes in the demand from investors for residential mortgages and investments, and our ability to distribute an increased volume of residential mortgages through our whole-loan distribution channel; our ability to finance our investments in securities and our acquisition of residential mortgages with short-term debt; the availability of assets for purchase at attractive risk-adjusted returns and our ability to reinvest cash and the proceeds from the potential sale of securities and investments we hold; changes in the values of assets we own; higher than expected operating expenses due to delays or decreases in the realization of expected operating expense reductions related to the repositioning of our conforming mortgage banking activities and commercial loan origination activities, and other unforeseen expenses; general economic trends, the performance of the housing, commercial real estate, mortgage, credit, and broader financial markets, and their effects on the prices of earning assets and the credit status of borrowers; federal and state legislative and regulatory developments, and the actions of governmental authorities, including those affecting the mortgage industry or our business (including, but not limited to, the Federal Housing Finance Agency s rules relating to FHLB membership requirements and the implications for our captive insurance subsidiary s membership in the FHLB); developments related to the fixed income and mortgage finance markets and the Federal Reserve s statements regarding its future open market activity and monetary policy; our exposure to credit risk and the timing of credit losses within our portfolio; the concentration of the credit risks we are exposed to, including due to the structure of assets we hold and the geographical concentration of real estate underlying assets we own; our exposure to adjustable-rate mortgage loans; the efficacy and expense of our efforts to manage or hedge credit risk, interest rate risk, and other financial and operational risks; changes in credit ratings on assets we own and changes in the rating agencies credit rating methodologies; changes in interest rates; changes in mortgage prepayment rates; the ability of counterparties to satisfy their obligations to us; our involvement in securitization transactions, the profitability of those transactions, and the risks we are exposed to in engaging in securitization transactions; exposure to claims and litigation, including litigation arising from our involvement in securitization transactions; whether we have sufficient liquid assets to meet short-term needs; our ability to successfully compete and retain or attract key personnel; our ability to adapt our business model and strategies to changing circumstances; changes in our investment, financing, and hedging strategies and new risks we may be exposed to if we expand our business activities; our exposure to a disruption or breach of the security of our technology infrastructure and systems; exposure to environmental liabilities; our failure to comply with applicable laws and regulations; our failure to maintain appropriate internal controls over financial reporting and disclosure controls and procedures; the impact on our reputation that could result from our actions or omissions or from those of others; changes in accounting principles and tax rules; our ability to maintain our status as a REIT for tax purposes; limitations imposed on our business due to our REIT status and our status as exempt from registration under the Investment Company Act of 1940; decisions about raising, managing, and distributing capital; and other factors not presently identified.