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Presented by Kristina Narvaez President of ERM Strategies, LLC www.erm-strategies.com

Three Case Studies University of California s Enterprise Risk Management Information System (ERMIS ) State of Washington Using Root Cause Analysis Dallas / Fort Worth International Airport s Aligning ERM with Strategic Goals 2

University of California 234,464 Students 18,896 Faculty 189,116 Staff 10 Campuses 6 Medical Centers 3 National Laboratories 3

Mission of University of California Enable its faculty, staff and students to be able to identify and manage risk associated with their activities, consistent with the University s mission goals of teaching, research and public services This starts with the strategic management of their risks Approaching risk from a strategic standpoint, they can reduce the chances of loss, create greater financial stability, and protect their resources 4

Risk Culture at University of California Like organizations within the private sector, the UC system operates in an inherently risky environment. By strategically managing risk, UC can reduce the chance of loss, create greater financial stability, and protect their resources to continue the mission of supporting teaching, research and public service. Everyone a Risk Manager Be Smart About Safety Enterprise Risk Management Information System Annual ERM Summits 5

University of California Overall Strategy Develop a data warehouse to manage its information from various groups and existing programs Implement COSO II framework to analyze processes, risks and controls system wide Reduce Total Cost of Risk and free up resources to be used for meeting UC s mission 6

ERM Objectives to Support Strategic Goals Develop risk management philosophy and a culture that promotes compliance with management s risk appetite, allowing managers to manage risks within their spheres of responsibility, consistent with established risk tolerances Develop a center environment in which risk assessment and risk management ( mitigation) is integrated into all business practices and decision-making activities 7

UC Defines Cost of Risk Cost of Risk is a quantitative measurement of the total costs (losses, risk controls costs, financing costs, and administration costs) associated with risk management function Purpose of this measurement is to determine whether the total costs of the risk management function are increasing, decreasing or remaining constant A comparison can be made of a business unit s Cost of Risk to the Cost of Risk of its peer groups Cost of Risk allows business units to focus on areas of operation that will have the greatest long-term effects 8

UC s Enterprise Risk Management Information System (ERMIS) Deployed in February of 2009, UC s ERMIS developed by IBM created greater visibility and better intelligence around what was Driving the losses Nature of the losses Where the greatest opportunity lay to improve the reduction of the Cost of Risk 9

ERMIS Objectives Improved quantitative analysis capabilities Improved analytical and reporting capabilities Support for leading risk governance and compliance process System-wide visibility, with local flexibility Scalability without additional burden on UC staff 10

Functionality of UC s ERMIS IBM s ERMIS is a suite of applications that helps UC identify, track and evaluate risks ERMIS integrates data from multiple, disparate sources, but it also conducts data analysis ERMIS enables automated updates to provide transparency, trending, and up-todate information Uses Key Performance Indicators such as operational and campus hazards, financial risk data, privacy, compliance and other areas of risk 11

Benefits of UC s ERMIS Eliminates redundancy in preparation of numerous reports Generates more timely and reliable risk information without additional staff support Automates the performance and certification of internal controls critical to the UC s annual financial audit Enables easy, efficient sharing of analysis and information across multiple locations 12

UC s Website Provides Easy to Use E-Tools Risk Assessments ERM Work Plan ERM Maturity Model UC Ready- Business Continuity Tool UC Action- Root Cause Analysis Tool UC Tracker-Key Financial Controls Risk Rating Tool IT Risk Assessment Project Risk Assessment 13

UC s ERM Workplan UC has developed an ERM Work Plan for its employees. The enterprise risk management framework is geared to achieving objectives in four categories Strategic High-level goals, aligned with and supporting their mission Operations Effective and efficient use of their resources Reporting Reliability of reporting Compliance with applicable laws and regulations 14

15

UC s ERMIS Usage December of 2010, there were 152 authorized users December 2011, there were 493 authorized users 16 Increased usage of 324% from previous year 45 dashboard reports

Standard & Poor s Increases UC Credit Rating On September 9, 2010, S & P gave UC a higher rating which in turn has given them a.1% decrease in interest rates that UC pays on its debt load. This represents over $10 million in savings. The UC has implemented a system-wide enterprise risk management information system, which, in our opinion, is a credit strength - Rating Direct on the Global Credit Portal 17

UC Reduced Cost of Risk by $ 493 Million Since 2003-2004 fiscal year, UC reduced Cost of Risk by $493 million dollars Reduced the Cost of Risk from $18.46 per $1,000 of operating budget to $13.31 per $1,000 of operating budget Each year UC holds an Annual ERM Summit focused on improving ERM program by reducing Cost of Risk. 18

State of Washington More than 190 state agencies, departments and commissions In 1961, the Washington State Legislature eliminated the judicial doctrine providing sovereign immunity for tort liability for state government Major problems include the uncertainty of case-by-case determination of government liability for inherently risky government programs like state hospitals, corrections, and child welfare 19

State of Washington Reduces Cost of Risk When Governor Gregoire took office in 2002, she required all agencies to implement Enterprise Risk Management Risk Management Department conducts statewide training in ERM for all state agencies RMD also tracks the agencies implementation of ERM using the Government Management, Accountability and Performance (GMAP) tool created by Governor Gregoire Between 2002-2010 Cost of Risk has been reduced by $ 619 Million 20

State of Washington Root Cause Analysis State of Washington is using Root Cause Analysis (RCA) to help their state agencies drill down to the root cause of an incident or potential risk event The process of discovering the real source of a problem has helped transform patterns of behavior RCA has helped State of Washington select the correct risk controls and risk responses to a particular risk or combination of risks 21

RCA Methods Management Oversight and Risk Tree 5 Whys Barrier Analysis Fault Tree Analysis Methods Change Analysis Parent Analysis Causal Factor Tree Analysis Fish-Bone/ Ishikawa Diagram Failure Mode Effect Analysis 22

Benefits of Using RCA Identify barriers and the causes of problems, so that permanent solutions can be found Develop a logical approach to problem solving, using data that already exists in most operations Identify current and future needs for organizational improvements Establish repeatable stepby-step processes, in which one process can confirm the results of another 23

State of Washington Uses a Hybrid of Two RCA Methods 5 Whys is a question-asking method used to explore the cause/effect relationships underlying a particular problem, with the goal of determining a root cause of a defect or problem Fishbone Diagram identifies many possible causes for an effect or problem. It immediately sorts ideas into useful categories of people, methods, machines, materials, measurements and environment 24

5 Whys Used in Brainstorming Session The key is to encourage the trouble-shooter to avoid assumptions and logic traps Once root cause is identified then the proper risk controls and risk responses can be implemented 5 Whys Group traces the chain of events to see what is the root cause of the problem 25

Categories of Fishbone Diagram People - Anyone involved with the process Methods - How the process is performed and the specific requirements for doing it, such as policies, procedures, rules, regulations and laws involved Machines - Any equipment, computers, tools, etc. required to accomplish the job Materials - Includes raw materials, parts, pens, paper, etc. used to produce the final products Measurements - All data generated from the process used to evaluate its quality Environment - The conditions, such as location, time, temperature and culture in 26 which the process operates

Example of Fishbone Diagram 27

Washington State Law In 2006, the Washington State Legislature passed Adverse Health and Incident Reporting System Law Goal of the law is to learn why events happen and what can be done to prevent them Providers required to fill out reports are hospitals, psychiatric hospitals, child birth centers, Department of Corrections medical facilities, and ambulatory surgery facilities Department of Health has a website to identify if a particular event meets criteria for an adverse event 28

Using RCA with Adverse Events Each adverse event notification requires a Root Cause Analysis System-based review of medical errors in which the department explores what happened, why it happened, and how it can be prevented Of 100 events reported by 10 hospitals, there were 19 Falls, 45 Pressure Ulcers, 26 Surgical Events ( 15 incorrect surgeries and 11 retained foreign objects ) 8 Unanticipated Deaths and 7 Other Adverse Events Issues identified by RCAs include a culture that has failed to support patient safety, failure in the chain of command, and discipline silos 29

Dallas / Fort Worth International Airport Fourth busiest airport in the world in terms of aircraft movement 652,261 aircraft movement in 2010 Eighth busiest airport in the world transporting 56,906,610 passengers in 2010 Largest hub for American Airlines Serves 145 domestic and 48 international destinations Undergoing $1.9 billion dollar renovation 30

Airport s Enterprise Goals Balance Sheet Protection Operational Excellence Reduced Volatility 31

Enterprise Drivers Preservation of & Access to Capital Maximizing Returns Managing Growth Governance 32

NY Times on June 14, 2012 Talks About Airports Staying Competitive Most airports in the U.S. are owned by cities or local authorities and are not dependent on taxpayer money to finance themselves They typically finance investments through revenue generated via airline fees, passenger charges, and sale of bonds tied to passenger traffic For years, the major domestic airports had put off capital improvement projects as passengers traffic slowed and airlines struggled to make a profit 33 Now U.S. airports are investing billions of dollars on renovation to stay competitive

Dallas / Fort Worth International Airport s Risk Council Members Aviation Real Estate Information Technology Finance Environmental Affairs Energy & Transportation Airport Development & Engineering Risk Management Revenue Management Operations Human Resources Department of Public Safety Asset Management Audit Services Government & Stakeholder Affairs 34

Risk Categories Financial - debt management, decline in air travel, economic downturn Human Capital - aging workforce, knowledge transfer, employee retention Legal/Regulatory - labor strike, FAA changes, fraud, regulatory changes Operational - aging infrastructure, competition, inclement weather Strategic - airline concentration, terrorism, pandemic, public relations Reputational - media inquiries, and public relations Technology - data privacy/loss, system failures 35

Top 3 Risks DFW Airport s Strategic Plan Aging Infrastructure Grow the Core Business Customer Satisfaction Operational Excellence Revenue Growth Cost Competitive Customer Satisfaction Operational Excellence Industry Growth Grow the Core Business Customer Satisfaction Operational 36 Excellence

Terminal Renewal & Improvement Project Terminal Renewal and Improvement Program ( TRIP) A seven-year, $1.9 billion dollar renovation plan to renew all four of the Airport s original terminals, which first opened in 1974 and add to fifth terminal not used since 2005 Adding 54,000 square feet in Terminal E. It will be constructed within three phases by 2018 Replace aging infrastructure systems, update concessions and redesign terminal space to generate a larger revenue stream for DFW Airport 37

TRIP is Part of Grow the Core Business Strategic Goal Risk Council Members have discussed the opportunities and threats in reaching this strategic goal. Risk score cards were created with risk controls and risk responses identified Action plans with definitive timelines and specific actions steps were developed and assigned to an Action Owner 38

Needs Discovered in ERM Process ERM process identified a need for succession planning They have now developed a strategic succession plan ERM process identified several recovery and continuity plans they have in place Each plan will be reviewed for its age, effectiveness and ways to improve efficiencies across the organization 39

Transportation Research Board ( TRB) Will Have Guidebook for Airports on ERM in the Fall of 2012 Airports are conducting risk management activities, but often not coordinating on an enterprise level so that information can be part of strategic planning process Research was needed to help airport CEO s understand ERM and how to put it into practice Guidebook is expected 3 rd quarter of 2012 40

Objectives of ERM Guidebook A guidebook for airport CEOs and their executives team on the application of ERM to airports An electronic tool that can be used to prepare a risk classification matrix Examine the benefits, costs and risks of implementation of an ERM program Describe the process to implement ERM Describe how the ERM process integrates with an organizational strategic planning process 41

Presented by Kristina Narvaez President of ERM Strategies LLC www.erm-strategies.com